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Resource Nationalism: Enabler or Spoiler of Pockets of Effectiveness in ‘New Oil’ Tanzania’s Petroleum Sector? 资源民族主义:“新石油”坦桑尼亚石油部门效益的推动者还是破坏者?
Pub Date : 2020-05-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3661558
Rasmus Pedersen, Thabit Jacob, P. Bofin
A great deal of attention has been paid to the distributional aspects of resource nationalism in countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, but less is known about its effects on the state’s capacity. By unpacking the relations between resource nationalism, legal and institutional reform, broader political dynamics and capacity in mainland Tanzania, this paper argues that the effect of resource nationalism is ambivalent, in that it may both enable and hinder the development of capacity. We identify two phases of resource nationalism: a soft economic one in the early years of the oil price boom; and a more radical one in more recent years, with different impacts on state agencies. Whereas Tanzania’s national oil company, the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC), and its Energy and Water Utilities Regulatory Authority (EWURA) initially developed into pockets of effectiveness aimed at re-regulating and controlling the rents under the private sector, they were increasingly being undermined as radical resource nationalism aimed at re-asserting sovereignty, reshaping ownership and increasing state control. We argue that these changes were decisively influenced by shifting ideas in the country’s ruling party on the role of the state in the economy, partly driven by intensified electoral competition. Although the radicalisation of resource nationalism was under way before the ascent to power of President Magufuli in 2015, his insecure power base led to decision-making being increasingly centralised, which undermined organisational autonomy and therefore capacity. These factors point to the importance of key decision-makers in supporting capacity, while also suggesting that direct political interference is likely to undermine capacity.
人们对撒哈拉以南非洲国家资源民族主义的分配方面给予了大量关注,但对其对国家能力的影响却知之甚少。通过剖析坦桑尼亚大陆的资源民族主义、法律和制度改革、更广泛的政治动态和能力之间的关系,本文认为资源民族主义的影响是矛盾的,因为它既可能促进也可能阻碍能力的发展。我们将资源民族主义分为两个阶段:油价暴涨初期的软经济阶段;近年来,一场更为激进的改革对国家机构产生了不同的影响。尽管坦桑尼亚国家石油公司坦桑尼亚石油开发公司(TPDC)及其能源和水资源管理机构(EWURA)最初发展成为旨在重新规范和控制私营部门租金的有效机构,但它们日益受到旨在重新主张主权、重塑所有权和加强国家控制的激进资源民族主义的破坏。我们认为,这些变化受到该国执政党关于国家在经济中的作用的观念转变的决定性影响,部分原因是选举竞争加剧。尽管在2015年马古富利总统上台之前,资源民族主义的激进化已经开始,但他不安全的权力基础导致决策日益集中,这破坏了组织的自主权,从而削弱了能力。这些因素表明了关键决策者在支持能力方面的重要性,同时也表明直接的政治干预可能会破坏能力。
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引用次数: 1
Is Collective Titling Enough to Protect Forests? Evidence from Afro-Descendant Communities in the Colombian Pacific Region 集体所有权足以保护森林吗?来自哥伦比亚太平洋地区非洲裔社区的证据
Pub Date : 2019-02-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3334497
M. Vélez, J. Robalino, J. Cárdenas, A. Paz, Eduardo Pacay
During the mid-1990s, one of the most ambitious land reforms in recent decades took place in Colombia. The reform recognized collective land rights of 5 million hectares by Afro-Colombian groups, with the dual goals of improving livelihoods and preserving valuable ecosystems. We estimate the impact of this collective land titling program on forest cover using panel data and a difference-in-difference empirical strategy. We find that overall, collective titling significantly reduces deforestation rates, but the effect varies substantially by sub-region. We observe that the larger effects are in Narino and Valle del Cauca especially in places with higher deforestation threat, closer to the forest frontier, to roads, and to navigable rivers, as well as in places without illegal crops. Our qualitative analysis suggest that this might be the result of communities being able to expel private companies from their lands which is more challenging with actors promoting illegal crops. We conclude that under the adequate conditions, titling can lead to forest conservation.
上世纪90年代中期,哥伦比亚进行了近几十年来最雄心勃勃的土地改革之一。改革承认非洲裔哥伦比亚人拥有500万公顷的集体土地权利,其双重目标是改善生计和保护宝贵的生态系统。我们使用面板数据和差异中的差异经验策略来估计这种集体土地所有权计划对森林覆盖的影响。我们发现,总体而言,集体产权显著降低了森林砍伐率,但效果因次区域而异。我们观察到,影响更大的是在纳里诺和考卡谷,特别是在森林砍伐威胁较高的地方,靠近森林边界、道路和通航河流的地方,以及没有非法作物的地方。我们的定性分析表明,这可能是由于社区能够将私营公司从他们的土地上驱逐出去,这对推广非法作物的行为者来说更具挑战性。我们认为,在适当的条件下,封地可以导致森林的保护。
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引用次数: 42
La reforma económica en Cuba: Atrapada en el medio (Cuban Economic Reforms: Stuck in the Middle) 古巴经济改革:陷入中间(古巴经济改革:陷入中间)
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3504945
J. Alonso, Pavel Vidal Alejandro
Spanish Abstract: A base de secuenciar y parcializar en exceso las medidas adoptadas se ha conducido a la economía cubana a una situación indeseable, en donde ni rige la lógica del pasado, ni se ha permitido que prospere una nueva lógica económica. Diríamos que Cuba, desde hace ya años, aparece en tierra de nadie, atrapada en el medio de un proceso de cambio (stuck in the middle), quizá la peor de las opciones.

English Abstract: Reforms in some areas were successful by making improvements in other areas. Although caution is necessary, the partial nature of the actions hindered economic growth, and neither the logic of the past nor the new economic model promoted development. For many years, Cuba has been isolated and stuck in the middle, which is perhaps the worst of the options.
摘要:由于对所采取的措施进行了过多的顺序和偏见,古巴经济陷入了一种不受欢迎的情况,在这种情况下,过去的逻辑既不适用,也不允许新的经济逻辑繁荣。我们可以说,古巴多年来一直处于无人区,被夹在变革进程的中间,这也许是最糟糕的选择。English Abstract:改革in some areas是成功by making改善in other areas。虽然需要注意,但行动的片面性质阻碍了经济增长,而不是过去的逻辑或新的经济模式促进了发展。多年来,古巴一直被孤立和夹在中间,这也许是最糟糕的选择。
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引用次数: 0
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GeographyRN: Governance (Sub-Topic)
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