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Cost per responder analysis of iptacopan versus eculizumab and ravulizumab in treatment of paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria: implications for decision-making. iptacopan与eculizumab和ravulizumab治疗阵发性夜间血红蛋白尿的成本分析:对决策的影响
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2025.2606575
Kyi-Sin Than, Jason Shafrin, Sanjana Muthukrishnan, Jincy Paulose, Ver Bilano, Nicholas Kuypers

Objective: Paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) is a rare and debilitating hematological disease with significant economic burden. Despite the availability of multiple therapies, there is a lack of consensus on optimal treatment strategies among physicians and payers in the United States. This study aimed to evaluate the economic value of iptacopan, a novel oral treatment option, compared to terminal complement inhibitors (specifically, complement component C5 inhibitor or C5i)-including eculizumab and ravulizumab-among patients with PNH who are either (i) C5i-experienced or (ii) complement-inhibitor-naïve.

Methods: A cost per responder analysis was conducted based on treatment efficacy from clinical trials comparing iptacopan with C5i treatments. Treatment response was defined as the proportion of patients achieving red blood cell transfusion independence. Treatment costs were estimated as pharmaceutical wholesale acquisition cost and treatment administration costs, accounting for discontinuation. Outcomes evaluated included the number needed to treat to achieve a response and the cost per responder over the treatment duration of 24 weeks.

Results: Over 24 weeks, the number needed to treat to achieve an additional response was lower for iptacopan than all C5i comparators (C5i-experienced: 1.05 with iptacopan vs. 3.86 with C5is; complement-inhibitor-naïve: 1.02 with iptacopan vs. 1.69 with C5is). Cost per responder was lower for iptacopan than C5i comparators for both C5i-experienced ($264,337 for iptacopan vs. $975,298 for ravulizumab, $1,060,511 for eculizumab, and $744,561-$955,194 for eculizumab biosimilar with 10%-30% discount from eculizumab cost) and complement-inhibitor-naïve patients ($256,754, vs. $428,139 for ravulizumab, $465,546 for eculizumab, and $326,849-$419,314 for eculizumab biosimilar).

Conclusion: Among both C5i-experienced and complement-inhibitor-naïve patients, treatment with iptacopan resulted in higher response rates and lower cost per responder compared to C5is.

目的:阵发性夜间血红蛋白尿(PNH)是一种罕见的使人衰弱的血液病,经济负担沉重。尽管有多种治疗方法,但在美国的医生和付款人之间缺乏对最佳治疗策略的共识。本研究旨在评估iptacopan的经济价值,iptacopan是一种新型口服治疗选择,与终末补体抑制剂(特别是补体成分C5抑制剂或C5i)-包括eculizumab和ravulizumab-在患有(i) C5i或(ii) complement-inhibitor-naïve的PNH患者中进行比较。方法:通过临床试验比较伊普他科泮与C5i治疗的治疗效果,对每个应答者的成本进行分析。治疗反应被定义为实现红细胞输血独立的患者比例。治疗费用估计为药品批发采购成本和治疗管理成本,考虑到终止。评估的结果包括达到应答所需的治疗次数和在24周的治疗期间每个应答者的成本。结果:在24周内,iptacopan获得额外缓解所需的治疗次数低于所有C5i比较药(C5i经验:iptacopan 1.05 vs. C5is 3.86; complement-inhibitor-naïve: iptacopan 1.02 vs. C5is 1.69)。对于C5i患者,iptacopan的每个应答药成本低于C5i比较药(iptacopan为264,337美元,而ravulizumab为975,298美元,eculizumab为1,060,511美元,eculizumab生物仿制药为744,561美元至955,194美元,比eculizumab成本低10%-30%)和complement-inhibitor-naïve患者(256,754美元,ravulizumab为428,139美元,eculizumab为465,546美元,eculizumab为326,849美元至419,314美元)。结论:在c5i经验和complement-inhibitor-naïve患者中,与C5is相比,使用伊他科潘治疗可获得更高的缓解率和更低的每个应答者成本。
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引用次数: 0
Calculating cost per event avoided using a composite number needed to treat. 计算每个事件的成本,避免使用需要处理的合数。
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2026.2615606
Joshua Toliver, Julia Wang, Jigish Bhavsar, Sean D Sullivan

Objective: Number needed to treat (NNT) and cost per event avoided (CPEA) are measures used to represent the clinical and economic value of chronic treatments and are commonly calculated based on primary endpoints from trials. This approach, although widely used, does not reflect the complete value of a treatment, as it does not consider outcomes beyond the primary endpoints. This research aims to overcome this limitation by developing multiple composite NNTs to derive the CPEA to estimate a total value of semaglutide and dulaglutide in people with established cardiovascular disease.

Methods: Two cardiovascular outcomes trials were selected, SELECT (NCT03574597, semaglutide 2.4 mg) and REWIND (NCT01394952, dulaglutide 1.5 mg). NNT was calculated as NNT = 1/ARR where ARR = control event rate - experimental event rate. NNT was estimated for 3-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE-3; primary endpoint of the trials), 5-point MACE (MACE-5), and cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic events (CKM). CPEA of MACE-3, MACE-5, and CKM was calculated as NNT*duration of mean follow-up (semaglutide) or duration of median follow-up (dulaglutide)*estimated net price.

Results: The NNT decreased as the number of outcomes in the composite endpoint increased, where NNTMACE-3, NNTMACE-5, and NNTCKM were 67, 49, and 8 for semaglutide, and 72, 64, and 23 for dulaglutide, respectively. Similarly, the CPEA decreased as the number of outcomes in the composite endpoint increased, where the CPEA for MACE-3, MACE-5 and CKM calculations were $1,662,001, $1,232,417, and $190,387 for semaglutide and $1,884,013, $1,670,366, and $607,886 for dulaglutide.

Conclusions: This research illustrates the limitations of using a NNT focused only on the primary endpoint, as it does not capture the total benefit of the treatment. When considering the value of treatments through NNT or CPEA analyses, a composite endpoint capturing broader benefit should be utilized.

目的:治疗所需数量(NNT)和避免每个事件的成本(CPEA)是用来表示慢性治疗的临床和经济价值的指标,通常基于试验的主要终点来计算。这种方法虽然被广泛使用,但并不能反映治疗的全部价值,因为它没有考虑主要终点以外的结果。本研究旨在克服这一限制,通过开发多个复合nnt来获得CPEA,以估计semaglutide和dulaglutide在已确定心血管疾病患者中的总价值。方法:选择两项心血管结局试验,SELECT (NCT03574597,西马鲁肽2.4 mg)和REWIND (NCT01394952,西马鲁肽1.5 mg)。NNT计算为NNT = 1/ARR,其中ARR =对照事件率-实验事件率。NNT被估计为3点主要不良心血管事件(MACE-3;试验的主要终点)、5点主要不良心血管事件(MACE-5)和心血管-肾-代谢事件(CKM)。MACE-3、MACE-5和CKM的CPEA计算为NNT*平均随访时间(semaglutide)或中位随访时间(dulaglutide)*估计净价。结果:NNT随着复合终点结局数的增加而降低,其中西马鲁肽组NNTMACE-3、NNTMACE-5和NNTCKM分别为67、49和8,杜拉鲁肽组分别为72、64和23。同样,CPEA随着复合终点结果数量的增加而下降,其中,semaglutide的MACE-3、MACE-5和CKM计算的CPEA分别为1,662,001美元、1,232,417美元和190,387美元,dulaglutide的CPEA为1,884,013美元、1,670,366美元和607,886美元。结论:本研究说明了仅关注主要终点使用NNT的局限性,因为它不能捕获治疗的总获益。当通过NNT或CPEA分析来考虑治疗的价值时,应该使用一个获得更广泛益处的复合终点。
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引用次数: 0
A real-world study evaluating drug tolerability and health care resource use with acalabrutinib vs ibrutinib in patients with relapsed/refractory chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma. 一项评估阿卡拉布替尼与依鲁替尼在复发/难治性慢性淋巴细胞白血病/小淋巴细胞淋巴瘤患者中的药物耐受性和卫生保健资源使用的现实世界研究
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2025.2604971
George Dranitsaris, Aaron Peevyhouse, Heather Neuhalfen, Lee Ann Dietz, Chanh Huynh, Svea K Wahlstrom, Samantha L Thompson, Anna Teschemaker, Vikram Shetty, Mayur Narkhede, Daniel Ermann, Sibel Blau

Background and aim: Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitors (BTKis) are the standard of care for patients with relapsed/refractory (R/R) chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (CLL/SLL). Ibrutinib and acalabrutinib are two commonly used BTKis, though hypertension (HTN) and other cardiovascular medical events of interest (CV MEOIs) can impact treatment tolerability and long-term use. This study compared cardiovascular safety and health care resource use (HCRU) of acalabrutinib versus ibrutinib monotherapy for R/R CLL/SLL in real-world community practice.

Methods: This retrospective comparative study included 270 RR CLL/SLL patients (90 acalabrutinib; 180 ibrutinib) treated from January 2017 through December 2023 across the ONCare Alliance Network, comprising 30 US community hematology practices. Endpoints included new or worsening of existing HTN, development of CV MEOIs, and treatment discontinuation due to adverse events. HCRU metrics consisted of emergency department visits, hospital admissions, length of stay, specialist consultations, and related medical procedures. Propensity score weighted multivariable logistic regression was used for the comparative analysis on the tolerability endpoints.

Results: At a median follow-up of 33 months, patients treated with acalabrutinib had significantly fewer HTN events (OR = 0.27, 95% CI = 0.074-0.98; p = .046) and adverse events leading to treatment discontinuation (OR = 0.39, 95% CI = 0.20-0.73; p = .002) compared to those on ibrutinib. Hospital admission rates for MEOIs were lower in the acalabrutinib group (0.20 vs. 0.24 per patient), with a shorter median length of stay (3.0 vs. 6.0 days). Additionally, acalabrutinib patients had fewer specialist consultations (0.11 vs. 0.22 per patient) and associated medical procedures (0.11 vs. 0.18 per patient).

Conclusions: In R/R CLL/SLL, acalabrutinib demonstrated a more favorable cardiovascular safety profile than ibrutinib, with fewer HTN events and CV MEOIs. This translated into reduced hospital admissions and lower HCRU, supporting acalabrutinib as a potentially better tolerated long-term treatment option in community practice.

背景与目的:布鲁顿酪氨酸激酶抑制剂(BTKis)是复发/难治性(R/R)慢性淋巴细胞白血病/小淋巴细胞淋巴瘤(CLL/SLL)患者的标准治疗药物。伊鲁替尼和阿卡拉布替尼是两种常用的BTKis,尽管高血压(HTN)和其他心血管医学事件(CV meoi)会影响治疗耐受性和长期使用。本研究比较了阿卡拉布替尼与伊鲁替尼单药治疗R/R CLL/SLL在现实世界社区实践中的心血管安全性和卫生保健资源使用(HCRU)。方法:这项回顾性比较研究纳入了2017年1月至2023年12月在ONCare联盟网络上接受治疗的270例RR CLL/SLL患者(90例阿卡拉布替尼;180例依鲁替尼),包括30个美国社区血血学实践。终点包括现有HTN的新发或恶化、CV meoi的发展以及因不良事件而停止治疗。HCRU指标包括急诊科就诊次数、住院次数、住院时间、专家咨询和相关医疗程序。采用倾向评分加权多变量logistic回归对耐受性终点进行比较分析。结果:在中位随访33个月时,阿卡拉布替尼治疗的患者HTN事件显著减少(OR = 0.27, 95% CI = 0.074-0.98;046)和导致停药的不良事件(OR = 0.39, 95% CI = 0.20-0.73;002)与伊鲁替尼组相比。阿卡拉布替尼组meoi的住院率较低(每名患者0.20对0.24),中位住院时间较短(3.0天对6.0天)。此外,阿卡拉布替尼患者的专科咨询(0.11对0.22)和相关医疗程序(0.11对0.18)较少。结论:在R/R CLL/SLL中,阿卡拉布替尼表现出比依鲁替尼更有利的心血管安全性,HTN事件和CV meoi更少。这转化为减少住院率和降低HCRU,支持阿卡拉布替尼作为社区实践中潜在的更好耐受的长期治疗选择。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-effectiveness of female-only and gender-neutral HPV vaccination strategies in Japan. 日本女性和性别中立HPV疫苗接种策略的成本效益。
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2025.2609508
Minjin Kim, Eunha Shim

Aims: This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of female-only vaccination (FOV) and gender-neutral vaccination strategies (GNV) using 4-valent (4vHPV) and 9-valent HPV (9vHPV) vaccines among adolescents aged 12-16 years in Japan. It provides the first comprehensive assessment of all feasible vaccine-population combinations using a unified dynamic transmission model.

Materials and methods: An age- and sex-structured dynamic transmission model simulated HPV transmission and disease progression over 100 years, incorporating cervical, vulvar, vaginal, anal, head and neck, and penile cancers. Six vaccination strategies were evaluated: no further vaccination, FOV with 4vHPV, FOV with 9vHPV, GNV with 9vHPV for females and 4vHPV for males, GNV with 4vHPV for both sexes, and GNV with 9vHPV for both sexes. Analyses adopted a healthcare payer perspective, with costs in 2025 Japanese yen, discounted at 3%. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated using a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥5 million per quality-adjusted life year (QALY).

Results: FOV with 4vHPV yielded an ICER of ¥171,725/QALY versus no vaccination, and FOV with 9vHPV yielded ¥1,366,226/QALY versus FOV with 4vHPV - both below the willingness-to-pay threshold. Furthermore, GNV with 9vHPV for both sexes provided the greatest health gains and remained below the threshold (¥3,594,296/QALY) versus FOV with 9vHPV. GNV with 4vHPV and mixed 9vHPV/4vHPV schedules were dominated and excluded.

Limitations: The healthcare payer perspective excludes indirect costs. The model hypothetically includes 9vHPV for boys despite its unavailability for males in Japan.

Conclusions: Both female-only 4vHPV and 9vHPV strategies are cost-effective under Japan's economic standards. Furthermore, GNV with 9vHPV provides greater health benefits and cost-effectiveness.

目的:本研究评估了日本12-16岁青少年中使用4价(4vHPV)和9价HPV (9vHPV)疫苗的女性疫苗接种(FOV)和性别中立疫苗接种策略(GNV)的成本效益。它首次使用统一的动态传播模型对所有可行的疫苗-人群组合进行了全面评估。材料和方法:一个年龄和性别结构的动态传播模型模拟了100多年来HPV的传播和疾病进展,包括宫颈癌、外阴癌、阴道癌、肛门癌、头颈癌和阴茎癌。评估了六种疫苗接种策略:不再接种,FOV合并4vHPV, FOV合并9vHPV, GNV合并9vHPV(女性)和4vHPV(男性),GNV合并4vHPV(两性),GNV合并9vHPV(两性)。分析采用了医疗保健支付者的观点,2025年的成本为日元,折现3%。增量成本效益比(ICERs)采用每个质量调整生命年(QALY) 500万日元的支付意愿阈值计算。结果:接种4vHPV的视场与未接种相比,ICER为171725元/QALY;接种9vHPV的视场与接种4vHPV的视场相比,ICER为1366226元/QALY,均低于支付意愿阈值。此外,与携带9vHPV的FOV相比,携带9vHPV的GNV提供了最大的健康收益,并且仍然低于阈值(¥3,594,296/QALY)。GNV以4vHPV和9vHPV/4vHPV混合方案为主,排除在外。局限性:医疗保健支付者视角排除了间接成本。该模型假设包括男孩的9vHPV,尽管在日本男性无法获得。结论:在日本经济标准下,仅针对女性的4vHPV和9vHPV策略均具有成本效益。此外,带有9vHPV的GNV提供了更大的健康益处和成本效益。
{"title":"Cost-effectiveness of female-only and gender-neutral HPV vaccination strategies in Japan.","authors":"Minjin Kim, Eunha Shim","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2609508","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13696998.2025.2609508","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of female-only vaccination (FOV) and gender-neutral vaccination strategies (GNV) using 4-valent (4vHPV) and 9-valent HPV (9vHPV) vaccines among adolescents aged 12-16 years in Japan. It provides the first comprehensive assessment of all feasible vaccine-population combinations using a unified dynamic transmission model.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>An age- and sex-structured dynamic transmission model simulated HPV transmission and disease progression over 100 years, incorporating cervical, vulvar, vaginal, anal, head and neck, and penile cancers. Six vaccination strategies were evaluated: no further vaccination, FOV with 4vHPV, FOV with 9vHPV, GNV with 9vHPV for females and 4vHPV for males, GNV with 4vHPV for both sexes, and GNV with 9vHPV for both sexes. Analyses adopted a healthcare payer perspective, with costs in 2025 Japanese yen, discounted at 3%. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated using a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥5 million per quality-adjusted life year (QALY).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>FOV with 4vHPV yielded an ICER of ¥171,725/QALY versus no vaccination, and FOV with 9vHPV yielded ¥1,366,226/QALY versus FOV with 4vHPV - both below the willingness-to-pay threshold. Furthermore, GNV with 9vHPV for both sexes provided the greatest health gains and remained below the threshold (¥3,594,296/QALY) versus FOV with 9vHPV. GNV with 4vHPV and mixed 9vHPV/4vHPV schedules were dominated and excluded.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>The healthcare payer perspective excludes indirect costs. The model hypothetically includes 9vHPV for boys despite its unavailability for males in Japan.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Both female-only 4vHPV and 9vHPV strategies are cost-effective under Japan's economic standards. Furthermore, GNV with 9vHPV provides greater health benefits and cost-effectiveness.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":"29 1","pages":"155-168"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2026-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145952332","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cost-effectiveness analysis of a 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for pneumococcal disease prevention in the Slovak pediatric population. 20价肺炎球菌结合疫苗在斯洛伐克儿科预防肺炎球菌疾病的成本效益分析
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2025.2610060
Warisa Wannaadisai, Thea Paoula Nassar, Peter Šebo, Dagmar Hroncova, Lubos Kuchta

Background: Slovakia has introduced pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) in the national immunization program (NIP) since 2011. Recently licensed for use in the pediatric population in Europe, the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) is poised to become a new potential standard of care (SoC) in the pediatric national immunization program (NIP). Therefore, this study aims to assess the cost-effectiveness and the clinical and economic outcomes of the PCV20 compared to PCV13 and PCV15 in Slovakian infants.

Methods: A decision-analytic Markov model was employed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of implementing PCV20 versus two lower-valent PCVs in Slovakian infants aged over 10 years. Health outcomes comprised cases of pneumococcal disease, life years, and quality-adjusted life years (QALY). Economic outcomes included vaccination- and disease-associated costs. Outcomes were evaluated for the entire population to capture full vaccine benefits (indirect effects). Epidemiological inputs were sourced from local surveillance reports or published literature. Direct and indirect vaccine effects (VE) were estimated from vaccine impact, effectiveness, and clinical studies of PCV7 and PCV13. Economic inputs were informed by local studies and 2024 Slovak national reimbursement cost. Comprehensive deterministic sensitivity analysis and scenario analyses were examined. The study assumed a willingness-to-pay threshold (WTP) of €40,377/QALY.

Results: Over 10 years, PCV20 3 + 1 was predicted to prevent over 810 invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases, 885,000 pneumonia cases, 6,600 otitis media (OM) cases, and 16,600 disease-associated deaths compared with PCV13 2 + 1. The disease prevention subsequently resulted in €326.7 million direct medical costs savings, 96,430,859 additional QALYs gain and an ICER of €1,349/QALY. Comparable trends were observed versus PCV15 2 + 1, with PCV20 preventing more pneumococcal disease cases, providing greater additional QALYs, and being cost-effective under the prespecified threshold. Results were consistent across base case and scenario analyses.

Conclusions: Implementing PCV20 into the Slovakian pediatric NIP is projected to yield the most significant clinical and economic benefits compared to the two lower-valent PCVs, due to its more extensive protection against a broader range of pneumococcal serotypes. Despite an additional cost of dose and visit, PCV20 was estimated to be cost-effective at the Slovak WTP threshold versus other SoC options over a 10-year time horizon.

背景:斯洛伐克自2011年以来在国家免疫规划(NIP)中引入了肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCVs)。最近,20价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV20)获准在欧洲儿科人群中使用,有望成为儿科国家免疫规划(NIP)中新的潜在护理标准(SoC)。因此,本研究旨在评估斯洛伐克婴儿中PCV20与PCV13和PCV15相比的成本效益以及临床和经济结果。方法:采用决策分析马尔可夫模型对斯洛伐克10岁以上婴儿实施PCV20与两种低价pcv的成本-效果进行评估。健康结果包括肺炎球菌疾病病例、生命年和质量调整生命年(QALY)。经济成果包括疫苗接种和疾病相关费用。对整个人群的结果进行了评估,以充分获得疫苗的益处(间接效应)。流行病学资料来源于当地监测报告或已发表的文献。根据PCV7和PCV13的疫苗影响、有效性和临床研究估计了直接和间接疫苗效应(VE)。经济投入是根据当地研究和2024年斯洛伐克国家报销费用得出的。进行了综合确定性敏感性分析和情景分析。该研究假设支付意愿阈值(WTP)为40377欧元/QALY。结果:与PCV13 2 + 1相比,PCV20 3 + 1预计在10年内预防超过810例侵袭性肺炎球菌病(IPD), 88.5万例肺炎,6600例中耳炎(OM)和16600例疾病相关死亡。疾病预防随后节省了3.267亿欧元的直接医疗费用,额外增加了96,430,859个质量质量年,总成本为1,349欧元/质量质量年。与PCV15 2 + 1相比,观察到可比较的趋势,PCV20预防更多肺炎球菌疾病病例,提供更大的额外qaly,并且在预先规定的阈值下具有成本效益。基本情况和情景分析的结果是一致的。结论:与两种低价pcv相比,在斯洛伐克儿科NIP中实施PCV20预计将产生最显著的临床和经济效益,因为它对更广泛的肺炎球菌血清型具有更广泛的保护作用。尽管有额外的剂量和就诊费用,但在10年的时间跨度内,与其他SoC方案相比,PCV20在斯洛伐克WTP阈值上估计具有成本效益。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-utility and budget impact analysis of dupilumab and oral Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors for treating moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis in Taiwan. 台湾地区dupilumab与口服Janus激酶(JAK)抑制剂治疗中重度特应性皮炎的成本效用与预算影响分析。
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2026.2612867
Rachel Ai-Ting Yang, Valerie Tzu-Ning Liu, David Bin-Chia Wu, Toby Kai-Bo Shen, Hsiao-Hsiao Tan, Yen Hsiang Wang, John Tayu Lee

Backgoround: Atopic dermatitis (AD), a chronic inflammatory skin disease, affects 1.28% of Taiwan's population, with 26.69% having moderate-to-severe cases, causing significant healthcare costs and quality-of-life impairments. Conventional treatments often fail these patients, necessitating novel therapies like dupilumab and Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors (abrocitinib, baricitinib, upadacitinib). This study evaluates the cost-utility and budget impact of these therapies versus best supportive care (BSC) for adults with moderate-to-severe AD from Taiwan's NHI perspective.

Methods: A hybrid decision tree-Markov model assessed short- and long-term (Years 1-20) outcomes using trial efficacy, NHI costs (2022 NT$), and EQ-5D utilities. Interventions included topical corticosteroids/calcineurin inhibitors. Outcomes were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), discounted at 3%, with a NT$2,000,000/QALY threshold. Sensitivity analyses tested robustness. A five-year (2026-2030) budget impact analysis (BIA) included epidemiology and market uptake.

Results: Upadacitinib 30 mg was most cost-effective (11.0782 QALYs, ICER NT$1,250,903/QALY vs BSC), followed by Upadacitinib 15 mg (NT$1,376,435/QALY). Dupilumab was dominated; Baricitinib's ICERs exceeded NT$2,000,000/QALY. Sensitivity analyses confirmed robustness, with utility gains, medication costs, and discontinuation rates as key drivers. The BIA estimated a NT$117 billion incremental impact, driven by drug costs, with per-patient increments falling from NT$339,769 to NT$264,728.

Conclusion: Upadacitinib 30 mg was the most cost-effective option for moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis in Taiwan, but its high budget impact underscores the need for strategic pricing and reimbursement policies to ensure long-term affordability and access.

背景:特应性皮炎(AD)是一种慢性炎症性皮肤病,影响台湾1.28%的人口,其中26.69%有中度至重度病例,造成重大的医疗成本和生活质量损害。这些患者的常规治疗往往失败,需要新的治疗方法,如杜匹单抗和Janus激酶(JAK)抑制剂(阿布替尼、巴西替尼、upadacitinib)。​方法:使用混合决策树-马尔可夫模型评估短期和长期(1-20年)的结果,包括试验疗效、全民医保成本(2022新台币)和EQ-5D效用。干预措施包括局部皮质类固醇/钙调磷酸酶抑制剂。结果是质量调整生命年(QALYs)和增量成本-效果比(ICERs),以3%折现,新台币2,000,000/QALY阈值。敏感性分析检验了稳健性。一项为期五年(2026-2030)的预算影响分析(BIA)包括流行病学和市场吸收。结果:upadacitini30 mg最具成本效益(11.0782 QALY,与BSC相比,成本成本为1,250,903新台币/QALY),其次为upadacitini15 mg(新台币1,376,435新台币/QALY)。杜匹单抗占多数;Baricitinib的ICERs超过新台币200万元/QALY。敏感性分析证实了鲁棒性,效用收益、药物成本和停药率是关键驱动因素。BIA估计,受药物成本驱动,每名患者的增量从新台币339,769元下降到新台币264,728元,增量影响为新台币1170亿元。结论:Upadacitinib 30 mg是台湾治疗中重度特应性皮炎最具成本效益的选择,但其高预算影响强调了战略定价和报销政策的必要性,以确保长期可负担性和可及性。
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引用次数: 0
Economic burden of non-transfusion-dependent thalassemia in the United States. 美国非输血依赖型地中海贫血的经济负担。
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2026.2618930
Arielle L Langer, Amey Rane, Keely S Gilroy, Jing Zhao, Louise Lombard, Carolyn R Lew, Sujit Sheth

Objectives: To assess all-cause healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs among patients with α- or β-non-transfusion-dependent thalassemia (NTDT) vs. matched controls in the United States.

Methods: Adults with ≥1 inpatient setting or ≥2 outpatient settings claims for α- or β‑thalassemia between January 1, 2013 and June 30, 2021 were identified from the Merative MarketScan Commercial/Medicare database. Patients with <8 transfusions or ≥6 weeks between any two adjacent transfusions in a 1-year period post-index date (date of first observed α- or β-thalassemia diagnosis code) were considered to have NTDT. Patients were required to have mean hemoglobin (Hgb) levels <10 g/dL during follow-up as an additional measure to ensure exclusion of patients with thalassemia trait. Each patient was matched with five controls based on age, sex, length of follow-up, availability of lab data, and payer type. All-cause HCRU and costs were assessed over ≥12 months post-index. Data were also analyzed for the non-transfusion-dependent α- and β-thalassemia subgroups.

Results: A total of 149 patients with NTDT and Hgb levels <10 g/dL were matched with 745 controls. The mean follow-up period was approximately 3 years. All-cause inpatient admissions (48.3% vs. 16.5%; p < 0.001) and emergency room visits (61.1% vs. 39.1%; p < 0.001) during follow-up were higher with NTDT vs. controls, and total costs (total medical + outpatient pharmacy) were $29,107 per patient per year (PPPY) in patients with NTDT vs. $9,042 PPPY in controls (p < 0.001). Similar trends were seen in the subgroups of patients with non-transfusion-dependent α- and β-thalassemia vs. matched controls.

Conclusions: Patients with NTDT in the United States, including those with α- and β-thalassemia, have significantly higher all-cause HCRU and costs vs. matched controls. There is a need for effective treatment options to reduce the healthcare burden of NTDT and improve patient outcomes.

目的:评估美国α-或β-非输血依赖型地中海贫血(NTDT)患者与匹配对照组的全因医疗资源利用率(HCRU)和成本。方法:在2013年1月1日至2021年6月30日期间,从Merative MarketScan Commercial/Medicare数据库中识别出≥1例住院或≥2例门诊的α-或β -地中海贫血患者。结果:共有149例NTDT患者和Hgb水平p p p p结论:美国NTDT患者,包括α-和β-地中海贫血患者,与匹配对照组相比,全因HCRU和成本明显更高。有必要提供有效的治疗方案,以减轻NTDT的医疗负担并改善患者的预后。
{"title":"Economic burden of non-transfusion-dependent thalassemia in the United States.","authors":"Arielle L Langer, Amey Rane, Keely S Gilroy, Jing Zhao, Louise Lombard, Carolyn R Lew, Sujit Sheth","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2026.2618930","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13696998.2026.2618930","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To assess all-cause healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs among patients with α- or β-non-transfusion-dependent thalassemia (NTDT) vs. matched controls in the United States.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Adults with ≥1 inpatient setting or ≥2 outpatient settings claims for α- or β‑thalassemia between January 1, 2013 and June 30, 2021 were identified from the Merative MarketScan Commercial/Medicare database. Patients with <8 transfusions or ≥6 weeks between any two adjacent transfusions in a 1-year period post-index date (date of first observed α- or β-thalassemia diagnosis code) were considered to have NTDT. Patients were required to have mean hemoglobin (Hgb) levels <10 g/dL during follow-up as an additional measure to ensure exclusion of patients with thalassemia trait. Each patient was matched with five controls based on age, sex, length of follow-up, availability of lab data, and payer type. All-cause HCRU and costs were assessed over ≥12 months post-index. Data were also analyzed for the non-transfusion-dependent α- and β-thalassemia subgroups.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 149 patients with NTDT and Hgb levels <10 g/dL were matched with 745 controls. The mean follow-up period was approximately 3 years. All-cause inpatient admissions (48.3% vs. 16.5%; <i>p</i> < 0.001) and emergency room visits (61.1% vs. 39.1%; <i>p</i> < 0.001) during follow-up were higher with NTDT vs. controls, and total costs (total medical + outpatient pharmacy) were $29,107 per patient per year (PPPY) in patients with NTDT vs. $9,042 PPPY in controls (<i>p</i> < 0.001). Similar trends were seen in the subgroups of patients with non-transfusion-dependent α- and β-thalassemia vs. matched controls.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Patients with NTDT in the United States, including those with α- and β-thalassemia, have significantly higher all-cause HCRU and costs vs. matched controls. There is a need for effective treatment options to reduce the healthcare burden of NTDT and improve patient outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":"29 1","pages":"308-318"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2026-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146113364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cost implications of introducing the BIOFIRE FILMARRAY meningitis/encephalitis panel vs. real-time PCR in adult and pediatric populations in the UK. 在英国成人和儿童人群中引入BIOFIRE FILMARRAY脑膜炎/脑炎面板与实时PCR的成本影响
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2025.2609504
Emilija Veljanoska, Agota Szende, Fiona McGill, Sofia Gomes, Shabana Malik

Aims/background: Meningitis is a life-threatening infection of the protective membranes surrounding the brain and spinal cord, requiring early and accurate diagnosis to inform clinical management. Standard diagnostic methods, a mix of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) culture and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing, can be constrained by delayed processing or reduced sensitivity following antibiotic administration. The BIOFIRE FILMARRAY Meningitis/Encephalitis (ME) Panel is a rapid multiplex PCR test that detects 14 specific pathogens from a CSF sample in approximately 1 h, thereby avoiding multiple targeted assays, accelerating diagnostic turnaround, and reducing the cumulative diagnostic burden.

Methods: A cost-consequence model was developed from the United Kingdom (UK) National Health Service (NHS) perspective for adults and children with suspected or confirmed meningitis. The model includes costs (diagnostic, treatment, hospital stay) and consequences (time to targeted treatment, antimicrobial use, length of stay) over a per-episode time horizon, from initial presentation through inpatient discharge.

Results: Results indicate that the panel reduced total costs compared to real-time PCR by 8.4% (£1,151 per adult) and 15.7% (£1,266 per child) in suspected cases; and by 7.8% (£1,071) and 14.0% (£1,131), respectively, in confirmed cases.

Conclusions: The results indicate that the BIOFIRE ME panel may improve clinical outcomes while reducing NHS resource use, aligning with national goals to optimize antimicrobial stewardship and hospital efficiency.

目的/背景:脑膜炎是一种危及生命的脑和脊髓周围保护膜感染,需要早期准确诊断以告知临床管理。标准诊断方法,即脑脊液(CSF)培养和聚合酶链反应(PCR)检测的混合,可能因处理延迟或抗生素使用后敏感性降低而受到限制。BIOFIRE FILMARRAY脑膜炎/脑炎(ME)小组是一种快速多重PCR检测,可在大约1小时内从脑脊液样本中检测14种特定病原体,从而避免了多次靶向检测,加快了诊断周转,减少了累积诊断负担。方法:从英国国家卫生服务(NHS)的角度对疑似或确诊脑膜炎的成人和儿童开发了成本-后果模型。该模型包括从最初出现到住院出院的每次发作时间范围内的费用(诊断、治疗、住院)和后果(到靶向治疗的时间、抗菌药物的使用、住院时间)。结果:结果表明,与实时PCR相比,该小组在疑似病例中降低了8.4%(每位成人1151英镑)和15.7%(每位儿童1266英镑)的总成本;确诊病例分别增长7.8%(1071英镑)和14.0%(1131英镑)。结论:结果表明,BIOFIRE ME小组可以改善临床结果,同时减少NHS资源使用,与优化抗菌药物管理和医院效率的国家目标保持一致。
{"title":"Cost implications of introducing the BIOFIRE FILMARRAY meningitis/encephalitis panel vs. real-time PCR in adult and pediatric populations in the UK.","authors":"Emilija Veljanoska, Agota Szende, Fiona McGill, Sofia Gomes, Shabana Malik","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2609504","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13696998.2025.2609504","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims/background: </strong>Meningitis is a life-threatening infection of the protective membranes surrounding the brain and spinal cord, requiring early and accurate diagnosis to inform clinical management. Standard diagnostic methods, a mix of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) culture and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing, can be constrained by delayed processing or reduced sensitivity following antibiotic administration. The BIOFIRE FILMARRAY Meningitis/Encephalitis (ME) Panel is a rapid multiplex PCR test that detects 14 specific pathogens from a CSF sample in approximately 1 h, thereby avoiding multiple targeted assays, accelerating diagnostic turnaround, and reducing the cumulative diagnostic burden.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cost-consequence model was developed from the United Kingdom (UK) National Health Service (NHS) perspective for adults and children with suspected or confirmed meningitis. The model includes costs (diagnostic, treatment, hospital stay) and consequences (time to targeted treatment, antimicrobial use, length of stay) over a per-episode time horizon, from initial presentation through inpatient discharge.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Results indicate that the panel reduced total costs compared to real-time PCR by 8.4% (£1,151 per adult) and 15.7% (£1,266 per child) in suspected cases; and by 7.8% (£1,071) and 14.0% (£1,131), respectively, in confirmed cases.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The results indicate that the BIOFIRE ME panel may improve clinical outcomes while reducing NHS resource use, aligning with national goals to optimize antimicrobial stewardship and hospital efficiency.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":"29 1","pages":"295-307"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2026-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146086024","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prolonged progression-free survival with zanubrutinib in relapsed/refractory CLL: an indirect treatment comparison versus other BTK inhibitors using multilevel network meta-regression. zanubrutinib治疗复发/难治性CLL延长无进展生存期:与其他BTK抑制剂使用多水平网络meta回归的间接治疗比较
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2025.2609514
Mazyar Shadman, Walter Bouwmeester, Leyla Mohseninejad, Sheng Xu, Milica Jevdjevic, Keri Yang, Rhys Williams, Jeroen P Jansen

Background: Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitors (BTKis) are therapeutic agents for relapsed/refractory chronic lymphocytic leukemia (R/R CLL). Previous indirect treatment comparisons are limited in simultaneously comparing multiple interventions and adjusting for population differences. This study aimed to use a more rigorous approach called multilevel network meta-regression (ML-NMR) to estimate the relative treatment effects of zanubrutinib compared to acalabrutinib and ibrutinib in two target populations: a general R/R CLL population similar to the phase 3 ALPINE trial's intention-to-treat (ITT) population, and a high-risk population with del(17p) and/or del(11q), similar to the ITT population of the phase 3 ELEVATE-RR trial.

Methods: The ML-NMR was conducted using data from three phase 3 randomized controlled trials: ALPINE (N = 652), ELEVATE-RR (N = 533), and ASCEND (N = 310). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were the outcomes of interest. The ML-NMR integrated individual patient data from ALPINE with aggregate data from the other trials, incorporating important effect modifiers to estimate relative treatment effects for the target populations.

Results: In the general R/R CLL population, zanubrutinib showed an improved PFS compared to ibrutinib (HR = 0.67, 95% Credible Interval [CrI] = 0.52-0.87) and acalabrutinib (HR = 0.57, 95% CrI = 0.34-0.95). In the high-risk population, zanubrutinib maintained its PFS advantage over ibrutinib and acalabrutinib. OS was similar across BTKis in both populations, with wide CrIs that included an estimate of no difference between treatments.

Conclusion: This ML-NMR suggests that zanubrutinib offers improved PFS compared to ibrutinib and acalabrutinib in both general and high-risk R/R CLL populations. OS results were uncertain due to limited follow-up.

背景:布鲁顿酪氨酸激酶抑制剂(BTKis)是治疗复发/难治性慢性淋巴细胞白血病(R/R CLL)的药物。以前的间接治疗比较在同时比较多种干预措施和调整人口差异方面受到限制。本研究旨在使用一种更严格的方法,称为多层次网络元回归(ML-NMR),以估计zanubrutinib与阿卡拉布替尼和依鲁替尼在两个目标人群中的相对治疗效果:一个是与3期ALPINE试验的意向治疗(ITT)人群相似的一般R/R CLL人群,另一个是与3期ELEVATE-RR试验的ITT人群相似的del(17p)和/或del(11q)的高危人群。方法:ML-NMR使用三个3期随机对照试验的数据:ALPINE (N = 652), ELEVATE-RR (N = 533)和ASCEND (N = 310)。无进展生存期(PFS)和总生存期(OS)是我们感兴趣的结果。ML-NMR综合了ALPINE的个体患者数据和其他试验的总体数据,结合了重要的效果修饰因子来估计目标人群的相对治疗效果。结果:在一般R/R CLL人群中,zanubrutinib与ibrutinib (HR = 0.67, 95%可信区间[CrI] = 0.52-0.87)和acalabrutinib (HR = 0.57, 95%可信区间[CrI] = 0.34-0.95)相比,PFS有所改善。在高危人群中,zanubrutinib与ibrutinib和acalabrutinib相比保持PFS优势。在两个人群中,BTKis的OS相似,具有广泛的CrIs,包括治疗之间没有差异的估计。结论:该ML-NMR表明,在一般和高风险R/R CLL人群中,与伊鲁替尼和阿卡拉布替尼相比,zanubrutinib提供了更好的PFS。由于随访有限,OS结果不确定。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing public economic gains from expanding HPV vaccination in Portugal: a governmental perspective analysis. 评估葡萄牙扩大HPV疫苗接种的公共经济收益:政府视角分析。
IF 3 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-12-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2026.2617010
Nikolaos Kotsopoulos, Mark P Connolly, Andrew Pavelyev, Bernardo Rodrigues, Joana Silva, Ugne Sabale

Objective: To assess the public economic impact of expanding human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination coverage rates in Portugal.

Methods: A cost-benefit analysis from a macroeconomic (societal) and public economic (fiscal) was conducted to compare the current vaccination strategy to no vaccination and to alternative scenarios assuming expansions of HPV vaccination to adult males up to 26 years of age and to unvaccinated women 18-26 years of age. The long-term incidence of HPV-related diseases and attributable mortality, under different scenarios were estimated for 100 years using a dynamic transmission model (DTM). Subsequently, economic gains from reductions in HPV-related morbidity and mortality, including avoided productivity losses and healthcare costs-savings, were estimated and compared to vaccination costs. Costs and benefits were discounted at 4%.

Results: The public health benefits of the current HPV vaccination strategy under the National Immunization Plan (NIP) are expected to reduce the cumulative 100-year societal and fiscal burden of disease by 57.8% and 59.9% compared to no vaccine, respectively. Extending HPV vaccination to adult males up to 26 years of age and to unvaccinated women 18-26 years of age is estimated to further reduce societal and fiscal burden by €124 million and €109 million, respectively. Compared to no vaccination, the current NIP results in societal and fiscal benefit-cost ratios of 4.4 and 3.8, respectively. Expanding the current HPV vaccination program would result in benefit cost ratios (BCRs) of 1.9 and 1.7 from the societal and fiscal perspectives, respectively. The BCR remained stable and >1 despite changes in projected healthcare spending over the model duration.

Conclusions: Expanding HPV vaccination to adult populations up to 26 years of age likely offers additional economic gains that exceed expenditures when compared to the current vaccination strategy, translating public health benefits of vaccination strategies into macroeconomic and fiscal outcomes for Portugal.

目的:评估葡萄牙扩大人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)疫苗接种率对公共经济的影响。方法:从宏观经济(社会)和公共经济(财政)进行成本效益分析,比较目前的疫苗接种策略与不接种疫苗以及假设将HPV疫苗接种扩展到26岁以下的成年男性和18-26岁未接种疫苗的女性的替代方案。使用动态传播模型(DTM)估计了不同情景下hpv相关疾病的长期发病率和可归因死亡率100年。随后,估计了减少hpv相关发病率和死亡率带来的经济收益,包括避免的生产力损失和节省的医疗保健费用,并将其与疫苗接种费用进行了比较。成本和收益按4%折现。结果:与未接种疫苗相比,目前在国家免疫计划(NIP)下的HPV疫苗接种战略的公共卫生效益预计将使疾病的累积百年社会和财政负担分别减少57.8%和59.9%。将HPV疫苗接种扩大到26岁以下的成年男性和18-26岁未接种疫苗的女性,估计可分别进一步减少1.24亿欧元和1.09亿欧元的社会和财政负担。与不接种疫苗相比,目前的NIP的社会和财政效益成本比分别为4.4和3.8。从社会和财政角度来看,扩大目前的HPV疫苗接种计划将导致收益成本比(bcr)分别为1.9和1.7。尽管在模型持续期间预计医疗保健支出发生了变化,但BCR仍保持稳定和bb0 1。结论:与目前的疫苗接种战略相比,将HPV疫苗接种扩大到26岁以下的成年人群可能会提供超过支出的额外经济收益,将疫苗接种战略的公共卫生效益转化为葡萄牙的宏观经济和财政结果。
{"title":"Assessing public economic gains from expanding HPV vaccination in Portugal: a governmental perspective analysis.","authors":"Nikolaos Kotsopoulos, Mark P Connolly, Andrew Pavelyev, Bernardo Rodrigues, Joana Silva, Ugne Sabale","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2026.2617010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13696998.2026.2617010","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To assess the public economic impact of expanding human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination coverage rates in Portugal.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cost-benefit analysis from a macroeconomic (societal) and public economic (fiscal) was conducted to compare the current vaccination strategy to no vaccination and to alternative scenarios assuming expansions of HPV vaccination to adult males up to 26 years of age and to unvaccinated women 18-26 years of age. The long-term incidence of HPV-related diseases and attributable mortality, under different scenarios were estimated for 100 years using a dynamic transmission model (DTM). Subsequently, economic gains from reductions in HPV-related morbidity and mortality, including avoided productivity losses and healthcare costs-savings, were estimated and compared to vaccination costs. Costs and benefits were discounted at 4%.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The public health benefits of the current HPV vaccination strategy under the National Immunization Plan (NIP) are expected to reduce the cumulative 100-year societal and fiscal burden of disease by 57.8% and 59.9% compared to no vaccine, respectively. Extending HPV vaccination to adult males up to 26 years of age and to unvaccinated women 18-26 years of age is estimated to further reduce societal and fiscal burden by €124 million and €109 million, respectively. Compared to no vaccination, the current NIP results in societal and fiscal benefit-cost ratios of 4.4 and 3.8, respectively. Expanding the current HPV vaccination program would result in benefit cost ratios (BCRs) of 1.9 and 1.7 from the societal and fiscal perspectives, respectively. The BCR remained stable and >1 despite changes in projected healthcare spending over the model duration.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Expanding HPV vaccination to adult populations up to 26 years of age likely offers additional economic gains that exceed expenditures when compared to the current vaccination strategy, translating public health benefits of vaccination strategies into macroeconomic and fiscal outcomes for Portugal.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":"29 1","pages":"282-294"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2026-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146086068","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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