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SYSTEMIC APPROACH TO DETERMINING THE SAFETY OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF AIR TRANSPORT: INDICATORS, LEVEL, THREATS 确定航空运输可持续发展安全的系统方法:指标、水平、威胁
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.35774/JEE2021.01.146
D. Bugayko, Y. Kharazishvili, V. Liashenko, A. Kwiliński
The article is dedicated to methods of integrating the safety of air transport in the mechanism of interaction between sustainable development goals and strategic management of sustanable development security through managerial, functional, and informational links between subsytems of sustainable development and different hierarchal levels of safety. This determines the place and role of aviation safety in ensuring fundamental national interests, i.e. sustainable development of national economy. The multifactor hierarchal model detailing the level of safety of air transport was developed in accordance with the system approach in the context of sustainable development and combines the economic and technological, social, and environmental components. It is proposed to consider a total of 7 components and 29 indicators that include shadow economy aspects, without which the current conditions cannot be estimated accurately. The boundaries of safe existence have been defined for all indicators using Student’s t-test. The conducted modelling has determined the current values of all indicators and the safety level of air transport as a whole. Identification has been carried out in accordance with the latest assessment methodology, including the multiplicative integral indices, modified method of normalization and formalized determination of dynamic weights. The list of threats and their severity have been determined using two criteria. Distance from the point of sustainable development, i.e. average value of the «homeostatic plateau», was used to identify the list and importance of threats, while the severity of threats was calculated using elasticity coefficients. The calculations show that the safety of air transport depends foremost on the social component, as well as economic and technological development of aviation.
本文致力于通过可持续发展子系统与不同层次安全之间的管理、功能和信息联系,在可持续发展目标与可持续发展安全战略管理的互动机制中整合航空运输安全的方法。这就决定了航空安全在保障国家根本利益,即国民经济可持续发展中的地位和作用。详细描述航空运输安全水平的多因素分层模型是根据可持续发展背景下的系统方法开发的,并结合了经济、技术、社会和环境因素。建议考虑包括影子经济方面在内的共7个组成部分和29个指标,没有影子经济方面就无法准确估计当前状况。使用学生t检验定义了所有指标的安全存在边界。所进行的建模确定了所有指标的当前值和整个航空运输的安全水平。根据最新的评价方法进行鉴定,包括乘法积分指标、改进的归一化方法和动态权重的形式化确定。威胁名单及其严重程度是根据两个标准确定的。利用与可持续发展点的距离,即“稳态高原”的平均值来确定威胁的列表和重要性,而使用弹性系数来计算威胁的严重程度。计算表明,航空运输的安全主要取决于航空的社会因素,以及航空的经济和技术发展。
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引用次数: 0
UNDERSTANDING EMU ASYMMETRIES AND THEIR ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS 理解鸸鹋的不对称及其经济和政治影响
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.35774/JEE2021.01.069
Sara Casagrande
The Covid-19 emergency makes the seriousness of the unsolved political and economic issues that emerged during the European sovereign debt crisis even more evident. Today more than ever it is necessary to answer questions related to the fragility of the EMU architecture: why was the EMU created with an asymmetric structure? What was the role of EMU architecture and European policies during the crisis? Do EMU asymmetries threaten the survival of the Eurozone? The European integration process took place on the basis of a permissive consensus determined by the expectation of successful economic outcomes, without a true democratic legitimacy. Under such conditions, a fiscal and political union was not possible. The EMU proved to be a competitive arena, within which economic and political asymmetries were difficult to manage. An analysis of these asymmetries allows conclusions to be drawn regarding the risks associated with further economic and institutional integration.
新冠肺炎紧急情况使欧洲主权债务危机期间出现的未解决的政治和经济问题的严重性更加明显。今天,我们比以往任何时候都更有必要回答与欧洲货币联盟架构脆弱性相关的问题:为什么欧洲货币联盟的创建具有不对称结构?在危机期间,欧洲货币联盟的架构和欧洲政策扮演了什么角色?欧洲货币联盟的不对称会威胁到欧元区的生存吗?欧洲一体化进程是在一种宽容的共识的基础上进行的,这种共识是由对成功经济成果的预期所决定的,没有真正的民主合法性。在这种情况下,财政和政治联盟是不可能的。事实证明,欧洲货币联盟是一个竞争激烈的舞台,在这个舞台上,经济和政治上的不对称很难管理。对这些不对称的分析可以得出与进一步的经济和体制一体化有关的风险的结论。
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引用次数: 0
CLUSTER MODEL OF ORGANIZING LOGISTICS IN THE REGION (ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE ECONOMIC DISTRICT «PODILLYA») 区域物流组织的集群模式(以“podillya”经济区为例)
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.35774/JEE2021.01.127
N. Trushkina, H. Dźwigoł, A. Kwiliński
The article analyses the dynamics of development indicators of the regional transport and logistics system of the economic region «Podillya». The barriers that hinder its effective functioning are identified and conditionally divided into 10 groups: political, institutional, investment-financial, infrastructural, logistical, tariff, customs, innovation, information, and environmental ones. It is proved that to eliminate these barriers it is advisable to develop a cluster model of logistics in the economic region, which means a conceptual approach that involves the creation and development of transport and logistics cluster as a mechanism for sustainable operation of the regional transport and logistics system. The cluster model includes the following blocks: a single set of logistics processes; members of the transport and logistics cluster that organize these processes; algorithm of cluster formation and functioning; organizational and economic mechanism of creation and development of transport and logistics cluster; mechanisms for forming partnerships between cluster members; achieving sustainable development of the transport and logistics cluster on the basis of stimulating the regions. Implementation of the cluster model of organizing logistics in the economic region will contribute to the synergetic (economic, social and environmental) effect.
本文分析了波季里亚经济区区域运输和物流系统发展指标的动态变化。阻碍其有效运作的障碍被确定并有条件地分为10类:政治、体制、投资金融、基础设施、物流、关税、海关、创新、信息和环境障碍。实践证明,为消除这些障碍,发展经济区域物流集群模式是可取的,这是一种将运输和物流集群的创建和发展作为区域运输和物流系统可持续运行机制的概念方法。集群模型包括以下模块:一组单一的物流流程;组织这些过程的运输和物流集群的成员;聚类的形成与作用算法;交通物流集群产生与发展的组织经济机制集群成员之间建立伙伴关系的机制;在带动区域发展的基础上,实现交通物流集群的可持续发展。在经济区域内实施集群式物流组织模式,将产生协同效应(经济、社会和环境)。
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引用次数: 1
GOVERNMENT MEASURES AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY DURING THE COVID-19 OUTBREAK: SOME PRELIMINARY SHORT-TERM EVIDENCE FROM EUROPE COVID-19疫情期间的政府措施和经济活动:来自欧洲的一些初步短期证据
Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.35774/JEE2021.01.018
M. D. Giammanco, L. Gitto
The present contribution is aimed at offering evidence of the impact of antiCOVID government actions on trade. Using monthly Eurostat data, it investigates the relationship between the turnover of sales and the adoption of governmental measures. Explanatory variables encompass three indexes measuring the government response, namely, a stringency, a health containment and an economic support index. A consumer confidence index is used as control variable. It has been estimated through a generalised least squares model with heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation. The results outline that the percentage change of the index of deflated turnover of retail sale of food, beverages and tobacco is positively correlated with consumer confidence and negatively correlated with restrictive governmental measures. It is also determined that the percentage change of the index of deflated turnover of retail sale via internet is positively correlated with stringency governmental measures, this confirms the growing importance of internet as channel for trade.
目前的贡献旨在提供抗疫政府行动对贸易影响的证据。它利用欧盟统计局的月度数据,调查了销售额与政府措施的采用之间的关系。解释变量包括衡量政府反应的三个指数,即严格程度、卫生遏制和经济支持指数。消费者信心指数作为控制变量。通过具有异方差和自相关的广义最小二乘模型对其进行了估计。结果表明,食品、饮料和烟草零售销售额折扣率指数的百分比变化与消费者信心呈正相关,与政府限制性措施负相关。研究还发现,通过互联网销售的零售销售额折扣率指数的百分比变化与政府的严格措施正相关,这证实了互联网作为贸易渠道的重要性日益增加。
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引用次数: 0
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Vol 20, No 1 (2021)
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