Objective: This study examines the association between metabolic-dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and cardiovascular risk, focusing on the predictive value of anthropometric, metabolic, and hepatic markers.
Methods: A predictive cross-sectional study was conducted in children aged 5-18 years with overweight, obesity, or metabolic alterations suggestive of hepatic steatosis, with and without MASLD, at a Mexican pediatric endocrine clinic. MASLD was diagnosed via ultrasound, while cardiovascular risk was assessed using carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and metabolic markers. Multiple regression models were developed to evaluate the contribution of vascular (CIMT), anthropometric, metabolic, and hepatic variables to cardiovascular risk.
Results: Children with MASLD had significantly higher body mass index (BMI) percentiles (97.56 ± 2.93 vs. 68.91 ± 33.89, p < 0.01), systolic blood pressure (SBP): 113.93 ± 9.38 mmHg versus 101.41 ± 11.45 mmHg, p < 0.01), and Homeostasis Model Assessment of Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR): 7.55 ± 2.23 versus 3.62 ± 1.76, p < 0.01) compared to controls. CIMT was greater in MASLD patients (0.738 mm vs. 0.56 mm, p < 0.01), suggesting early vascular remodeling. Model 4, which incorporated CIMT, metabolic markers, and liver enzymes, demonstrated the highest predictive value (R² = 0.935, p < 0.001), reinforcing the multifactorial nature of MASLD-related cardiovascular risk.
Conclusions: MASLD is strongly associated with subclinical atherosclerosis and cardiometabolic dysregulation in children. The progressive increase in predictive accuracy across models underscores the importance of a multifactorial approach to cardiovascular risk assessment. Early subclinical cardiovascular findings are detectable in children with MASLD, supporting the rationale for early risk stratification and further research in this population.
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