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Associations of Amino Acids with the Risk of Prediabetes: A Case-Control Study from Kazakhstan. 氨基酸与糖尿病前期风险的关系:哈萨克斯坦病例对照研究》。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101067
Alma Nurtazina, Ivan Voitsekhovskiy, Bakyt Kanapiyanov, Maxat Toishimanov, Daulet Dautov, Kairat Karibayev, Yerbol Smail, Dana Kozhakhmetova, Altay Dyussupov

Background: The high global prevalence of prediabetes requires its early identification. Amino acids (AAs) have emerged as potential predictors of prediabetes. This study investigates the association between amino acids and prediabetes in the Kazakh population.

Materials and methods: In this case-control study, serum AAs levels were measured using the Trace GC 1310 gas chromatography system coupled with the TSQ 8000 triple quadrupole mass spectrometer (Thermo Scientific, Austin, TX, USA) followed by silylation with the BSTFA + 1% TMCS derivatization method. Biochemical parameters, including total cholesterol, HDL-C, LDL-C, triglycerides, fasting glucose, HbA1c, and Creatinine, were assessed for each participant. Trained professionals conducted anthropometric and physical examinations (which included taking blood pressure and heart rate measurements) and family history collection.

Results: A total of 112 Kazakh individuals with prediabetes and 55 without prediabetes, aged 36-65 years, were included in the study. Only Alanine and valine showed a significant association with prediabetes risk among the 13 AAs analyzed. Our findings revealed an inverse relationship between Alanine and Valine and prediabetes in individuals of Kazakh ethnicity.

Conclusion: A lower serum level of Alanine and Valine may serve as a predictive biomarker for prediabetes in the Kazakh population.

背景:全球糖尿病前期发病率很高,需要及早发现。氨基酸(AAs)已成为糖尿病前期的潜在预测因子。本研究调查了哈萨克斯坦人群中氨基酸与糖尿病前期之间的关系:在这项病例对照研究中,使用 Trace GC 1310 气相色谱系统和 TSQ 8000 三重四极杆质谱仪(Thermo Scientific, Austin, TX, USA)测量血清 AAs 水平,然后使用 BSTFA + 1% TMCS 衍生方法进行硅烷化。对每位参与者进行了生化参数评估,包括总胆固醇、高密度脂蛋白胆固醇、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇、甘油三酯、空腹血糖、HbA1c 和肌酐。经过培训的专业人员进行了人体测量和体格检查(包括测量血压和心率),并收集了家族病史:研究共纳入了 112 名患有糖尿病前期的哈萨克人和 55 名无糖尿病前期的哈萨克人,他们的年龄在 36-65 岁之间。在分析的 13 种 AAs 中,只有丙氨酸和缬氨酸与糖尿病前期风险有显著关联。我们的研究结果表明,在哈萨克族人中,丙氨酸和缬氨酸与糖尿病前期之间存在反向关系:结论:较低的血清丙氨酸和缬氨酸水平可作为哈萨克族糖尿病前期的预测生物标志物。
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引用次数: 0
Efficacy of Second-Line Biological Therapies in Moderate to Severe Ulcerative Colitis Patients with Prior Failure of Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor Therapy: A Multi-Center Study. 抗肿瘤坏死因子治疗失败的中度至重度溃疡性结肠炎患者接受二线生物疗法的疗效:一项多中心研究。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101066
Ji-Eun Na, Yong-Eun Park, Jong-Ha Park, Tae-Oh Kim, Jong-Yoon Lee, Jong-Hoon Lee, Su-Bum Park, Seung-Bum Lee, Seung-Min Hong

Background: Few studies have compared the efficacy and safety of second-line biological therapies in ulcerative colitis (UC) patients with prior exposure to anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy. We aim to compare the efficacy and safety between ustekinumab, vedolizumab, and tofacitinib, a current option as second-line biological therapy with different mechanisms in those patients.

Methods: This retrospective multi-center study was conducted across five institutions from 2011 to 2022. We enrolled patients with moderate to severe UC who failed anti-TNF therapy and subsequently received ustekinumab, vedolizumab, or tofacitinib as second-line biological therapy. The outcomes were analyzed for clinical response/remission and endoscopic improvement/remission rates after induction therapy, drug persistency, and adverse events.

Results: A total of 70 UC patients were included and grouped into ustekinumab (11 patients), vedolizumab (40 patients), and tofacitinib (19 patients) treatments. The clinical response/remission rates after induction therapy were similar between ustekinumab (90.9/81.8%), vedolizumab (92.5/65.0%), and tofacitinib (94.7/73.7%). There were no significant differences in the endoscopic improvement/remission rates between the three groups: 90.9/18.2% for ustekinumab, 72.5/12.5% for vedolizumab, and 84.2/26.3% for tofacitinib. Drug persistence was similar across the three agents (p = 0.130). Three patients of the tofacitinib group experienced adverse events (herpes zoster and hypertriglyceridemia).

Conclusions: Based on real-world data, second-line biological therapy with ustekinumab, vedolizumab, and tofacitinib showed comparable efficacy in patients with moderate to severe UC with prior exposure to anti-TNF therapy.

背景:很少有研究比较二线生物疗法对曾接受过抗肿瘤坏死因子(TNF)治疗的溃疡性结肠炎(UC)患者的疗效和安全性。我们旨在比较乌司替尼、维妥珠单抗和托法替尼的疗效和安全性:这项回顾性多中心研究于 2011 年至 2022 年在五家医疗机构开展。我们纳入了抗肿瘤坏死因子治疗失败的中重度 UC 患者,他们随后接受了乌司替尼、维妥珠单抗或托法替尼作为二线生物治疗。结果分析了诱导治疗后的临床反应/缓解率和内镜改善/缓解率、药物持续性和不良事件:共纳入70例UC患者,并将其分为乌司替尼(11例)、维妥珠单抗(40例)和托法替尼(19例)三种治疗方案。诱导治疗后的临床应答/缓解率在乌司替库单抗(90.9%/81.8%)、维多利珠单抗(92.5%/65.0%)和托法替尼(94.7%/73.7%)之间相似。三组患者的内镜改善/缓解率无明显差异:乌斯特库单抗为90.9/18.2%,维多珠单抗为72.5/12.5%,托法替尼为84.2/26.3%。三种药物的药物持续率相似(p = 0.130)。托法替尼组有三名患者出现了不良反应(带状疱疹和高甘油三酯血症):根据真实世界的数据,使用乌司替尼、维妥珠单抗和托法替尼进行二线生物治疗,对曾接受过抗TNF治疗的中重度UC患者具有相当的疗效。
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引用次数: 0
Therapeutic Drug Monitoring of Elexacaftor, Tezacaftor, and Ivacaftor in Adult People with Cystic Fibrosis. 成人囊性纤维化患者中 Elexacaftor、Tezacaftor 和 Ivacaftor 的治疗药物监测。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101065
Susanne Naehrig, Christina Shad, Magdalena Breuling, Melanie Goetschke, Katharina Habler, Sarah Sieber, Johanna Kastenberger, Alexandra Katharina Kunzelmann, Olaf Sommerburg, Uwe Liebchen, Juergen Behr, Michael Vogeser, Michael Paal

Background/objectives: Elexacaftor, tezacaftor, and ivacaftor (ETI) have significantly improved lung function in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). Despite exceptional improvements in most cases, treatment-related inter-subject variability and drug-drug interactions that complicate modulator therapy have been reported.

Methods: This retrospective analysis presents data on the serum concentration of ETI in our pwCF with full or reduced dosage from August 2021 to December 2023 via routine therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM). The data were compared with the maximum drug concentrations (Cmax) from the pharmaceutical company's summary of product characteristics.

Results: A total of 786 blood samples from 155 pwCF (41% female, 59% male) were analyzed. The examinations were divided into four groups: full dose within the given tmax (38.5% of all measurements), full dose outside the tmax (29%), reduced dose within the tmax (19.2%), and reduced dose outside the tmax (13.2%). In pwCF receiving the full dose and blood taken within the tmax, 45.3% of serum concentrations of elexacaftor, 51.1% of serum concentrations of ivacaftor, and 8.9% of serum concentrations of tezacaftor were found to be above the Cmax, respectively. For those on reduced doses within the tmax, 24.5% had a serum concentration of elexacaftor, 23.2% had a serum concentration of ivacaftor, and 2.5% had a serum concentration of tezacaftor above the Cmax, respectively.

Conclusions: Many pwCF under ETI therapy have Cmax values for elexacaftor and ivacaftor above the recommended range, even on reduced doses or before the tmax was reached. This highlights the value of a TDM program. Further pharmacokinetic studies are necessary.

背景/目的:Elexacaftor、tezacaftor和ivacaftor(ETI)可显著改善囊性纤维化患者(pwCF)的肺功能。尽管在大多数病例中都取得了显著改善,但与治疗相关的受试者间变异和药物间相互作用使调节剂治疗复杂化的情况也有报道:本回顾性分析报告了 2021 年 8 月至 2023 年 12 月期间,通过常规治疗药物监测 (TDM) 获得的全量或减量治疗 pwCF 的 ETI 血清浓度数据。这些数据与制药公司产品特征概要中的最大药物浓度(Cmax)进行了比较:共分析了来自 155 名重症肌无力患者(女性占 41%,男性占 59%)的 786 份血液样本。检查结果分为四组:在给定最大剂量范围内的全剂量(占所有测量结果的 38.5%)、最大剂量范围外的全剂量(29%)、最大剂量范围内的减剂量(19.2%)和最大剂量范围外的减剂量(13.2%)。在接受全剂量治疗并在tmax内采血的pwCF中,发现分别有45.3%的依来卡夫托血清浓度、51.1%的伊伐卡夫托血清浓度和8.9%的特扎卡夫托血清浓度高于Cmax。在tmax范围内服用减量剂量的患者中,分别有24.5%、23.2%和2.5%的患者的血清中依来卡夫托、伊伐卡夫托和替扎卡夫托的浓度高于Cmax:许多接受 ETI 治疗的 pwCF 的 elexacaftor 和 ivacaftor 的 Cmax 值超过了推荐范围,甚至在减少剂量或达到 tmax 之前也是如此。这凸显了 TDM 计划的价值。有必要开展进一步的药代动力学研究。
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引用次数: 0
Targeting Sodium in Heart Failure. 针对心力衰竭中的钠。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101064
Filippos Triposkiadis, Andrew Xanthopoulos, John Skoularigis

A dominant event determining the course of heart failure (HF) includes the disruption of the delicate sodium (Na+) and water balance leading to (Na+) and water retention and edema formation. Although incomplete decongestion adversely affects outcomes, it is unknown whether interventions directly targeting (Na+), such as strict dietary (Na+) restriction, intravenous hypertonic saline, and diuretics, reverse this effect. As a result, it is imperative to implement (Na+)-targeting interventions in selected HF patients with established congestion on top of quadruple therapy with angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor, β-adrenergic receptor blocker, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist, and sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, which dramatically improves outcomes. The limited effectiveness of (Na+)-targeting treatments may be partly due to the fact that the current metrics of HF severity have a limited capacity of foreseeing and averting episodes of congestion and guiding (Na+)-targeting treatments, which often leads to dysnatremias, adversely affecting outcomes. Recent evidence suggests that spot urinary sodium measurements may be used as a guide to monitor (Na+)-targeting interventions both in chronic and acute HF. Further, the classical (2)-compartment model of (Na+) storage has been displaced by the (3)-compartment model emphasizing the non-osmotic accumulation of (Na+), chiefly in the skin. 23(Na+) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) enables the accurate and reliable quantification of tissue (Na+). Another promising approach enabling tissue (Na+) monitoring is based on wearable devices employing ion-selective electrodes for electrolyte detection, including (Na+) and (Cl-). Undoubtably, further studies using 23(Na+)-MRI technology and wearable sensors are required to learn more about the clinical significance of tissue (Na+) storage and (Na+)-related mechanisms of morbidity and mortality in HF.

决定心力衰竭(HF)病程的主要因素包括钠(Na+)和水的微妙平衡被打破,导致钠(Na+)和水潴留以及水肿的形成。虽然不完全去充血会对预后产生不利影响,但直接针对(Na+)的干预措施(如严格限制饮食中的(Na+)、静脉注射高渗盐水和利尿剂)是否能逆转这种影响尚不得而知。因此,在使用血管紧张素受体肾素抑制剂、β-肾上腺素能受体阻滞剂、矿物质皮质激素受体拮抗剂和钠葡萄糖共转运体 2 抑制剂进行四联疗法的基础上,对已确诊充血的选定高血压患者实施以(Na+)为靶点的干预措施势在必行,这能显著改善预后。以(Na+)为靶点的治疗效果有限,部分原因可能是目前衡量高血压严重程度的指标在预见和避免充血发作以及指导以(Na+)为靶点的治疗方面能力有限,这往往会导致猝死,对预后产生不利影响。最近的证据表明,定点尿钠测量可作为慢性和急性心房颤动患者监测(Na+)靶向干预的指南。此外,(Na+)储存的经典(2)室模型已被强调(Na+)非渗透性蓄积的(3)室模型所取代,后者主要在皮肤中蓄积。23(Na+)磁共振成像(MRI)可对组织(Na+)进行准确可靠的量化。另一种有望实现组织(Na+)监测的方法是采用离子选择性电极检测电解质(包括(Na+)和(Cl-))的可穿戴设备。毫无疑问,还需要利用 23(Na+)-MRI 技术和可穿戴传感器开展进一步研究,以进一步了解组织 (Na+) 储存的临床意义以及与 (Na+) 相关的高血压发病和死亡机制。
{"title":"Targeting Sodium in Heart Failure.","authors":"Filippos Triposkiadis, Andrew Xanthopoulos, John Skoularigis","doi":"10.3390/jpm14101064","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/jpm14101064","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>A dominant event determining the course of heart failure (HF) includes the disruption of the delicate sodium (Na<sup>+</sup>) and water balance leading to (Na<sup>+</sup>) and water retention and edema formation. Although incomplete decongestion adversely affects outcomes, it is unknown whether interventions directly targeting (Na<sup>+</sup>), such as strict dietary (Na<sup>+</sup>) restriction, intravenous hypertonic saline, and diuretics, reverse this effect. As a result, it is imperative to implement (Na<sup>+</sup>)-targeting interventions in selected HF patients with established congestion on top of quadruple therapy with angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor, β-adrenergic receptor blocker, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist, and sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, which dramatically improves outcomes. The limited effectiveness of (Na<sup>+</sup>)-targeting treatments may be partly due to the fact that the current metrics of HF severity have a limited capacity of foreseeing and averting episodes of congestion and guiding (Na<sup>+</sup>)-targeting treatments, which often leads to dysnatremias, adversely affecting outcomes. Recent evidence suggests that spot urinary sodium measurements may be used as a guide to monitor (Na<sup>+</sup>)-targeting interventions both in chronic and acute HF. Further, the classical (2)-compartment model of (Na<sup>+</sup>) storage has been displaced by the (3)-compartment model emphasizing the non-osmotic accumulation of (Na<sup>+</sup>), chiefly in the skin. 23(Na<sup>+</sup>) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) enables the accurate and reliable quantification of tissue (Na<sup>+</sup>). Another promising approach enabling tissue (Na<sup>+</sup>) monitoring is based on wearable devices employing ion-selective electrodes for electrolyte detection, including (Na<sup>+</sup>) and (Cl<sup>-</sup>). Undoubtably, further studies using 23(Na<sup>+</sup>)-MRI technology and wearable sensors are required to learn more about the clinical significance of tissue (Na<sup>+</sup>) storage and (Na<sup>+</sup>)-related mechanisms of morbidity and mortality in HF.</p>","PeriodicalId":16722,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Personalized Medicine","volume":"14 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11508519/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142502476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
New Challenges and Perspectives in Neurology and Autonomic Disorders: A Leap Forward. 神经病学和自律神经失调的新挑战与新视角:飞跃发展。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101063
Svetlana Blitshteyn, Ilene Ruhoy

"Nothing in life is to be feared, it is only to be understood [...].

"生活中没有什么是可怕的,可怕的是不了解[......]。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial Intelligence and Advanced Technology in Glaucoma: A Review. 人工智能和先进技术在青光眼中的应用:综述。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101062
Emanuele Tonti, Sofia Tonti, Flavia Mancini, Chiara Bonini, Leopoldo Spadea, Fabiana D'Esposito, Caterina Gagliano, Mutali Musa, Marco Zeppieri

Background: Glaucoma is a leading cause of irreversible blindness worldwide, necessitating precise management strategies tailored to individual patient characteristics. Artificial intelligence (AI) holds promise in revolutionizing the approach to glaucoma care by providing personalized interventions.

Aim: This review explores the current landscape of AI applications in the personalized management of glaucoma patients, highlighting advancements, challenges, and future directions.

Methods: A systematic search of electronic databases, including PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science, was conducted to identify relevant studies published up to 2024. Studies exploring the use of AI techniques in personalized management strategies for glaucoma patients were included.

Results: The review identified diverse AI applications in glaucoma management, ranging from early detection and diagnosis to treatment optimization and prognosis prediction. Machine learning algorithms, particularly deep learning models, demonstrated high accuracy in diagnosing glaucoma from various imaging modalities such as optical coherence tomography (OCT) and visual field tests. AI-driven risk stratification tools facilitated personalized treatment decisions by integrating patient-specific data with predictive analytics, enhancing therapeutic outcomes while minimizing adverse effects. Moreover, AI-based teleophthalmology platforms enabled remote monitoring and timely intervention, improving patient access to specialized care.

Conclusions: Integrating AI technologies in the personalized management of glaucoma patients holds immense potential for optimizing clinical decision-making, enhancing treatment efficacy, and mitigating disease progression. However, challenges such as data heterogeneity, model interpretability, and regulatory concerns warrant further investigation. Future research should focus on refining AI algorithms, validating their clinical utility through large-scale prospective studies, and ensuring seamless integration into routine clinical practice to realize the full benefits of personalized glaucoma care.

背景:青光眼是导致全球不可逆失明的主要原因之一,因此需要针对患者个体特征制定精确的管理策略。人工智能(AI)有望通过提供个性化干预彻底改变青光眼治疗方法。目的:本综述探讨了目前人工智能在青光眼患者个性化管理中的应用情况,重点介绍了人工智能的进步、挑战和未来发展方向:对电子数据库(包括PubMed、Scopus和Web of Science)进行了系统检索,以确定截至2024年发表的相关研究。结果:综述发现了人工智能在青光眼患者个性化管理策略中的多种应用:综述发现了人工智能在青光眼管理中的各种应用,从早期检测和诊断到治疗优化和预后预测。机器学习算法,尤其是深度学习模型,在通过光学相干断层扫描(OCT)和视野测试等各种成像模式诊断青光眼方面表现出很高的准确性。人工智能驱动的风险分层工具通过将患者特定数据与预测分析相结合,促进了个性化治疗决策,在提高治疗效果的同时最大限度地减少了不良反应。此外,基于人工智能的远程眼科平台实现了远程监控和及时干预,提高了患者获得专业护理的机会:将人工智能技术整合到青光眼患者的个性化管理中,在优化临床决策、提高治疗效果和缓解疾病进展方面具有巨大潜力。然而,数据异质性、模型可解释性和监管问题等挑战值得进一步研究。未来的研究应侧重于完善人工智能算法,通过大规模前瞻性研究验证其临床实用性,并确保无缝集成到常规临床实践中,以实现个性化青光眼治疗的全部益处。
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引用次数: 0
Determination of Quality Indicators for Microvascular Grafts in Cranio-Maxillofacial Surgery-A Retrospective Analysis of 251 Free Flaps. 颅颌面外科微血管移植质量指标的确定--对 251 个游离皮瓣的回顾性分析。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101061
Henriette Louise Moellmann, Nadia Karnatz, Ilkan Degirmenci, Majeed Rana

Background: The use of microvascular grafts is the gold standard in oral and maxillofacial surgery for the reconstruction of soft tissue and bony and combined defects. Graft loss is one of the most serious complications in the field of reconstructive surgery. A comprehensive analysis of factors influencing this is, therefore, essential.

Methods: This hypothesis-generating study analyzed 251 patient cases of oral and maxillofacial surgery at the University Hospital Düsseldorf from 2016 to 2020 regarding patient- and therapy-specific parameters for their impact on graft survival.

Results: Statistically significant influencing factors were found among the 80 parameters examined: treatment with antiplatelet medication and a BMI ≥ 24.5 at the time of surgery had a positive influence on graft survival, while existing diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, tracheostomy, and a longer operation time had a statistically relevant negative influence.

Conclusions: This work demonstrates the relevance of patient-specific risk stratification and the need for further research to develop a valid risk profile. Identifying high-risk patients with medium-sized defects, where alternatives to microvascular reconstruction are available, appears to be crucial for the clinical outcome.

背景:使用微血管移植物是口腔颌面外科重建软组织和骨性及合并缺损的金标准。移植物脱落是整形外科领域最严重的并发症之一。因此,全面分析影响因素至关重要:这项假设性研究分析了杜塞尔多夫大学医院 2016 年至 2020 年期间 251 例口腔颌面外科患者的患者和治疗特异性参数对移植物存活率的影响:在研究的80个参数中发现了具有统计学意义的影响因素:抗血小板药物治疗和手术时体重指数≥24.5对移植物存活率有积极影响,而存在糖尿病、心房颤动、气管切开术和较长的手术时间则具有统计学意义的消极影响:这项研究表明了对患者进行特异性风险分层的重要性,以及进一步研究建立有效风险档案的必要性。在有微血管重建替代方案的情况下,识别中等大小缺损的高风险患者似乎对临床结果至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Rojas-Peña et al. Individualized Transcriptional Resolution of Complicated Malaria in a Colombian Study. J. Pers. Med. 2018, 8, 29. 更正:Rojas-Peña 等人.哥伦比亚研究中并发疟疾的个体化转录解决方法.J. Pers.J. Pers.Med.2018, 8, 29.
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101060
Mónica L Rojas-Peña, Meixue Duan, Dalia Arafat, Lina Rengifo, Socrates Herrera, Myriam Arévalo-Herrera, Greg Gibson

In the original publication [...].

在最初的出版物中 [......] 。
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引用次数: 0
A 5-Year Mortality Prediction Model for Prostate Cancer Patients Based on the Korean Nationwide Health Insurance Claims Database. 基于韩国全国健康保险索赔数据库的前列腺癌患者 5 年死亡率预测模型。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101058
Joungyoun Kim, Yong-Hoon Kim, Yong-June Kim, Hee-Taik Kang

Background: Prostate cancer is the fourth most common cancer and eighth leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Its incidence is increasing in South Korea. This study aimed to investigate a predictive model for the 5-year survival probability of prostate cancer patients in a Korean primary care setting.

Method: This retrospective study used data from the nationwide insurance claims database. The main outcome was survival probability 5 years after the initial diagnosis of prostate cancer. Potential confounding factors such as age, body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, laboratory results, lifestyle behaviors, household income, and comorbidity index were considered. These variables were available in the national health check-up information. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to develop the predictive model. The predictive performance was calculated based on the mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) after 10-fold cross-validation.

Results: The mean 5-year survival probability was 82.0%. Age, fasting glucose and gamma-glutamyl transferase levels, current smoking, and multiple comorbidities were positively associated with mortality, whereas BMI, alkaline phosphatase levels, total cholesterol levels, alcohol intake, physical activity, and household income were inversely associated with mortality. The mean AUC after 10-fold cross-validation was 0.71.

Conclusions: The 5-year survival probability model showed a moderately good predictive performance. This may be useful in predicting the survival probability of prostate cancer patients in primary care settings. When interpreting these results, potential limitations, such as selection or healthy user biases, should be considered.

背景:前列腺癌是全球第四大最常见的癌症,也是导致癌症相关死亡的第八大原因。其发病率在韩国呈上升趋势。本研究旨在调查韩国初级医疗机构中前列腺癌患者 5 年生存概率的预测模型:这项回顾性研究使用了全国保险理赔数据库中的数据。主要结果是前列腺癌初次诊断后 5 年的生存概率。研究考虑了潜在的混杂因素,如年龄、体重指数(BMI)、血压、化验结果、生活行为、家庭收入和合并症指数。这些变量均可从国民健康体检信息中获得。预测模型采用 Cox 比例危险回归模型。预测效果根据 10 倍交叉验证后的接收者操作特征曲线下的平均面积(AUC)进行计算:结果:平均 5 年生存概率为 82.0%。年龄、空腹血糖和γ-谷氨酰转移酶水平、目前吸烟和多种并发症与死亡率呈正相关,而体重指数、碱性磷酸酶水平、总胆固醇水平、酒精摄入量、体力活动和家庭收入与死亡率呈反相关。10倍交叉验证后的平均AUC为0.71:5年生存概率模型显示出中等水平的预测性能。这可能有助于预测初级医疗机构中前列腺癌患者的生存概率。在解释这些结果时,应考虑到潜在的局限性,如选择或健康用户偏差。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of Fetal Death in Preterm Preeclampsia Using Fetal Sex, Placental Growth Factor and Gestational Age. 利用胎儿性别、胎盘生长因子和妊娠年龄预测早产子痫前期的胎儿死亡。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14101059
Blanca Novillo-Del Álamo, Alicia Martínez-Varea, Carmen Sánchez-Arco, Elisa Simarro-Suárez, Iker González-Blanco, Mar Nieto-Tous, José Morales-Roselló

Background/objectives: Preeclampsia (PE) is a systemic disease that affects 4.6% of pregnancies. Despite the existence of a first-trimester screening for the prediction of preterm PE, no consensus exists regarding neither the right moment to end the pregnancy nor the appropriate variables to estimate the prognosis. The objective of this study was to obtain a prediction model for perinatal death in patients with preterm PE, useful for clinical practice.

Methods: Singleton pregnant women with PE and preterm delivery were included in an observational retrospective study. Multiple maternal and fetal variables were collected, and several multivariable logistic regression analyses were applied to construct models to predict perinatal death, selecting the most accurate and reproducible according to the highest area under the curve (AUC) and the lowest Akaike Information Criteria (AIC).

Results: A group of 148 pregnant women were included, and 18 perinatal deaths were registered. Univariable logistic regression selected as statistically significant variables the following: gestational age (GA) at admission, fetal sex, poor response to antihypertensive drugs, PlGF, umbilical artery (UA) pulsatility index (PI), cerebroplacental ratio (CPR), and absent/reversed ductus venosus (DV). The multivariable model, including all these parameters, presented an AUC of 0.95 and an AIC of 76.5. However, a model including only GA and fetal sex presented a similar accuracy with the highest simplicity (AUC 0.93, AIC 67.6). Finally, in fetuses with a similar GA, fetal death became dependent on PlGF and fetal sex, underlying the role of fetal sex in all circumstances.

Conclusions: Female fetal sex and low PlGF are notorious predictors of perinatal death in preterm PE, only surpassed by early GA at birth.

背景/目的:子痫前期(PE)是一种全身性疾病,影响 4.6% 的妊娠。尽管有预测先兆子痫的首胎筛查,但对于结束妊娠的正确时机和估计预后的适当变量,目前还没有达成共识。本研究的目的是获得早产 PE 患者围产期死亡的预测模型,以用于临床实践:方法:一项观察性回顾研究纳入了患有早产 PE 的单胎孕妇。收集了多种母体和胎儿变量,并应用多种多变量逻辑回归分析建立围产期死亡预测模型,根据最高的曲线下面积(AUC)和最低的阿凯克信息标准(AIC)选择最准确和可重复的模型:共纳入148名孕妇,登记了18例围产期死亡。单变量逻辑回归选取了以下具有统计学意义的变量:入院时胎龄(GA)、胎儿性别、对降压药物反应差、PlGF、脐动脉(UA)搏动指数(PI)、脑-胎盘比值(CPR)和缺失/倒置的静脉导管(DV)。包括所有这些参数的多变量模型的 AUC 为 0.95,AIC 为 76.5。然而,仅包括 GA 和胎儿性别的模型具有相似的准确性和最高的简易性(AUC 0.93,AIC 67.6)。最后,在具有相似GA的胎儿中,胎儿死亡取决于PlGF和胎儿性别,这说明胎儿性别在所有情况下都起作用:结论:女性胎儿性别和低PlGF是早产PE围产儿死亡的恶性预测因素,仅次于早产GA。
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Journal of Personalized Medicine
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