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The Research of Household Probability Distribution and Trip Production Forecast Based on Trip Characteristics of Household 基于住户出行特征的住户概率分布及出行产出预测研究
Pub Date : 2009-01-05 DOI: 10.1061/40996(330)604
Xianghai Meng, Lai Zheng, Lei Zhang
This paper apply cluster analysis cross classification probability method and otherwise theory method to research the trip production forecast and household probability distribution model based on trip characteristics of household. Firstly, this text analyzes the actual family survey datum of Jinzhou city to confirm the elementary kinds of family. Then, use hierachical clustering methods to analyze that, can reduce the kinds of family and the workload of research the different kinds of family's trip characteristics, when applied in research the household probability distribution model that avoid the issue of use cross classification at before. Based on the study, finally constitute the household probability distribution model and applied to forecast the trip production.
本文运用聚类分析、交叉分类概率方法和其他理论方法,研究了基于农户出行特征的农户出行产量预测和农户概率分布模型。本文首先对锦州市的实际家庭调查数据进行分析,确定家庭的基本种类。然后,利用层次聚类方法分析,可以减少研究不同种类家庭出行特征的工作量,在应用于研究家庭概率分布模型时,避免了以往使用交叉分类的问题。在此基础上,最后构建了住户概率分布模型,并应用于出行产量的预测。
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Science and Technology of West China
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