Pub Date : 1900-01-01DOI: 10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0067
J. André, Morgane Daudier
{"title":"Remise du prix Prud'homme 2022 à Audrey Delpech","authors":"J. André, Morgane Daudier","doi":"10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0067","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114079665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fin février 2019 : douceur exceptionnelle et sécheresse en Méditerranée","authors":"Michaël Kreitz","doi":"10.4267/2042/70161","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4267/2042/70161","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"168 6","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120891045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1900-01-01DOI: 10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0045
Régis Juvanon du Vachat
{"title":"Les paysans face au chaos climatique / par Gilles Luneau","authors":"Régis Juvanon du Vachat","doi":"10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0045","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0045","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121244890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1900-01-01DOI: 10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0042
Jacques Treiner, François-Marie Bréon
L'anticipation du changement climatique et le choix des politiques climatiques reposent en partie sur les scénarios d'émissions de gaz à effet de serre utilisés par le Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat (Giec). Dans le présent article, nous évaluons les émissions possibles de dioxyde de carbone au cours du XXIe siècle à l'aune des réserves mondiales de combustibles fossiles provenant de deux sources : d'une part, le World energy outlook de l'Agence internationale de l'énergie et le Statistical review of world energy de British Petroleum ; d'autre part, l'extrapolation des données de production passées à l'aide du modèle de Hubbert. Dans les deux cas, le volume de ces réserves n'est pas compatible avec les trajectoires les plus émissives considérées par le Giec et limite le réchauffement global à un maximum d'environ 3 °C d'ici à 2100. En outre, la diminution attendue de la disponibilité en pétrole et en gaz naturel rend crucial, du point de vue de la dynamique économique de nos sociétés, le développement de ressources énergétiques non carbonées. The anticipation of climate change as well as climate policies are partly based on the greenhouse gas emission scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In this study, we assess the potential emissions of carbon dioxide over the 21st century against the world's fossil fuel reserves coming from two sources: first, International Energy Agency's World energy outlook and BP's Statistical review of world energy; second, an extrapolation of production data using Hubbert's model. In both cases, the volume of these estimated reserves is not compatible with the most emissive trajectories considered by the IPCC and limits global warming to a maximum of about 3 °C by 2100. Besides, the expected decrease in the availability of oil and natural gas makes the development of decarbonated energy resources crucial for the economic dynamics of our societies.
气候变化预测和气候政策选择部分基于政府间气候变化专门委员会(ipcc)使用的温室气体排放情景。在本文中,我们看重的二氧化碳排放量可能在二十一世纪世界化石燃料储量的评判两个来源:一方面,国际能源署(international energy agency)的世界能源展望》和《British Petroleum Statistical review of World energy);另一方面，使用Hubbert模型对过去的生产数据进行外推。在这两种情况下，这些储量的数量都与ipcc考虑的最排放路径不相容，并将全球变暖限制在2100年左右的最大值。此外，石油和天然气供应的预期减少使得开发非碳能源对我们社会的经济动态至关重要。气候变化预测和气候政策部分基于政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)使用的温室气体排放情景。在本研究中，我们评估了来自两个来源的21世纪全球化石燃料储备中二氧化碳的潜在排放量:第一，国际能源机构的《世界能源展望》和bp的《世界能源统计评论》;第二，利用hubbert模型对生产数据进行外推。在这两种情况下，这些估计储量的数量与气专委所考虑的最排放路径不一致，并将全球变暖限制在2100年以前的最高约3°C。此外，石油和天然气供应的预期减少使低碳能源的开发对我们社会的经济动态至关重要。
{"title":"Les scénarios les plus extrêmes considérés par le Giec sont-ils réalistes ?","authors":"Jacques Treiner, François-Marie Bréon","doi":"10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0042","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0042","url":null,"abstract":"L'anticipation du changement climatique et le choix des politiques climatiques reposent en partie sur les scénarios d'émissions de gaz à effet de serre utilisés par le Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat (Giec). Dans le présent article, nous évaluons les émissions possibles de dioxyde de carbone au cours du XXIe siècle à l'aune des réserves mondiales de combustibles fossiles provenant de deux sources : d'une part, le World energy outlook de l'Agence internationale de l'énergie et le Statistical review of world energy de British Petroleum ; d'autre part, l'extrapolation des données de production passées à l'aide du modèle de Hubbert. Dans les deux cas, le volume de ces réserves n'est pas compatible avec les trajectoires les plus émissives considérées par le Giec et limite le réchauffement global à un maximum d'environ 3 °C d'ici à 2100. En outre, la diminution attendue de la disponibilité en pétrole et en gaz naturel rend crucial, du point de vue de la dynamique économique de nos sociétés, le développement de ressources énergétiques non carbonées.\u0000 The anticipation of climate change as well as climate policies are partly based on the greenhouse gas emission scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In this study, we assess the potential emissions of carbon dioxide over the 21st century against the world's fossil fuel reserves coming from two sources: first, International Energy Agency's World energy outlook and BP's Statistical review of world energy; second, an extrapolation of production data using Hubbert's model. In both cases, the volume of these estimated reserves is not compatible with the most emissive trajectories considered by the IPCC and limits global warming to a maximum of about 3 °C by 2100. Besides, the expected decrease in the availability of oil and natural gas makes the development of decarbonated energy resources crucial for the economic dynamics of our societies.","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"147 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116256285","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1900-01-01DOI: 10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0002
M. Sorel, Simon Mittelberger, Christine Berne, A. Ribes
{"title":"Bilan climatique de l'année 2022","authors":"M. Sorel, Simon Mittelberger, Christine Berne, A. Ribes","doi":"10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37053/lameteorologie-2023-0002","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116672467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 1900-01-01DOI: 10.37053/lameteorologie-2020-0102
Météo-France DClim
{"title":"Juin à août 2020","authors":"Météo-France DClim","doi":"10.37053/lameteorologie-2020-0102","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37053/lameteorologie-2020-0102","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123781907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Captage du CO2 : état des lieux en France et à l'étranger","authors":"O. Boucher","doi":"10.4267/2042/70359","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4267/2042/70359","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"41 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"113938882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"19e Forum international de la Météo et du Climat","authors":"Morgane Daudier, Christian Vannier","doi":"10.4267/2042/60699","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4267/2042/60699","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"208 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122459371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie : une vie face à l'histoire / par Stefan Lemny","authors":"M. Pépin","doi":"10.4267/2042/69791","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4267/2042/69791","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169583,"journal":{"name":"La Météorologie","volume":"158 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122733970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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