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Stochastic Mixed-Effects Parameters Bertalanffy Process, with Applications to Tree Growth Modeling 随机混合效应参数Bertalanffy过程,及其在树木生长建模中的应用
Pub Date : 2015-01-20 DOI: 10.1155/2015/375270
P. Rupšys, E. Petrauskas
A stochastic modeling approach based on the Bertalanffy law gained interest due to its ability to produce more accurate results than the deterministic approaches. Additionally, the stochastic differential equation (SDE) method provides more sophisticated mathematical analysis tools compared to regression approaches. We examine tree crown width dynamic with the Bertalanffy type SDE and mixed-effects parameters. In this study, we demonstrate how this simple model can be used to calculate predictions of  crown width. This model allows us to estimate the parameters by considering discrete sampling of the diameter at breast height and crown width and by using maximum likelihood procedure. In this paper, we propose a parameter estimation method and computational guidelines. Performance statistics for the crown width equation include statistical indexes, Shapiro-Wilk test, normal probability plot and analysis of residuals. We use data provided by the Lithuanian National Forest Inventory from Scots pine trees to illustrate issues our modeling technique.
基于Bertalanffy定律的随机建模方法由于能够产生比确定性方法更准确的结果而引起了人们的兴趣。此外,与回归方法相比,随机微分方程(SDE)方法提供了更复杂的数学分析工具。我们用Bertalanffy型SDE和混合效应参数检查树冠宽度动态。在这项研究中,我们展示了如何使用这个简单的模型来计算冠宽的预测。该模型允许我们通过考虑乳房高度和冠宽直径的离散采样并使用最大似然程序来估计参数。本文提出了一种参数估计方法和计算准则。冠宽方程的性能统计包括统计指标、Shapiro-Wilk检验、正态概率图和残差分析。我们使用立陶宛国家森林清单提供的苏格兰松树数据来说明我们的建模技术问题。
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引用次数: 14
Geochemical Partitioning of Some Heavy Metals in Bottom Sediment of River Delimi in Jos, Nigeria 尼日利亚乔斯Delimi河底泥中重金属的地球化学分配
Pub Date : 2014-09-29 DOI: 10.22161/IJEAB/3.3.23
A. Sabo, A. Gani, A. Ibrahim
The determination of total metal content is usually insufficient to fully assess the environmental impacts of contaminated sediments. In order to differentiate metals of lithogenic from those of anthropogenic origins and assess their bioavailability and potential toxicity, detailed information on their partitioning to various geochemical fractions of the sediment is necessary. In recent times there has been alot of concern on the rate at which River Delimi ecosystem deteriorates as it passes through Jos city. This study was aimed at determining the geochemical partitioning of Cd, Cu, Pb and Zn in River Delimi sediment with a view to determining the extent to which they might be remobilized and affect the quality of the river ecosystem. The study was conducted at three sites along River Delimi and one control site at Lamingo Dam, all within Jos city. The total metals in sediment were extracted using aqua-regia. A five-step sequential extraction procedure was used to determine the partitioning of the metals into different geochemical fractions of the sediment. The metals extracted were determined using Atomic Absorption Spectrophotometer (AAS). The total metals in sediment were generally higher at the study compared to the control site. The mean values of Cd in sediment (1.330mg/kg, 1.515mg/kg, 1.301mg/kg and 0.900mg/kg) respectively for stations I, II, III and IV were all above the limit of 0.68mg/kg recommended by USEPA. Sediment samples obtained from River Delimi had more metals associated with the non-residual fractions compared to those from Lamingo Dam. The high amount of these metals recovered in non – residual fractions means that the metals are in potentially available forms and could pose a serious threat to the river ecosystem. Measures should therefore be put in place by the relevant authorities to curtail indiscriminate dumping of domestic wastes and discharge of industrials effluents into the river.
金属总含量的测定通常不足以全面评价污染沉积物的环境影响。为了区分岩石成因和人为成因的金属,并评估它们的生物利用度和潜在毒性,必须详细了解它们在沉积物中不同地球化学组分的分配情况。近年来,人们对德莱米河流经乔斯市时生态系统恶化的速度感到非常担忧。本研究旨在确定定界河沉积物中Cd、Cu、Pb和Zn的地球化学分配,以确定它们在多大程度上可能被重新激活并影响河流生态系统的质量。该研究在沿Delimi河的三个地点和Lamingo大坝的一个对照地点进行,均在乔斯市。采用王水法提取沉积物中的总金属。采用五步顺序提取程序来确定金属在沉积物中不同地球化学组分中的分配。采用原子吸收分光光度法(AAS)测定提取的金属。研究区沉积物中总金属含量普遍高于对照区。1、2、3、4站沉积物中Cd的平均值分别为1.330mg/kg、1.515mg/kg、1.301mg/kg和0.900mg/kg,均超过USEPA建议的0.68mg/kg限值。与拉明戈大坝的沉积物样品相比,从德莱穆河获得的沉积物样品中含有更多与非残留组分相关的金属。这些金属以非残留部分的形式大量回收,意味着这些金属以潜在的可用形式存在,可能对河流生态系统构成严重威胁。因此,有关当局应采取措施,制止不加区分地倾倒生活废物和向河中排放工业废水。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Selcuk University Natural and Applied Science
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