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Assessing Water Management Strategies under Water Scarcity in the Mexican Portion of the Colorado River Basin 科罗拉多河流域墨西哥部分缺水情况下的水管理策略评估
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-5985
Astrid Hernández-Cruz, S. Sandoval‐Solis, L. Mendoza-Espinosa, J. Ramírez-Hernández, J. Medellín-Azuara, L. W. Daesslé
: The water management of the Colorado River is at a tipping point. This paper describes water management strategies in the Mexican portion of the Colorado River Basin considering water scarcity scenarios. A water allocation model was constructed representing current and future water demands and supply. The Colorado River system in Mexican territory is used as a case study, and all its water demands are characterized [Irrigation District Rio Colorado (DR-014), Mexicali, San Luis Rio Colorado, Tecate, Tijuana-Rosarito, and Ensenada]. Individual strategies were run by subsystem and then their impact was analyzed systemwide. Performance criteria and a performance-based sustainability index were evaluated to identify water stressors and management strategies to improve water supply for agricultural, urban, and environmental users. Analysis of results shows that the irrigation district (DR-014) is the most affected user due to water cuts because it has the lowest priority and, thus, any reduction in Colorado River allocations affects them directly. A range of water management strategies was investigated, including a no-action scenario. The current system depends on the long-term aquifer overdraft to supply water demand. The reduction of the cultivated area was the strategy that increased the sustainability index the most for DR-014. Agricultural to urban transfers, water use efficiency, wastewater reuse, and desalination are prime possibilities to improve the current water supply in the coastal zone (Tijuana, Rosarito, Ensenada). This research shows the spectrum of possible outcomes that could be expected, ranging from systemwide effects of inaction to the implementation of a portfolio of water
:科罗拉多河的水资源管理正处于临界点。本文描述了考虑缺水情况的科罗拉多河流域墨西哥部分的水管理策略。构建了一个代表当前和未来水需求和供水的水资源分配模型。以墨西哥境内的科罗拉多河系统为例,对其所有需水量进行了表征[科罗拉多河灌溉区(DR-014)、墨西卡利、科罗拉多河圣路易斯、特卡特、蒂华纳-罗萨里托和恩塞纳达]。各个策略由子系统运行,然后在全系统范围内分析其影响。评估了绩效标准和基于绩效的可持续性指数,以确定水压力源和管理策略,从而改善农业、城市和环境用户的供水。结果分析表明,由于缺水,灌溉区(DR-014)是受影响最大的用户,因为它的优先级最低,因此,科罗拉多河分配的任何减少都会直接影响他们。调查了一系列水资源管理策略,包括不采取行动的情况。目前的系统依赖于长期的含水层超负荷来满足用水需求。减少耕地面积是DR-014提高可持续性指数最多的策略。农业向城市的转移、用水效率、废水再利用和海水淡化是改善沿海地区(蒂华纳、罗萨里托、恩塞纳达)现有供水的主要可能性。这项研究显示了可以预期的一系列可能结果,从不作为的全系统影响到水资源组合的实施
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引用次数: 1
Stochastic Multistage Multiobjective Water Allocation with Hedging Rules for Multireservoir Systems 多水库系统多阶段随机多目标套期保值水量分配
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-5950
Mingsheng Yang, G. Bayraksan
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引用次数: 0
Isolation Valve Placement Strategy for Resilience Improvement of Water Distribution Systems 提高配水系统弹性的隔离阀布置策略
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-5933
Renjie Wu, K. Soga
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引用次数: 0
Operationalizing Real-Time Monitoring Data in Simulation Models Using the Public Domain HEC-DSSVue Software Platform 使用公共域HEC DSSVue软件平台在仿真模型中操作实时监测数据
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-5728
V. Tran, Stefanie Helmrich, N. Quinn, Peggy A. O'Day
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引用次数: 0
Lake Impoundment in Advance of Post-Flood Period Based on Large-Scale Numerical Simulation 基于大尺度数值模拟的后汛期湖泊蓄水
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-5811
Can Cui, Z. Dong, Yun Luo, Yalei Han, Tianyan Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Unraveling the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic Dynamics on Commercial Water-Use Variation 揭示COVID-19大流行动态对商业用水变化的影响
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-5940
Fuzhi Shu, Haixing Liu, G. Fu, Siao Sun, Yu Li, Wei Ding, Jian Wu, Huicheng Zhou, Yongqin Yuan, Junguo He, Lingduo Zhang
Water use was impacted significantly by the COVID-19 pandemic. Although previous studies quantitatively investigated the effects of COVID-19 on water use, the relationship between water-use variation and COVID-19 dynamics (i.e., the spatial-temporal characteristics of COVID-19 cases) has received less attention. This study developed a two-step methodology to unravel the impact of COVID-19 pandemic dynamics on water-use variation. First, using a water-use prediction model, the water-use change percentage (WUCP) indicator, which was calculated as the relative difference between modeled and observed water use, i.e., water-use variation, was used to quantify the COVID-19 effects on water use. Second, two indicators, i.e., the number of existing confirmed cases (NECC) and the spatial risk index (SRI), were applied to characterize pandemic dynamics, and the quantitative relationship between WUCP and pandemic dynamics was examined by means of regression analysis. We collected and analyzed 6-year commercial water-use data from smart meters of Zhongshan District in Dalian City, Northeast China. The results indicate that commercial water use decreased significantly, with an average WUCP of 59.4%, 54.4%, and 45.7%during the three pandemic waves, respectively, in Dalian. Regression analysis showed that there was a positive linear relationship between water-use changes (i.e., WUCP) and pandemic dynamics (i.e., NECC and SRI). Both the number of COVID-19 cases and their spatial distribution impacted commercial water use, and the effects were weakened by restriction strategy improvement, and the accumulation of experience and knowledge about COVID-19. This study provides an in-depth understanding of the impact of COVID-19 dynamics on commercial water use. The results can be used to help predict water demand under during future pandemic periods or other types of natural and human-made disturbance.
新冠肺炎疫情对用水产生了重大影响。尽管先前的研究定量调查了新冠肺炎对用水的影响,但用水变化与新冠肺炎动态之间的关系(即新冠肺炎病例的时空特征)较少受到关注。这项研究开发了一种分两步的方法来揭示新冠肺炎大流行动态对用水变化的影响。首先,使用水资源利用预测模型,将水资源利用变化百分比(WUCP)指标用于量化新冠肺炎对水资源利用的影响,该指标被计算为建模和观测的水资源利用之间的相对差异,即水资源利用变化。其次,应用现有确诊病例数(NECC)和空间风险指数(SRI)两个指标来表征疫情动态,并通过回归分析检验WUCP与疫情动态之间的定量关系。我们收集并分析了大连市中山区智能水表6年的商业用水数据。结果表明,在三次疫情期间,大连市商业用水显著下降,平均WUCP分别为59.4%、54.4%和45.7%。回归分析表明,水资源利用变化(即WUCP)与疫情动态(即NECC和SRI)之间存在正线性关系。新冠肺炎病例数及其空间分布都影响了商业用水,限制策略的改进以及新冠肺炎经验和知识的积累削弱了这种影响。本研究深入了解了新冠肺炎动态对商业用水的影响。该结果可用于帮助预测未来疫情期间或其他类型的自然和人为干扰下的水需求。
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引用次数: 0
Reducing Water Age in Residential Premise Plumbing Systems 降低住宅水管系统的使用年限
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-5943
Sasha Schück, S. Díaz, K. Lansey
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引用次数: 0
Two-Stage Multiobjective Decision-Making Method Based on Agricultural Water-Energy-Food Nexus: Case Study in Hetao Irrigation District, China 基于农业水-能-粮关系的两阶段多目标决策方法——以河套灌区为例
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-5856
Gaiqiang Yang, Shuang Xia, L. Huo, Mo Li, Chenglong Zhang, Yuxin Su, D. Guo
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引用次数: 0
Supervised Machine Learning Approaches for Leak Localization in Water Distribution Systems: Impact of Complexities of Leak Characteristics 供水系统泄漏定位的监督机器学习方法:泄漏特征复杂性的影响
IF 3.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-6047
Lochan Basnet, Downey Brill, R. Ranjithan, K. Mahinthakumar
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引用次数: 1
Gradual Leak Detection in Water Distribution Networks Based on Multistep Forecasting Strategy 基于多步预测策略的配水管网逐步泄漏检测
3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-6001
Xi Wan, Raziyeh Farmani, Edward Keedwell
With the availability of real-time monitoring data, leakage detection for water distribution networks (WDNs) based on data-driven methods has received increasing attention in recent years. Accurate forecasts based on historical data could provide valuable information about the condition of the WDN, and abnormal events could be detected if the observed behavior is substantially different from the typical behavior. Therefore, an accurate forecast model is essential for prediction-based leakage detection methods. While most data-driven methods focus on burst detection, it is also important to develop an early warning system for gradual leakage events because they will cause more water loss due to a longer time to awareness. Therefore, a real-time early leakage detection technique based on a multistep forecasting strategy is proposed in this study. A multistep flow forecasting model is introduced to capture the diurnal, weekly, and seasonal patterns in the historical data. The generated multistep forecasting is further compared with the observed measurements, and residuals are calculated based on cosine distance. Based on the analysis of the residual vector, the gradual leakage event could be detected in a timely manner. The proposed method is applied to the L-town datasets containing one year of real-life flow monitoring data. The results prove the superiority of the proposed multistep prediction model-based method over the traditional one-step prediction model for gradual leakage detection. In addition, the results show that the proposed methodology can detect small gradual leakage events within just a few days while generating no false alarms. The method was further applied to a real-life network and showed consistent results.
随着实时监测数据的日益普及,基于数据驱动方法的配水管网泄漏检测受到越来越多的关注。基于历史数据的准确预测可以提供有关WDN状况的有价值的信息,如果观察到的行为与典型行为有很大不同,则可以检测到异常事件。因此,准确的预测模型对于基于预测的泄漏检测方法至关重要。虽然大多数数据驱动的方法都侧重于爆裂检测,但对于逐渐发生的泄漏事件,开发早期预警系统也很重要,因为由于意识到泄漏的时间较长,会导致更多的失水。因此,本研究提出了一种基于多步预测策略的实时泄漏早期检测技术。介绍了一种多步流量预测模型,以捕获历史数据中的日、周和季节模式。将生成的多步预测结果与观测值进行比较,并根据余弦距离计算残差。通过对残差向量的分析,可以及时检测到渐进式泄漏事件。将该方法应用于包含一年实际流量监测数据的L-town数据集。结果表明,基于多步预测模型的方法比传统的一步预测模型更适合于渐进式泄漏检测。此外,结果表明,所提出的方法可以在短短几天内检测到小的渐进式泄漏事件,并且不会产生假警报。将该方法进一步应用于实际网络,得到了一致的结果。
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Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
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