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Practical Applications of Adaptive Portfolios and the Power of Diversification 适应性投资组合的实际应用和多样化的力量
Pub Date : 2020-09-02 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.399
J. Vandenbroucke
Practical Applications Summary In Adaptive Portfolios and the Power of Diversification, in the August 2019 edition of The Journal of Investing, Jürgen Vandenbroucke of KBC Asset Management NV describes a discretionary method for portfolio management that addresses investor emotions at the individual, investment-product, and portfolio levels. By adding “a behavioral component to the prevailing risk-based paradigm,” he subscribes to the adaptive market hypothesis (Lo 2004), which concerns how individuals’ emotions may negate rational investment decision-making. Vandenbroucke highlights the common consequences of emotion-driven investing. He then proposes remedies in the areas of investor profiling, product positioning, and portfolio construction. He distinguishes between investor attitudes toward “risk,” as measured by the variance of returns, and “loss,” as measured in terms of an investment’s potential gain versus its potential losses. This amounts to operating beyond the confines of a classical mean–variance framework and considering the entire shape of the distribution of future returns (which may be non-normal). He differentiates among investment products along spectrums of mean versus variance and upside potential versus downside hazard. Finally, he shows how to weight selected investment products to align investors’ loss aversion with a balance between upside potential and downside risk in a portfolio. This weighting allows a portfolio to inhabit an investor’s “comfort zone” by adjusting its allocations as market conditions change. A customer-centered adaptive portfolio of this kind enhances diversification and can temper emotionally driven trading activity that would otherwise be a drag on performance. TOPICS: Wealth management, portfolio construction, statistical methods
在2019年8月出版的《投资杂志》上,KBC资产管理公司的j rgen Vandenbroucke在《适应性投资组合和多样化的力量》中的实际应用总结中描述了一种自由裁量的投资组合管理方法,该方法可以解决投资者在个人、投资产品和投资组合层面的情绪。通过将“行为成分添加到流行的基于风险的范式中”,他赞同适应性市场假说(Lo 2004),该假说关注个人情绪如何否定理性的投资决策。然后,他在投资者概况、产品定位和投资组合构建方面提出了补救措施。他区分了投资者对“风险”和“损失”的态度,前者是用回报的方差来衡量的,后者是用投资的潜在收益和潜在损失来衡量的。这相当于超越经典均值-方差框架的限制,考虑未来收益分布的整体形状(可能是非正态的)。他根据均值与方差、上行潜力与下行风险来区分投资产品。最后,他展示了如何权衡选定的投资产品,以使投资者的损失厌恶与投资组合中上行潜力和下行风险之间的平衡保持一致。这种权重使投资组合能够根据市场情况的变化调整其配置,从而进入投资者的“舒适区”。这种以客户为中心的适应性投资组合增强了多样化,可以缓和情绪驱动的交易活动,否则这些交易活动会拖累业绩。主题:财富管理、投资组合构建、统计方法
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of Impact Investing 2.0—Not Just for Do-Gooders Anymore 影响力投资2.0的实际应用——不再只适用于行善者
Pub Date : 2020-08-29 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.398
D. Lieberman
Practical Applications Summary In Impact Investing 2.0—Not Just for Do-Gooders Anymore, from the 2020 ESG special issue of The Journal of Investing, Diana Lieberman of DL Investment Consulting reviews the meaning and development of impact investing, including its two discrete evolutionary paths: philanthropy and investment. She describes how new investment prospects emerge from impact-oriented trends, in which “the drivers of the impact are integrated into creating the above-market return.” She calls this “impact investing 2.0.” Lieberman outlines spectrums comprising a range of return and impact objectives. Combined, the spectrums illustrate the traditional thinking about impact investing, which assumes an inevitable trade-off between the two objectives, and the new thinking about impact investing, to generate above-market returns through investment in the impact objective itself. Shrewd investors are realizing that incorporating ethical and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns into investment analyses can enhance returns, she notes—even as other investors fail to understand that social and economic shifts have future implications, and that creating a more sustainable world has intrinsic investment merit. This creates investment potential for those who grasp such profundities, and for investors who selectively incorporate impact elements into their due diligence and investment monitoring. TOPICS: ESG investing, portfolio theory, portfolio construction
来自DL投资咨询公司的Diana Lieberman在《投资杂志》2020年ESG特刊中回顾了影响力投资的意义和发展,包括其两条独立的进化路径:慈善和投资。她描述了新的投资前景是如何从以影响为导向的趋势中出现的,其中“影响的驱动因素被整合到创造高于市场的回报中。”她称之为“影响力投资2.0”。利伯曼概述了一系列回报和影响目标。结合起来,这些频谱说明了影响投资的传统思维,它假设两个目标之间不可避免的权衡,以及影响投资的新思维,通过投资于影响目标本身来产生高于市场的回报。她指出,精明的投资者正在意识到,将道德和环境、社会和治理(ESG)问题纳入投资分析可以提高回报——尽管其他投资者不明白社会和经济变化对未来的影响,也不明白创造一个更可持续的世界具有内在的投资价值。这为那些掌握这种深度的人创造了投资潜力,也为那些有选择地将影响因素纳入尽职调查和投资监督的投资者创造了投资潜力。主题:ESG投资、投资组合理论、投资组合构建
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of Using the Volatility Risk Premium to Mitigate the Next Financial Crisis 波动性风险溢价在缓解下一次金融危机中的实际应用
Pub Date : 2020-08-19 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.397
Weili Ge
Practical Applications Summary In Using the Volatility Risk Premium to Mitigate the Next Financial Crisis, from the Winter 2019 issue of the The Journal of Wealth Management, author Wei Ge (of Parametric Portfolio Associates LLC in Minneapolis) offers a new way to protect investment portfolios. The stock market has experienced a 10-year boom, and some investors expect a major bust soon. Ge suggests such investors adopt a volatility risk premium (VRP) strategy of writing options. One aspect of such a strategy involves writing put options. Writing puts with strike prices below current market prices lets VRP investors make money up front—and also limits their potential losses, since the stock prices must drop below the strike prices before the option writer must pay for an option holder’s shares. Ge demonstrates that portfolios using this strategy can perform well over the long term and would have lost far less than a pure stock portfolio during the financial crises between 1998 and 2011. Therefore, investors may wish to consider adopting such a strategy to protect themselves from losses. TOPICS: Analysis of individual factors/risk premia, financial crises and financial market history, performance measurement
《财富管理杂志》2019年冬季版《利用波动性风险溢价缓解下一次金融危机》的实际应用总结,作者魏格(明尼阿波利斯参数投资组合联合有限责任公司)提出了一种保护投资组合的新方法。股市经历了10年的繁荣,一些投资者预计很快就会出现大萧条。葛建议这类投资者采用波动性风险溢价(VRP)策略来撰写期权。这种策略的一个方面涉及卖出看跌期权。以低于当前市场价格的执行价格卖出看跌期权,可以让VRP投资者提前赚到钱,同时也限制了他们的潜在损失,因为股票价格必须低于执行价格,期权出售者才必须支付期权持有人的股票。葛证明,使用这种策略的投资组合可以在长期内表现良好,而且在1998年至2011年的金融危机期间,其损失远远小于纯股票投资组合。因此,投资者不妨考虑采用这种策略来保护自己免受损失。主题:个体因素/风险溢价分析,金融危机和金融市场历史,绩效评估
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of Markowitz Portfolios with Graham Bands in the Accumulation Phase 积累阶段马科维茨格雷厄姆波段投资组合的实际应用
Pub Date : 2020-08-12 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.396
P. Hagelstein, I. Lackner, J. Otto, A. Perona, R. Piziak
Practical Applications Summary In Markowitz Portfolios with Graham Bands in the Accumulation Phase, from the Winter 2019 issue of The Journal of Wealth Management, Paul Hagelstein, Isabella Lackner, James Otto, Austin Perona, and Robert Piziak, all of Baylor University, investigate the historical real returns of two types of portfolios: Markowitz portfolios and Markowitz portfolios with Graham bands. They find that historically, rebalancing never occurred more than once per 30-year period, and that rebalancing more often hurt than helped investor returns. Additionally, they find that investors never rebalanced from bonds into stocks in any of the 30-year periods. The authors conclude by suggesting that investors consider placing their bond allocations into less-liquid investment vehicles, such as the TIAA Traditional annuity, in order to generate greater returns. TOPICS: Portfolio theory, portfolio construction, wealth management
贝勒大学的Paul Hagelstein、Isabella Lackner、James Otto、Austin Perona和Robert Piziak研究了两种类型投资组合的历史实际回报:马科维茨投资组合和马科维茨投资组合。他们发现,从历史上看,再平衡从未超过每30年发生一次,而再平衡往往会损害而不是帮助投资者回报。此外,他们发现,在过去的30年里,投资者从未从债券转向股票进行再平衡。作者的结论是,建议投资者考虑将债券配置到流动性较低的投资工具中,如TIAA传统年金,以产生更大的回报。主题:投资组合理论、投资组合构建、财富管理
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of Smart Beta: The Good, the Bad, and the Muddy Smart Beta的实际应用:好的、坏的和混乱的
Pub Date : 2020-07-29 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.394
James White, Victor Haghani
Practical Applications Summary In Smart Beta: The Good, the Bad, and the Muddy, in the March 2020 edition of The Journal of Portfolio Management, James White and Victor Haghani, both of Elm Partners, discuss smart beta factor investing. They debate the merits of the most common smart beta approach: selecting securities based on factors for long-only equity portfolios. They ponder whether markets harbor enough specific risk-sensitivity differences among investors and/or pricing inefficiencies to make smart beta investing worthwhile for the typical investor, after accounting for the extra fees associated with such strategies. The authors observe that portfolios with factor exposure have generally offered higher risk-adjusted returns than market-cap-weighted indexes. But they caution that factor investing may not be all that it appears, noting that to the extent attractive returns arise from inefficiencies, these anomalies tend to dissipate over time. They suggest that if the explanation for returns is compensation for bearing undue risks, it is unlikely, though not impossible, that most investors would want to bear concentrated exposure to that risk beyond what they get by holding the market portfolio. Additionally, factor research in general is compromised by data issues such as periodic regime changes and complex relationships among data categories. With all this in mind, the authors suggest that for most investors, holding a cap-weighted portfolio is the preferred approach. TOPICS: Style investing, portfolio management/multi-asset allocation
在2020年3月版的《投资组合管理杂志》上,Elm Partners的James White和Victor Haghani讨论了智能Beta因素投资。他们讨论了最常见的聪明贝塔方法的优点:根据只做多的股票投资组合的因素来选择证券。他们考虑的是,考虑到与此类策略相关的额外费用,市场是否在投资者之间存在足够具体的风险敏感性差异和/或定价效率低下,从而使聪明的贝塔投资对普通投资者来说是值得的。作者观察到,与市值加权指数相比,具有因素敞口的投资组合通常提供更高的风险调整回报。但他们警告称,要素投资可能并非表面上的那样。他们指出,在某种程度上,有吸引力的回报源于效率低下,这些异常现象往往会随着时间的推移而消失。他们认为,如果回报的解释是对承担过度风险的补偿,那么大多数投资者不太可能(尽管并非不可能)愿意承担超出他们持有市场投资组合所获得的风险的集中敞口。此外,因子研究通常受到数据问题的影响,如周期性的制度变化和数据类别之间的复杂关系。考虑到这一切,作者建议,对于大多数投资者来说,持有市值加权的投资组合是首选的方法。主题:风格投资,投资组合管理/多资产配置
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of ESG Controversies and Their Impact on Performance ESG争议的实际应用及其对绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2020-07-22 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.393
Carmine de Franco
Practical Applications Summary In ESG Controversies and Their Impact on Performance, in the December 2019 issue of The Journal of Investing, Carmine de Franco of Ossiam analyzes how controversies over environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues affect stock performance. De Franco derives an aggregated controversy indicator from a subset of ESG markers, then uses it to categorize stocks as no, low, moderate, or high controversy. He constructs stock portfolios with equivalent controversy levels for Western Europe, the United States, and the Asia-Pacific region. His research reveals that in Europe and the United States, stocks of highly controversial companies significantly underperform both selected benchmarks and stocks of companies with little or no ESG-related controversy. In Asia-Pacific, however, stock markets appear to be less sensitive to such controversy. To probe this geographical divergence, De Franco plots performance along a “controversy effect curve” (CEC) to estimate average excess return of those stocks whose controversy levels change. Some pronounced patterns emerge. In Western Europe, unexpected deterioration in controversy levels is associated with negative returns. In the United States, regular downgrades of a company’s ESG profile degrade stock performance. Asia-Pacific is again an outlier, with no clear pattern between changes in ESG controversy levels and stock performance. TOPICS: Portfolio theory, portfolio construction, ESG investing
ESG争议及其对业绩影响的实际应用总结,在2019年12月的《投资杂志》上,Ossiam的Carmine de Franco分析了环境、社会和治理(ESG)问题的争议如何影响股票表现。De Franco从ESG指标的子集中得出一个综合争议指标,然后用它来对股票进行无争议、低争议、中等争议和高争议的分类。他为西欧、美国和亚太地区构建了具有同等争议程度的股票投资组合。他的研究表明,在欧洲和美国,备受争议的公司的股票表现明显低于选定的基准,以及很少或没有esg相关争议的公司的股票。然而,在亚太地区,股市似乎对此类争议不那么敏感。为了探究这种地域差异,De Franco沿着“争议效应曲线”(CEC)绘制了业绩图,以估计争议水平发生变化的股票的平均超额回报。出现了一些明显的模式。在西欧,争议程度的意外恶化与负回报有关。在美国,定期下调一家公司的ESG评级会降低其股票表现。亚太地区又是一个例外,ESG争议程度的变化与股票表现之间没有明显的规律。主题:投资组合理论、投资组合构建、ESG投资
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of Alternative Risk Premia: Is the Selection Process Important? 另类风险溢价的实际应用:选择过程重要吗?
Pub Date : 2020-07-15 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.392
Francesc Naya, Nils S. Tuchschmid
Practical Applications Summary In Alternative Risk Premia: Is the Selection Process Important?, from the Summer 2019 issue of The Journal of Wealth Management, authors Francesc Naya (of BDK Financial Group in Lisbon, Portugal) and Nils S. Tuchschmid (of the University of Applied Sciences and Arts, in Fribourg, Switzerland) examine the necessity of having a due diligence process for alternative risk premia decisions. The authors first analyze alternative risk premia indexes in categories used by providers to determine differences in performance. They find significant degrees of heterogeneity in most indexes that a priori capture the same risk premium, indicating that results are highly provider-dependent, and thus that the selection of a provider is important. The authors also determine the presence and extent of overfitting bias in the alternative risk premia industry. TOPICS: Analysis of individual factors/risk premia, performance measurement, simulations
另类风险溢价的实际应用总结:选择过程重要吗?,作者Francesc Naya(来自葡萄牙里斯本的BDK金融集团)和Nils S. Tuchschmid(来自瑞士弗里堡的应用科学与艺术大学)研究了对替代风险溢价决策进行尽职调查的必要性。作者首先分析了供应商使用的类别中的替代风险溢价指数,以确定绩效差异。他们发现,在先验地获得相同风险溢价的大多数指数中,存在显著程度的异质性,这表明结果高度依赖于供应商,因此供应商的选择很重要。作者还确定了替代风险溢价行业中过度拟合偏差的存在和程度。主题:个体因素/风险溢价分析,绩效评估,模拟
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of The Capacity of Factor Strategies 要素策略容量的实际应用
Pub Date : 2020-07-08 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.391
David Blitz, Thom Marchesini
Practical Applications Summary In The Capacity of Factor Strategies, from the September 2019 issue of The Journal of Portfolio Management, David Blitz and Thom Marchesini, both of Robeco Asset Management, examine factor-investing strategies and the capacities needed to process these increasingly popular approaches. Focusing their research on the low-volatility factor, the authors conduct a simulation alongside current minimum-volatility indexes, with the simulation’s trades occurring more frequently and over a longer period than is currently standard with factor indexes. The simulation shows no performance loss and considerable capacity expansion over standard minimum-volatility indexes. The authors also conduct simulations with quality and value factor indexes, with similar results. The authors surmise that index-based factor strategies are currently subject to pronounced capacity constraints because most trades occur on just a few active days of rebalancing each year. This leads to liquidity squeezes and ultimately compromised returns. To add capacity and ameliorate these conditions, the authors advise implementation of more sophisticated factor-investing strategies, including more frequent rebalancing. They suggest spreading out trades over a larger number of days during the year to continuously leverage latent market liquidity. Active, frequent trading in smaller amounts, the authors advise, promotes greater capacity than more passive factor-index replication strategies that make infrequent but much larger trades. TOPICS: Factor-based models, style investing, analysis of individual factors/risk premia
在2019年9月出版的《投资组合管理杂志》上的《因子策略能力》一文中,来自Robeco资产管理公司的David Blitz和Thom Marchesini研究了因子投资策略以及处理这些日益流行的方法所需的能力。作者将研究重点放在低波动系数上,与当前的最低波动指数一起进行了模拟,与目前标准的因素指数相比,模拟的交易发生的频率更高,持续的时间更长。仿真结果表明,与标准的最小波动率指数相比,该方法没有性能损失,并且有相当大的容量扩展。作者还用质量和价值因子指标进行了模拟,得到了相似的结果。作者推测,基于指数的要素策略目前受到明显的产能限制,因为大多数交易发生在每年重新平衡的几个活跃日子里。这导致流动性紧缩,最终损害回报。为了增加产能和改善这些状况,作者建议实施更复杂的要素投资策略,包括更频繁地进行再平衡。他们建议将交易分散到一年中更多的天数,以持续利用潜在的市场流动性。作者建议,与被动的因子指数复制策略相比,积极、频繁的小额交易促进了更大的交易能力,后者的交易不频繁,但规模要大得多。主题:基于因素的模型,风格投资,个体因素/风险溢价分析
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of International Equity Indexes and Public Trust 国际股票指数与公众信任的实际应用
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.390
Lars Kaiser
Practical Applications Summary In International Equity Indexes and Public Trust, which appeared in the Summer 2018 issue of The Journal of Investing, Lars Kaiser (University of Liechtenstein) investigates the relationship between public trust and international capital flows. He examines whether public trust could serve as an alternative-weighting scheme for international equity portfolios that are traditionally weighted according to gross domestic product (GDP) or market capitalization. He finds that trust-weighted schemes perform similarly to equal-weighted schemes in terms of diversification and returns, but display lower volatility. These findings are particularly robust among emerging markets. Additionally, Kaiser finds an asymmetry between foreign and local public trust in different countries and argues that investors often make decisions based on this informational asymmetry. Overall, he suggests that public trust provides valuable additional information to investors with allocations to international equity, particularly when those allocations are in emerging markets. TOPICS: Portfolio construction, developed
Lars Kaiser(列支敦士登大学)在《投资杂志》(the Journal of Investing) 2018年夏季刊的《国际股票指数与公众信任的实际应用总结》中,研究了公众信任与国际资本流动之间的关系。他研究了公众信任是否可以作为传统上根据国内生产总值(GDP)或市值加权的国际股票投资组合的一种替代加权方案。他发现,在多样化和回报方面,信托加权计划的表现与等加权计划相似,但表现出更低的波动性。这些发现在新兴市场尤为明显。此外,Kaiser还发现不同国家的外国和当地公众信任存在不对称,并认为投资者往往基于这种信息不对称做出决策。总体而言,他认为公众信任为配置国际股票的投资者提供了宝贵的额外信息,尤其是当这些配置在新兴市场时。主题:作品集构建,已开发
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引用次数: 0
Practical Applications of International Equity Investing: International Equity Investing: Is Flexibility the New Diversification? 国际股权投资的实际应用:国际股权投资:灵活性是新的多元化吗?
Pub Date : 2020-06-24 DOI: 10.3905/pa.8.2.389
S. Ramkumar, Michelle J. Black, Vincent C. Fu
Practical Applications Summary In International Equity Investing: Is Flexibility the New Diversification?, from the September 2019 issue of The Journal of Portfolio Management, Sunder Ramkumar, Michelle Black, and Vincent Fu (all of Capital Group) investigate the effects of geographical restrictions on US mutual fund performance. They find that, in the face of increased correlation of equities around the world, investment strategies with fewer geographical restrictions perform better than traditional international portfolio allocations designed to offset risk in US domestic investments. The authors attribute this enhanced performance to a wider opportunity and greater flexibility among managers. “We argue that the case for international investing increasingly rests on the return potential from investing in a broad set of companies and that flexibility to invest across borders is key to capturing this value,” they write. TOPICS: Emerging markets, mutual funds/passive investing/indexing
在国际股权投资中的实际应用综述:灵活性是新的多元化吗?在2019年9月的《投资组合管理杂志》上,来自Capital Group的Sunder Ramkumar、Michelle Black和Vincent Fu研究了地域限制对美国共同基金业绩的影响。他们发现,在全球股票相关性增强的情况下,地域限制较少的投资策略,比旨在抵消美国国内投资风险的传统国际投资组合配置表现更好。两位作者将这种绩效提升归因于管理者拥有更广泛的机会和更大的灵活性。他们写道:“我们认为,国际投资的理由越来越多地取决于投资于一系列广泛公司的回报潜力,而跨境投资的灵活性是获得这种价值的关键。”主题:新兴市场,共同基金/被动投资/指数
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引用次数: 0
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Practical Application
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