Pub Date : 2008-02-28DOI: 10.14854/JAES1986.23.101
Chia-hung Tsai, Ching-hsin Yu, Chí Huang, Lu-huei Chen, S. Cheng
abstract : One of the important features of the 2006 Taipei City mayoral election is that there were three likely candidates. Each of them represented one of the major parties. The conven tional wisdom states that the electorate may vote for their second preferred candidate if their most favorite one is not likely to win. However, scholars have seldom empirically examined how individuals rank their alternatives or candidates. We consider people's voting intention as a preference ordering and manage to examine its determinants. We set up choice-specific vari ables, such as winner anticipation, partisanship, and candidate evaluations, and individual-spe cific variables, such as ethnic background and nation identity, to account for people's preference ordering. Appling conditional logit model to a pre-election poll, we find that people rank their preferences according to their evaluations on candidates in order. Voter's winner anticipation and party identification prevailed in our model but they affect the voter's choice in different ways.
{"title":"Examining Strategic Voting in Single-Member Districts","authors":"Chia-hung Tsai, Ching-hsin Yu, Chí Huang, Lu-huei Chen, S. Cheng","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.23.101","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.23.101","url":null,"abstract":"abstract : One of the important features of the 2006 Taipei City mayoral election is that there were three likely candidates. Each of them represented one of the major parties. The conven tional wisdom states that the electorate may vote for their second preferred candidate if their most favorite one is not likely to win. However, scholars have seldom empirically examined how individuals rank their alternatives or candidates. We consider people's voting intention as a preference ordering and manage to examine its determinants. We set up choice-specific vari ables, such as winner anticipation, partisanship, and candidate evaluations, and individual-spe cific variables, such as ethnic background and nation identity, to account for people's preference ordering. Appling conditional logit model to a pre-election poll, we find that people rank their preferences according to their evaluations on candidates in order. Voter's winner anticipation and party identification prevailed in our model but they affect the voter's choice in different ways.","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"75 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116705146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Significance of the 2005 British Conservative Party Leadership Election","authors":"Yoichiro Watanabe","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.23.20","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.23.20","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"88 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131230095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Development of Electoral Studies in JAES","authors":"M. Asano","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.23.33","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.23.33","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124075009","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Heisei Grand Amalgamation and Local Council Members","authors":"T. Moriwaki","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.23.82","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.23.82","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"119 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133527081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The electoral studies and the reform of the Japanese politics","authors":"Shujiro Kato","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.23.50","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.23.50","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128419276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Prime Ministers and the House of Councilors in post-war Japanese Politics","authors":"H. Takenaka","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.23.5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.23.5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"33 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128541626","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2008-02-28DOI: 10.14854/JAES1986.23.112
Yuki Asaba
Korea is important not only for supplementing one of the important missing links in the studies on mixed-member system in general, the political consequences of its SMD plural tier on party system in particular, but also for deepening our understanding of linkage failure in Duverger's law between the district and national levels. In the previous studies with the twotier model, it is impossible to tell where linkage failure lies in. With the introduction of the three-tier model with the second tier •gregion•h in-between, it is only possible to distinguish the intra-regional linkage failure from the inter-regional linkage failure. Korea is best fit with such a model because there are significant differences in the patterns of the combination of candidates' party labels in different regions even when there are similarities in the number of candidates and how strong they are. In that case, intra-regional linkage is high while inter-regional linkage is low, resulting in linkage failure when aggregated at the national level.
{"title":"Three-tier Model of Linkage Failure in Duveger's Law","authors":"Yuki Asaba","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.23.112","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.23.112","url":null,"abstract":"Korea is important not only for supplementing one of the important missing links in the studies on mixed-member system in general, the political consequences of its SMD plural tier on party system in particular, but also for deepening our understanding of linkage failure in Duverger's law between the district and national levels. In the previous studies with the twotier model, it is impossible to tell where linkage failure lies in. With the introduction of the three-tier model with the second tier •gregion•h in-between, it is only possible to distinguish the intra-regional linkage failure from the inter-regional linkage failure. Korea is best fit with such a model because there are significant differences in the patterns of the combination of candidates' party labels in different regions even when there are similarities in the number of candidates and how strong they are. In that case, intra-regional linkage is high while inter-regional linkage is low, resulting in linkage failure when aggregated at the national level.","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125320910","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Campaign Strategies in the Unified Local Elections 2007","authors":"K. Kawamura","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.23.57","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.23.57","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"56 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131030010","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Election News Played by Politics From the Actual News Room","authors":"Norito Nakai","doi":"10.14854/JAES1986.22.25","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14854/JAES1986.22.25","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":181195,"journal":{"name":"Japanese journal of electoral studies","volume":"57 2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2007-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123382521","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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