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FRONT MATTER 前页
Pub Date : 2018-11-01 DOI: 10.1142/9789813147980_fmatter
N. Limão
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引用次数: 0
FRONT MATTER 前页
Pub Date : 2018-09-19 DOI: 10.1142/9789813233058_fmatter
Kamal Saggi
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引用次数: 0
Foreign Direct Investment 外国直接投资
Pub Date : 2018-09-06 DOI: 10.1142/11176
Bruce A. Blonigen
This book is a collection of important reference works by Bruce Blonigen on foreign direct investment (FDI). The book is primarily composed of empirical analyses of foreign direct investment behavior from an industrial organization and international trade perspective. These studies both examine determinants of FDI, as well as the effects of FDI on host and parent countries. The work examines FDI from a firm-level perspective and uses unique micro-level datasets to further understand firm-level FDI decisions and their impact on local economies. The volume should be valuable to both existing and new scholars in the field of international trade and international business. Much of the work is policy-oriented and so it will also be valuable to policymakers who follow the academic literature.
本书是布鲁斯·布隆尼根关于外国直接投资(FDI)的重要参考著作的合集。本书主要从产业组织和国际贸易的角度对外国直接投资行为进行实证分析。这些研究既审查外国直接投资的决定因素,也审查外国直接投资对东道国和母国的影响。本研究从企业层面的角度考察外国直接投资,并使用独特的微观数据集进一步了解企业层面的外国直接投资决策及其对当地经济的影响。本书对国际贸易和国际商务领域的现有学者和新学者都有价值。大部分工作都是政策导向的,因此对遵循学术文献的政策制定者也很有价值。
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引用次数: 1
Megaregionalism 2.0 Megaregionalism 2.0
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.1142/10705
D. Ernst, M. Plummer
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引用次数: 2
Do Free Trade Agreements Affect Tariffs of Nonmember Countries? A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation 自由贸易协定会影响非成员国的关税吗?理论与实证研究
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.1257/APP.20150360
Kamal Saggi, Andrey Stoyanov, H. M. Yildiz
We investigate the effects of free trade agreements (FTAs) on tariffs of nonmember countries. In our multi-country model, the formation of an FTA leads members to reduce their exports to the rest of the world. Such external trade diversion weakens the ability of nonmembers to manipulate their terms of trade vis-à-vis FTA members, a mechanism that induces them to lower their tariffs on FTA members. We empirically confirm this insight using industry-level trade data for 192 importing and 253 exporting countries, along with information on all FTAs formed in the world during 1989–2011. (JEL F13, F14)
我们调查了自由贸易协定(fta)对非成员国关税的影响。在我们的多国模式中,自由贸易协定的形成导致成员国减少对世界其他地区的出口。这种对外贸易转移削弱了非成员对-à-vis自由贸易协定成员操纵贸易条件的能力,这是一种诱使他们降低对自由贸易协定成员关税的机制。我们利用192个进口国和253个出口国的行业层面贸易数据,以及1989-2011年间全球所有自由贸易协定的信息,实证地证实了这一观点。(凝胶f13, f14)
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引用次数: 18
Policy Uncertainty, Trade, and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for China and the United States 政策不确定性、贸易与福利:中美两国的理论与证据
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1257/AER.20141419
Kyle Handley, N. Limão
We examine the impact of policy uncertainty on trade, prices, and real income through firm entry investments in general equilibrium. We estimate and quantify the impact of trade policy on China's export boom to the United States following its 2001 WTO accession. We find the accession reduced the US threat of a trade war, which can account for over one-third of that export growth in the period 2000-2005. Reduced policy uncertainty lowered US prices and increased its consumers' income by the equivalent of a 13-percentage-point permanent tariff decrease. These findings provide evidence of large effects of policy uncertainty on economic activity and the importance of agreements for reducing it.
我们通过一般均衡下的企业进入投资来考察政策不确定性对贸易、价格和实际收入的影响。我们估计并量化了2001年中国加入WTO后贸易政策对中国对美国出口繁荣的影响。我们发现,加入世贸组织降低了美国发动贸易战的威胁,而在2000年至2005年期间,贸易战占美国出口增长的三分之一以上。政策不确定性的降低降低了美国的物价,增加了消费者的收入,相当于永久性降低了13%的关税。这些发现证明了政策不确定性对经济活动的巨大影响,以及减少这种影响的协议的重要性。
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引用次数: 456
INTERNATIONAL TRADE PUZZLES: A SOLUTION LINKING PRODUCTION AND PREFERENCES 国际贸易难题:连接生产和偏好的解决方案
Pub Date : 2014-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/QJE/QJU010
Justin Caron, Thibault Fally, J. Markusen
International trade literature tends to focus heavily on the production side of general equilibrium, leaving us with a number of empirical puzzles. There is, for example, considerably less world trade than predicted by Heckscher-Ohlin-Vanek (HOV) models. Trade among rich countries is higher and trade between rich and poor countries lower than suggested by HOV and other supply-driven theories, and trade-to-GDP ratios are higher in rich countries. Our approach focuses on the relationship between characteristics of goods and services in production and characteristics of preferences. In particular, we find a strong and significant positive correlation of more than 45% between a good’s skilled-labor intensity and its income elasticity, even when accounting for trade costs and cross-country price differences. Exploring the implications of this correlation for empirical trade puzzles, we find that it can reduce HOV’s overprediction of the variance of the net factor content of trade relative to that in the data by about 60%. Since rich countries are relatively skilled-labor abundant, they are relatively specialized in consuming the same goods and services that they are specialized in producing, and so trade more with one another than with poor countries. We also find a positive sector-level correlation between income elasticity and a sector’s tradability, which helps explain the higher trade-to-GDP ratios in high-income relative to low-income countries. JEL Codes: F10, F16, O10.
国际贸易文献往往主要关注一般均衡的生产方面,给我们留下了许多经验上的困惑。例如,世界贸易的规模远远低于赫克舍尔-奥林-瓦内克(HOV)模型所预测的规模。富国之间的贸易比HOV和其他供给驱动理论所建议的要高,而富国与穷国之间的贸易要低,而且富国的贸易与gdp之比更高。我们的方法侧重于生产中商品和服务的特征与偏好特征之间的关系。特别是,我们发现,即使考虑到贸易成本和跨国价格差异,一种商品的熟练劳动强度与其收入弹性之间也存在着超过45%的强烈而显著的正相关性。探索这种相关性对实证贸易难题的影响,我们发现它可以将HOV对贸易净要素含量相对于数据方差的过度预测降低约60%。由于富国拥有相对丰富的熟练劳动力,它们在消费自己专门生产的商品和服务方面相对专业化,因此它们之间的贸易比与穷国之间的贸易更多。我们还发现,收入弹性与部门可贸易性之间存在行业层面的正相关关系,这有助于解释高收入国家的贸易占gdp的比例高于低收入国家。JEL代码:F10, F16, O10。
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引用次数: 172
The Differential Effects of Bilateral Tax Treaties 双边税收协定的不同影响
Pub Date : 2014-05-01 DOI: 10.1257/POL.6.2.1
Bruce A. Blonigen, Lindsay Oldenski, Nicholas Sly
Bilateral tax treaties (BTTs) are intended to promote foreign direct investment through double-taxation relief. Using BEA firm-level data, we find a positive effect of BTTs on FDI, which is larger for firms that use differentiated inputs. BTTs allow multinational firms to request assistance from treaty partners' governments if they have a grievance about how tax liabilities are determined. These provisions disproportionately benefit firms that use inputs for which an arm's-length price is difficult to observe, since allocation of earnings across countries is more complex. We find differential BTT effects for both sales by existing affiliates and entry of new affiliates.
双边税收协定(BTTs)旨在通过减免双重征税来促进外国直接投资。利用BEA企业层面的数据,我们发现企业间技术转移对外国直接投资有正向影响,且对使用差异化投入的企业影响更大。如果跨国公司对纳税义务的确定方式有不满,可以向条约伙伴国政府请求援助。这些条款不成比例地有利于那些使用公平价格难以观察到的投入的公司,因为各国之间的收益分配更为复杂。我们发现不同的BTT效应的销售由现有的子公司和进入新的子公司。
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引用次数: 69
Optimal Tariffs and Market Power: The Evidence 最优关税和市场力量:证据
Pub Date : 2008-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/AER.98.5.2032
Christian M. Broda, N. Limão, David E. Weinstein
We find that prior to World Trade Organization membership, countries set import tariffs 9 percentage points higher on inelastically supplied imports relative to those supplied elastically. The magnitude of this effect is similar to the size of average tariffs in these countries, and market power explains more of the tariff variation than a commonly used political economy variable. Moreover, US trade restrictions not covered by the WTO are significantly higher on goods where the United States has more market power. We find strong evidence that these importers have market power and use it in setting noncooperative trade policy. (JEL F12, F13)
我们发现,在加入世界贸易组织之前,各国对非弹性供应的进口产品设定的进口关税比弹性供应的进口产品高出9个百分点。这种影响的大小与这些国家平均关税的大小相似,市场力量比通常使用的政治经济学变量更能解释关税的变化。此外,在美国拥有更大市场力量的商品上,美国未被世贸组织涵盖的贸易限制要高得多。我们发现强有力的证据表明,这些进口商拥有市场力量,并利用它来制定不合作的贸易政策。(凝胶f12, f13)
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引用次数: 261
Preferential Trade Agreements as Stumbling Blocks for Multilateral Trade Liberalization: Evidence for the United States 优惠贸易协定是多边贸易自由化的绊脚石:美国的证据
Pub Date : 2006-05-01 DOI: 10.1257/AER.96.3.896
N. Limão
Most countries are members of preferential trade agreements (PTAs). The effect of these agreements has attracted much interest and raised the question of whether PTAs promote or slow down multilateral trade liberalization, i.e. whether they are a ‘building block’ or a ‘stumbling block’ to multilateral liberalization. Despite this long-standing concern with PTAs and the lack of theoretical consensus there is no systematic evidence on whether they are actually a stumbling block to multilateral liberalization. We use detailed data on US tariff reductions during the most recent multilateral trade round to provide the first systematic evidence that the US’s PTAs were a stumbling block to its multilateral liberalization. We also provide evidence of reciprocity in multilateral tariff reductions that amplify the stumbling block effect.
大多数国家都是优惠贸易协定(pta)的成员。这些协定的影响引起了人们的极大兴趣,并提出了自由贸易协定是促进还是减缓多边贸易自由化的问题,即它们是多边自由化的“基石”还是“绊脚石”。尽管对自由贸易协定存在这种长期关注,并且缺乏理论上的共识,但没有系统的证据表明它们是否实际上是多边自由化的绊脚石。我们利用最近一轮多边贸易回合中美国关税削减的详细数据,首次系统地证明了美国的自由贸易协定是其多边自由化的绊脚石。我们还提供了多边关税削减中互惠的证据,这放大了绊脚石效应。
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引用次数: 98
期刊
World Scientific Studies in International Economics
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