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Epidemiological Studies: A Practical Guide最新文献

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Repeatability 可重复性
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0012
Alan J. Silman, Gary J. Macfarlane, Tatiana V Macfarlane
There are many sources of variability in measures in epidemiology. Subjects can vary in their response because of real change. Alternatively, the method of collecting data may be subject to variability because of differences in techniques or the inherent difficulty in some measures in ensuring consistency. Too much variability can introduce ‘noise’, making it difficult to find differences between populations. There may be a variety of reasons for failure to obtain consistent or reproducible results. This chapter describes various methods which can be employed to calculate the level of variability in measures used and how to minimize the sources of this.
在流行病学测量中有许多可变性的来源。由于真实的变化,受试者的反应可能会有所不同。或者,由于技术上的差异或某些措施在确保一致性方面的固有困难,收集数据的方法可能会发生变化。太多的变异会带来“噪音”,使得很难发现种群之间的差异。可能有多种原因导致不能获得一致或可重复的结果。本章描述了可用于计算所使用的测量方法的可变性水平的各种方法,以及如何最大限度地减少可变性的来源。
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引用次数: 15
The costs of an epidemiological study 流行病学研究的费用
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0024
A. Silman, G. Macfarlane, T. Macfarlane
Epidemiological studies can be very expensive, especially from large populations with multicentre recruitment. The researcher will need to ensure that there are adequate resources, allowing for the fact that things will not always go to plan, but making sure that the research is value for money. What is considered a reasonable cost will also depend on how strong the rationale is for conducting the study. Although in theory the study design influences the costs, in practice the resources available will often constrain the methodological choices. Costing an epidemiological study accurately at the start is vital. There are several ways to maximize the use of resources to ensure the study is efficient.
流行病学研究可能非常昂贵,特别是在多中心招募的大人群中。研究人员需要确保有足够的资源,考虑到事情并不总是按计划进行,但要确保研究物有所值。什么被认为是合理的成本还将取决于进行这项研究的理由有多充分。虽然在理论上,研究设计会影响成本,但在实践中,可用的资源往往会限制方法的选择。在一开始就准确地计算流行病学研究的成本至关重要。有几种方法可以最大限度地利用资源,以确保学习效率。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing rates between and within populations 比较人群之间和人群内部的比率
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0003
A. Silman, G. Macfarlane, T. Macfarlane
In comparing rates between populations, it is important that one is comparing ‘like with like’. One population may be considerably older than a population to which it is compared and therefore it would not be surprising that mortality rates were higher. Instead it is more useful to make comparisons taking account of differences in characteristics such as age or gender. The same considerations apply to examining disease rates over time in a given population. If the characteristics of the population change over time (e.g. the population gets older), this needs to be considered. To formulate hypotheses, the rate of a disease under study in a population may be compared with the rate in other populations, or in the same population at difierent time points. If the rates vary significantly between populations or are changing within a population, then this provides impetus for investigating the reasons underlying these differences or changes.
在比较人群之间的比率时,重要的是要比较“同类”。一个人口可能比与之比较的人口年龄大得多,因此死亡率较高也就不足为奇了。相反,考虑到年龄或性别等特征的差异,进行比较更有用。同样的考虑也适用于检查特定人群的长期发病率。如果人口特征随时间变化(例如人口变老),则需要考虑这一点。为了形成假设,可以将某一人群中所研究疾病的发病率与其他人群或同一人群在不同时间点的发病率进行比较。如果人口之间的比率差异很大,或者在一个人口内正在发生变化,那么这就为调查这些差异或变化背后的原因提供了动力。
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引用次数: 0
Ethical issues in epidemiology 流行病学中的伦理问题
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/MED/9780198814726.003.0023
A. Silman, G. Macfarlane, T. Macfarlane
There are several major ethical issues that face an epidemiological study. There is always the challenge in studying free-living individuals in the modern society, of balancing the needs for robust methods with individual freedoms. The key concerns reflect ensuring an appropriate consent process, maintaining confidentiality, and minimizing any negative consequences for a participant. The most commonly collected information for an epidemiological study come either from material already available in databases, material such as hard copies of records that can have key data items extracted, or data that is gathered directly from the subject. Occasionally a limited physical examination is undertaken. Much less often, there is a requirement to take samples of biological fluid such as blood and urine, or to undergo simple investigations such as electrocardiography or plain radiography, but even such investigations are typically associated with trivial risk to health.
流行病学研究面临几个主要的伦理问题。在研究现代社会中自由生活的个体时,如何在对有力方法的需求与个人自由之间取得平衡,始终是一个挑战。关键问题是确保适当的同意程序,保持机密性,并尽量减少对参与者的任何负面影响。流行病学研究最常收集的信息要么来自数据库中已有的材料,要么来自可提取关键数据项的记录硬拷贝等材料,要么来自直接从主题收集的数据。偶尔进行有限的身体检查。更不常见的是,要求采集血液和尿液等生物液体样本,或进行简单的检查,如心电图或x光平片检查,但即使这样的检查通常也与健康风险无关。
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引用次数: 0
Use of secondary data 二手数据的使用
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0009
A. Silman, G. Macfarlane, T. Macfarlane
Primary data collection is challenging and with increasing electronic data capture in routine healthcare and other aspects of life, it is possible to address several epidemiological questions by robust analysis of such ‘secondary data’. There are considerable advantages in terms of scope, size, and speed of study to be balanced against the quality and depth of using primary data. Even when such direct contact is not required, there is often the need to extract necessary information from individual subject records such as medical files. There is often no alternative source of information, although the greater digitization of information is changing that scenario with the potential that the availability of such information might preclude the need for primary data.
初级数据收集具有挑战性,随着日常保健和生活其他方面的电子数据采集越来越多,有可能通过对这些“次级数据”的有力分析来解决几个流行病学问题。在研究范围、规模和速度方面,与使用原始数据的质量和深度相平衡,有相当大的优势。即使不需要这种直接接触,也经常需要从个别受试者记录(如医疗档案)中提取必要的信息。通常没有其他信息来源,尽管信息的更大数字化正在改变这种情况,这种信息的提供可能会排除对原始数据的需求。
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引用次数: 7
Collecting information 收集信息
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0010
A. Silman, G. Macfarlane, T. Macfarlane
Collecting accurate and comprehensive information both direct from the participants, or indirectly from records or other data is one of the major challenges to a successful epidemiological study. Epidemiological information comes from a variety of sources. These may be conveniently divided into those that are available from previously documented data and those that require the gathering of new information. Examples of the former include extracting information about individuals from their medical records, occupational records, and similar data sources. Design and choice of delivery of patient data capture forms by direct interview or telephone, by post, email, or other electronic means all require considerable thought and pilot testing. Attention to the specific wording of certain questions is crucial. This chapter therefore focuses on the issues surrounding the collection of information that otherwise would not be available: primary data collection.
直接从参与者处或间接从记录或其他数据处收集准确和全面的信息,是成功开展流行病学研究的主要挑战之一。流行病学信息有多种来源。这些可以方便地分为那些从以前记录的数据中可用的和那些需要收集新信息的。前者的例子包括从个人的医疗记录、职业记录和类似的数据源中提取有关个人的信息。通过直接访谈或电话、邮寄、电子邮件或其他电子手段设计和选择患者数据采集表格,都需要大量的思考和试点测试。注意某些问题的具体措辞是至关重要的。因此,本章的重点是围绕信息收集的问题,否则将无法获得:原始数据收集。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying the association between exposures and diseases 量化暴露与疾病之间的关系
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0007
A. Silman, G. Macfarlane, T. Macfarlane
Having conducted a specific study design, the task is then to use the information collected to provide an effect measure which quantifies the magnitude of the association between the exposure(s) of interest and the disease under study. Epidemiological studies, and in particular their subsequent analysis, are therefore aimed at quantifying the level of increased risk when exposed to a particular factor, as this chapter explains. The effect measure which can be obtained to quantify the strength of the association, varies according to the type of study conducted. Just because there is a relationship between exposure and disease (even a strong one) does not mean that the relationship is causal.
在进行了具体的研究设计之后,接下来的任务是利用收集到的信息提供一种效果测量方法,以量化所研究的暴露与所研究的疾病之间的关联程度。因此,流行病学研究,特别是其后续分析,旨在量化暴露于特定因素时增加的风险水平,如本章所述。可以量化关联强度的效应测量根据所进行的研究类型而有所不同。仅仅因为暴露与疾病之间存在关系(即使是很强的关系)并不意味着这种关系是因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
Confounding 混淆
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0018
Alan J. Silman, Gary J. Macfarlane, Tatiana V Macfarlane
An apparent relationship between a disease and a risk factor may be explained (confounded) by their joint association with an intermediate third ‘true’ risk factor. The issue here is not one of impaired validity; if the study had been carefully conducted then the relationship observed was correct and the problem of confounding is therefore one of interpretation. Confounding can only be proved after appropriate analysis. Further confounding as an explanation of an association is not (or is only extremely rarely) an all-or-nothing phenomenon. The effect of confounding will be, more usually, to alter the strength of an apparent relationship between two variables (e.g. risk factor and disease).
一种疾病和一种危险因素之间的明显关系可以通过它们与中间第三种“真正的”危险因素的共同关联来解释(混淆)。这里的问题不是有效性受损的问题;如果研究是仔细进行的,那么观察到的关系是正确的,因此混淆的问题是一个解释问题。只有经过适当的分析才能证明混淆。进一步混淆作为一种关联的解释,并不是(或极少是)孤注一掷的现象。混淆的效果通常是改变两个变量(例如,风险因素和疾病)之间明显关系的强度。
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引用次数: 0
Bias 偏见
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0019
Alan J. Silman, Gary J. Macfarlane, Tatiana V Macfarlane
There are several reasons (e.g. sources of bias), why a study’s results may deviate from the truth. Recruitment and/or follow-up, which is non-random as to who does not provide data is a major source of bias. Other sources include observer preferences and the subject’s answers being informed, for example, by their current or prior status. It is not easy to undertake the perfect, bias-free, study. The challenge is to design the study to minimize the likelihood of bias and to undertake the necessary subanalyses, where appropriate, to obtain a sense of how important a particular bias might have been in explaining the results obtained.
有几个原因(例如,偏见的来源),为什么一个研究的结果可能偏离事实。招募和/或随访是非随机的,谁不提供数据是偏见的主要来源。其他来源包括观察者的偏好和被试的答案,例如,被试的当前或以前的状态。要进行完美的、无偏见的学习是不容易的。挑战在于设计研究以尽量减少偏倚的可能性,并在适当的情况下进行必要的子分析,以了解特定偏倚在解释所获得的结果时可能起到的重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Studies of disease occurrence 疾病发生的研究
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/med/9780198814726.003.0005
A. Silman, G. Macfarlane, T. Macfarlane
This chapter reviews the options for population selection in undertaking investigations aimed at estimating the occurrence of a disease. In terms of measuring disease occurrence, an important issue will be determining the appropriate target population. The choice will depend on being able to access the population, how representative it is, the size of the population, and the population data accuracy. It will not always be possible to use an ‘ideal’ population, there will be different options and the advantages and disadvantages of each will need to be determined. The same principles apply, however, if the object of the study is to investigate the occurrence of a risk factor, such as cigarette smoking, or other human attributes.
本章回顾了在进行旨在估计疾病发生的调查时进行人口选择的各种选择。在衡量疾病发生方面,一个重要问题将是确定适当的目标人群。选择将取决于是否能够访问人口、人口的代表性、人口的规模以及人口数据的准确性。使用“理想”人口并不总是可能的,会有不同的选择,需要确定每种选择的利弊。然而,如果研究的目的是调查风险因素的发生,如吸烟或其他人为因素,同样的原则也适用。
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Epidemiological Studies: A Practical Guide
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