The impact of climate change has a major impact on the agricultural sector, especially rice crops. The consequences of climate change include floods and droughts which can reduce production. In 2021, East Java was affected by floods in an area of ??14,158.31 hectares of rice plants and 9,195.39 hectares of drought affected by drought. Information on forecasting and mapping of floods and droughts in rice crops is needed. This study aims to obtain forecasts of affected areas and mapping of flood and drought prone areas in certain space and time units. The study uses historical data on flood and drought events for the last 10 years in East Java and analyzed using time series forecasting models and hazard forecasts and interpreted in maps using QGIS software. The flood forecasting model is obtained Log (Y) = 1.657 + 0.406 Log (X) R2 0.74 with a forecast number of flood events in 2022 covering an area of ??11,837.66 Ha. The drought forecasting model obtained Log (Y) = 0.977 + 0.647 Log (X) R2 0.72 with a forecast number of drought events in 2022 covering an area of ??5815.20 Ha. The forecast mapping for the highly flood-prone areas in East Java is Bojonegoro and Gresik regencies, while the flood-prone categories are Tuban, Lamongan, and Lumajang regencies. For mapping areas, the category of very drought-prone areas is Bojonegoro and Lamongan Districts, while the drought-prone category is Trenggalek Regency. Flood and Drought Forecasting and Mapping can be used as initial information on alertness and as a basis for preparing anticipatory, mitigation and adaptation strategies in order to minimize loss of agricultural production.
{"title":"Forecasting and Mapping of Vulnerable Areas Floods and Droughts in Rice Crops Impacts of Climate Change In 2022 in East Java Province","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2023.3202","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2023.3202","url":null,"abstract":"The impact of climate change has a major impact on the agricultural sector, especially rice crops. The consequences of climate change include floods and droughts which can reduce production. In 2021, East Java was affected by floods in an area of ??14,158.31 hectares of rice plants and 9,195.39 hectares of drought affected by drought. Information on forecasting and mapping of floods and droughts in rice crops is needed. This study aims to obtain forecasts of affected areas and mapping of flood and drought prone areas in certain space and time units. The study uses historical data on flood and drought events for the last 10 years in East Java and analyzed using time series forecasting models and hazard forecasts and interpreted in maps using QGIS software. The flood forecasting model is obtained Log (Y) = 1.657 + 0.406 Log (X) R2 0.74 with a forecast number of flood events in 2022 covering an area of ??11,837.66 Ha. The drought forecasting model obtained Log (Y) = 0.977 + 0.647 Log (X) R2 0.72 with a forecast number of drought events in 2022 covering an area of ??5815.20 Ha. The forecast mapping for the highly flood-prone areas in East Java is Bojonegoro and Gresik regencies, while the flood-prone categories are Tuban, Lamongan, and Lumajang regencies. For mapping areas, the category of very drought-prone areas is Bojonegoro and Lamongan Districts, while the drought-prone category is Trenggalek Regency. Flood and Drought Forecasting and Mapping can be used as initial information on alertness and as a basis for preparing anticipatory, mitigation and adaptation strategies in order to minimize loss of agricultural production.","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135533300","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Relationship Between Knowledge and Practice Towards the Covid-19 Health Protocol of Students of SMPN 20 Dumai","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2815","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2815","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74276671","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Seroprevalence of Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Among Pregnant Women Prior to COVID-19 Vaccination in Pekanbaru, Riau","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2813","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2813","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85189912","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Overview of the Knowledge of Mothers of Toddlers Who Visit Posyandu Melayu Besar, Rokan Hilir District","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2805","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2805","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"38 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89348560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Self-Study Results of Genetics Module Based on Learning Management System Among Medical Students of Universitas Riau","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2827","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2827","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83270590","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Characteristics of Hypospadias Cases at the Arifin Achmad Riau General Hospital","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2828","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2828","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82016291","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Evaluation of The Nervous System Interactive Module Based on Acceptance and Increasing Knowledge Level","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2807","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2807","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78313725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reactogenicity Profile of Health Workers Recipients of Heterologous mRNA Boosters Vaccine at Arifin Achmad Hospital","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2822","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2822","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"58 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83212643","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Self-Blame and Tension Reduction: Self-Criticism Stability Study on The Students","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2804","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2804","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75512472","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Evaluation Usage of Interactive Quiz Reproductive Systems Based on Usability in Prospective UKMPPD Students","authors":"","doi":"10.11594/nstp.2022.2814","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11594/nstp.2022.2814","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19244,"journal":{"name":"Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81996850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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