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The Drone Age最新文献

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Death from Above 从天而降的死亡
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190635862.003.0003
M. Boyle
Chapter 3 argues that drones undermine the legal and ethical prohibitions on assassination and extrajudicial violence outside of wartime. It traces the emergence of the practice of targeted killing from its origin to its embrace by the United States after the September 11 attacks. It shows how the United States adopted the use of drones alongside the practice of targeted killing to control risks as it fought a new war against al Qaeda, but found itself gradually drifting into more conflict zones and fighting new enemies. While the United States used drones to protect its pilots from physical risk, it altered the nature of the risks they faced and created new ones for the population who live under the drones. Drones also subtly changed how the United States wages its wars, making it more willing to countenance killing people outside of active battlefields. It concludes by discussing how more countries are now experimenting with targeting killings.
第三章认为,无人机破坏了战时以外对暗杀和法外暴力的法律和道德禁令。它追溯了定点清除行动的出现,从它的起源到9 / 11袭击后被美国接受。它展示了美国是如何在与基地组织(al Qaeda)展开新一轮战争的过程中,采用无人机和定点清除的做法来控制风险的,但它发现自己逐渐陷入了更多冲突地区,并与新的敌人作战。虽然美国使用无人机是为了保护飞行员免受人身危险,但它改变了他们面临的风险的性质,并为生活在无人机下的人们创造了新的风险。无人机还微妙地改变了美国发动战争的方式,使其更愿意支持在活跃战场之外杀人。报告最后讨论了越来越多的国家正在尝试定点清除。
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引用次数: 0
Terrorist Drones 恐怖分子Drones
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190635862.003.0005
M. Boyle
Chapter 5 argues that drones will allow non-state actors like rebel and terrorist groups to begin to level the playing field with powerful governments and to expand their goals as a result of being able to take to the skies. The low marginal cost of drones will be a boon to non-state actors who will use them to blunt the advantages that governments currently enjoy. In conflict zones, drones enable groups like Hezbollah and the Islamic State to watch the battlefield in a way that they never could before and to strike at their enemies in surprising ways. At home, drones will enable terrorist organizations to strike civilian targets and perhaps even assassinate world leaders.
第五章认为,无人机将允许非国家行为者,如反叛分子和恐怖组织,开始与强大的政府公平竞争,并扩大他们的目标,因为能够进入天空。无人机的低边际成本将有利于非国家行为者,他们将利用无人机削弱政府目前享有的优势。在冲突地区,无人机使真主党(Hezbollah)和伊斯兰国(Islamic State)等组织能够以前所未有的方式观察战场,并以令人惊讶的方式打击敌人。在国内,无人机将使恐怖组织能够袭击平民目标,甚至可能暗杀世界领导人。
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引用次数: 0
The New Race 新种族
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190635862.003.0008
M. Boyle
Chapter 8 suggests that drones will amplify the competition for power and influence between states in conflict zones and produce new risks of deterrence breakdown and crisis escalation. It shows how states are already using drone technology to test the nerves and strategic commitments of their rivals, as well as to conduct surveillance that would otherwise been seen as too risky in crisis zones. This is because drones have changed risk calculations; what was once too dangerous with a manned aircraft is now possible with a drone. These strategic gambits are possible because of their low financial and human costs, as well as the illusion that drones can be used without the risk of escalation. As drones are now being used in more conflict zones around the world, they will begin to quietly reorder the risk calculations behind deterrence and coercion and produce greater chances of miscalculation, error, and accident.
第8章认为,无人机将放大冲突地区国家之间的权力和影响力竞争,并产生新的威慑崩溃和危机升级的风险。这表明,各国已经在使用无人机技术来试探竞争对手的神经和战略承诺,以及进行在危机地区被视为过于冒险的监视。这是因为无人机改变了风险计算;曾经有人驾驶飞机太危险的事情,现在有了无人机就可能了。这些战略策略之所以成为可能,是因为它们的财政和人力成本较低,同时也让人产生这样一种错觉,即使用无人机不会带来冲突升级的风险。随着无人机现在被用于世界各地更多的冲突地区,它们将开始悄悄地重新排序威慑和胁迫背后的风险计算,并产生更大的误判、错误和事故的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Eyes in the Sky 天空之眼
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190635862.003.0004
M. Boyle
Chapter 4 argues that drones accelerate the trend toward information-rich warfare and place enormous pressure on the military to learn ever more about the battlefields that it faces. Today, for the United States, war is increasingly a contest for information about any future battlespace. This has had an organizational effect as the ability for the United States to know more through drone imagery has turned into a necessity to know more. The US military is becoming so enamored of its ability to know more through drone surveillance that it is overlooking the operational and organizational costs of “collecting the whole haystack.” Using drones for a vast surveillance apparatus, as the United States and now other countries have been doing, has underappreciated implications for the workload, organizational structures, and culture of the military itself.
第四章认为,无人机加速了信息丰富战争的趋势,并给军队带来了巨大的压力,迫使他们更多地了解所面临的战场。今天,对美国来说,战争日益成为一场争夺任何未来战场空间信息的竞赛。这已经产生了组织效应,因为美国通过无人机图像了解更多信息的能力已经变成了了解更多信息的必要条件。美国军方正变得如此迷恋其通过无人机监视了解更多信息的能力,以至于忽视了“收集整个干草堆”的操作和组织成本。像美国和现在其他国家一直在做的那样,将无人机用于大规模的监视设备,对军队本身的工作量、组织结构和文化的影响被低估了。
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引用次数: 0
The Future 未来
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190635862.003.0009
M. Boyle
Chapter 9 restates the major theme of the book: that drones change strategic choices for their users by altering their calculation of risks and expanding their goals. It notes that while drones have many peacetime and humanitarian uses, it is their destructive potential that haunts the general public. The apparent absence of risk when using drones in conflict zones changes the choices and behavior of users. It concludes that drones cannot be considered as politically neutral, but rather as irreducibly political and inclined to privilege specific modes of action and thinking. It also identifies future trends that might intersect with drone technology, including the rise of AI, autonomy, swarming, miniaturization and others.
第9章重申了本书的主要主题:无人机通过改变用户对风险的计算和扩大目标来改变他们的战略选择。报告指出,尽管无人机在和平时期和人道主义方面有许多用途,但它们潜在的破坏性却困扰着公众。在冲突地区使用无人机显然没有风险,这改变了用户的选择和行为。它的结论是,无人机不能被认为是政治中立的,而是一种不可简化的政治,倾向于特权特定的行动和思维模式。它还指出了可能与无人机技术交叉的未来趋势,包括人工智能、自主性、蜂群、小型化等的兴起。
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引用次数: 0
Automated Warfare 自动化的战争
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190635862.003.0002
M. Boyle
Chapter 2 provides an overview of the history of the development of drones. It shows that drone prototypes were in existence at the turn of the twentieth century and that their gradual development and use—either as missiles, target practice, or later, modern surveillance drones—proceeded in fits and starts. In the United States, this creation of drones was possible due to sustained investment by military and intelligence agencies, who took a risk on supporting unmanned platforms when the funds could have been devoted to manned aircraft or satellites. It reviews the history of the use of drones in World War II, the Cold War, and Vietnam, and shows how drones became used in combat in the Persian Gulf War and the Balkans. Finally, it discusses the birth of the armed Predator drone, which could play a central role in the counterterrorism campaigns of the post 9/11 era.
第2章概述了无人机的发展历史。它表明,无人机原型机在20世纪之交就已经存在,它们的逐渐发展和使用——要么作为导弹,要么作为靶标练习,要么后来作为现代监视无人机——时起时续。在美国,由于军事和情报机构的持续投资,这种无人机的创造成为可能,这些机构冒着风险支持无人平台,而这些资金本可以用于载人飞机或卫星。它回顾了第二次世界大战、冷战和越南使用无人机的历史,并展示了无人机如何在波斯湾战争和巴尔干半岛的战斗中被使用。最后,它讨论了武装捕食者无人机的诞生,这种无人机可能在后9/11时代的反恐运动中发挥核心作用。
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引用次数: 7
The Drone Age 无人机时代
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190635862.001.0001
M. Boyle
This book explores how the unique features of drone technology alter the strategic choices of governments and non-state actors alike by transforming their risk calculations and expanding their goals on and off the battlefield. It considers how drone technology will impact the patterns of war and peace in the next century: Will drones produce a more peaceful world because they reduce risk to pilots, or will the prospect of clean, remote warfare lead governments to engage in more conflicts? Will drones begin to replace humans on the battlefield or will they empower soldiers and peacekeepers to act more precisely and humanely in crisis zones? How will terrorist organizations turn this technology back on the governments that fight them? How will drones change surveillance at war—and at home? As drones come into the hands of new actors—foreign governments, law enforcement, terrorist organizations, humanitarian organizations, and even UN peacekeepers—it is even more important to understand what kind of world they might produce. By changing what these actors are both willing and able to do, drones are quietly altering the dynamics of wars, humanitarian crises, and peacekeeping missions, while generating new risks to security and privacy. An essential guide to a potentially disruptive force in modern world politics, The Drone Age argues that the mastery of drone technology will become central to the ways that governments and non-state actors seek power and influence in the coming decades.
本书探讨了无人机技术的独特功能如何通过改变政府和非国家行为者的风险计算并扩大其在战场内外的目标,从而改变他们的战略选择。它探讨了无人机技术将如何影响下个世纪的战争与和平模式:无人机会因为降低飞行员的风险而带来一个更加和平的世界,还是清洁、远程战争的前景会导致政府参与更多冲突?无人机会开始取代战场上的人类,还是会增强士兵和维和人员的能力,在危机地区采取更精确、更人道的行动?恐怖组织会如何将这种技术反过来攻击与之作战的政府?无人机将如何改变战争和国内的监控?随着无人机进入新的行动者--外国政府、执法部门、恐怖组织、人道主义组织,甚至联合国维和人员--的手中,了解它们可能带来什么样的世界就变得更加重要。无人机改变了这些行动者的意愿和能力,正在悄然改变战争、人道主义危机和维和任务的态势,同时也给安全和隐私带来了新的风险。无人机时代》是一本介绍现代世界政治中潜在破坏性力量的重要指南,它认为,在未来几十年中,掌握无人机技术将成为政府和非国家行为者寻求权力和影响力的核心。
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引用次数: 27
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The Drone Age
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