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Osteoporosis in older patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus. 特发性正常压力脑积水老年患者的骨质疏松症。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07317-9
Mehmet Selman Ontan, Alev Cam Mahser, Fatma Sena Dost, Ahmet Turan Isik

Both osteoporosis and idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus may increase the risk of falls and fractures. This study showed that osteoporosis is more common in older patients with iNPH. It is important to raise awareness of osteoporosis in older patients with iNPH to prevent adverse health consequences.

Purpose: Idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus (iNPH), a potentially reversible condition with timely intervention, may cause cognitive impairment, balance and gait disturbance, and urinary incontinence in advanced age. Osteoporosis is a progressive metabolic bone disease that increases bone fragility in older adults. Both conditions may lead to falls and fractures. Therefore, this study aims to investigate osteoporosis in older adults with iNPH.

Methods: A total of 64 patients diagnosed with iNPH and 458 participants in the control group were included in the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics, including age, sex, comorbidities, laboratory findings, and comprehensive geriatric assessment parameters, were recorded. Osteoporosis was defined according to the WHO classification. The relationship between osteoporosis and iNPH was assessed with regression analysis.

Results: The mean age was higher in the iNPH group than in the control group (79.91 ± 6.36 vs 75.86 ± 6.51 years, p < 0.001). The frequency of female patients was higher in the control group than in the iNPH group (81% vs 70.3%, p = 0.046). The osteoporosis frequency was higher in the iNPH group than in the controls (51.6% vs 32.1%, p = 0.002). Adjusted for age and gender, iNPH was associated with osteoporosis (odds ratio (OR), 1.750; confidence interval (CI) 95%, 1.002-3.054; p = 0.049).

Conclusions: This study showed that osteoporosis is more common in older patients with iNPH. Therefore, screening and treatment of osteoporosis in these individuals is crucial to avoid adverse health outcomes such as fractures.

骨质疏松症和特发性正常压力脑积水都可能增加跌倒和骨折的风险。本研究显示,骨质疏松症在老年 iNPH 患者中更为常见。目的:特发性正常压力脑积水(iNPH)是一种只要及时干预就有可能逆转的疾病,可能会导致认知障碍、平衡和步态障碍,以及晚年尿失禁。骨质疏松症是一种进行性代谢性骨病,会增加老年人的骨脆性。这两种疾病都可能导致跌倒和骨折。因此,本研究旨在调查患有 iNPH 的老年人的骨质疏松症:研究共纳入 64 名确诊为 iNPH 的患者和 458 名对照组参与者。研究记录了人口统计学和临床特征,包括年龄、性别、合并症、实验室检查结果和老年医学综合评估参数。骨质疏松症根据世界卫生组织的分类进行定义。通过回归分析评估了骨质疏松症与 iNPH 之间的关系:结果:iNPH 组的平均年龄高于对照组(79.91 ± 6.36 岁 vs 75.86 ± 6.51 岁,P本研究表明,骨质疏松症在年龄较大的 iNPH 患者中更为常见。因此,对这些患者进行骨质疏松症筛查和治疗对于避免骨折等不良健康后果至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
First fracture in rheumatoid arthritis: analysis by fracture site, gender, age, and comorbidities. 类风湿性关节炎首次骨折:按骨折部位、性别、年龄和合并症分析。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07311-1
Owen Taylor-Williams, Helen Keen, David B Preen, Johannes Nossent, Charles A Inderjeeth

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a potentially devastating disorder associated with increased risk of fractures, but current studies do not completely evaluate the RA fracture risk profile. This study estimates fracture incidence by site of fracture and makes comparisons between RA and controls using the key variables gender, age, and comorbidities.

Background: Rheumatoid arthritis RA is a potentially devastating osteoimmunological disorder, predisposing to osteoporosis (OP), fragility fracture (FF), and major osteoporotic fractures (MOF). As few studies incorporate statistical matching, comorbidity and non-MOF sites, we compared the incidence of first FF, MOF, and non-MOF in RA patients with a matched control cohort adjusting for comorbidities.

Methods: This longitudinal cohort study uses routinely collected administrative data from the West Australian Rheumatic Disease Epidemiological Registry (WARDER) between 1980 and 2015. RA patients, as defined using International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes, were compared to hospitalised patients free of rheumatic disease. Case-control matching adjusted for age, gender, and comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index). Incidence rates (IR) per 1000 person years (PY) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were compared by incidence rate ratios (IRR).

Findings: In RA patients from 2000 to 2010, the first fracture IR was 18.3 (15.7-21.2) for an IRR of 1.32 (1.10-1.60). Upper limb, lower limb, and axial IR were 5.56 (95% CI 4.18-7.26), 10.60 (95% CI 8.66-12.87), and 2.47 (95% CI 2.58-3.68) with IRR of 1.18 (95% CI 0.84-1.65), 1.44 (95% CI 1.19-1.86), and 1.01 (95% CI 0.61-1.63) respectively. The first fracture IR increased 6 years before first RA hospital record (RR 1.58, CI 1.05-2.39).

Conclusions: After age, gender, and comorbidity adjustment, RA is associated with a 32% higher incidence of first fracture, increased MOF, and a fracture incidence that is already increased before a first recorded RA diagnosis. This suggests a need for early attention to prevention of all fractures in RA patients.

类风湿性关节炎(RA)是一种潜在的破坏性疾病,与骨折风险增加有关,但目前的研究并未完全评估RA的骨折风险概况。本研究按骨折部位估算骨折发生率,并利用性别、年龄和合并症等关键变量对类风湿关节炎患者和对照组进行比较:背景:类风湿性关节炎 RA 是一种潜在的破坏性骨免疫疾病,易导致骨质疏松症(OP)、脆性骨折(FF)和重大骨质疏松性骨折(MOF)。由于很少有研究将统计匹配、合并症和非骨质疏松性骨折部位纳入其中,因此我们将 RA 患者的首次脆性骨折、骨质疏松性骨折和非骨质疏松性骨折的发生率与调整合并症的匹配对照队列进行了比较:这项纵向队列研究使用了西澳大利亚风湿病流行病学登记处(WARDER)在1980年至2015年间定期收集的管理数据。根据国际疾病分类(ICD)代码定义的RA患者与无风湿病的住院患者进行了比较。病例对照匹配调整了年龄、性别和合并症(夏尔森合并症指数)。通过发病率比(IRR)比较了每千人年(PY)的发病率(IR)和95%置信区间(CI):在2000年至2010年的RA患者中,首次骨折IR为18.3(15.7-21.2),IRR为1.32(1.10-1.60)。上肢、下肢和轴向IR分别为5.56(95% CI 4.18-7.26)、10.60(95% CI 8.66-12.87)和2.47(95% CI 2.58-3.68),IRR分别为1.18(95% CI 0.84-1.65)、1.44(95% CI 1.19-1.86)和1.01(95% CI 0.61-1.63)。首次骨折IR在首次RA住院记录前6年增加(RR 1.58,CI 1.05-2.39):在对年龄、性别和合并症进行调整后,RA 与首次骨折发生率增加 32%、MOF 增加以及在首次有 RA 诊断记录之前骨折发生率已经增加有关。这表明,有必要尽早注意预防RA患者的所有骨折。
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引用次数: 0
Systematic evaluation of abdominal aortic calcification in patients with a recent clinical fracture visiting the Fracture Liaison Service. 对近期到骨折联络处就诊的临床骨折患者腹主动脉钙化情况进行系统评估。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07288-x
Irma J A de Bruin, Caroline E Wyers, Lisanne Vranken, John T Schousboe, Robert Y van der Velde, Heinrich M J Janzing, Frederik O Lambers Heerspink, Piet P M M Geusens, Joop P van den Bergh

The prevalence of AAC in patients attending a Fracture Liaison Service is 27.6%. Prevalent vertebral fractures were associated with AAC, but not with severe AAC in patients without CVD. Fracture location and BMD were not related to AAC or severe AAC.

Purpose: Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), osteoporosis and fractures. We aimed to analyze the prevalence and severity of AAC and to assess whether index fracture location, bone mineral density (BMD) and prevalent VFs are associated with AAC in patients with a recent fracture.

Methods: Cross-sectional cohort study of patients with a recent clinical fracture (aged 50-90 years) attending the FLS. Patients received a BMD measurement and lateral spine imaging using Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. AAC prevalence was assessed using the AAC-24 score and categorized as none, moderate (AAC-24 1-4) and severe (AAC-24 ≥ 5). Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to study the association between risk factors and AAC presence/ severity.

Results: AAC was present in 478 (27.6%) of 1731 patients of whom 207 (43.3%) had moderate and 271 (56.7%) severe AAC. The presence of AAC was associated with age, BMI, smoking, history of CVD and prevalent grade 2 or 3 VFs, but index fracture location and BMD were not associated with AAC or severe AAC. In patients with AAC (n =  318) without a history of CVD, there was no association between index fracture location and BMD. In that subgroup, severe AAC was not associated with prevalent VFs.

Conclusions: In FLS patients, the prevalence of AAC and severe AAC was 27.6% and 15.7%. Index fracture location and BMD were not associated with AAC or severe AAC. Prevalent VFs were associated with AAC, but not with severe AAC in the subgroup of patients without CVD.

在接受骨折联络服务的患者中,AAC 的发病率为 27.6%。在无心血管疾病的患者中,普遍的椎体骨折与AAC有关,但与严重的AAC无关。目的:腹主动脉钙化(AAC)与心血管疾病(CVD)、骨质疏松症和骨折风险增加有关。我们旨在分析腹主动脉钙化的患病率和严重程度,并评估近期骨折患者的骨折位置、骨矿密度(BMD)和流行的VFs是否与腹主动脉钙化有关:方法:横断面队列研究,研究对象为近期在FLS就诊的临床骨折患者(50-90岁)。患者接受了 BMD 测量和使用双能 X 射线吸收仪进行的脊柱侧位成像。AAC患病率使用AAC-24评分进行评估,分为无、中度(AAC-24 1-4)和重度(AAC-24 ≥ 5)。为研究风险因素与 AAC 存在/严重程度之间的关系,进行了多变量逻辑回归分析:结果:1731 名患者中有 478 人(27.6%)存在 AAC,其中 207 人(43.3%)为中度 AAC,271 人(56.7%)为重度 AAC。AAC的存在与年龄、体重指数(BMI)、吸烟、心血管疾病史和流行的2级或3级VF有关,但指数骨折位置和BMD与AAC或重度AAC无关。在无心血管疾病史的AAC患者(n = 318)中,指数骨折位置和BMD之间没有关联。在该亚组中,严重AAC与VFs的流行无关:在FLS患者中,AAC和严重AAC的患病率分别为27.6%和15.7%。指数骨折位置和 BMD 与 AAC 或严重 AAC 无关。在无心血管疾病的患者亚组中,流行性室颤与AAC相关,但与严重AAC无关。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence insights into osteoporosis: comment. 人工智能对骨质疏松症的启示:评论。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07102-8
Hinpetch Daungsupawong, Viroj Wiwanitkit
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引用次数: 0
Publisher Correction: A comparative effectiveness pilot study of teriparatide for medication-related osteonecrosis of the jaw: daily versus weekly administration. 出版商更正:特立帕肽治疗药物相关性颌骨坏死的疗效比较试验研究:每日用药与每周用药。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07158-6
Y Ohbayashi, A Iwasaki, F Nakai, T Mashiba, M Miyake
{"title":"Publisher Correction: A comparative effectiveness pilot study of teriparatide for medication-related osteonecrosis of the jaw: daily versus weekly administration.","authors":"Y Ohbayashi, A Iwasaki, F Nakai, T Mashiba, M Miyake","doi":"10.1007/s00198-024-07158-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00198-024-07158-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19638,"journal":{"name":"Osteoporosis International","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142604716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the impact of the 5 Nations Consensus Paper on IV Zolendronate administration post-hip fracture in older patients: experience from a UK teaching hospital. 评估五国共识文件对老年患者髋部骨折后静脉注射唑仑膦酸钠的影响:英国一家教学医院的经验。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07303-1
J Soopramanien, A Wakefield, L Marshall, J Nightingale, O Sahota
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引用次数: 0
The diagnostic value of MRI-based vertebral bone quality score for osteoporosis or osteopenia in patients undergoing lumbar surgery: a meta-analysis. 基于磁共振成像的脊椎骨质量评分对腰椎手术患者骨质疏松症或骨质增生的诊断价值:一项荟萃分析。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07190-6
Fangke Hu, Xiaopeng Li, Dong Zhao, Chao Chen, Gang Liu, Qiang Yang

The importance of osteoporosis assessment before lumbar surgery is well recognized. The MRI-based Vertebral Bone Quality (VBQ) score is introduced to evaluate bone quality; however, its diagnostic value has not been well documented. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to summarize the diagnostic value of the VBQ score for osteoporosis or osteopenia in patients undergoing lumbar surgery. We comprehensively searched electronic databases for studies exploring the diagnostic accuracy of the VBQ score for osteoporosis/osteopenia in patients with lumbar disease following the PRISMA guidelines. The quality of the included studies was assessed. The VBQ scores were compared between the groups, and the pooled sensitivity, specificity, and summary receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were calculated. Publication bias was assessed, and meta-regression was conducted. We included 17 studies with a total of 2815 patients, with a mean age of 66.4 years and a percentage of females of 72.5%. According to the QUADAS-2 tool, the quality of the included studies was relatively high. The results showed a significantly higher VBQ score in the osteoporosis/osteopenia group compared with the control group. According to the mean VBQ cutoff value of 3.02 ± 0.38 for the diagnosis of osteoporosis, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.76 and 0.74, respectively, and the AUC was 0.81. According to the mean VBQ cutoff value of 2.31 ± 0.18 for the diagnosis of osteopenia, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.78 and 0.58, respectively, and the AUC was 0.76. The MRI-based VBQ score could provide useful information for identifying patients with low bone mass who need further evaluation. Future prospective studies are still needed to evaluate the complementary role of the VBQ score.

腰椎手术前进行骨质疏松症评估的重要性已得到广泛认可。基于核磁共振成像的椎骨质量(VBQ)评分被引入到骨质评估中,但其诊断价值尚未得到充分证实。本荟萃分析旨在总结 VBQ 评分对腰椎手术患者骨质疏松症或骨质疏松的诊断价值。我们按照 PRISMA 指南全面检索了电子数据库中探讨 VBQ 评分对腰椎疾病患者骨质疏松症/骨质疏松诊断准确性的研究。我们对纳入研究的质量进行了评估。比较了各组间的 VBQ 评分,并计算了汇总的敏感性、特异性和接收者操作特征(ROC)。评估了发表偏倚,并进行了元回归。我们纳入了 17 项研究,共 2815 名患者,平均年龄为 66.4 岁,女性比例为 72.5%。根据 QUADAS-2 工具,纳入研究的质量相对较高。结果显示,骨质疏松症/骨质疏松组的 VBQ 得分明显高于对照组。诊断骨质疏松症的平均 VBQ 临界值为 3.02 ± 0.38,汇总灵敏度和特异度分别为 0.76 和 0.74,AUC 为 0.81。根据平均 VBQ 临界值 2.31 ± 0.18 诊断骨质疏松症,汇总的敏感性和特异性分别为 0.78 和 0.58,AUC 为 0.76。基于磁共振成像的 VBQ 评分可为识别需要进一步评估的低骨量患者提供有用信息。未来仍需进行前瞻性研究,以评估 VBQ 评分的补充作用。
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引用次数: 0
Prevalence of low vitamin D levels among older US Asian and Pacific Islander adults. 美国亚裔和太平洋岛民中老年人维生素 D 含量低的患病率。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07197-z
Wei Yang, Malini Chandra, Nancy P Gordon, Jeanne A Darbinian, Julia C Drees, Jennifer Park-Sigal, Catherine Lee, Joan C Lo

While US Asian and Pacific Islander adults have lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels than White adults, ethnic subgroup data remain limited. In a large California population, the adjusted prevalence of 25(OH)D < 20 ng/mL (50 nmol/L) was 1.5- to 2.7-fold higher for Asian/Pacific Islander compared to White adults, with substantial variation by ethnicity.

Purpose: US Asian and Pacific Islander (PI) adults generally have lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels than non-Hispanic White (NHW) adults, but subgroup data remain limited. We compared sex- and ethnicity-specific prevalence of low 25(OH)D among older Asian/PI and NHW adults.

Methods: Data from 102,556 Asian/PI and 381,724 NHW adults aged 50-89 years with measured 25(OH)D in 2012-2019 and body mass index (BMI, within ± 1 year) were examined in a California healthcare system. Low 25(OH)D < 20 ng/mL (50 nmol/L) was examined by race and ethnicity. Covariates included age, smoking, BMI, and season of measurement. Modified Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios (aPR), adjusting for covariates.

Results: Among 31,287 Asian/PI men and 71,269 Asian/PI women, the prevalence of low 25(OH)D was 22.6% and 14.7%, respectively, significantly higher than observed for 122,162 NHW men (12.3%) and 259,562 NHW women (9.9%). Within Asian/PI subgroups, low 25(OH)D prevalence ranged from 17 to 18% (Korean, Japanese, Filipino), 22 to 24% (Chinese, Vietnamese), 28% (South Asian), and 35% (Native Hawaiian/PI) among men and 11 to 14% (Japanese, Filipina, Chinese, Korean), 17 to 18% (South Asian, Vietnamese), and 26% (Native Hawaiian/PI) among women. The corresponding aPRs (NHW reference) for men and women were as follows: Native Hawaiian/PI, 2.70 and 2.34; South Asian, 2.56 and 2.07; Vietnamese, 2.17 and 2.31; Chinese, 2.04 and 1.89; Korean, 1.60 and 1.85; Filipino, 1.58 and 1.52; and Japanese, 1.58 and 1.49 (p < 0.001).

Conclusion: In a large US healthcare population of older Asian/PI adults, low 25(OH)D prevalence was 1.5- to 2.7-fold higher for Asian/PI compared to NHW adults, with substantial variation by sex and ethnicity.

尽管美国亚裔和太平洋岛民成年人的 25- 羟基维生素 D(25(OH)D)水平低于白人成年人,但种族亚群数据仍然有限。在加利福尼亚州的一个大型人群中,25(OH)D 的调整患病率 目的:美国亚裔和太平洋岛民(PI)成年人的 25- 羟维生素 D [25(OH)D] 水平普遍低于非西班牙裔白人(NHW)成年人,但亚组数据仍然有限。我们比较了亚裔/白种人和非西班牙裔白种人中25(OH)D偏低的性别和种族患病率:我们研究了加利福尼亚州医疗保健系统中 102,556 名亚裔/PI 和 381,724 名 50-89 岁 NHW 成年人的数据,他们在 2012-2019 年测量了 25(OH)D 和体重指数(BMI,± 1 年内)。低 25(OH)D 结果:在 31,287 名亚裔/菲律宾裔男性和 71,269 名亚裔/菲律宾裔女性中,25(OH)D 偏低的发生率分别为 22.6% 和 14.7%,明显高于在 122,162 名非正常体重男性(12.3%)和 259,562 名非正常体重女性(9.9%)中观察到的结果。在亚洲/太平洋岛屿族裔亚群中,男性 25(OH)D 低流行率为 17%至 18%(韩国人、日本人、菲律宾人)、22%至 24%(中国人、越南人)、28%(南亚人)和 35%(夏威夷原住民/太平洋岛屿族裔),女性为 11%至 14%(日本人、菲律宾人、中国人、韩国人)、17%至 18%(南亚人、越南人)和 26%(夏威夷原住民/太平洋岛屿族裔)。男性和女性的相应 aPRs(NHW 参考值)如下:夏威夷原住民/印地安人,2.70 和 2.34;南亚人,2.56 和 2.07;越南人,2.17 和 2.31;中国人,2.04 和 1.89;韩国人,1.60 和 1.85;菲律宾人,1.58 和 1.52;日本人,1.58 和 1.49(P 结论:在美国大量的医疗保健人群中,男性和女性的 aPRs(NHW 参考值)分别为 2.70 和 2.34,2.56 和 2.07,2.17 和 2.31:在美国庞大的亚裔/太平洋岛屿族裔老年人医疗保健人群中,亚裔/太平洋岛屿族裔的 25(OH)D 低患病率是白血病患病率的 1.5 至 2.7 倍,不同性别和族裔的患病率差异很大。
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引用次数: 0
Fracture risk assessment in the presence of competing risk of death. 在存在死亡竞争风险的情况下进行骨折风险评估。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07224-z
Thach S Tran, Dana Bliuc, Robert D Blank, Jacqueline R Center, Tuan V Nguyen

Purpose: To identify the optimal statistical approach for predicting the risk of fragility fractures in the presence of competing event of death.

Methods: We used real-world data from the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study that has monitored 3035 elderly participants for bone health and mortality. Fragility fractures were ascertained radiologically. Mortality was confirmed by the State Registry. We considered four statistical models for predicting fracture risk: (i) conventional Cox's proportional hazard model, (ii) cause-specific model, (iii) Fine-Gray sub-distribution model, and (iv) multistate model. These models were fitted and validated in the development (60% of the original sample) and validation (40%) subsets, respectively. The model performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration analyses.

Results: During a median follow-up of 11.3 years (IQR: 7.2, 16.2), 628 individuals (34.5%) in the development cohort fractured, and 630 (34.6%) died without a fracture. Neither the discrimination nor the 5-year prediction performance was significantly different among the models, though the conventional model tended to overestimate fracture risk (calibration-in-the-large index =  - 0.24; 95% CI: - 0.43, - 0.06). For 10-year risk prediction, the multistate model (calibration-in-the-large index =  - 0.05; 95% CI: - 0.20, 0.10) outperformed the cause-specific (- 0.23; - 0.30, - 0.08), Fine-Gray (- 0.31; - 0.46, - 0.16), and conventional model (- 0.54; - 0.70, - 0.39) which significantly overestimated fracture risk.

Conclusion: Adjustment for competing risk of death has minimum impact on the short-term prediction of fracture. However, the multistate model yields the most accurate prediction of long-term fracture risk and should be considered for predictive research in the elderly, who are also at high mortality risk. Fracture risk assessment might be compromised by the competing event of death. This study, using real-world data found a multistate model was superior to the current competing risk methods in fracture risk assessment. A multistate model is considered an optimal statistical method for predictive research in the elderly.

目的:确定在存在死亡竞争事件的情况下预测脆性骨折风险的最佳统计方法:我们使用了杜博骨质疏松症流行病学研究(Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study)的真实数据,该研究对 3035 名老年参与者的骨骼健康和死亡率进行了监测。脆性骨折是通过放射学检查确定的。死亡率由国家登记处确认。我们考虑了四种预测骨折风险的统计模型:(i) 传统的 Cox 比例危险模型,(ii) 特定原因模型,(iii) Fine-Gray 子分布模型,以及 (iv) 多州模型。这些模型分别在开发子集(原始样本的 60%)和验证子集(40%)中进行了拟合和验证。通过辨别和校准分析评估了模型的性能:在中位数为 11.3 年(IQR:7.2,16.2)的随访期间,开发组群中有 628 人(34.5%)发生骨折,630 人(34.6%)在未发生骨折的情况下死亡。尽管传统模型倾向于高估骨折风险(校准大样本指数 = - 0.24; 95% CI: - 0.43, - 0.06),但各模型的区分度和 5 年预测性能均无明显差异。在10年风险预测方面,多州模型(大样本校准指数=- 0.05;95% CI:- 0.20,0.10)优于特异性病因模型(- 0.23;- 0.30,- 0.08)、Fine-Gray模型(- 0.31;- 0.46,- 0.16)和传统模型(- 0.54;- 0.70,- 0.39),后者明显高估了骨折风险:结论:调整死亡竞争风险对骨折的短期预测影响最小。然而,多态模型对长期骨折风险的预测最为准确,因此在对同样面临高死亡风险的老年人进行预测研究时应加以考虑。骨折风险评估可能会受到死亡这一竞争事件的影响。本研究利用真实世界的数据发现,在骨折风险评估中,多态模型优于目前的竞争风险方法。多态模型被认为是老年人预测研究的最佳统计方法。
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引用次数: 0
Commentary on the Broader Perspectives of Hip Fractures in Primary Aldosteronism: From Medical to Social. 原发性醛固酮增多症髋部骨折的广阔前景》评论:从医学到社会。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07186-2
Qinxin Zhou, Jixin Chen
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引用次数: 0
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Osteoporosis International
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