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Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII): a predictor of mortality risk in pediatric acute kidney injury. 全身免疫炎症指数(SII):儿童急性肾损伤死亡风险的预测因子。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-026-04792-0
Lian Feng, Junlong Hu, Jie Mao, Kexin Miao, Zhenjiang Bai, Yanhong Li

Background: Inflammation is central to acute kidney injury (AKI) pathogenesis. The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), a novel marker of immune-inflammatory balance, has been shown to predict outcomes in adult critically ill AKI patients, with limited pediatric evidence. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of SII for mortality in critically ill children with AKI.

Methods: This single-center study included 619 PICU AKI patients (January 2019-June 2023,KDIGO criteria). Patients were categorized into survivors (n = 450) and non-survivors (n = 169), with demographic and clinical differences compared. SII was calculated using initial blood counts within 24 hours of PICU admission. Analyses included restricted cubic splines (RCS), logistic regression, and Kaplan-Meier curves.

Results: Non-survivors had lower SII (P < 0.001). RCS revealed a threshold-dependent non-linear SII-mortality association (P < 0.001): mortality positively linked to SII < 470.95 × 10⁹/L (low group) and negatively to 470.95 ≤ SII < 1019.99 × 10⁹/L (middle group). After adjusting for confounders, the low group had higher mortality risk vs. the middle group (AOR = 2.531, 95% CI = 2.011-6.013, P = 0.008).

Conclusions: In critically ill children with AKI, SII exhibited a threshold-dependent non-linear association with mortality, where lower SII levels were independently associated with an increased risk of mortality.

Impact statement: In adult acute kidney injury (AKI) patients, both low and high systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) levels are significantly associated with increased in-hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality. However, the association between SII and pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) mortality in pediatric AKI patients remains unclear. This study found a non-linear association between SII and mortality in critically ill children with AKI, where lower SII levels were independently associated with an increased risk of mortality. SII may be an early marker for predicting PICU mortality in critically ill children with AKI.

背景:炎症是急性肾损伤(AKI)发病机制的核心。系统性免疫-炎症指数(SII)是一种新的免疫-炎症平衡标志物,已被证明可预测成人重症AKI患者的预后,但儿科证据有限。本研究旨在评估SII对急性肾损伤危重患儿死亡率的预后价值。方法:本单中心研究纳入619例PICU AKI患者(2019年1月- 2023年6月,KDIGO标准)。将患者分为幸存者(n = 450)和非幸存者(n = 169),比较人口学和临床差异。SII通过PICU入院24小时内的初始血细胞计数计算。分析包括限制三次样条(RCS)、逻辑回归和Kaplan-Meier曲线。结论:在患有AKI的危重儿童中,SII与死亡率呈阈值依赖的非线性关联,其中较低的SII水平与死亡风险增加独立相关。影响声明:在成人急性肾损伤(AKI)患者中,低和高的全身免疫炎症指数(SII)水平与住院和重症监护病房(ICU)死亡率的增加显著相关。然而,SII与儿童AKI患者重症监护病房(PICU)死亡率之间的关系尚不清楚。本研究发现急性肾损伤危重患儿SII与死亡率之间存在非线性关联,SII水平较低与死亡率风险增加独立相关。SII可能是预测重症AKI患儿PICU死亡率的早期指标。
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引用次数: 0
Hypoxia inhibits breathing and causes the glottis to close in preterm rabbit kittens at birth. 在早产的兔小猫出生时,缺氧会抑制呼吸,导致声门关闭。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-025-04748-w
Indya M Davies, Emily Crameri, Megan J Wallace, Kelly J Crossley, Katie Lee, Marcus J Kitchen, Erin V McGillick, Janneke Dekker, Philip L J DeKoninck, Marta Thio, Arjan B Te Pas, Stuart B Hooper

Background: Apnea in newborns causes the glottis to adduct and prevents gas from entering the lungs. As hypoxia is an inhibitor of fetal breathing, we have investigated the effect of hypoxia on glottis patency and breathing in preterm newborn rabbits.

Methods: Rabbit kittens (29 d gestation, term ~32 d; n = 12) were delivered by c-section, fitted with a custom face mask and oesophageal catheter to measure breathing efforts. After birth, kittens underwent phase contrast X-ray imaging while receiving CPAP using the following sequence of gases: (i) room-air, (ii) 100% oxygen, (iii) 100% nitrogen and (iv) 100% oxygen again. Glottis patency was visually assessed to determine %time that the glottis was open in each gas.

Results: The glottis remained open for longer (44.7 ± 1.8% vs. 15.5 ± 1.8%, p < 0.0001) and breathing rates were higher (18.1 ± 0.5 breaths/min vs. 11.3 ± 1.1 breaths/min, p = 0.0001) when kittens were exposed to 100% oxygen compared to room-air. When exposed to 100% nitrogen, breathing became unstable and resulted in apnea and a fully closed glottis in all kittens. Glottis patency and breathing were restored by resuscitating with 100% oxygen.

Conclusion: These results highlight the importance of avoiding hypoxia and promoting stable breathing to ensure the glottis is open when giving CPAP.

Impact: While preterm newborns commonly receive non-invasive respiratory support (CPAP) in the delivery room, this can be ineffective, particularly if the infant is apneic. We have demonstrated that hypoxia induces unstable breathing patterns in preterm newborn kittens, eventually causing apnea. When breathing is unstable, the glottis opens but only during inspiration. Between breaths and during apnea, the glottis remains closed, which prevents effective delivery of CPAP via face mask. This study highlights that adequate oxygenation is critically important for maintaining breathing activity and the use of oxygen in the delivery room can enhance the effectiveness of non-invasive respiratory support.

背景:新生儿呼吸暂停导致声门内收,阻止气体进入肺部。由于缺氧是胎儿呼吸的抑制剂,我们研究了缺氧对早产新生兔声门通畅和呼吸的影响。方法:选用妊娠29 d,足月~32 d, 12只兔母猫,采用剖宫产法分娩,佩戴定制口罩,使用食管导管测量呼吸力。出生后,小猫在接受CPAP治疗的同时进行x线相衬成像,使用以下气体顺序:(i)室内空气,(ii) 100%氧气,(iii) 100%氮气和(iv) 100%氧气。目视评估声门通畅,以确定声门在每个气体中打开的时间百分比。结果:声门开放时间延长(44.7±1.8% vs. 15.5±1.8%)。结论:在给予CPAP时,避免缺氧和促进呼吸稳定对保证声门开放的重要性。影响:虽然早产新生儿通常在产房接受无创呼吸支持(CPAP),但这可能是无效的,特别是如果婴儿呼吸暂停。我们已经证明,缺氧导致早产新生小猫呼吸模式不稳定,最终导致呼吸暂停。当呼吸不稳定时,声门只在吸气时打开。在呼吸之间和呼吸暂停期间,声门保持关闭,这阻碍了通过面罩有效地输送CPAP。本研究强调,充足的氧合对于维持呼吸活动至关重要,在产房中使用氧气可以提高无创呼吸支持的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
The futile search for biomarkers for necrotizing enterocolitis. 寻找坏死性小肠结肠炎的生物标志物是徒劳的。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-026-04801-2
Josef Neu
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引用次数: 0
Renal regional oxygenation during pediatric cardiac surgery predicts acute kidney injury: a prospective cohort study with model comparisons. 儿童心脏手术期间肾区域氧合预测急性肾损伤:一项前瞻性队列研究与模型比较。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-026-04793-z
Zhengzheng Gao, Xiaoxue Wang, Lei Hua, Lijing Li, Fang Wang, Jianmin Zhang

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication after pediatric cardiac surgery using cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). This study evaluated renal regional oxygen saturation (R-rSO₂), measured via near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS), as an AKI predictor.

Methods: 120 pediatric patients undergoing CPB-assisted congenital heart surgery were prospectively enrolled. Continuous intraoperative R-rSO₂ monitoring was performed. Four multivariable logistic regression models (adjusted for age, pre-SCr, pre-hemoglobin, RACHS-2, cyanosis, and CPB time) assessed distinct R-rSO₂ metrics during CPB for predicting AKI (pRIFLE criteria).

Results: AKI incidence was 35.8% (n = 43). The model using the area under the curve (AUC) for R-rSO₂ decrease ≥5% during CPB showed superior predictive performance (C-index = 0.854) and fit. Within this model, a greater AUC for R-rSO₂ decrease ≥5% during CPB was independently associated with increased AKI risk (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.03, P = 0.014). Prolonged CPB duration (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.04, P = 0.028) and lower preoperative serum creatinine (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.76-0.99, P = 0.031) were also significant predictors. AKI correlated with prolonged ventilation (P < 0.001) and higher costs (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: Renal tissue desaturation during CPB, quantified as the AUC for R-rSO₂ decrease ≥5%, is significantly associated with postoperative AKI in children. Higher preoperative creatinine (mature function) was protective, while longer CPB time increased risk.

Impact: The cumulative burden of renal desaturation specifically during CPB is the outstanding intraoperative predictor of postoperative AKI in children undergoing congenital heart surgery. This study defines a quantitative metric-the cumulative area under the curve for renal regional oxygen saturation decrease ≥5% during CPB-which demonstrates high specificity and provides a potential, actionable intraoperative monitoring threshold for predicting AKI risk.

背景:急性肾损伤(AKI)是小儿心脏手术体外循环(CPB)后常见的并发症。本研究评估了肾区域氧饱和度(r- rso2),通过近红外光谱(NIRS)测量,作为AKI的预测因子。方法:前瞻性纳入120例接受cpb辅助先天性心脏手术的患儿。术中持续监测R-rSO₂。四个多变量logistic回归模型(调整年龄、预scr、预血红蛋白、RACHS-2、紫绀和CPB时间)评估CPB期间不同的R-rSO 2指标预测AKI (pRIFLE标准)。结果:AKI发生率为35.8% (n = 43)。采用曲线下面积(AUC)预测CPB期间R-rSO₂下降≥5%的模型具有较好的预测效果(C-index = 0.854)和拟合性。在该模型中,CPB期间r - rso2降低≥5%的AUC与AKI风险增加独立相关(OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.03, P = 0.014)。CPB持续时间延长(OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.04, P = 0.028)和术前血清肌酐降低(OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.76-0.99, P = 0.031)也是显著的预测因素。结论:CPB期间肾组织去饱和(以r - rso2下降≥5%的AUC量化)与儿童术后AKI显著相关。较高的术前肌酐(成熟功能)具有保护作用,而较长的CPB时间则增加了风险。影响:CPB期间肾脏去饱和的累积负担是先天性心脏手术儿童术后AKI的重要术中预测指标。本研究定义了一个定量指标——cpb期间肾区域氧饱和度下降≥5%的曲线下累积面积,该指标具有高特异性,并为预测AKI风险提供了一个潜在的、可操作的术中监测阈值。
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引用次数: 0
Relationship between perioperative medications and risk of emergence agitation in children after sevoflurane anesthesia: a network meta-analysis. 七氟醚麻醉后围手术期用药与儿童出现躁动风险的关系:网络荟萃分析
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-026-04781-3
Saihao Fu, Mengrong Miao, Jing Bian, Yunxiang Fu, Jiaqiang Zhang, Mingyang Sun

Purpose: To explore the efficacy of perioperative medications in preventing emergence agitation (EA) in children after sevoflurane anaesthesia.

Methods: This network meta-analysis used a frequency-analysis model. PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Google Scholar and ClinicalTrials.gov databases were searched from inception to March 11, 2023.

Results: A total of 19 drugs were analysed in 70 studies involving 7617 participants. In the cumulative ranking area under the curve (SUCRA) analysis, sufentanil, esketamine, dexmedetomidine, nalbuphine, tropisetron, ketamine, magnesium sulphate, propofol, fentanyl, remifentanil, and midazolam showed significant EA-preventing effects. Further direct comparisons between the drugs and the control group revealed that fentanyl (Log OR = -1.28, 95% CI -1.76, -0.80, P < 0.001), ketamine (Log OR = -1.77, 95% CI -2.45, -1.10, P < 0.001), dexmedetomidine (Log OR = -1.60, 95% CI -1.88, -1.33, P < 0.001), midazolam (Log OR = -0.96, 95% CI -1.34, -0.57, P < 0.001), propofol (Log OR = -1.34, 95% CI -1.83, -0.85, P < 0.001), and nalbuphine (Log OR = -1.32, 95% CI -1.66, -0.98, P < 0.001) significantly reduced the incidence of EA in children.

Conclusion: Dexmedetomidine, propofol, midazolam, fentanyl, nalbuphine, and ketamine showed favourable EA-preventing effects in children.

Registration number: CRD42023470892.

Impact: This review provides a detailed network meta-analysis comparing 19 perioperative medications, offering a ranked efficacy profile (via SUCRA analysis) for preventing emergence agitation (EA) in children after sevoflurane anaesthesia, which consolidates and expands upon previous pairwise comparisons. It identifies dexmedetomidine, propofol, midazolam, fentanyl, nalbuphine, and ketamine as the most effective drugs for EA prevention, supporting evidence-based decision-making in paediatric anaesthesia practice.

目的:探讨围手术期药物对预防儿童七氟醚麻醉后出现躁动(EA)的作用。方法:本网络荟萃分析采用频率分析模型。检索了PubMed、Embase、Cochrane Library、Web of Science、b谷歌Scholar和ClinicalTrials.gov数据库,检索时间为2023年3月11日。结果:70项研究共分析了19种药物,涉及7617名受试者。在曲线下累积排序面积(SUCRA)分析中,舒芬太尼、艾氯胺酮、右美托咪定、纳布啡、托司司酮、氯胺酮、硫酸镁、异丙酚、芬太尼、瑞芬太尼和咪达唑仑具有显著的ea预防作用。进一步与对照组直接比较发现芬太尼(Log OR = -1.28, 95% CI = -1.76, -0.80, P)对儿童ea的预防作用较好。结论:右美托咪定、异丙酚、咪达唑仑、芬太尼、纳布啡、氯胺酮具有较好的预防作用。注册号:CRD42023470892。影响:本综述提供了一项详细的网络荟萃分析,比较了19种围手术期药物,提供了预防七氟醚麻醉后儿童出现性激动(EA)的分级疗效概况(通过SUCRA分析),巩固并扩展了之前的两两比较。它确定右美托咪定、异丙酚、咪达唑仑、芬太尼、纳布啡和氯胺酮是预防EA最有效的药物,支持儿科麻醉实践中的循证决策。
{"title":"Relationship between perioperative medications and risk of emergence agitation in children after sevoflurane anesthesia: a network meta-analysis.","authors":"Saihao Fu, Mengrong Miao, Jing Bian, Yunxiang Fu, Jiaqiang Zhang, Mingyang Sun","doi":"10.1038/s41390-026-04781-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41390-026-04781-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>To explore the efficacy of perioperative medications in preventing emergence agitation (EA) in children after sevoflurane anaesthesia.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This network meta-analysis used a frequency-analysis model. PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Google Scholar and ClinicalTrials.gov databases were searched from inception to March 11, 2023.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 19 drugs were analysed in 70 studies involving 7617 participants. In the cumulative ranking area under the curve (SUCRA) analysis, sufentanil, esketamine, dexmedetomidine, nalbuphine, tropisetron, ketamine, magnesium sulphate, propofol, fentanyl, remifentanil, and midazolam showed significant EA-preventing effects. Further direct comparisons between the drugs and the control group revealed that fentanyl (Log OR = -1.28, 95% CI -1.76, -0.80, P < 0.001), ketamine (Log OR = -1.77, 95% CI -2.45, -1.10, P < 0.001), dexmedetomidine (Log OR = -1.60, 95% CI -1.88, -1.33, P < 0.001), midazolam (Log OR = -0.96, 95% CI -1.34, -0.57, P < 0.001), propofol (Log OR = -1.34, 95% CI -1.83, -0.85, P < 0.001), and nalbuphine (Log OR = -1.32, 95% CI -1.66, -0.98, P < 0.001) significantly reduced the incidence of EA in children.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Dexmedetomidine, propofol, midazolam, fentanyl, nalbuphine, and ketamine showed favourable EA-preventing effects in children.</p><p><strong>Registration number: </strong>CRD42023470892.</p><p><strong>Impact: </strong>This review provides a detailed network meta-analysis comparing 19 perioperative medications, offering a ranked efficacy profile (via SUCRA analysis) for preventing emergence agitation (EA) in children after sevoflurane anaesthesia, which consolidates and expands upon previous pairwise comparisons. It identifies dexmedetomidine, propofol, midazolam, fentanyl, nalbuphine, and ketamine as the most effective drugs for EA prevention, supporting evidence-based decision-making in paediatric anaesthesia practice.</p>","PeriodicalId":19829,"journal":{"name":"Pediatric Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146065438","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sleep and development in cerebral palsy. 脑瘫患者的睡眠与发育。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-025-04749-9
Jacopo Proietti, Gaetano Cantalupo, Geraldine B Boylan

Sleep plays a critical role in child and adolescent development, supporting physical growth, cognition, and emotional regulation. Children with cerebral palsy (CP) experience higher rates of sleep disturbances compared to children without CP, including difficulties initiating and maintaining sleep, sleep disordered breathing, and excessive daytime sleepiness. These disruptions can further hinder developmental progress. While sleep research has highlighted the importance of sufficient quality sleep for cognitive and behavioral growth in typically developing children, the complexities of CP make it challenging to establish a clear link between sleep disturbances, comorbidities, and developmental outcomes. The severity of clinical phenotype and comorbidities contribute to sleep difficulties in CP. Despite the critical need for objective sleep assessments like EEG-polysomnography, most research relies on caregiver reports, which are not always validated for this population. The current body of research also faces limitations, including small sample sizes and a lack of longitudinal studies on the long-term impact of sleep disturbances in children with CP. Future research should prioritize  large-scale longitudinal and  comparative studies and utilize objective tools to improve early diagnosis and guide the development of therapeutic interventions, ultimately enhancing developmental outcomes during the critical stages of neuroplasticity in early childhood.

睡眠在儿童和青少年的发展中起着至关重要的作用,支持身体发育、认知和情绪调节。与没有脑瘫的儿童相比,脑瘫儿童的睡眠障碍发生率更高,包括难以开始和维持睡眠、睡眠呼吸障碍和白天过度嗜睡。这些干扰会进一步阻碍发展进程。虽然睡眠研究强调了充足的高质量睡眠对正常发育儿童认知和行为发育的重要性,但CP的复杂性使得在睡眠障碍、合并症和发育结果之间建立明确的联系具有挑战性。临床表型和合并症的严重程度导致CP患者睡眠困难。尽管迫切需要客观的睡眠评估,如脑电图多导睡眠图,但大多数研究依赖于护理人员的报告,这些报告并不总是适用于这一人群。目前的研究还面临着局限性,包括样本量小,缺乏关于睡眠障碍对CP儿童长期影响的纵向研究。未来的研究应优先考虑大规模的纵向和比较研究,并利用客观的工具来提高早期诊断和指导治疗干预措施的发展,最终提高儿童早期神经可塑性关键阶段的发育结果。
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引用次数: 0
Family reflections: our journey with preterm birth. 家庭反思:我们的早产之旅。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-025-04607-8
Jodi Klaristenfeld
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引用次数: 0
Advances in treatment and prevention of pulmonary thromboembolism associated with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children. 儿童肺炎支原体肺炎相关肺血栓栓塞的治疗和预防进展。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-026-04794-y
Yang Hu, Hui Ma, Renzheng Guan

In recent years, there has been a significant increase in reported cases of pulmonary thromboembolism associated with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in pediatric patients, and its standardized treatment and effective prevention have increasingly attracted clinical attention. This article reviews the latest treatment approach for pulmonary thromboembolism complicated by Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children, including anticoagulant therapy, systemic thrombolytic therapy, interventional therapy, and surgical therapy. Meanwhile, progress in research on the risk factors of this condition is also reviewed, aiming to provide new directions for future preventive studies. IMPACT: While several reviews have addressed the clinical characteristics of pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) associated with Mycoplasma Pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) in pediatric patients, there remains a lack of comprehensive syntheses focusing specifically on treatment and prevention. This review provides an integrated analysis of the latest evidence on treatment strategies over the past 5 years, facilitating informed clinical decision-making. Moreover, this review is the first to systematically map the studies on the risk factors of PTE induced by MPP, directly informing the directions of future preventive studies.

近年来,小儿肺炎支原体肺炎合并肺血栓栓塞的报道病例显著增加,其规范化治疗和有效预防日益引起临床重视。本文综述了儿童肺血栓栓塞合并肺炎支原体肺炎的最新治疗方法,包括抗凝治疗、全身溶栓治疗、介入治疗和手术治疗。同时,对其危险因素的研究进展进行了综述,旨在为今后的预防研究提供新的方向。影响:虽然有几篇综述讨论了儿科患者与肺炎支原体肺炎(MPP)相关的肺血栓栓塞(PTE)的临床特征,但仍然缺乏专门针对治疗和预防的全面综合。本综述对过去5年治疗策略的最新证据进行了综合分析,促进了知情的临床决策。此外,本综述首次系统梳理了MPP诱发PTE的危险因素研究,为今后的预防研究指明了方向。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting pulmonary hemorrhage in very low birth weight infants. 预测极低出生体重儿的肺出血。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-025-04736-0
Natasha Lalos, Sherry Kausch, Brynne Sullivan, Zachary Vesoulis

Background: Pulmonary hemorrhage (PH) in very low birth weight (VLBW) infants is a catastrophic event with significant mortality. Predicting PH clinically is challenging, with no tools for early detection. Our objective was to identify candidate physiologic biomarkers using heart rate (HR) and pulse oximetry (SpO2) predictive of PH events in VLBW infants.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective case-control study of VLBW infants from two level IV NICUs (2016-2023). We matched infants with PH to controls using gestational age, birth weight, and postnatal age. Taking HR and SpO2 data from 72 hours before and after PH diagnosis and age-matched times for controls, we calculated a pulse oximetry warning score (POWS) using hourly mean, skewness, kurtosis, and cross-correlation of HR and SpO2.

Results: We analyzed 48 infants, 24 PH cases, and 24 controls, with similar characteristics. Infants who developed PH exhibited a three-fold rise in POWS starting 24 hours before PH diagnosis. Control infants showed no significant change in POWS.

Conclusion: POWS, a predictive model for cardiorespiratory deterioration, showed a rise in predicted risk before the clinical diagnosis of PH. This suggests that cardiorespiratory deterioration signatures precede the clinical diagnosis of PH and can be recognized with a computer algorithm.

Impact: There are subtle vital sign changes that may indicate impending pulmonary hemorrhage in very low birth weight infants. Cardiorespiratory predictive monitoring could be useful for early warning of deterioration due to pulmonary hemorrhage. This study lays the foundation for the utility of predictive analytics for pulmonary hemorrhage prediction and suggests that a dedicated predictive model for pulmonary hemorrhage may be helpful.

背景:极低出生体重(VLBW)婴儿肺出血(PH)是一种具有显著死亡率的灾难性事件。临床预测PH值具有挑战性,因为没有早期检测的工具。我们的目的是利用心率(HR)和脉搏血氧饱和度(SpO2)预测VLBW婴儿的PH事件,确定候选生理生物标志物。方法:我们对2016-2023年2个IV级nicu的VLBW婴儿进行回顾性病例对照研究。我们使用胎龄、出生体重和出生后年龄将PH患儿与对照组进行匹配。采用PH诊断前后72小时的HR和SpO2数据以及对照组的年龄匹配时间,我们根据HR和SpO2的小时平均值、偏度、峰度和相互关系计算脉搏血氧饱和度预警评分(POWS)。结果:我们分析了48例婴儿,24例PH病例和24例对照组,具有相似的特征。患有PH的婴儿在PH诊断前24小时开始出现POWS的三倍上升。对照婴儿在战俘方面没有明显变化。结论:POWS是一种心肺功能恶化的预测模型,在临床诊断PH之前,POWS的预测风险上升。这表明心肺功能恶化特征先于临床诊断PH,可以通过计算机算法识别。影响:有细微的生命体征变化,可能表明极低出生体重婴儿即将发生肺出血。心肺预测监测可用于肺出血所致病情恶化的早期预警。本研究为预测分析在肺出血预测中的应用奠定了基础,并提出了一个专门的肺出血预测模型可能会有所帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Trends in the annual incidence and risk factors of cerebral palsy. 脑瘫年发病率及危险因素趋势。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-025-04752-0
Jooyoung Lee, Yoonjeong Choi, Miji Kim, Woo Hyung Lee, Ja-Ho Leigh, Moon Suk Bang

Background: Cerebral palsy (CP) arises from non-progressive brain damage occurring during the prenatal, perinatal, or postnatal period. We analyzed CP incidence and risk factors in South Korea over a 20-year period.

Methods: We included children newly diagnosed with CP between the first year of life and 5 years from 2005 to 2024 and examined their CP risk factors. Annual incidence rates were calculated by dividing the number of new cases each year by the population of children aged ≤5 years, with age- and sex-standardization. The CP cumulative incidence at the 5-year follow-up was analyzed by birth year. Temporal incidence trends were assessed using Joinpoint regression.

Results: The annual age- and sex-standardized CP incidence rate decreased from 6.6 to 3.6/10,000 between 2005 and 2024. The 5-year cumulative CP incidence also declined from 4.26/1000 live births in 2005 to 2.51/1000 live births in 2020. The most prevalent risk factors were birth-related complications, prematurity/low birth weight, and metabolic diseases, all showing increasing trends.

Conclusion: From 2005 to 2024, the CP incidence in South Korea declined, possibly reflecting perinatal-care improvements, particularly among children aged ≤2 years. Nationwide developmental-screening programs may have also enhanced milder-case detection, perhaps increasing the relative proportion diagnosed at ages 4-5 years.

Impact: Over the past 20 years, the annual incidence of cerebral palsy diagnosis in children between the first year of life and 5 years old has gradually decreased in South Korea. Cerebral palsy was the most frequently diagnosed at 1 year of age, and birth-related conditions, prematurity or low birth weight, and metabolic diseases were the most prevalent risk factors showing an increasing trend. This study suggests that advances in perinatal care might have contributed to the decline in CP incidence and the developmental screening test for infants and children implemented in South Korea may have contributed to reduction of missed diagnoses.

背景:脑瘫(CP)发生于产前、围产期或产后的非进行性脑损伤。我们分析了20年来韩国的CP发病率和危险因素。方法:纳入2005年至2024年1岁至5岁之间新诊断为CP的儿童,检查其CP危险因素。每年新发病例数除以≤5岁儿童人口计算年发病率,并进行年龄和性别标准化。按出生年份对5年随访期间CP的累积发病率进行分析。使用关节点回归评估时间发病率趋势。结果:2005年至2024年间,年年龄和性别标准化CP发病率从6.6 /10,000下降到3.6/10,000。5年累积CP发病率也从2005年的4.26/1000活产下降到2020年的2.51/1000活产。最普遍的危险因素是与出生有关的并发症、早产/低出生体重和代谢性疾病,所有这些都显示出增加的趋势。结论:从2005年到2024年,韩国的CP发病率下降,可能反映了围产期护理的改善,特别是在≤2岁的儿童中。全国性的发育筛查项目可能也提高了轻度病例的检测,可能增加了4-5岁儿童诊断的相对比例。影响:在过去的20年里,韩国1岁至5岁儿童脑瘫的年发病率逐渐下降。脑瘫是1岁时最常见的诊断,与出生有关的疾病、早产或低出生体重、代谢性疾病是最普遍的危险因素,并呈上升趋势。这项研究表明,围产期护理的进步可能有助于降低CP发病率,韩国实施的婴儿和儿童发育筛查测试可能有助于减少漏诊率。
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Pediatric Research
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