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Debt Burden and Sustainable Development: An Evaluation of the Nigeria Railway Modernization Project 债务负担与可持续发展:对尼日利亚铁路现代化项目的评价
Pub Date : 2022-02-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijdes.13/vol10no2pp.1-26
This work investigated the sustainability or otherwise of the Nigeria public debt as it relates to the Nigeria railway modernization project. We set up two hypotheses: Ho1: That the current investment effort by the Nigeria government in the Nigeria railway modernization project has led Nigeria into huge external unsustainable public debt. Ho2: That Nigeria public debt stock is unsustainable. Two measures as found in the literature: debt servicing-to-export ratio and debt servicing to-GDP ratio were tested against data obtained from the CBN Statistical Bulletin to validate or invalidate our hypothesis. The analysis give an inconclusive result– Debt servicing-to-export ratio gave an overwhelmingly negative result, while the debt servicing-to-GDP was positive. We are therefore unable to confirm the sustainability or otherwise of Nigeria public debt as it relates to the railway modernization project. However by conjecture, these authors believe that the Nigeria public debt relative to the Nigeria modernization project is not likely to be sustainable. We recommend that government at all levels increase surveillance over borrowed fund for infrastructural development from being diverted to private use.
这项工作调查了与尼日利亚铁路现代化项目有关的尼日利亚公共债务的可持续性或其他方面。我们建立了两个假设:Ho1:尼日利亚政府目前在尼日利亚铁路现代化项目中的投资努力导致尼日利亚陷入了巨额的外部不可持续的公共债务。Ho2:尼日利亚公共债务存量是不可持续的。在文献中发现的两个措施:偿债与出口比率和偿债与gdp比率,根据CBN统计公报获得的数据进行检验,以验证或无效我们的假设。分析给出了一个不确定的结果——偿债对出口的比率给出了一个压倒性的负结果,而偿债对gdp的比率是正的。因此,我们无法确认尼日利亚与铁路现代化项目有关的公共债务的可持续性或其他方面。然而,通过推测,这些作者认为,与尼日利亚现代化项目相关的尼日利亚公共债务不太可能是可持续的。我们建议各级政府加强监督,防止用于基础设施建设的借款资金被私人挪用。
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引用次数: 1
Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Economic Growth in Nigeria (1981 – 2020) 尼日利亚汇率波动与经济增长(1981 - 2020年)
Pub Date : 2022-01-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijdes.13/vol10no1pp.41-55
This study examined the relationship between exchange rate and economic growth in Nigeria between 1981 and 2020. The specific objectives are to determine the effects of exchange rate, inflation and interest rate on gross domestic product (GDP). The data on the variables were obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin and World Development Indicators, and analyzed using descriptive statistics, unit root as well as bounds cointegration tests and ARDL model. The unit root test results showed that the variables are mixed integrated. While inflation is stationary at levels, the other variables in the model were stationary at first difference. The bounds cointegration test showed that long run relationship exists between GDP growth and the underlying explanatory variables. The findings showed that exchange rate and inflation negatively impacted on economic growth. This finding indicates that increase in exchange rate and price level is detrimental to the growth of the Nigerian economy. There is evidence of a significant positive effect of interest rate on GDP growth. This finding explains the reality in Nigeria, where businesses and households tend to borrow even as interest rate increases, but tend to cut corners by reducing the quality of their products and services or pass-on the increased costs of borrowing to consumers by increasing prices. Given the findings, this study recommends amongst others that the federal government through the CBN should ensure that exchange rate policy should is consistent to provide opportunity for a realistic and stable exchange rate capable of driving economic growth in Nigeria.
本研究考察了1981年至2020年间尼日利亚汇率与经济增长之间的关系。具体目标是确定汇率、通货膨胀和利率对国内生产总值(GDP)的影响。关于变量的数据来自尼日利亚中央银行(CBN)统计公报和世界发展指标,并使用描述性统计、单位根、界协整检验和ARDL模型进行分析。单位根检验结果表明,各变量是混合积分的。虽然通货膨胀在水平上是平稳的,但模型中的其他变量在第一次差异时是平稳的。边界协整检验表明,GDP增长与潜在解释变量之间存在长期关系。研究结果表明,汇率和通货膨胀对经济增长有负向影响。这一发现表明,汇率和价格水平的增加不利于尼日利亚经济的增长。有证据表明,利率对GDP增长有显著的正向影响。这一发现解释了尼日利亚的现实,在那里,企业和家庭倾向于在利率上升的情况下借贷,但往往通过降低产品和服务的质量来偷工减料,或通过提高价格将增加的借贷成本转嫁给消费者。鉴于调查结果,本研究建议联邦政府通过CBN确保汇率政策一致,为能够推动尼日利亚经济增长的现实和稳定的汇率提供机会。
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引用次数: 0
Ownership Structure and Firm Performance of Listed Consumer Goods Sector Firms in Nigeria 尼日利亚消费品行业上市公司股权结构与企业绩效
Pub Date : 2022-01-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijdes.13/vol10no1pp.1-12
The study investigated the ownership structure and financial performance of listed consumer goods sector firms in Nigeria for the period of 2011-2020. The data were gathered from the published financial statements of consumer goods sector firms with return on asset serving as dependent variable while controlling ownership and non-controlling ownership were used as explanatory variables, and analyzed through the descriptive statistics; correlation analysis, panel regression and fixed and random effect regression. The result revealed that ownership structure has robust relationship with financial performance. The study concluded that controlling ownership has positive and non-statistical significant with financial performance while non-controlling ownership has positive and statistical significant relationship with financial performance of listed consumer goods firms in Nigeria. The study recommended that firms listed under the sector should imbibe the corporate governance long run strategies to increase the organizational growth.
本研究调查了2011-2020年期间尼日利亚消费品行业上市公司的股权结构和财务绩效。数据来源于消费品行业企业已公布的财务报表,以资产收益率为因变量,以控股所有权和非控股所有权为解释变量,通过描述性统计进行分析;相关分析、面板回归、固定与随机效应回归。结果表明,股权结构与财务绩效之间存在显著关系。研究发现,尼日利亚消费品上市公司的控股权与财务绩效之间存在正相关且非统计显著的关系,而非控股权与财务绩效之间存在正相关且统计显著的关系。研究建议,上市公司应吸收公司治理的长期战略,以促进组织的成长。
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引用次数: 2
Investigating Tunneling from Nigerian non-finance Listed Companies 对尼日利亚非金融类上市公司隧道行为的调查
Pub Date : 2022-01-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijdes.13/vol10no1pp.13-25
The study investigates directors tunnelling in Nigeria drawing samples from listed non-finance firms on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange Group market. While directors tunnelling proxied by directors’ remuneration is the dependent variable, the independent variables adopted for this study includes ownership concentration, big4 auditors, capital structure and cash holding. Furthermore, in line with related extant literature, we employed the variable of firm size to control our model. Data set employed in this study spans through the periods between 2011 and 2020. In the light of this, the empirical result of this study leads to the conclusion that out of the four independent variables adopted in this study, only big4 auditors and capital structure significantly affect directors tunnelling. Specifically, we conclude that when a big4 firm audit the accounts of the firms in our sample, directors tunnelling declines. Similarly, we conclude that the more a firm finances their operations through debt, directors tunnelling declines. Succinctly, we recommend that firms should strive towards debt financing while also seeking to employ the services of big4 auditors to keep at bay tunnelling among listed non-finance firms.
该研究从尼日利亚交易所集团(Nigerian Exchange Group)市场的非金融上市公司中抽取样本,调查了尼日利亚的董事挖隧道行为。以董事薪酬为因变量,采用的自变量包括股权集中度、四大审计机构、资本结构和现金持有。此外,根据相关的现有文献,我们采用了企业规模的变量来控制我们的模型。本研究使用的数据集跨越2011年至2020年。鉴于此,本研究的实证结果得出结论,在本研究采用的四个自变量中,只有四大审计师和资本结构显著影响董事隧道行为。具体来说,我们得出的结论是,当四大会计师事务所审计我们样本中事务所的账户时,董事挖洞行为下降。同样,我们得出的结论是,一家公司通过债务为其运营融资越多,董事挖隧道行为就会减少。简而言之,我们建议公司应努力进行债务融资,同时寻求聘请四大会计师事务所的服务,以防止上市非金融公司的“挖地道”行为。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Use of Smart Phones-Based Apps, Software and Geographic Information System (GIS) in Real Estate Practice 评估基于智能手机的应用程序,软件和地理信息系统(GIS)在房地产实践中的使用
Pub Date : 2022-01-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijdes.13/vol10no1pp.26-40
The covid-19 pandemic ushered the world into what is seen or described as new normal. In addition, it aided what could be seen as increased or rapid adoption of the use of modern and improved technologies in real estate practice. The technologies even though many of them have been in existence, the increased patronage was made possible through the coming of the pandemic. This study however identified or studied the Estate Surveyors and Valuers (ESVs) response in the use of phones-based apps, software, smartphones, and GIS in real estate practice. The identified apps and software used by the practitioners include; Google Earth, QGIS, ArcGIS, MapIt, SW Maps, Map with Us, MapPt, Locus GIS, GCP/GPS among others. The findings indicated that practitioners are familiar with a good number of them adding that the majority has been using them at their own pace i.e., depending on the individual level of knowledge of same. There was also noticeably increased patronage of use of same since the coming covid-19 pandemic. It is expected that practitioners who are yet to key in should as a matter of necessity try to or adopt the same as the practice is going digitized and enhanced technologically.
2019冠状病毒病大流行使世界进入了所谓的“新常态”。此外,它有助于在房地产实践中增加或迅速采用现代和改进的技术。尽管许多技术已经存在,但由于大流行病的到来,才有可能增加对这些技术的赞助。然而,本研究确定或研究了房地产测量师和估价师(esv)在房地产实践中使用基于手机的应用程序、软件、智能手机和GIS时的反应。从业人员使用的识别应用程序和软件包括;Google Earth、QGIS、ArcGIS、MapIt、SW Maps、Map with Us、MapPt、Locus GIS、GCP/GPS等。调查结果表明,从业人员熟悉其中的许多,并补充说,大多数人一直在以自己的速度使用它们,即取决于个人的知识水平。自即将到来的covid-19大流行以来,使用相同功能的人数也明显增加。预计尚未进入的从业者应该在必要时尝试或采用相同的实践,因为实践正在数字化和技术上得到增强。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Development and Economic Sustainability
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