Background: Understanding infectious disease seasonality is crucial to inform immunization timing and risk communications. This study aimed to describe trends in respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) seasonality in Japan by determining thresholds across 47 prefectures using public health surveillance data.
Methods: Weekly RSV cases per sentinel (CPS) is the main indicator used in Japan. Data from approximately 3000 pediatric sentinel sites were extracted for 2012-2024. Seasonal, advisory, and alert thresholds were established via two globally utilized methods (moving epidemic methods [MEM] and fixed threshold method). Based on the established seasonal threshold, onset/duration was examined for each season during the study period.
Results: The fixed threshold method was finally chosen to establish the seasonal threshold, while medium and high-intensity thresholds under the MEM methods were chosen as advisory and alert thresholds. The threshold values were 0.23-0.80CPS for seasonal, 0.75-2.82CPS for advisory, and 1.11-4.20CPS for alert. The epidemic periods usually lasted less than 6 months, with distinct epidemic peaks in almost all prefectures over the 13-year observation. However, unlike other temperate countries/regions such as the United States and Europe, season onset shifted drastically from September-October in 2012/2013 to around March-April in 2024 with geographic variabilities. Calling season onset after 2 consecutive weeks above the threshold resulted in no false alarms in over half the prefectures.
Conclusions: In countries such as Japan and the tropics/subtropics where the RSV seasons are less predictable, a flexible prevention strategy, tailored for each region/prefecture, using thresholds as guides, would ensure optimal protection against RSV and maximize public health benefits regardless of seasonal variability.
{"title":"Spatial and temporal variability of respiratory syncytial virus disease seasonality in Japan, 2012-2024.","authors":"Takeshi Arashiro, Ichiro Morioka, Naruhiko Ishiwada, Oliver Martyn, Rolf Kramer, Jing Jin, Amanda Pinho, Ewen Corbelon, Satoshi Kusuda","doi":"10.1111/ped.70307","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ped.70307","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Understanding infectious disease seasonality is crucial to inform immunization timing and risk communications. This study aimed to describe trends in respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) seasonality in Japan by determining thresholds across 47 prefectures using public health surveillance data.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Weekly RSV cases per sentinel (CPS) is the main indicator used in Japan. Data from approximately 3000 pediatric sentinel sites were extracted for 2012-2024. Seasonal, advisory, and alert thresholds were established via two globally utilized methods (moving epidemic methods [MEM] and fixed threshold method). Based on the established seasonal threshold, onset/duration was examined for each season during the study period.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The fixed threshold method was finally chosen to establish the seasonal threshold, while medium and high-intensity thresholds under the MEM methods were chosen as advisory and alert thresholds. The threshold values were 0.23-0.80CPS for seasonal, 0.75-2.82CPS for advisory, and 1.11-4.20CPS for alert. The epidemic periods usually lasted less than 6 months, with distinct epidemic peaks in almost all prefectures over the 13-year observation. However, unlike other temperate countries/regions such as the United States and Europe, season onset shifted drastically from September-October in 2012/2013 to around March-April in 2024 with geographic variabilities. Calling season onset after 2 consecutive weeks above the threshold resulted in no false alarms in over half the prefectures.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In countries such as Japan and the tropics/subtropics where the RSV seasons are less predictable, a flexible prevention strategy, tailored for each region/prefecture, using thresholds as guides, would ensure optimal protection against RSV and maximize public health benefits regardless of seasonal variability.</p>","PeriodicalId":20039,"journal":{"name":"Pediatrics International","volume":"68 1","pages":"e70307"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12743260/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145843891","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Satı Özkan Tabakçı, Salih Uytun, Sanem Eryılmaz Polat, Güzin Cinel, Ebru Yalçın, Nural Kiper, Meltem Akgül Erdal, Velat Şen, Suat Savaş, Özcan Çelebi, Derya Ufuk Altıntaş, Mahir Serbes, Ayşe Ayzıt Kılınç, Haluk Çokuğraş, Hüseyin Arslan, Hakan Yazan, Hale Molla Kafi, Abdülhamit Çollak, Gökçen Ünal, Aslı Imran Yılmaz, Hanife Tuğçe Çağlar, Ilim Irmak, Ebru Damadoğlu, Gökçen Kartal Öztürk, Esen Demir, A Erdem Başaran, Ayşen Bingöl, Yakup Canıtez, Şükrü Çekiç, Pelin Asfuroğlu, Ayşe Tana Aslan, Koray Harmancı, Gonca Kılıç, Mehmet Köse, Ali Ersoy, Melih Hangül, Ali Özdemir, Gizem Özcan, Nazan Çobanoğlu, Zeynep Gökçe Gayretli Aydın, Özlem Keskin, Hasan Yüksel, Şebnem Özdoğan, Erdem Topal, Gönül Çaltepe, Demet Can, Pervin Korkmaz Ekren, Mehmet Kılıç, Tuğba Şişmanlar Eyüboğlu, Sevgi Pekcan, Erkan Çakır, Nagehan Emiralioğlu, Uğur Özçelik, Deniz Doğru Ersöz
Background: Pulmonary exacerbations (PEs) are associated with a subsequent decline in lung function. We aim to evaluate lung function in cystic fibrosis (CF) patients with frequent PEs in their first 2 years of age using spirometry at age 6.
Methods: This retrospective cohort study included CF patients who were 6 years old from the CF registry of Turkey in 2019. According to the number of PEs, patients were classified: those who had two or fewer PEs in the first 2 years of age were defined as Group 1 and those who had more than two PEs were defined as Group 2. The patients' demographics and clinical characteristics were compared between Group 1 and Group 2.
Results: The study included 88 patients who had data on PE from their first 2 years and completed their sixth year by 2019. Fifty-nine patients were included in Group 1 and 29 in Group 2. The mean percent-predictive FEV1 (ppFEV1), percent-predictive FVC (ppFVC) values, and the mean age at first PE were lower in Group 2 than in Group 1 (p = 0.019, p = 0.017, p < 0.001). The patients with chronic Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) colonization had lower mean ppFEV1 and ppFVC values than those without (p = 0.001, p = 0.001). Patients with PA in respiratory-sample culture during their first PE had lower ppFEV1 and ppFVC values than those with SA (p = 0.046; 0.018).
Conclusions: This study showed that more frequent PEs in the first 2 years of age and chronic PA colonization were associated with poorer FEV1, FVC, and BMI values in CF patients.
背景:肺恶化(PEs)与随后的肺功能下降有关。我们的目标是在6岁时使用肺活量测定法评估前2岁囊性纤维化(CF)患者的肺功能。方法:本回顾性队列研究纳入了2019年土耳其CF登记的6岁CF患者。根据pe的数量对患者进行分类:前2年发生两次及以下pe者定义为1组,两次以上pe者定义为2组。比较1组和2组患者的人口学特征和临床特征。结果:该研究包括88名患者,他们在前两年有PE数据,到2019年完成了第6年的PE数据。1组59例,2组29例。2组的平均预测FEV1百分比(ppFEV1)、FVC百分比(ppFVC)值和首次发生PE的平均年龄均低于1组(p = 0.019, p = 0.017, p)。结论:本研究表明,CF患者前2岁发生PE的频率较高和慢性PA定植与较差的FEV1、FVC和BMI值相关。
{"title":"Lung function outcomes of cystic fibrosis patients after early-life pulmonary exacerbations: National registry analysis.","authors":"Satı Özkan Tabakçı, Salih Uytun, Sanem Eryılmaz Polat, Güzin Cinel, Ebru Yalçın, Nural Kiper, Meltem Akgül Erdal, Velat Şen, Suat Savaş, Özcan Çelebi, Derya Ufuk Altıntaş, Mahir Serbes, Ayşe Ayzıt Kılınç, Haluk Çokuğraş, Hüseyin Arslan, Hakan Yazan, Hale Molla Kafi, Abdülhamit Çollak, Gökçen Ünal, Aslı Imran Yılmaz, Hanife Tuğçe Çağlar, Ilim Irmak, Ebru Damadoğlu, Gökçen Kartal Öztürk, Esen Demir, A Erdem Başaran, Ayşen Bingöl, Yakup Canıtez, Şükrü Çekiç, Pelin Asfuroğlu, Ayşe Tana Aslan, Koray Harmancı, Gonca Kılıç, Mehmet Köse, Ali Ersoy, Melih Hangül, Ali Özdemir, Gizem Özcan, Nazan Çobanoğlu, Zeynep Gökçe Gayretli Aydın, Özlem Keskin, Hasan Yüksel, Şebnem Özdoğan, Erdem Topal, Gönül Çaltepe, Demet Can, Pervin Korkmaz Ekren, Mehmet Kılıç, Tuğba Şişmanlar Eyüboğlu, Sevgi Pekcan, Erkan Çakır, Nagehan Emiralioğlu, Uğur Özçelik, Deniz Doğru Ersöz","doi":"10.1111/ped.70345","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ped.70345","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Pulmonary exacerbations (PEs) are associated with a subsequent decline in lung function. We aim to evaluate lung function in cystic fibrosis (CF) patients with frequent PEs in their first 2 years of age using spirometry at age 6.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective cohort study included CF patients who were 6 years old from the CF registry of Turkey in 2019. According to the number of PEs, patients were classified: those who had two or fewer PEs in the first 2 years of age were defined as Group 1 and those who had more than two PEs were defined as Group 2. The patients' demographics and clinical characteristics were compared between Group 1 and Group 2.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The study included 88 patients who had data on PE from their first 2 years and completed their sixth year by 2019. Fifty-nine patients were included in Group 1 and 29 in Group 2. The mean percent-predictive FEV1 (ppFEV1), percent-predictive FVC (ppFVC) values, and the mean age at first PE were lower in Group 2 than in Group 1 (p = 0.019, p = 0.017, p < 0.001). The patients with chronic Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) colonization had lower mean ppFEV1 and ppFVC values than those without (p = 0.001, p = 0.001). Patients with PA in respiratory-sample culture during their first PE had lower ppFEV1 and ppFVC values than those with SA (p = 0.046; 0.018).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study showed that more frequent PEs in the first 2 years of age and chronic PA colonization were associated with poorer FEV1, FVC, and BMI values in CF patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":20039,"journal":{"name":"Pediatrics International","volume":"68 1","pages":"e70345"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146143156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sinan Saylık, Vesile Meltem Energin, Mustafa Büyükavcı, Ahsen Nur Saylık
Background: Iron deficiency anemia (IDA) in children poses significant health risks, necessitating effective treatment strategies. While daily oral iron therapy is standard, alternate-day therapy has emerged as a potential alternative to improve compliance and minimize side effects. This study aimed to compare the efficacy of daily and alternate-day iron supplementation in children with IDA.
Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 82 children with nutritional IDA receiving either daily (42 patients) or alternate-day (40 patients) oral ferrous sulfate therapy. Hematologic and iron parameters, including hemoglobin (Hb), ferritin, and total iron-binding capacity (TIBC), were evaluated at baseline, day 10, 1, and 3 months. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS, with p ≤ 0.05 considered significant.
Results: No significant differences in Hb changes were observed based on the treatment regimens. When comparing Hb changes from diagnosis to the first month and from the first month to the third month, a significant increase was noted in the daily therapy group during the first month. At the beginning of the study, the mean corpuscular volume (MCV) values were higher in the alternate-day group, while the red cell distribution width (RDW) values at diagnosis were greater in the daily group. Throughout the first and third months, MCV and RDW values were similar between the two groups. Additionally, ferritin and TIBC levels showed no significant differences over the study period.
Conclusions: Alternate-day oral iron therapy is as effective as daily therapy in managing pediatric IDA, offering a viable alternative with similar hematologic and iron parameter improvements.
{"title":"Daily versus alternate day oral iron treatment for children with nutritional iron deficiency anemia.","authors":"Sinan Saylık, Vesile Meltem Energin, Mustafa Büyükavcı, Ahsen Nur Saylık","doi":"10.1111/ped.70328","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ped.70328","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Iron deficiency anemia (IDA) in children poses significant health risks, necessitating effective treatment strategies. While daily oral iron therapy is standard, alternate-day therapy has emerged as a potential alternative to improve compliance and minimize side effects. This study aimed to compare the efficacy of daily and alternate-day iron supplementation in children with IDA.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective cohort study included 82 children with nutritional IDA receiving either daily (42 patients) or alternate-day (40 patients) oral ferrous sulfate therapy. Hematologic and iron parameters, including hemoglobin (Hb), ferritin, and total iron-binding capacity (TIBC), were evaluated at baseline, day 10, 1, and 3 months. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS, with p ≤ 0.05 considered significant.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>No significant differences in Hb changes were observed based on the treatment regimens. When comparing Hb changes from diagnosis to the first month and from the first month to the third month, a significant increase was noted in the daily therapy group during the first month. At the beginning of the study, the mean corpuscular volume (MCV) values were higher in the alternate-day group, while the red cell distribution width (RDW) values at diagnosis were greater in the daily group. Throughout the first and third months, MCV and RDW values were similar between the two groups. Additionally, ferritin and TIBC levels showed no significant differences over the study period.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Alternate-day oral iron therapy is as effective as daily therapy in managing pediatric IDA, offering a viable alternative with similar hematologic and iron parameter improvements.</p>","PeriodicalId":20039,"journal":{"name":"Pediatrics International","volume":"68 1","pages":"e70328"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146106746","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ayumi Tada, Satoshi Ihara, Junichi Suwa, Hanako Funakoshi, Yuho Horikoshi
Background: Perioperative antimicrobial therapy is important to prevent central nervous system (CNS) infections following cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) shunt insertion, but the optimal duration remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunt-associated CNS infection before and after the revision of the institutional protocol for discontinuing antimicrobial therapy within 48 h after surgery.
Methods: Patients aged 15 years or less who underwent VP shunt insertion at Tokyo Metropolitan Children's Medical Center between April 2014 and November 2021 were enrolled retrospectively. The primary outcome was the incidence of VP shunt-associated CNS infection at postoperative months 1 and 6 in pre- and post-intervention patient groups.
Results: Of the 117 patients screened, 27 were excluded. Of the eligible patients, 39 were in the pre-intervention group, and 51 were in the post-intervention group. The incidence of VP shunt-associated CNS infection at month 1 was 7.7% (3/39) in the pre-intervention group and 7.8% (4/51) in the post-intervention group (p = 0.98), with no significant difference. At month 6, the incidence was 7.7% (3/39) in the pre-intervention group and 13.7% (7/51) in the post-intervention group (p = 0.37), also not significantly different.
Conclusions: Reducing the duration of antibiotic prophylaxis for VP shunt insertion to within 48 h did not increase the incidence of VP shunt-associated CNS infection.
{"title":"Shortening the perioperative prophylactic antimicrobial duration in pediatric ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunt insertion.","authors":"Ayumi Tada, Satoshi Ihara, Junichi Suwa, Hanako Funakoshi, Yuho Horikoshi","doi":"10.1111/ped.70372","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ped.70372","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Perioperative antimicrobial therapy is important to prevent central nervous system (CNS) infections following cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) shunt insertion, but the optimal duration remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunt-associated CNS infection before and after the revision of the institutional protocol for discontinuing antimicrobial therapy within 48 h after surgery.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients aged 15 years or less who underwent VP shunt insertion at Tokyo Metropolitan Children's Medical Center between April 2014 and November 2021 were enrolled retrospectively. The primary outcome was the incidence of VP shunt-associated CNS infection at postoperative months 1 and 6 in pre- and post-intervention patient groups.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of the 117 patients screened, 27 were excluded. Of the eligible patients, 39 were in the pre-intervention group, and 51 were in the post-intervention group. The incidence of VP shunt-associated CNS infection at month 1 was 7.7% (3/39) in the pre-intervention group and 7.8% (4/51) in the post-intervention group (p = 0.98), with no significant difference. At month 6, the incidence was 7.7% (3/39) in the pre-intervention group and 13.7% (7/51) in the post-intervention group (p = 0.37), also not significantly different.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Reducing the duration of antibiotic prophylaxis for VP shunt insertion to within 48 h did not increase the incidence of VP shunt-associated CNS infection.</p>","PeriodicalId":20039,"journal":{"name":"Pediatrics International","volume":"68 1","pages":"e70372"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147499727","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}