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Animals, Energy, Land 动物,能源,土地
Pub Date : 2021-07-22 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197541890.003.0001
M. Rowlands
This chapter introduces the central themes, and outlines the central argument, of the book. Three dominant environmental threats are identified: climate change, mass extinction, and pestilence. The warming of the planet is accelerating. At the same time, species are becoming extinct at a startling rate. Newly emerging infectious diseases—COVID-19 being the latest off the production line—are becoming more pronounced and problematic. It is argued that our habit of eating animals—and the massive reallocation of biomass that it involves—lies at the heart of all of all three problems, and if we abandon this habit, we can make substantial progress in tackling them. This proposal should be taken seriously on the grounds that it is easier to implement, more effective once implemented, and ultimately more palatable than other options.
本章介绍了本书的中心主题,并概述了本书的中心论点。确定了三个主要的环境威胁:气候变化、大规模灭绝和瘟疫。地球正在加速变暖。与此同时,物种正以惊人的速度灭绝。新出现的传染病——covid -19是最新下线的传染病——正变得越来越明显和有问题。有人认为,我们吃动物的习惯——以及它所涉及的大量生物量的重新分配——是所有这三个问题的核心,如果我们放弃这个习惯,我们就能在解决这些问题上取得实质性进展。应该认真对待这项建议,因为它更容易执行,一旦执行更有效,并且最终比其他选择更容易接受。
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引用次数: 0
The Fire
Pub Date : 2021-06-17 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780197541890.003.0004
M. Rowlands
Societies need energy in order to sustain themselves and their members. This energy comes in two forms: fuel and food. These are continuous: they are both means of energy acquisition consumed for the same purpose, the maintenance of a complex society. The energy sources that sustain a society—whether fuel or food—must have a sufficiently high aggregate energy returned on energy invested (EROI). The EROI of a source is the energy acquired from a source divided by the energy that the society had to invest in acquiring it. Once the EROI of a society’s energy sources drops below a certain threshold, societal collapse often results: the breakup of that society and the emergence of new, simpler societies. Calculations suggest that maintenance of a society recognizably similar to our own vis-à-vis socioeconomic parameters requires energy sources with EROIs in the 11–14 range. Maintenance of certain markers of liberal democracies may require higher EROIs, in the 20–30 range.
社会需要能源来维持自身及其成员的生存。这种能量有两种形式:燃料和食物。这些都是连续的:它们都是获取能量的手段,都是为了同一个目的而消耗的,即维持一个复杂的社会。维持一个社会的能源——无论是燃料还是食物——必须有足够高的总能源投资回报(EROI)。一种资源的EROI是指从一种资源中获得的能量除以社会为获取该资源而投入的能量。一旦一个社会的能源EROI低于某一阈值,往往会导致社会崩溃:该社会的解体和新的、更简单的社会的出现。计算表明,维持一个类似于我们自己的社会经济参数-à-vis的社会,需要eroi在11-14范围内的能源。维持自由民主的某些标志可能需要更高的eroi,在20-30之间。
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引用次数: 0
Salvation Technologies? 救恩的技术吗?
Pub Date : 2021-06-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197541890.003.0005
M. Rowlands
Available fossil energy sources are dubiously compatible with the goal of arresting climate change. Carbon capture and sequestration technologies currently do not work on an industrial scale, and even if they could be made to work, they will reduce the energy returned on energy invested (EROI) of fossil fuels to below acceptable levels. The EROI of nuclear fission is disputed, but most peer-reviewed work places it in the 5–14 range, making it of questionable utility. Nuclear fusion, if it works, will not be available in time. Some renewable sources—notably, various biofuels—have unacceptably low EROIs. The remaining forms of renewable energy—solar, wind, hydropower, and wave power—sport EROIs that are, at best, on the cusp of viability. There is reasonable hope for improvement in these technologies because they are, at present, immature. In the meantime, it would be ideal if we could find a way to give them an edge.
现有的化石能源能否与遏制气候变化的目标相一致,这一点值得怀疑。碳捕获和封存技术目前还不能在工业规模上发挥作用,即使它们能够发挥作用,它们也会将化石燃料的能源投资回报率(EROI)降低到可接受的水平以下。核裂变的EROI是有争议的,但大多数同行评议的工作将其放在5-14范围内,这使得它的实用性受到质疑。核聚变即使成功了,也不能及时投入使用。一些可再生能源——尤其是各种生物燃料——的eroi低得令人无法接受。剩下的可再生能源——太阳能、风能、水电和波浪能——的eroi,充其量也只是处于生存的边缘。由于这些技术目前还不成熟,因此有理由希望对它们进行改进。与此同时,如果我们能找到一种让他们占优势的方法,那就再好不过了。
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引用次数: 0
A Forest Future? 森林的未来?
Pub Date : 2021-06-17 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780197541890.003.0007
M. Rowlands
The other climate benefit of no longer eating meat is that it will make available huge swathes of new land for afforestation—the return of forests to land that has not recently been forested. One consequence of the inverted energy returned on energy invested (EROI) of meat is that we use far more land for farming than we would need if our diet were to be exclusively plant based. In the United States alone, somewhere in the region of 834 million acres could be made available through this strategy, much of it suitable for afforestation. Even the afforestation of land not currently used for farming has the potential to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions by nearly one-third. Adding in land currently dedicated to animal grazing and feed crops is a potentially game-changing development in the fight against climate change.
不再吃肉对气候的另一个好处是,它将为植树造林提供大片的新土地——森林重新回到最近没有被造林的土地上。肉类的能量投入(EROI)的反向能量回报(EROI)的一个后果是,如果我们的饮食完全以植物为基础,那么我们用于农业的土地将远远超过我们所需的土地。仅在美国,就有8.34亿英亩的土地可以通过这一战略获得,其中大部分适合植树造林。即使是在目前不用于农业的土地上植树造林,也有可能将全球二氧化碳排放量减少近三分之一。在应对气候变化的斗争中,增加目前专门用于动物放牧和饲料作物的土地可能会改变游戏规则。
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引用次数: 0
Pale Horse 苍白的马
Pub Date : 2021-06-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197541890.003.0010
M. Rowlands
The third benefit of no longer eating animals is a reduction in the prevalence of zoonotic diseases: diseases acquired from a nonhuman, vertebrate host. The majority of temperate diseases, almost all tropical diseases, and probably all newly emerging infectious diseases are zoonoses or they have zoonotic origins. A zoonotic pathogen can go through five stages, in which it transforms from one that afflicts only nonhuman species to one that is exclusively human. There are several factors that determine the likelihood of such a transformation. The most important of these, since it is most under our control, is the frequency of encounters between us and the animal reservoir. Eating animals and disturbing their environment are the two forms of human behavior most likely to increase frequency of encounters. Moreover, most disturbance of the environment is caused by expansion in animal agriculture. Eating animals, therefore, is the most important cause of zoonotic diseases.
不再食用动物的第三个好处是减少人畜共患疾病的流行:从非人类脊椎动物宿主获得的疾病。大多数温带疾病,几乎所有热带疾病,可能所有新出现的传染病都是人畜共患病,或者它们有人畜共患病的起源。人畜共患病原体可以经历五个阶段,在这五个阶段中,它从只感染非人类物种的病原体转变为只感染人类的病原体。有几个因素决定了这种转变的可能性。其中最重要的,因为它是在我们的控制之下的,是我们与动物水库之间相遇的频率。食用动物和扰乱它们的环境是最可能增加遭遇频率的两种人类行为。此外,大多数环境干扰是由畜牧业的扩张造成的。因此,食用动物是引起人畜共患疾病的最重要原因。
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引用次数: 0
The Wildwood 的原始丛林
Pub Date : 2021-06-17 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197541890.003.0012
M. Rowlands
The three grave environmental threats that we face today are those of climate change, mass extinction, and pestilence. To mitigate these threats, the most important things we can do are (1) stop eating animals and their products and (2) afforest wherever and whenever we can. The first course of action makes possible the second. By no longer eating animals, we make available large areas of land suitable for afforestation. These twin policies will go a long way toward solving our three environmental threats. Afforested land will sequester significant amounts of carbon dioxide, arrest the changes in land use that are the most important cause of extinction, and provide a suitably undisturbed home for animal reservoirs of disease. In afforesting the land, we must let the past be our guide: restore the land to what it was before humans arrived and ruined the neighborhood.
我们今天面临的三大环境威胁是气候变化、物种大灭绝和瘟疫。为了减轻这些威胁,我们能做的最重要的事情是:(1)停止食用动物及其产品;(2)随时随地植树造林。第一种行动方案使第二种行动方案成为可能。由于不再吃动物,我们腾出了大片适合植树造林的土地。这两项政策将大大有助于解决我们的三大环境威胁。植树造林的土地将吸收大量的二氧化碳,阻止土地利用的变化,这些变化是导致灭绝的最重要原因,并为疾病的动物宿主提供一个适当的不受干扰的家园。在绿化土地的过程中,我们必须让过去成为我们的指南:将土地恢复到人类到来并破坏周围环境之前的状态。
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引用次数: 0
The Great Dying 伟大的死亡
Pub Date : 2021-06-17 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780197541890.003.0008
M. Rowlands
The benefits of no longer eating animals extend beyond climate mitigation. It will also mitigate current species extinction trajectories. This chapter looks at the history of human-caused extinctions. A great extinction occurs when a percentage of a species dies out (e.g., 75%). A mass extinction occurs when the actual rate of extinction exceeds the normal background rate by a certain margin (e.g., 1000×). There are good reasons for thinking that a mass extinction of species is currently occurring. Humans are the cause of this, as they have been the cause of all major extinction pulses since the Quaternary period. This chapter examines one of the Quaternary extinction pulses of 8000–11,500 years ago and defends the hominin paleobiogeography hypothesis, that is, that humans were substantially responsible for this pulse of extinctions. An undue focus on extinction, however, can mask the harm we are currently doing to species.
不再食用动物的好处不仅仅是缓解气候变化。它还将减缓目前物种灭绝的轨迹。这一章着眼于人类造成物种灭绝的历史。当一个物种的一定比例(如75%)灭绝时,就会发生大灭绝。当实际灭绝率超过正常背景率一定幅度(例如1000倍)时,就会发生大规模灭绝。有充分的理由认为物种的大规模灭绝正在发生。人类是这一切的原因,因为他们是自第四纪以来所有主要灭绝脉冲的原因。本章考察了8000 - 11500年前的第四纪灭绝脉冲之一,并为古人类古生物地理学假说辩护,即人类对这一灭绝脉冲负有重大责任。然而,过度关注灭绝可能会掩盖我们目前对物种造成的伤害。
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引用次数: 0
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World on Fire
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