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In-Situ Combustion: Myths and Facts 就地燃烧:神话和事实
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.2118/210606-pa
S. Sur
In-situ combustion (ISC) involves compression and injection of air into heavy/extraheavy oil reservoirs for enhancing production and recovery. Initially, ISC was very popular due to its high theoretical thermal efficiency, though more failures than successes in the 1990s made this process unpopular. It is a fact that it is now widely considered archaic. However, Suplacu de Barcau (Romania) and Balol-Santhal (India) ISC projects have brought the process back into focus. Performance of the Balol-Santhal-Bechraji over the last 25 years provides clarity to answer the question “Failure to enhance oil production and recovery by ISC: Myth or fact?” The author appreciates the views, decisions, and efforts of all global scientists/engineers/operators associated with the ISC process in the laboratory/field. Opinions and views presented in this paper are solely based on the author’s experience, which may be in line or may differ. The discovery of heavy oil northwest of the Cambay Basin, India, in the 1970s led to the initiation of research and development in thermal processes. The depth, rock, and fluid characteristics, drive mechanism, and semi-arid area led to the testing of ISC over steamflood in Balol. Laboratory findings are key to understanding the reaction kinetics of oil and process manifestations. Upgrading of oil is the key manifestation of ISC in the laboratory, but it is not seen in the field due to blending in long-distance displacement methodology. The involvement of laboratory personnel in design and surveillance plays an important role in the success of the project. Over the last 25 years, the Balol-Santhal ISC projects demonstrate the rejuvenation of declining fields with sustained enhanced oil production and an increase in recovery. Lessons of the Bechraji field indicate that process does not succeed in all reservoir settings. It is particularly suited to relatively clean, mobile heavy oil reservoirs with structural relief. Long-distance displacement of oil (vertical injector-vertical/horizontal producer spaced apart) is effective in a mobile oil reservoir. With low mobility oils, a short-distance oil displacement process using a pair of vertical injector and horizontal producer (horizontal well placed below the air injector) can be the preferred way for exploitation. This methodology has also the potential to capture upgraded oil. The process attracts more value when it is designed as operator friendly and flexible, integrating with gravity. Appropriate ignition types, continuous surveillance, maintaining optimum air injection rates, and re-engineering are important for the success of ISC. Success depends on the fabric and architecture of the reservoir, the way it is designed and implemented, and by integration of knowledge gained in the journey from laboratory to field with the process. It can be concluded that the perception of the ineffectiveness of ISC to enhance oil production and recovery from mobile heavy/extraheavy oil reservoi
原位燃烧(ISC)技术是将空气压缩并注入稠油/超稠油储层,以提高产量和采收率。最初,ISC由于其理论热效率高而非常受欢迎,尽管在20世纪90年代失败多于成功使该过程不受欢迎。事实上,它现在被广泛认为是过时的。然而,Suplacu de Barcau(罗马尼亚)和Balol-Santhal(印度)ISC项目使这一过程重新受到关注。Balol-Santhal-Bechraji在过去25年的表现清楚地回答了“ISC未能提高石油产量和采收率:神话还是事实?”作者感谢所有与实验室/现场ISC过程相关的全球科学家/工程师/操作员的意见、决定和努力。本文提出的观点和观点完全基于作者的经验,可能是一致的,也可能是不同的。20世纪70年代,印度Cambay盆地西北部稠油的发现引发了热过程的研究和开发。根据Balol地区的深度、岩石和流体特征、驱动机理和半干旱地区,进行了蒸汽驱上ISC的测试。实验结果是理解油的反应动力学和过程表现的关键。油品的提质化是ISC在实验室中的关键表现,但由于长距离驱油方法的掺和,在实际应用中并未体现出来。实验室人员参与设计和监测对项目的成功起着重要作用。在过去的25年里,Balol-Santhal ISC项目通过持续提高石油产量和采收率,证明了衰落油田的复兴。Bechraji油田的经验表明,该方法并非适用于所有油藏。它特别适合于相对清洁、具有构造起伏的流动稠油油藏。在流动油藏中,远距离驱油(垂直注入器与垂直/水平采油器分开)是有效的。对于低流动性的原油,使用一对垂直注入器和水平采油器(位于空气注入器下方的水平井)进行短距离驱油是开发的首选方式。这种方法也有可能捕获升级后的石油。当它被设计成易于操作和灵活,并与重力相结合时,它会吸引更多的价值。适当的点火类型、持续的监测、保持最佳的空气喷射速率和重新设计是ISC成功的重要因素。项目的成功取决于储层的结构和建筑,设计和实施的方式,以及从实验室到现场的过程中所获得的知识的整合。综上所述,ISC对于提高流动稠油/超稠油油藏的产油量和采收率无效的看法不能被概括为事实。
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引用次数: 4
Athabasca Toe-to-Heel Air Injection Pilot: Evaluation of the Spontaneous Ignition Based on Apparent Atomic Hydrogen-Carbon Ratio Variation 阿萨巴斯卡从头到脚跟空气喷射飞行员:基于表观原子氢碳比变化的自燃评价
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.2118/212267-pa
A. Turta, R. Sierra, Mohammad Safiqul Islam, A. Singhal
An in-depth analysis was performed to determine the ignition delay via the enhanced spontaneous ignition (ESI) method on three well pairs (each pair constituted by one vertical injector and one horizontal producer) belonging to the Toe-To-Heel Air Injection (THAI) pilot in Athabasca. ESI consisted of preheating of the surroundings of injection wells by injecting a steam slug for 3 to 4 months just before starting air injection. At first, the ignition delay had been determined based on both the oil production and on the bottomhole temperatures (BHTs) recorded in the observation wells as well as at the toe of the horizontal producer. For the purposes of this paper, a more rigorous evaluation was carried out based on the variation in time of the apparent atomic hydrogen-carbon ratio (AAHCR) calculated from detailed gas analyses for a long period of time. AAHCR is a very strong synthetic parameter giving a direct indication of the peak temperature value before, during, and after the in-situ combustion (ISC) front is generated. Therefore, it provides complete information on the occurrence of high-temperature oxidation and low-temperature oxidation (LTO) reactions. Using the variation of the AAHCR, it was found that the ignition time was shorter than those determined by the previously mentioned methods. In the case of first well pair, ignition took 3 weeks as compared to the 1 month determined by the previous methods. The second well pair ignited in 1 month as compared to the previously calculated 2 months, and for the third well pair, ignition time was approximately 2 months in both cases. As an additional and complementary approach, estimation of the ignition time was also based on the variation of individual components of the produced gas. This allowed for the discovery of a new method for ignition time determination. This was possible in the THAI process, unlike conventional ISC processes, significant concentrations of hydrogen (H2) are produced, and the interpretation of its variation can give an indication of the ignition time. The new method is very simple to use, as the percentage of hydrogen in the produced gas starts to take off only after the full establishment of an ISC front, as hydrogen production is associated with high-temperature bond scission reactions in the ISC front. In general, the ignition delay is overestimated to some degree when using this method.
研究人员对Athabasca的三对井(每对井由一个垂直注入器和一个水平生产器组成)进行了深入分析,通过增强自燃(ESI)方法确定了点火延迟。ESI包括在开始注空气之前,通过注入蒸汽段塞对注水井周围环境进行3到4个月的预热。首先,根据产油量和观察井以及水平井趾部记录的井底温度(bht)来确定点火延迟时间。本文根据长时间详细气体分析计算的表观原子氢碳比(AAHCR)随时间的变化进行了更严格的评价。AAHCR是一个非常强大的合成参数,可以直接指示原位燃烧(ISC)锋面产生之前、期间和之后的峰值温度。因此,它提供了关于高温氧化和低温氧化(LTO)反应发生的完整信息。利用AAHCR的变化,发现点火时间比上述方法确定的时间短。在第一口井对的情况下,点火时间为3周,而之前的方法确定的点火时间为1个月。与之前计算的2个月相比,第二对井的点火时间为1个月,而第三对井的点火时间约为2个月。作为一种附加和补充的方法,点火时间的估计也是基于产生的气体的各个成分的变化。这使得一种测定点火时间的新方法得以发现。这在THAI过程中是可能的,不像传统的ISC过程,产生显著浓度的氢(H2),其变化的解释可以给出点火时间的指示。新方法使用起来非常简单,因为只有在ISC锋面完全建立之后,产氢气体中的氢气百分比才开始上升,因为氢气的产生与ISC锋面的高温键断裂反应有关。一般情况下,使用这种方法时,会在一定程度上高估点火延迟。
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引用次数: 2
Oil Recovery by Low-Rate Waterflooding in Low-Permeability Water-Wet Sandstone Cores 低渗透水湿砂岩岩心低速率水驱采油研究
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.2118/209688-pa
P. Aslanidis, S. Strand, T. Puntervold, K. Yeboah, I. Souayeh
Smart water or low-salinity (LS) water injection are environmentally friendly methods for efficient hydrocarbon recovery. Wettability alteration toward more water-wet conditions and increased spontaneous imbibition (SI) of water are responsible for enhanced oil production. Wettability alteration and SI to expel oil from the low-permeability matrix are time-dependent processes and both injection rate and oil viscosity are important factors affecting the contribution of capillary and viscous forces to oil production. Low flooding rate must be applied in laboratory corefloods to allow for SI and improved sweep to take place. Residual oil saturation by waterflooding and SI has previously been determined in low-permeability limestone and in higher permeability sands under various flooding rates, wetting conditions, and initial oil saturations. In this study, the effect of flooding rate on oil displacement from low-permeability, water-wet Bandera Brown outcrop sandstone cores has been examined. Viscous forces have been varied by injection at two different rates in addition to SI experiments and using mineral oils with different oil viscosities. The results showed small differences in oil recovery by SI and viscous flooding at high and low rates, indicating that capillary forces contribute significantly to the oil mobilization and production process from this low-permeability, water-wet rock. By varying the oil viscosity, the results indicated that capillary forces were especially important for oil displacement at higher oil viscosity as the ultimate oil recovered by low-rate injection was higher than that from the high-rate injection. Capillary number calculations indicated that viscous forces should be dominant in the recovery tests; however, the experiments showed that capillary forces were important for efficient oil displacement from the low-permeability, water-wet cores used in this study. There was no direct link observed between generated pressure drops at high and low injection rates, including SI, and the ultimate oil recovery. Thus, to simulate oil production in the middle of the reservoir, it was concluded that low-rate waterflooding is needed in laboratory tests to allow SI into the matrix to displace oil by positive capillary forces. The combination of using oils that differ in viscosity at different injection rates could add some additional information to the literature on how to increase the efficiency of waterflooding with a low injection rate.
智能水或低矿化度(LS)注水是一种环保的高效油气开采方法。润湿性向更湿的水条件变化和水的自发吸胀(SI)增加是提高石油产量的原因。润湿性改变和从低渗透基质中驱油的SI是一个时变过程,注入速度和油粘度都是影响毛细力和粘滞力对石油生产贡献的重要因素。在实验室岩心驱油中,必须采用低驱油速率,以实现SI和改进的波及。在不同的驱油速率、润湿条件和初始含油饱和度下,通过水驱和SI测定了低渗透石灰岩和高渗透砂岩中的残余油饱和度。在本研究中,研究了驱油速率对低渗透、水湿的Bandera Brown露头砂岩岩心驱油的影响。除了SI实验和使用具有不同油粘度的矿物油外,还通过以两种不同的速率注入来改变粘滞力。结果表明,在高速率和低速率下,SI驱油和粘性驱油的采收率差异很小,这表明毛管力对这种低渗透、水湿岩石的石油动员和生产过程起着重要作用。通过改变油的粘度,结果表明毛细力对高油粘度下的驱油特别重要,因为低速率注入的最终采收率高于高速率注入的最终采收率。毛细管数计算表明,黏性力在采收率试验中占主导地位;然而,实验表明,毛细力对于本研究中使用的低渗透、水湿岩心的高效驱油非常重要。在高注入速率和低注入速率(包括SI)下产生的压降与最终采收率之间没有直接联系。因此,为了模拟储层中部的产油量,我们得出结论,在实验室测试中需要进行低速率水驱,以使SI进入基质,通过正毛细力取代油。在不同注入速率下使用不同粘度的油,可以为如何在低注入速率下提高水驱效率的文献提供一些额外的信息。
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引用次数: 3
Methods to Enhance Success of Field Application of In-Situ Combustion for Heavy Oil Recovery 提高原位燃烧稠油开采现场应用成功率的方法
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.2118/210600-pa
T. Harding
While much has been learned in the laboratory over the past four decades about the in-situ combustion (ISC) process, especially through carefully conducted physical model experiments, and many advancements in numerical simulation capability have been achieved, successful field application of ISC remains a rarity. This paper discusses challenges that have been faced in moving from laboratory to field and some strategies that may be used for improving the success rate. There is a brief discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of ISC as a recovery method and comparisons with steam injection, which is the dominant thermal recovery method used in the field. A discussion of the challenges and progress made in numerical simulation is provided with the suggestion that such mathematical modeling can now be a useful tool in designing field projects and can increase the probability of success. The needs of industry to operate safe, simple, and economically and environmentally sustainable projects are discussed along with the currently negative perception of the ISC process in industry. The paper makes some suggestions regarding how to address these issues. The main thesis of this paper is that air injection into a reservoir introduces a large amount of nitrogen that is detrimental to the displacement of oil, and oil recovery yet offers few, if any, advantages. Reducing the amount of noncondensable gas (NCG) associated with the process can be done mainly in two ways—by using oxygen-enriched air injection and furthermore by injecting a mixture of steam and oxygen-enriched air. The paper does not make a comprehensive review of past field projects but does include a summary of promising areas for future application of the ISC combustion recovery process.
虽然在过去的四十年里,人们对原位燃烧(ISC)过程有了很多了解,特别是通过仔细进行的物理模型实验,并且在数值模拟能力方面取得了许多进步,但ISC的成功现场应用仍然很少。本文讨论了从实验室转移到现场所面临的挑战,以及一些可能用于提高成功率的策略。简要讨论了ISC采油方法的优缺点,并与注汽采油方法进行了比较,注汽采油是目前油田采用的主要热采油方法。讨论了数值模拟所面临的挑战和取得的进展,并提出这种数学建模现在可以成为设计现场项目的有用工具,并可以增加成功的概率。讨论了工业对安全、简单、经济和环境可持续项目的需求,以及目前对工业中ISC过程的负面看法。本文就如何解决这些问题提出了一些建议。本文的主要论点是,向储层注入空气会引入大量氮气,这对石油的驱油是有害的,而且石油采收率几乎没有任何好处。减少与该工艺相关的不凝性气体(NCG)的量主要有两种方法:一是使用富氧空气注入,二是通过注入蒸汽和富氧空气的混合物。本文没有对过去的现场项目进行全面的回顾,但总结了ISC燃烧回收工艺未来应用的有前途的领域。
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引用次数: 2
Water Imbibition and Oil Recovery in Shale: Dynamics and Mechanisms Using Integrated Centimeter-to-Nanometer-Scale Imaging 页岩的吸水和采油:利用厘米到纳米尺度集成成像的动力学和机制
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2118/210567-pa
S. Peng, J. LaManna, P. Periwal, P. Shevchenko
Water imbibition, and the associated oil displacement, is an important process in shale oil reservoirs after hydraulic fracturing and in water-based enhanced oil recovery (EOR). Current techniques for water imbibition measurement are mostly “black-box”-type methods. A more explicit understanding of the water imbibition/oil recovery dynamics and geological controls is in demand. In this paper, a multiscale imaging technique that covers centimeter to nanometer scale (i.e., core to pore scale), integrating neutron radiography, microcomputed tomography (micro-CT), and scanning electron microscope (SEM) is applied to investigate the water imbibition depth and rate and the cause of heterogeneity of imbibition in shale samples. The dynamic processes of water imbibition in the 1-in. (25.4-mm) core sample were explicitly demonstrated, and the imbibition along the matrix and imbibition through microfractures are distinguished through neutron radiography image analysis. The causes of observed imbibition heterogeneity were further investigated through micro-CT and SEM image analysis for 1.5-mm diameter miniplug samples from different laminas of the 1-in. core samples. Imbibition depth and rate were calculated on the basis of image analysis as well. Estimation of oil recovery through water imbibition in shale matrix was performed for an example shale field. This innovative and integrated multiscale imaging technique provides a “white/gray-box” method to understand water imbibition and water-oil displacement in shale. The wide span of the length scale (from centimeter to nanometer) of this technique enables a more comprehensive, accurate, and specific understanding of both the core-scale dynamics and pore-scale mechanisms of water imbibition, oil recovery, and matrix-fracture interaction.
在页岩油藏水力压裂后以及水基提高采收率(EOR)过程中,吸水及驱油是一个重要的过程。目前的吸积测量技术大多是“黑盒”式的方法。需要更明确地了解吸水/采油动态和地质控制。本文采用从厘米到纳米尺度(岩心到孔隙尺度)的多尺度成像技术,结合中子x线摄影技术、微ct技术和扫描电镜技术,对页岩样品的渗吸深度、渗吸速率及渗吸非均质性原因进行了研究。研究了1-in井内吸水的动态过程。(25.4 mm)岩心样品清晰显示,并通过中子射线图像分析区分了沿基质渗吸和微裂缝渗吸。通过显微ct和SEM图像分析,对直径1.5 mm的1-in油管不同层状微塞样品进行了进一步研究。核心样品。在图像分析的基础上,计算了渗吸深度和渗吸速率。以某页岩油田为例,进行了页岩基质吸水采收率估算。这种创新的集成多尺度成像技术提供了一种“白/灰盒”方法来了解页岩的吸水性和水-油驱替。该技术的宽长度范围(从厘米到纳米)使我们能够更全面、更准确、更具体地了解岩心尺度动力学和孔隙尺度的吸水、采油和基质-裂缝相互作用机制。
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引用次数: 2
Neutron Response Modeling to Track Lean Gas Plume in Recycled Gas Cap Reservoir in Concurrent Gas Cap-Oil Rim Development: A Step Forward 气顶-油环同步开发中再生气顶油藏贫气羽流跟踪的中子响应模型研究进展
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2118/210566-pa
R. Reddy, Aditya Ojha, R. Nachiappan, S. Mengal, M. A. Al Hosani, A. A. Al Bairaq, M. Baslaib
Gas cap pressure maintenance while developing the associated oil rim is a critical aspect for optimum recovery. Preventing gas cap pressure dropping below dewpoint by injecting lean gas is essential for concurrent gas cap-oil rim development. Reservoir heterogeneity aggravates lean gas override causing preferential movement of lean gas plume. Thus, it is important to track lean gas plume while recycling and understanding the breakthrough potential of lean gas. This paper demonstrates a new workflow to track lean gas plume by estimating phase saturations with a case study from one of the giant oil and gas fields, Onshore, Abu Dhabi. Pulsed neutron capture (PNC) tools are used for reservoir monitoring and surveillance. However, sigma log evaluation is insufficient to derive individual hydrocarbon phase saturations to monitor lean gas plume. Neutron response modeling (NRM) is devised to differentiate between lean and rich gas. NRM is a probabilistic solver with input of mineral and fluid phase parameters into tool response functions in petrophysical evaluation. To distinguish with discrete neutron fluid response between lean and rich gas, pressure/volume/temperature (PVT) data are utilized to derive hydrogen index, capture cross section, thermal decay length, and neutron macro parameters, such as neutron slowing down length and migration length. Neutron response is investigated for lean and rich gas with sensitivity of invasion effects on neutron log by calibrating to core porosity. The response for each phase under thermal neutron and capture modes with corresponding raw neutron log statistics is reviewed in both openhole and casedhole environments in known lean/rich gas intervals. Thirty-five wells spread across gas cap and oil leg with quality neutron log data are modeled and individual phase saturations are estimated. The target reservoir is under development with over three decades of lean gas injection to support oil production. NRM results and phase saturations are validated with recent formation sampling, which enhanced the confidence in the overall workflow. Later, the results are verified to be in excellent agreement with lean gas injection and production history of the target reservoir. The identified movement of lean gas highlights nonuniform geology and gravity segregation of injected lean gas into upper members of the target reservoir. The results also emphasized the need for better injection support to lower members of the target reservoir where gas cap development is ongoing. The solution presented is unique, particularly for lean gas injection projects by utilizing PVT for NRM based on neutron transport mechanism in pore fluids. Existing workflows require a special nuclear modeling platform with computationally expensive processing on data sets acquired using advanced logging technology. In spite of these prerequisites, existing workflows are not able to distinguish lean gas over rich gas. This paper effectively demonstrates NR
在开发伴生油环的同时保持气顶压力是实现最佳采收率的关键因素。通过注入贫气防止气顶压力降至露点以下是气顶油环同步开发的关键。储层非均质性加剧了贫气覆盖,导致贫气羽流优先运动。因此,在回收利用的同时跟踪贫气羽流并了解贫气的突破潜力是非常重要的。本文以阿布扎比陆上一个大型油气田为例,介绍了一种通过估算相饱和度来跟踪贫气羽流的新工作流程。脉冲中子捕获(PNC)工具用于油藏监测和监视。然而,σ测井评价不足以得出单个烃相饱和度来监测贫气羽流。中子响应模型(NRM)用于区分贫气和富气。在岩石物理评价中,NRM是一种将矿物和流体相参数输入到工具响应函数中的概率求解器。为了区分贫气和富气的离散中子流体响应,利用压力/体积/温度(PVT)数据推导出氢指数、俘获截面、热衰变长度以及中子慢化长度和迁移长度等中子宏观参数。通过对岩心孔隙度的标定,研究了贫气和富气对中子测井侵入效应的敏感性。在已知贫/富气层段的裸眼和套管井环境中,利用相应的原始中子测井统计数据,回顾了热中子和捕获模式下每个相的响应。利用高质量的中子测井资料对分布在气顶和油腿上的35口井进行了建模,并估计了各个相的饱和度。目标储层正在开发中,已经进行了30多年的贫气注入以支持石油生产。通过最近的地层采样验证了NRM结果和相饱和度,从而增强了对整个工作流程的信心。随后,结果与目标储层的注贫气和生产历史非常吻合。识别出的贫气运动凸显了注入到目标储层上部的贫气地质不均匀性和重力偏析性。研究结果还强调了对正在进行气顶开发的目标储层下部进行更好的注入支持的必要性。提出的解决方案是独一无二的,特别是在贫气注入项目中,利用PVT进行基于孔隙流体中中子输运机制的NRM。现有的工作流程需要一个特殊的核建模平台,对使用先进测井技术获得的数据集进行处理,计算成本很高。尽管有这些先决条件,现有的工作流程无法区分贫气和富气。本文有效地展示了利用中子测井区分贫气羽流和富气羽流的NRM工作流程,并揭示了令人信服的油藏管理见解。该工作流程的敏感性研究和实用性凸显了中子测井在成熟油田中的基础性重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Ensemble Machine Learning for Predicting Viscosity of Nanoparticle-Surfactant-Stabilized CO2 Foam 预测纳米颗粒-表面活性剂稳定CO2泡沫粘度的集成机器学习
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2118/210577-pa
T. Olukoga, Micheal Totaro, Yin Feng
This paper investigates the computational behaviors of simple-to-use, relatively fast, and versatile machine learning (ML) methods to predict apparent viscosity, a key rheological property of nanoparticle-surfactant-stabilized CO2 foam in unconventional reservoir fracturing. The first novelty of our study is the investigation of the predictive performance of ML approaches as viable alternatives for predicting the apparent viscosity of NP-Surf-CO2 foams. The predictive and computational performance of five nonlinear ML algorithms were first compared. Support vector regression (SVR), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), classification and regression trees (CART), feed-forward multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN), and multivariate polynomial regression (MPR) algorithms were used to create models. Temperature, foam quality, pressure, salinity, shear rate, nanoparticle size, nanoparticle concentration, and surfactant concentration were identified as relevant input parameters using principal component analysis (PCA). A data set containing 329 experimental data records was used in the study. In building the models, 80% of the data set was used for training and 20% of the data set for testing. Another unique aspect of this research is the examination of diverse ensemble learning techniques for improving computational performance. We developed meta-models of the generated models by implementing various ensemble learning algorithms (bagging, boosting, and stacking). This was done to explore and compare the computational and predictive performance enhancements of the base models (if any). To determine the relative significance of the input parameters on prediction accuracy, we used permutation feature importance (PFI). We also investigated how the SVR model made its predictions by utilizing the SHapely Additive exPlanations (SHAP) technique to quantify the influence of each input parameter on prediction. This work’s application of the SHAP approach in the interpretation of ML findings in predicting apparent viscosity is also novel. On the test data, the SVR model in this work had the best predictive performance of the single models, with an R2 of 0.979, root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.885 cp, and mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.320 cp. Blending, a variant of the stacking ensemble technique, significantly improved this performance. With an R2 of 1.0, RMSE of 0.094 cp, and MAE of 0.087 cp, an SVR-based meta-model ensembled with blending outperformed all single and ensemble models in predicting apparent viscosity. However, in terms of computational time, the blended SVR-based meta-model did not outperform any of its constituent models. PCA and PFI ranked temperature as the most important factor in predicting the apparent viscosity of NP-Surf-CO2 foams. The ML approach used in this study provides a comprehensive understanding of the nonlinear relationship between the investigated factors and apparent viscosity. The workflow can be used to evaluate the ap
本文研究了使用简单、相对快速、通用的机器学习(ML)方法预测表观粘度的计算行为,表观粘度是非常规油藏压裂中纳米颗粒-表面活性剂稳定的CO2泡沫的关键流变性能。我们研究的第一个新颖之处是研究ML方法作为预测NP-Surf-CO2泡沫表观粘度的可行替代方法的预测性能。首先比较了五种非线性机器学习算法的预测性能和计算性能。采用支持向量回归(SVR)、k近邻(KNN)、分类与回归树(CART)、前馈多层感知器神经网络(MLPNN)和多元多项式回归(MPR)算法建立模型。使用主成分分析(PCA)确定温度、泡沫质量、压力、盐度、剪切速率、纳米颗粒大小、纳米颗粒浓度和表面活性剂浓度作为相关输入参数。本研究使用了包含329个实验数据记录的数据集。在构建模型时,80%的数据集用于训练,20%的数据集用于测试。本研究的另一个独特方面是对各种集成学习技术的检验,以提高计算性能。我们通过实现各种集成学习算法(bagging, boosting和stacking)来开发生成模型的元模型。这样做是为了探索和比较基本模型(如果有的话)的计算和预测性能增强。为了确定输入参数对预测精度的相对重要性,我们使用了排列特征重要性(PFI)。我们还研究了SVR模型如何通过利用SHapely加性解释(SHAP)技术来量化每个输入参数对预测的影响来进行预测。这项工作的应用SHAP方法在解释ML发现预测表观粘度也是新颖的。在测试数据上,本文的SVR模型的预测性能最好,R2为0.979,均方根误差(RMSE)为0.885 cp,平均绝对误差(MAE)为0.320 cp。混合是叠加集成技术的一种变体,显著提高了这一性能。R2为1.0,RMSE为0.094 cp, MAE为0.087 cp,基于svr的混合元模型在预测表观粘度方面优于所有单一模型和集合模型。然而,在计算时间方面,基于svr的混合元模型并不优于其任何组成模型。PCA和PFI认为温度是预测NP-Surf-CO2泡沫表观粘度的最重要因素。本研究中使用的ML方法提供了对所研究因素与表观粘度之间非线性关系的全面理解。该工作流程可用于高效评价NP-Surf-CO2泡沫压裂液的表观粘度。
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引用次数: 0
Practical Bayesian Inversions for Rock Composition and Petrophysical Endpoints in Multimineral Analysis 多矿物分析中岩石组成和岩石物理端点的实用贝叶斯反演
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2118/210576-pa
Liwei Cheng, G. Jin, R. Michelena, A. Tura
Rock composition can be related to conventional well logs through theoretical equations and petrophysical endpoints. Multimineral analysis is a formation evaluation tool that uses inversions to quantify rock composition from well logs. However, because of data errors and the multivariate selection of petrophysical endpoints, solutions from the multimineral analysis are nonunique. Many plausible realizations exhibit comparable data misfits. Therefore, the uncertainties in rock composition and petrophysical endpoints must be quantified but cannot be fulfilled by deterministic solvers. Stochastic Bayesian methods have been applied to assess the uncertainties, but the high run time, tedious parameter tuning, and need for specific prior information hinder their practical use. We implement Markov chain Monte Carlo with ensemble samplers (MCMCES) to assess the uncertainties of rock composition or petrophysical endpoints in the Bayesian framework. The resultant posterior probability density functions (PDFs) quantify the uncertainties. Our method has fewer tuning parameters and is more efficient in convergence than the conventional random walk Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in high-dimensional problems. We present two independent applications of MCMCES in multimineral analysis. We first apply MCMCES to assess the uncertainties in volume fractions with a suite of well logs and petrophysical endpoints. However, defining the petrophysical endpoints can be challenging in complex geological settings because the values of standard endpoints may not be optimal. Next, we use MCMCES to estimate petrophysical endpoints’ posterior PDFs when the endpoints are uncertain. Our methods provide posterior volume-fraction or petrophysical-endpoint realizations for interpreters to evaluate multimineral solutions. We demonstrate our approach with synthetic and field examples. Reproducible results are supplemented with the paper.
岩石成分可以通过理论方程和岩石物理端点与常规测井相关联。多矿物分析是一种地层评价工具,利用反演来量化测井资料中的岩石成分。然而,由于数据误差和岩石物理端点的多元选择,多矿物分析的解决方案并不唯一。许多看似合理的实现都显示出类似的数据不匹配。因此,岩石组成和岩石物理端点的不确定性必须量化,但不能用确定性求解器来实现。随机贝叶斯方法已被应用于评估不确定性,但其运行时间长、参数调整繁琐、需要特定的先验信息等问题阻碍了其实际应用。我们使用集合采样器(MCMCES)实现了马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗,以评估贝叶斯框架中岩石成分或岩石物理端点的不确定性。由此产生的后验概率密度函数(pdf)量化了不确定性。在高维问题中,该方法比传统的随机行走马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法具有更少的可调参数和更高的收敛效率。我们介绍了MCMCES在多矿物分析中的两个独立应用。我们首先应用MCMCES通过一系列测井和岩石物理端点来评估体积分数的不确定性。然而,在复杂的地质环境中,岩石物理端点的定义是具有挑战性的,因为标准端点的值可能不是最优的。接下来,当端点不确定时,我们使用MCMCES来估计岩石物理端点的后验pdf。我们的方法为解释人员评估多矿物溶液提供了后验体积分数或岩石物理端点实现。我们用综合和现场实例来说明我们的方法。本文补充了可重复的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Rate-Pseudopressure Deconvolution Enhances Rate-Time Models Production History-Matches and Forecasts of Shale Gas Wells 速率-伪压力反褶积改进了页岩气井的速率-时间模型、生产历史匹配和预测
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2118/208967-pa
L. R. Ruiz Maraggi, L. Lake, M. Walsh
Physics-based and empirical rate-time models inherently assume constant bottomhole flowing pressure (BHP), an assumption that may not hold for many unconventional wells. Hence, applying these models without accounting for BHP variations might lead to inaccurate (a) flow regime identification, (b) estimation of the parameters of these models, and (c) estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) and drainage volumes. This study evaluates and compares the predictions of rate-time relations including and ignoring corrections for time-varying BHP for both synthetic and shale gas wells. We generate a real gas synthetic case with errors in the time-varying BHP. First, we convert pressures into pseudopressures. Second, we deconvolve the pseudopressure history by applying the regularized exponential basis function inverse scheme to obtain an equivalent rate—the unit-pseudopressure-drop rate at standard conditions—at constant BHP. Third, we history match the production using the scaled single-phase compressible fluid physics-based model for three different approaches: (a) using rate-time-pressure data with rate-pseudopressure deconvolution, (b) using rate-time-pressure data using just rate-pressure deconvolution, and (c) using only rate-time data. Finally, we compare the results in terms of their history matches and estimated reservoir parameters. We conclude by illustrating the application of this procedure to shale gas wells. For the synthetic case, the fit of the single-phase compressible fluid rate-time model using rate-pseudopressure deconvolution can accurately estimate the original gas in place, characteristic time, gas permeability, and fracture half-length. In contrast, considerable errors are noted when either using rate-pressure deconvolution or failing to account for variable BHP. Regarding the shale gas examples, the rate-pseudopressure deconvolution scheme accurately identifies the flow regimes present in the well, which can be difficult to detect by only analyzing rate-time data. For this reason, the fits of the scaled single-phase compressible fluid model using only rate-time result in unreasonably large estimates of the reservoir parameters and EUR. In contrast, the application of rate-pseudopressure deconvolution constrains the fits of the single-phase compressible fluid model yielding more realistic estimates of the time of end of transient flow, and EUR. This paper illustrates the application of a workflow that accounts for variable BHP by estimating an equivalent constant unit-pseudopressure-drop gas rate (at standard conditions). We illustrate the workflow for a particular decline-curve model, but the workflow is general and can be applied to any rate-time model. The approach history matches and forecasts the production of unconventional gas reservoirs using rate-time models more accurately than assuming constant BHP.
基于物理和经验的速度-时间模型固有地假设井底流动压力(BHP)恒定,这一假设可能不适用于许多非常规井。因此,在不考虑BHP变化的情况下应用这些模型可能会导致不准确的(a)流态识别,(b)这些模型参数的估计,以及(c)估计的最终采收率(EUR)和排量。本研究对合成气井和页岩气井的速度-时间关系预测进行了评估和比较,包括和忽略了对时变BHP的修正。我们生成了一个具有时变BHP误差的真实气体合成案例。首先,我们把压力转换成伪压力。其次,我们通过应用正则化指数基函数逆格式对伪压力历史进行反卷积,以获得恒定BHP下标准条件下的等效速率-单位伪压降速率。第三,我们使用基于单相可压缩流体物理模型的三种不同方法对产量进行历史匹配:(a)使用速率-时间-压力数据与速率-伪压力反褶积,(b)使用速率-时间-压力数据仅使用速率-压力反褶积,(c)仅使用速率-时间数据。最后,我们比较了它们的历史匹配结果和估计的储层参数。最后,我们举例说明了该方法在页岩气井中的应用。在综合情况下,采用速率-伪压力反褶积方法拟合单相可压缩流体速率-时间模型,可以准确估计原始含气量、特征时间、渗透率和裂缝半长。相比之下,当使用速率压力反褶积或未考虑可变BHP时,会注意到相当大的错误。对于页岩气的例子,速率-伪压力反褶积方案可以准确识别井中存在的流动形式,而仅通过分析速率-时间数据很难检测到这一点。因此,仅使用速率时间拟合缩放单相可压缩流体模型会导致对储层参数和EUR的不合理的大估计。相比之下,速率-伪压力反褶积的应用限制了单相可压缩流体模型的拟合,从而对瞬态流动的结束时间和EUR进行了更真实的估计。本文阐述了一种工作流程的应用,该工作流程通过估算等效恒定单位假压降气速(在标准条件下)来考虑可变BHP。我们举例说明了一个特定的下降曲线模型的工作流,但工作流是通用的,可以应用于任何速率-时间模型。该方法使用速率-时间模型来匹配和预测非常规气藏的产量,比假设BHP恒定更准确。
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引用次数: 1
A Deep Learning Framework Using Graph Convolutional Networks for Adaptive Correction of Interwell Connectivity and Gated Recurrent Unit for Performance Prediction 使用图卷积网络自适应校正井间连通性和门控循环单元进行性能预测的深度学习框架
IF 2.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2118/210575-pa
Leding Du, Yuetian Liu, Liang Xue, Guohui You
Oilfield development performance prediction is a significant and complex problem in oilfield development. Reasonable prediction of oilfield development performance can guide the adjustment of the development plan. Moreover, the reservoir will change slowly during reservoir development because of flowing water however, previous networks that forecast production dynamics ignored it, which leads to inaccurate predictions. Routine well-wise injection and production measurements contain important subsurface structure and properties. So, for the dynamic prediction of oil/water two-phase waterflooded reservoirs, we built a deep learning framework named adaptive correction interwell connectivity model based on graph convolutional networks (GCN) and gated recurrent unit (GRU). It includes two parts: The first part is the adaptive correction model based on GCN, which uses dynamic production data to automatically correct the initial interwell connectivity computed by permeability, porosity, interwell distance, and so on. The second part is the adaptive learning model based on GRU, which predicts the production performance of oil wells according to the time characteristics of production performance data. This framework considers the influence that changes in reservoir conditions have on production over time to solve the problem of inaccurate production dynamic prediction. It can also predict interwell connectivity. For oilfields with too many wells, using the embedding idea classifies similar wells into one category, saving time for training and avoiding overfitting problems. Applying the model to five different reservoirs to predict interwell connectivity, well oil production rate, and well water cut compare the results with artificial neural networks (ANN), GRU, and long short-term memory (LSTM) models and compare the interwell connectivity with numerical simulation software ,tNavigator® (Rock Flow Dynamics Llc), too. When the model is applied in Block B of Bohai A reservoir, the mean absolute percentage error of “Adaptive Graph convolutional network and GRU” (AG-GRU) is 2.1150% while the LSTM is 9.8872%. The error reduces by 78.6%. The injected water has a direction from the water injection well to the production well; this paper only considers the interwell connectivity without considering the direction. Further research is needed to consider the water injection direction and form a weighted directed graph.
油田开发动态预测是油田开发中一个重要而复杂的问题。合理预测油田开发动态可以指导开发方案的调整。此外,由于流动的水,油藏在开发过程中变化缓慢,然而,以前预测生产动态的网络忽略了这一点,导致预测不准确。常规的注入和生产测量包含了重要的地下结构和性质。为此,针对油水两相水淹油藏动态预测,建立了基于图卷积网络(GCN)和门控循环单元(GRU)的自适应校正井间连通性深度学习框架。该模型包括两个部分:第一部分是基于GCN的自适应校正模型,利用动态生产数据对渗透率、孔隙度、井间距离等计算得到的初始井间连通性进行自动校正。第二部分是基于GRU的自适应学习模型,根据油井生产动态数据的时间特征对油井生产动态进行预测。该框架考虑了油藏条件随时间变化对产量的影响,以解决生产动态预测不准确的问题。它还可以预测井间连通性。对于井数较多的油田,利用嵌入思想将相似的井归为一类,节省了训练时间,避免了过拟合问题。将该模型应用于5个不同的油藏,以预测井间连通性、油井产油量和井含水,并将结果与人工神经网络(ANN)、GRU和长短期记忆(LSTM)模型进行比较,并与数值模拟软件tNavigator®(Rock Flow Dynamics Llc)进行比较。将该模型应用于渤海A油藏B区块,“自适应图卷积网络与GRU”(AG-GRU)模型的平均绝对百分比误差为2.1150%,LSTM模型的平均绝对百分比误差为9.8872%。误差减少了78.6%。注入水具有从注水井到生产井的方向;本文只考虑井间连通性,未考虑方向。需要进一步研究考虑注水方向,形成加权有向图。
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引用次数: 5
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SPE Reservoir Evaluation & Engineering
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