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Dying Declarations: A Comparative Analysis of Admissibility and Evidentiary Value 临终遗言:可采性与证据价值的比较分析
Pub Date : 2020-06-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3638815
Aditi Agarwal
This research paper aims to deliver a comparative analysis of three common law jurisdictions, namely, India, the U.S., and the U.K., regarding the admissibility and evidentiary value of dying declarations in the legal system. The scope for studying admissibility has been limited to the nature of proceedings, the death of the declarant, the expectation of death, and the cause or circumstances resulting in the declarant’s death. 
本文旨在对印度、美国和英国这三个英美法系国家的法律体系中死亡声明的可采性和证据价值进行比较分析。研究可否受理的范围限于诉讼的性质、声明人的死亡、对死亡的预期以及导致声明人死亡的原因或情况。
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引用次数: 0
Probability, Presumptions and Evidentiary Burdens in Antitrust Analysis: Revitalizing the Rule of Reason for Exclusionary Conduct 反垄断分析中的概率、推定与举证责任:重振排他行为的理性规则
Pub Date : 2020-01-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3523361
Andrew I. Gavil, S. Salop
The conservative critique of antitrust law has been highly influential and has facilitated a transformation of antitrust standards of conduct since the 1970s and led to increasingly more permissive standards of conduct. While these changes have taken many forms, all were influenced by the view that competition law was over-deterrent. Critics relied heavily on the assumption that the durability and costs of false positive errors far exceeded those of false negatives. Many of the assumptions that guided this retrenchment of antitrust rules were mistaken and advances in the law and in economic analysis have rendered them anachronistic, particularly with respect to exclusionary conduct. Continued reliance on what are now exaggerated fears of “false positives,” and failure adequately to consider the harm from “false negatives,” has led courts to impose excessive demands of proof on plaintiffs that belie both established procedural norms and sound economic analysis. The result is not better and more reasonable antitrust standards, but instead an embedded ideological preference for non-intervention that creates a tendency toward false negatives, particularly in modern markets characterized by economies of scale and network effects. In this article, we explain how these erroneous assumptions about markets, institutions, and conduct have distorted the antitrust decision-making process and produced an excessive risk of false negatives in exclusionary conduct cases involving firms attempting to achieve, maintain, or enhance dominance or substantial market power. To redress this imbalance, we integrate modern economic analysis and the teaching of decision theory with the foundational conventions of antitrust law, which has long relied on probability, presumptions, and reasonable inferences to provide more effective means for evaluating competitive effects and resolving antitrust claims.
自20世纪70年代以来,保守派对反垄断法的批评影响很大,促进了反垄断行为标准的转变,并导致了越来越多的宽松行为标准。虽然这些变化采取了多种形式,但都受到竞争法具有过度威慑力这一观点的影响。批评者严重依赖于假阳性错误的持久性和成本远远超过假阴性错误的假设。指导这种紧缩反垄断规则的许多假设是错误的,法律和经济分析的进步使它们变得不合时宜,特别是在排他性行为方面。继续依赖现在被夸大的对“假阳性”的恐惧,以及未能充分考虑“假阴性”的危害,导致法院对原告提出过多的证据要求,这些要求既不符合既定的程序规范,也不符合合理的经济分析。其结果不是更好、更合理的反垄断标准,而是一种根深蒂固的对不干预的意识形态偏好,这种偏好造成了一种假否定的倾向,尤其是在以规模经济和网络效应为特征的现代市场中。在本文中,我们解释了这些关于市场、制度和行为的错误假设如何扭曲了反垄断决策过程,并在涉及试图实现、维持或增强主导地位或实质性市场力量的公司的排他性行为案件中产生了过度的假阴性风险。为了纠正这种不平衡,我们将现代经济分析和决策理论教学与反垄断法的基本惯例相结合,反垄断法长期依赖于概率、假设和合理推论,为评估竞争影响和解决反垄断诉讼提供更有效的手段。
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引用次数: 12
The Development of Payment Systems in Tanzania: A Discussion on the Laws Governing Electronic Cheque Tanzania 坦桑尼亚支付系统的发展:关于坦桑尼亚电子支票法律的讨论
Pub Date : 2018-09-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3254257
Asherry Magalla
This paper is about the potential understanding of the development of Information and Communication Technology in Tanzania, e-payment (electronic cheque) respectively. Further, the paper assesses the development of cheque system (origin, meaning, and forms of cheque) from traditional means to modern means that is electronic cheque system and the law governing it. The most important part of the paper is on the analysis of the laws dealing with electronic cheque and the admissibility of an electronic cheque system in Tanzania, particularly on how these new laws (the Electronic Transactions Act No.13 of 2015, the National Payment Systems Act NO.4 of 2015, Cyber Crime Act, No.14 of 2015, the Tanzania Automated Clearing House Rules and other related laws) which have provided for the same. The questions guiding this paper are, whether the electronic cheque system in Tanzania is protected by the law, whether the law has provided for the conditions for electronic cheque, whether we have electronic clearing house and system and whether electronic cheque can be admissible before the court of law as evidence in both civil and criminal action. As the fact that electronic cheque is discussed, then we cannot escape a briefly details on electronic evidence, as electronic cheque may form part and parcel of electronic evidence when required to be so.
本文是关于坦桑尼亚信息和通信技术发展的潜在认识,电子支付(电子支票)分别。其次,本文对支票制度的发展历程(支票的起源、含义和形式)从传统手段到现代手段即电子支票制度及其规律进行了评价。本文最重要的部分是对坦桑尼亚处理电子支票和电子支票系统的可接受性的法律进行分析,特别是这些新法律(2015年第13号电子交易法,2015年第4号国家支付系统法案,2015年第14号网络犯罪法,坦桑尼亚自动票据交换所规则和其他相关法律)如何提供相同的。坦桑尼亚的电子支票制度是否受到法律的保护,法律是否规定了电子支票的条件,我们是否有电子票据交换所和系统,电子支票在民事和刑事诉讼中是否可以作为证据被法院采纳。既然讨论了电子支票这一事实,那么我们就不能不简要介绍一下电子证据的细节,因为电子支票在需要时可以成为电子证据的重要组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
Court-Appointed Experts and Accuracy in Adversarial Litigation 法院指定专家与对抗性诉讼的准确性
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2777114
Chulyoung Kim, Paul S. Koh
Concerned about evidence distortion arising from litigants' strong incentive to misrepresent information to fact-finders, legal scholars and commentators have long suggested that the court appoint its own advisor for a neutral piece of information about the dispute. This paper studies the incentive problem faced by the litigants when the judge seeks advice from the court-appointed expert. Within a standard litigation game framework, we find a trade-off in utilizing the court-appointed expert: although it helps the judge obtain more information overall, thereby reducing the number of mistakes at trial, it hampers the litigants' incentive to supply expert information, which undermines the adversarial nature of the current American legal system.
由于担心诉讼当事人强烈倾向于向事实调查员提供虚假信息,从而导致证据失真,法律学者和评论人士长期以来一直建议,最高法院应任命自己的顾问,提供有关争议的中立信息。本文研究了法官向法院指定的专家征求意见时当事人面临的激励问题。在标准的诉讼博弈框架中,我们发现利用法院指定的专家是一种权衡:尽管它有助于法官总体上获得更多信息,从而减少审判中的错误数量,但它阻碍了诉讼当事人提供专家信息的动机,从而破坏了当前美国法律制度的对抗性。
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引用次数: 0
Presumption of Negligence 过失推定
Pub Date : 2017-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2577416
Alice Guerra, Barbara Luppi, F. Parisi
This paper is about the incentive effects of legal presumptions. We analyze three interrelated effects of legal presumptions in a tort setting: (1) incentives to invest in evidence technology; (2) incentives to invest in care-type precautions; and (3) incentives to mitigate excessive activity levels. We suggest that the overlooked interaction between evidence and substantive tort rules is an important dimension that should inform the choice of legal presumptions. After considering the traditional factors that guide the choice of legal presumptions in tort law, we introduce the concept of “best discovery-bearer” to capture some of the factors that should guide the choice of legal presumptions. According to our analysis, the best-discovery-bearer criterion requires a shift of the burden of proof to the parties (a) who can most effectively invest in evidence technology; (b) whose precautions are more inelastic relative to discovery errors; and (c) who are not already burdened by the residual liability.
本文研究的是法律假设的激励效应。我们分析了侵权环境中法律假设的三个相互关联的影响:(1)激励证据技术的投资;(2)鼓励投资于护理型预防措施;(3)减轻过度活动水平的激励措施。我们认为,证据和实体侵权规则之间被忽视的相互作用是一个重要的维度,应该为法律推定的选择提供信息。在考察了侵权法中指导法律推定选择的传统因素之后,我们引入了“最佳发现承担者”的概念,以捕捉指导法律推定选择的一些因素。根据我们的分析,最佳发现承担者标准要求将举证责任转移给(a)能够最有效地投资于证据技术的各方;(b)其预防措施相对于发现错误更为缺乏弹性;(c)尚未承担剩余负债的人。
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引用次数: 2
Behavioral Probability 行为概率
Pub Date : 2016-08-01 DOI: 10.4337/9781849805681.00008
Alex Stein
Throughout their long history, humans have worked hard to tame chance. They adapted to their uncertain physical and social environments by using the method of trial and error. This evolutionary process made humans reason about uncertain facts the way they do. Behavioral economists argue that humans’ natural selection of their prevalent mode of reasoning wasn’t wise. They censure this mode of reasoning for violating the canons of mathematical probability that a rational person must obey. This chapter challenges both parts of this ambitious claim. Based on the insights from probability theory and the philosophy of induction, I argue that a rational person need not apply mathematical probability in making decisions about individual causes and effects. Instead, she should be free to use common sense reasoning that generally aligns with causative probability. I also show that behavioral experiments uniformly miss their target when they ask reasoners to extract probability from information that combines causal evidence with statistical data. Because it is perfectly rational for a person focusing on a specific event to prefer causal evidence to general statistics, those experiments establish no deviations from rational reasoning. Those experiments are also flawed in that they do not separate the reasoners’ unreflective beliefs from rule-driven acceptances. The behavioral economists’ claim that people are probabilistically challenged consequently remains unproven.
在漫长的历史中,人类一直在努力驯服机遇。他们通过试错法来适应不确定的自然环境和社会环境。这一进化过程使人类以自己的方式对不确定的事实进行推理。行为经济学家认为,人类对其普遍推理模式的自然选择是不明智的。他们谴责这种推理模式违反了一个理性的人必须遵守的数学概率法则。本章挑战了这一雄心勃勃的主张的两个部分。基于概率论和归纳法哲学的见解,我认为一个理性的人不需要运用数学概率来决定个人的因果关系。相反,她应该可以自由地使用通常与因果概率一致的常识性推理。我还表明,当行为实验要求推理者从结合因果证据和统计数据的信息中提取概率时,行为实验总是偏离目标。因为对于一个专注于特定事件的人来说,比起一般的统计数据,更喜欢因果证据是完全理性的,所以这些实验没有偏离理性推理。这些实验也有缺陷,因为它们没有将推理者的非反思信念与规则驱动的接受区分开来。因此,行为经济学家关于人们受到概率挑战的说法仍未得到证实。
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引用次数: 0
Communication and Interpretation Challenges Related to Economic Evidence in Trade Disputes 贸易争端中与经济证据相关的沟通和解释挑战
Pub Date : 2015-12-02 DOI: 10.1017/9781316534922.009
Marios C Iacovides, M. Jansen
Recent years have witnessed numerous instances in which economic evidence has been submitted to adjudicators in the context of WTO disputes. As it turns out, adjudicators have used this evidence only hesitantly as a basis for their decisions. In this paper we argue that a number of communication and interpretation challenges arising from the use of quantitative economic evidence can explain this phenomenon. In particular, we argue that it is in the current context difficult for adjudicators to assess the reliability and (un)biasedness of such evidence. Guidelines on how to assess quantitative evidence and benchmarks against which to evaluate the quality of such evidence may represent a useful if not necessary step in order to raise the acceptance of the use of quantitative evidence in trade disputes.
近年来,在世贸组织争端的背景下,有许多经济证据被提交给裁决机构的案例。事实证明,法官们只是犹豫不决地将这一证据作为他们做出决定的基础。在本文中,我们认为,由于使用定量经济证据而产生的一些沟通和解释挑战可以解释这一现象。特别是,我们认为,在目前的情况下,审查员很难评估这些证据的可靠性和(无)偏见。关于如何评估定量证据的准则和用以评估此类证据质量的基准可能是一个有用的步骤,即使不是必要的步骤,以提高对在贸易争端中使用定量证据的接受程度。
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引用次数: 1
Copyright, Causality, and the Courts 版权、因果关系和法院
Pub Date : 2014-03-08 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2406392
M. Einhorn
Reviews statute and common law decisions as they relate to the court's discernment of a causal connection from a copyright infringement to defendant revenues.
审查成文法和普通法判决,因为它们涉及法院对版权侵权与被告收入之间因果关系的判断。
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引用次数: 0
Litigating Article III Standing: A Proposed Solution to the Serious (But Unrecognized) Separation-of-Powers Problem 诉讼第三条地位:解决严重(但未得到承认的)三权分立问题的建议
Pub Date : 2013-08-27 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2318806
Martin H. Redish, Sopan Joshi
The various doctrines of subject-matter jurisdiction represent some of the most important limitations on the powers of the federal judiciary, and the Supreme Court has repeatedly said that Article III standing, which enforces the Constitution’s “case or controversy” requirement, is the most important of these jurisdictional doctrines. So a federal court that exercises its coercive power over litigants by entering a final judgment without first ensuring that the plaintiff has Article III standing would plainly violate the separation of powers. This much should be indisputable. But what if a federal court exercises its coercive power over litigants before entry of final judgment — say, by unlocking the doors to general discovery that is likely to be so expensive that it effectively coerces the defendant into an in terrorem settlement of a weak claim? Simple logic would suggest that the court should correspondingly shift earlier its resolution of the plaintiff’s Article III standing as well. Yet courts inexplicably defer resolving contested issues of standing when raised by defendants, instead treating Article III standing as if it were just another merits issue: something to be plausibly alleged in a complaint, supported by substantial evidence (taken as true) at summary judgment, and eventually proved by a preponderance of evidence at trial. We argue that this approach is wrong, because it potentially subjects litigants to years of coercive proceedings absent a genuine case or controversy. Instead, we propose that courts exclusively and definitively resolve contested issues of Article III standing, no matter when they arise in the litigation, using Rule 12(b)(1) of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure — including by holding evidentiary hearings and making credibility determinations as necessary. This approach would ensure that courts do not stray beyond the constitutionally dictated boundaries of their power by coercively affecting the primary conduct of litigants without first ensuring the existence of a genuine case or controversy.
关于主体管辖权的各种理论代表了对联邦司法权力的一些最重要的限制,最高法院一再表示,执行宪法“案件或争议”要求的第三条地位是这些司法理论中最重要的。因此,联邦法院在没有首先确保原告具有第三条地位的情况下就作出最终判决,从而对诉讼当事人行使其强制性权力,这显然违反了三权分立。这一点应该是无可争辩的。但是,如果联邦法院在进入最终判决之前就对诉讼当事人行使其强制性权力——比如,通过打开普遍发现的大门,而这种发现很可能非常昂贵,从而有效地迫使被告就一项薄弱的索赔达成可怕的和解,那该怎么办?简单的逻辑表明,法院也应该相应地提前对原告的第三条地位作出裁决。然而,当被告提出诉讼时,法院却莫名其妙地推迟解决有争议的诉讼地位问题,而是将第三条诉讼地位视为另一个是非事实问题:在诉讼中有合理的主张,在即决判决中有大量证据(被认为是真实的)支持,并最终在审判中得到证据优势的证明。我们认为这种做法是错误的,因为它可能会使诉讼当事人在没有真正案件或争议的情况下遭受多年的强制诉讼。相反,我们建议法院根据《联邦民事诉讼规则》第12(b)(1)条的规定,排他性地、明确地解决第三条规定的争议性问题,无论这些争议性问题何时出现在诉讼中,包括举行证据听证会并在必要时作出可信度决定。这种做法将确保法院不会越过宪法规定的权力界限,在没有首先确保存在真正的案件或争议的情况下,强行影响诉讼当事人的主要行为。
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引用次数: 0
Neglect the Base Rate: It's the Law! 忽略基本利率:这是法律!
Pub Date : 2012-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2192423
C. Engel
If accurate prediction is the goal, and if information about the unconditional probability of the predicted event is available, a strong case can be made for using this information, i.e. for a Bayesian approach to inference. Not so rarely, the law calls for accurate prediction, e.g. if a bailing decision hinges on an estimate of recidivism risk. Yet for other questions of law, and for the law of evidence in particular, accuracy is not the exclusive goal. Substantive law determines who should bear the risk that doubt cannot be removed. These rules decide whether several individuals, or several acts for that matter, shall be treated as members of a class. Applying Bayes’ rule also implicitly treats the person or the action in question as a member of a class. If in conflict, the normative decision of substantive law overrides Bayes’ rule, and forces judges and administrators to neglect the base rate.
如果准确的预测是目标,并且关于预测事件的无条件概率的信息是可用的,那么可以使用这些信息,即使用贝叶斯方法进行推理。法律并不罕见地要求准确的预测,例如,如果保释决定取决于对累犯风险的估计。然而,对于其他法律问题,特别是对于证据法而言,准确性并不是唯一的目标。实体法决定了谁应该承担无法消除怀疑的风险。这些规则决定若干个人或若干行为是否应被视为一个集体的成员。应用贝叶斯规则也隐含地将有问题的人或行为视为一个类的成员。如果发生冲突,实体法的规范性决定就会压倒贝叶斯规则,迫使法官和行政人员忽视基准率。
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引用次数: 5
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Evidence & Evidentiary Procedure eJournal
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