Background
Accurate prognostic assessment is essential for guiding management in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). While hematoma volume and location are key determinants, recent evidence highlights the need for a more precise topographic evaluation. We investigated whether newly proposed location-specific volumetric cutoffs improve the prediction of 6-month functional outcome, assessed with the modified Rankin Scale, and 30-day mortality.
Methods
We retrospectively analyzed 94 patients with spontaneous ICH, performing semi-automated hematoma volume segmentation and categorizing its topographic location as lobar, external capsule/putamen, internal capsule/globus pallidus, thalamus, cerebellum, or brainstem. Ordinal logistic regression was used to evaluate the predictive performance of location-specific volumetric cutoffs for 6-month disability (modified Ranking Scale), both as standalone predictors and when incorporated into the ICH and functional outcome scores. Binary logistic regression evaluated their ability to predict 30-day mortality, both as standalone and when integrated into the ICH score.
Results
Location-specific cutoffs improved prediction of 6-month disability compared to the traditional 30-mL threshold (Nagelkerke's R2 [R2N]: 0.170 vs. 0.092). Their integration enhanced the performance of both the ICH score (R2N: 0.267 vs. 0.253) and the FUNC score (R2N: 0.262 vs. 0.244). For 30-day mortality, location-specific cutoffs performed better as standalone predictors (area under the curve: 0.757 vs. 0.715) but reduced accuracy when integrated into the ICH score (area under the curve: 0.864 vs. 0.929).
Conclusions
Location-specific volumetric cutoffs improve the prediction of long-term disability and enhance the performance of established prognostic scores. However, this benefit does not extend to short-term mortality, for which the traditional ICH score remains superior. Larger multicenter studies are needed to validate their clinical applicability.
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