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Three-Benchmarked Risk Minimization for Jump Diffusion Markets 跳跃扩散市场的三基准风险最小化
Pub Date : 2011-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2170169
Ke Du, E. Platen
The paper discusses the problem of hedging not perfectly replicable contingent claims by using a benchmark, the numerraire portfolio, as reference unit. The proposed concept of benchmarked risk minimization generalizes classical risk minimization, pioneered by Follmer, Sondermann and Schweizer. The latter relies on a quadratic criterion, requesting the square integrability of contingent claims and the existence of an equivalent risk neutral probability measure. The proposed concept of benchmarked risk minimization avoids these restrictive assumptions. It employs the real world probability measure as pricing measure and identifies the minimal possible price for the hedgable part of a contingent claim. Furthermore, the resulting benchmarked profit and loss is only driven by nontraded uncertainty and forms a martingale that starts at zero. Benchmarked profit and losses, when pooled and sufficiently independent, become in total negligible. This property is highly desirable from a risk management point of view. It is making a symptotically benchmarked risk minimization the least expensive method for pricing and hedging for an increasing number of not fully replicable benchmarked contingent claims.
本文以数字投资组合为基准,讨论了非完全可复制或有债权的套期保值问题。提出的基准风险最小化概念概括了由Follmer, Sondermann和Schweizer首创的经典风险最小化。后者依赖于一个二次准则,要求或有索赔的平方可积性和存在一个等价的风险中立概率测度。提出的基准风险最小化概念避免了这些限制性假设。它采用现实世界的概率测度作为定价测度,并确定或有债权可套期保值部分的最小可能价格。此外,由此产生的基准盈亏仅受非交易不确定性的驱动,并形成一个从零开始的鞅。基准利润和亏损,如果汇集在一起并且足够独立,就变得完全可以忽略不计。从风险管理的角度来看,这个属性是非常可取的。对于越来越多的不能完全复制的基准或有索赔,它正在使症状基准风险最小化成为定价和对冲成本最低的方法。
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引用次数: 6
Are Pairs Trading Profits Robust to Trading Costs? 配对交易的利润对交易成本有影响吗?
Pub Date : 2011-01-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1707125
B. Do, R. Faff
We examine the impact of trading costs on pairs trading profitability in the US equity market over the period 1963-2009. After controlling for commissions, market impact and short selling fees; we find that pairs trading remains profitable, albeit at much more modest levels. Specifically, we document a risk-adjusted return of about 30 basis points (bps) per month amongst portfolios of well matched pairs that are formed within refined industry groups. Strategies that are implemented on the top 30% largest stocks produce an average alpha of 24 bps per month. Pairs trading exhibits a lower risk and lower return profile than a short-term reversal strategy that sorts stocks relative to their industry peers. Notably, both of these forms of contrarian investing are largely unprofitable in the period post 2002.
我们研究了1963年至2009年期间美国股市交易成本对配对交易盈利能力的影响。在控制了佣金、市场影响和卖空费用后;我们发现,货币对交易仍然有利可图,尽管水平要温和得多。具体来说,我们记录了在精细化行业集团内形成的良好匹配组合的投资组合中每月约30个基点(bps)的风险调整回报。在前30%的最大股票上实施的策略每月平均产生24个基点的alpha值。与短期反转策略相比,配对交易显示出较低的风险和较低的回报。值得注意的是,这两种形式的反向投资在2002年之后基本上是无利可图的。
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引用次数: 0
Using Dynamic Copulae for Modeling Dependency in Currency Denominations of a Diversifed World Stock Index 用动态联结模型建立多元世界股票指数货币面额依赖关系
Pub Date : 2010-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2170183
Katja Ignatieva, E. Platen, Renata Rendek
The aim of this paper is to model the dependencya mong log-returns when security account prices are expressed in units of a well diversified world stock index. The paper uses the equi-weighted index EWI104s, calculated as the average of 104 world industry sector indices. The log-returns of its denominations in different currencies appear to be Student-t distributed with about four degrees of freedom. Motivated by these findings, the dependency in log-returns of currency denominations of the EWI104s is modeled using time-varying copulae, aiming to identify the best fitting copula family. The Student-t copula turns generally out to be superior to e.g. the Gaussian copula, where the dependence structure relates to the multivariate normal distribution. It is shown that merely changing the distributional assumption for the log-returns of the marginals from normal to Student-t leads to a significantly better fit. Furthermore, the Student-t copula with Student-t marginals is able to better capture dependent extreme values than the other models considered. Finally, the paper applies copulae to the estimation of the Value-at-Risk and the expected shortfall of a portfolio, constructed of savings accounts of different currencies. The proposed copula-based approach allows to split market risk into general and specific market risk, as de fied in regulatory documents. The paper demonstrates that the approach performs clearly better than the Risk Metrics approach.
本文的目的是建立一个模型,当证券账户价格以一个多样化的世界股票指数的单位表示时,对数收益之间的依赖关系。本文采用等权指数ewi104,计算104个世界工业部门指数的平均值。其面额在不同货币中的对数收益表现为约四个自由度的Student-t分布。基于这些发现,我们使用时变copulae对ewi104货币面额的对数回报依赖性进行建模,旨在确定最佳拟合copulae族。Student-t copula通常优于高斯copula,后者的依赖结构与多元正态分布有关。结果表明,仅仅将边际对数收益的分布假设从正态改为Student-t,就可以得到更好的拟合。此外,与其他考虑的模型相比,学生-t与学生-t边际的耦合能够更好地捕获依赖的极值。最后,本文将copulae应用于由不同货币的储蓄账户构成的投资组合的风险价值和预期缺口的估计。拟议的基于copula的方法允许将市场风险分为一般市场风险和特定市场风险,正如监管文件所定义的那样。本文论证了该方法明显优于风险度量方法。
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引用次数: 1
What Do Boards Do? Evidence from Board Committee and Director Compensation Data 董事会做什么?来自董事会委员会和董事薪酬数据的证据
Pub Date : 2003-03-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.397401
Renée B. Adams
This paper uses data on 1542 board committees and director compensation in a sample of 352 Fortune 500 companies in 1998 to analyze variation in board behavior. I use this data to quantify the amount of effort boards devote to their three different functions: monitoring, dealing with strategic issues and considering the interests of stakeholders. I show that boards appear to take their traditional oversight role seriously, since on average boards devote effort primarily to monitoring. However, there is a fair amount of variation across firms in the amount of effort boards devote to their different functions. In particular boards of larger firms and firms that face more uncertainty devote relatively less effort to monitoring, while boards of diversified firms devote relatively more effort to monitoring. Boards of larger, growing and older firms devote more effort to stakeholder interests on both an absolute and a relative basis. Finally, boards of growing firms devote relatively more effort to strategic issues.
本文利用1998年352家财富500强企业1542个董事会委员会和董事薪酬的数据,分析了董事会行为的差异。我用这些数据来量化董事会在三个不同职能上投入的努力:监督、处理战略问题和考虑利益相关者的利益。我指出,董事会似乎认真对待其传统的监督角色,因为一般而言,董事会主要致力于监督。然而,在不同的公司中,董事会对不同职能的投入程度存在相当大的差异。特别是大公司和面临更多不确定性的公司的董事会对监督的投入相对较少,而多元化公司的董事会对监督的投入相对较多。规模更大、成长更久的老公司的董事会在绝对和相对基础上都更努力地维护利益相关者的利益。最后,成长型公司的董事会在战略问题上投入的精力相对更多。
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引用次数: 143
Empirical Modelling of Bank Market Exclusion 银行市场排斥的实证模型
Pub Date : 2003-01-01 DOI: 10.1108/02652320310498447
Parmendra Sharma, Mahendra Reddy
Driven by higher profit incentives, banks’ marketing strategies have tended increasingly to exclude sections of the retail market on socio‐economic lines. Ironically, these strategies are now seen to have profitability and social responsibility implications. Little previous attempt has been made to quantify the relationship between bank service access and the determinants that act as deterrents, to improve general understanding of the extent of exclusionary influence of each determinant and the relevant implications. This study examines quantified relationships using the Probit model and data collected through primary research from a developing economy in the Asia Pacific region. Results show that bank‐driven pricing strategies may have an overriding effect on other factors. The analysis demonstrates that profits may be increased, socio‐economic exclusionary effects reduced and social image improved by voluntarily reconsidering pricing and other bank‐driven exclusionary strategies.
在更高利润激励的推动下,银行的营销策略越来越倾向于排除社会经济方面的零售市场部分。具有讽刺意味的是,这些策略现在被视为具有盈利能力和社会责任的含义。以前很少尝试量化银行服务获取与起到威慑作用的决定因素之间的关系,以提高对每个决定因素的排他性影响程度及其相关影响的一般理解。本研究使用Probit模型和通过对亚太地区一个发展中经济体的初步研究收集的数据来检验量化的关系。结果表明,银行驱动的定价策略可能对其他因素具有压倒性影响。分析表明,通过自愿重新考虑定价和其他银行驱动的排他性策略,可以增加利润,减少社会经济排他性效应,改善社会形象。
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引用次数: 4
The Usefulness of Economic Value-Added in the Australian Context 经济增值在澳大利亚的有用性
Pub Date : 1999-05-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2128981
Tracey West, A. Worthington
This paper employs a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Mean (GARCH-M) model to consider the effect of macroeconomic factors on Australian property returns over the period 1985 to 2002. Three direct (office, retail and industrial property) and two indirect (listed property trust and property stock) returns are included in the analysis, along with market returns, short, medium and long-term interest rates, expected and unexpected inflation, construction activity and industrial employment and production. In general, the macroeconomic factors examined are found to be significant risk factors in Australian commercial property returns. However, the results also indicate that forecast accuracy in these models is higher for direct office, listed property trust and property stock returns and that the persistence of volatility shocks varies across the different markets, with volatility half lives of between five and seven months for direct retail and industrial property, two and three months for direct office property and less than two months with both forms of indirect property investment.
本文采用广义自回归条件均值异方差(GARCH-M)模型来考虑1985年至2002年期间宏观经济因素对澳大利亚房地产收益的影响。三种直接回报(写字楼、零售和工业物业)和两种间接回报(上市物业信托和物业股票),以及市场回报、短期、中期和长期利率、预期和非预期通胀、建筑活动和工业就业和生产都被纳入分析。总的来说,宏观经济因素被发现是澳大利亚商业地产回报的重要风险因素。然而,结果也表明,这些模型对直接办公、上市房地产信托和房地产股票回报的预测准确性更高,波动性冲击的持续时间因市场而异,直接零售和工业地产的波动半衰期在5到7个月之间,直接办公地产的波动半衰期在2到3个月之间,两种形式的间接房地产投资的波动半衰期都不到2个月。
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引用次数: 10
Does Finance Matter for Growth in the Small, Open Pacific Island Countries? 金融对开放的太平洋小岛屿国家的增长至关重要吗?
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2204288
Parmendra Sharma, Neelesh Gounder
A body of evidence accumulated over the past several years, via different methods and estimation techniques, using firm–and household–level data, across many regions and countries show that finance matters for growth. Yet the role of finance in fostering growth in the Pacific, ironically, a region in dire need of sustainable growth and development, continues to appear less important, possibly for the reason that the relationship in the case of the region is not properly understood, due in turn to perhaps a lack of systematic empirical evidence. This study provides a first cross–country insight into the finance–growth nexus in the Pacific. Results, using balanced panel data extending 25 years, and the dynamic Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) estimation technique, show that finance is likely to matter for growth in the small, open Pacific Island Countries as well. Our findings strengthen the growing finance–growth literature, further alleviate scepticisms that may arise from shortcomings of different methods and estimation techniques, and have important policy implications for the Pacific.
在过去几年中,通过不同的方法和估计技术,利用企业和家庭层面的数据,在许多地区和国家积累了大量证据,表明金融对增长至关重要。然而,具有讽刺意味的是,金融在促进太平洋地区增长方面的作用似乎仍然不那么重要,这可能是因为该地区的关系没有得到适当的理解,而这可能是由于缺乏系统的经验证据。太平洋地区迫切需要可持续增长和发展。这项研究首次提供了对太平洋地区金融与增长关系的跨国洞察。使用25年的平衡面板数据和动态广义矩量法(GMM)估计技术的结果表明,金融可能对小型开放的太平洋岛国的增长也很重要。我们的研究结果加强了日益增长的金融增长文献,进一步缓解了可能因不同方法和估计技术的缺点而产生的怀疑,并对太平洋地区具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 2
Economic Value-Added: A Review of the Theoretical and Empirical Literature 经济增值:理论与实证文献综述
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1108/EB060736
A. Worthington, Tracey West
With increasing pressure on firms to deliver shareholder value, there has been a renewed emphasis on devising measures of corporate financial performance and incentive compensation plans that encourage managers to increase shareholder wealth. One professedly recent innovation in the field of internal and external performance measurement is a trade‐marked variant of residual income known as economic value‐added (EVA). This paper attempts to provide a synoptic survey of EVA's conceptual underpinnings and the comparatively few empirical analyses of value‐added performance measures. Special attention is given to the GAAP‐related accounting adjustments involved in EVA‐type calculations.
随着企业为股东创造价值的压力越来越大,人们重新重视制定衡量企业财务业绩的措施和激励薪酬计划,以鼓励管理者增加股东财富。最近在内部和外部绩效衡量领域的一项专业创新是剩余收入的一种商标变体,即经济增加值(EVA)。本文试图对经济增加值的概念基础和相对较少的增值绩效指标的实证分析进行概括性的调查。特别注意的是涉及EVA类型计算的GAAP相关会计调整。
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引用次数: 114
期刊
FIRN (Financial Research Network) Research Paper Series
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