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Social Choice in Large Populations with Single-Peaked Preferences 具有单峰值偏好的大群体中的社会选择
Pub Date : 2021-10-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3941828
M. Hellwig
An anonymous social choice function for a large atomless population maps cross-section distributions of preferences into outcomes. Because any one individual is too insignificant to affect these distributions, every anonymous social choice function is individually strategy-proof. However, not every anonymous social choice function is group strategy-proof. If the set of outcomes is linearly ordered and participants have single-peaked preferences, an anonymous social choice function is group strategy-proof if and only if it can be implemented by a mechanism involving binary votes between neighbouring outcomes with nondecreasing thresholds for “moving higher up”. Such a mechanism can be interpreted as a version of Moulin’s (1980) generalized median-voter mechanism for a large population.
一个大型无原子人口的匿名社会选择函数将偏好的横截面分布映射到结果中。因为任何一个个体都微不足道,无法影响这些分布,所以每个匿名的社会选择函数都是独立的策略证明。然而,并不是每一个匿名的社会选择函数都不受群体策略的影响。如果结果集是线性有序的,参与者的偏好是单峰的,那么匿名社会选择函数是证明群体策略的,当且仅当它可以通过一种机制来实现,这种机制涉及相邻结果之间的二元投票,并且“向上移动”的阈值不减少。这种机制可以被解释为Moulin(1980)针对大群体的广义中间选民机制的一个版本。
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引用次数: 1
Public-Good Provision with Macro Uncertainty about Preferences: Efficiency, Budget Balance, and Robustness 具有偏好宏观不确定性的公共产品供给:效率、预算平衡和稳健性
Pub Date : 2021-10-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3941832
M. Hellwig
The paper studies efficient public-good provision in a model with private values whose distribution depends on a macro shock; conditionally on this shock, values are independent and identically distributed. A generalization of the Bayesian mechanism of d’Aspremont and Gérard-Varet is shown to implement an efficient provision rule with budget balance. However, first-best implementation and budget balance are incompatible with a requirement of weak robustness whereby incentive compatibility of the mechanism is independent of the stochastic specification within the class of specifications defined by the structure of the model. Budget imbalances with robust implementation are small if there are many participants, as surplus from the Clarke-Groves mechanism converges to zero in probability when the number of participants becomes large. In the limit, with a continuum of agents, a first-best provision rule with equal cost sharing is robustly incentive-compatible. In this limit, information about the macro shock, which is the only thing that matters for public-good provision, can be elicited without any efficiency loss.
本文研究了具有私人价值的模型下公共产品的有效供给,其分配取决于宏观冲击;有条件地,在这个冲击上,值是独立和相同分布的。推广了d 'Aspremont和gsamard - varet的贝叶斯机制,证明了该机制可以实现具有预算平衡的有效供应规则。然而,最优执行和预算平衡与弱鲁棒性要求不相容,即机制的激励兼容性独立于模型结构所定义的规范类内的随机规范。如果参与者很多,稳健实施的预算失衡就会很小,因为当参与者数量变大时,克拉克-格罗夫斯机制的盈余有可能收敛于零。在代理连续体的极限情况下,成本分担相等的最优供应规则是鲁棒激励相容的。在这一限制下,有关宏观冲击的信息——这是公共产品供应中唯一重要的东西——可以在不损失任何效率的情况下得到。
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引用次数: 0
'Capitalism: What Has Gone Wrong?' Who Went Wrong? Capitalism? The Market Economy? Governments? 'Neoliberal' Economics? “资本主义:哪里出了问题?”谁错了?资本主义?市场经济?政府吗?“新自由主义”经济学?
Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3903244
M. Hellwig
The paper contributes to a symposium of the Oxford Review of Economic Policy on “Capitalism: What has Gone Wrong, What Needs to Change, and How can it be Fixed?”. The analysis starts from the observation that, in the United States, the United Kingdom and continental Europe, widespread discontent has become an important political force. I attribute this discontent to a sense on unfairness in developments of the past few decades. I relate this sense of unfairness to: (i) negative effects of structural change, including joblessness and regional decline, (ii) the observation of extraordinary growth in executive remuneration and financial-sector remuneration, coupled with government bailouts in the global financial crisis, and (iii) changes in public policy and public discourse, with a retrenchment of public services and public investment, except for bailouts and a focus on “efficiency”, the meaning of which is driven by the perceptions of corporate executives rather than standard welfare economics. To capture these developments, one needs to think about “capitalism” in the sense of French “capitalism” or German “Kapitalismus”, with a focus on the symbiosis of wealth and power, including the elimination of competition, rather than the English sense of merely another term for the market economy.
这篇论文是《牛津经济政策评论》(Oxford Review of Economic Policy)关于“资本主义:哪里出了问题,什么需要改变,以及如何修复?”的研讨会的一部分。分析的出发点是观察到,在美国、英国和欧洲大陆,普遍的不满情绪已经成为一股重要的政治力量。我把这种不满归因于对过去几十年发展中的不公平的感觉。我把这种不公平的感觉与:(i)结构性变化的负面影响,包括失业和区域衰退;(ii)观察到高管薪酬和金融部门薪酬的异常增长,加上全球金融危机中的政府救助;(iii)公共政策和公共话语的变化,除了救助和对“效率”的关注外,公共服务和公共投资有所缩减。它的含义是由企业高管的观念而不是标准的福利经济学所驱动的。为了抓住这些发展,人们需要从法语的“资本主义”或德语的“资本主义”的意义上思考“资本主义”,关注财富和权力的共生关系,包括消除竞争,而不是从英语的意义上仅仅是市场经济的另一个术语。
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引用次数: 3
Financial Literacy, Risk and Time Preferences – Results from a Randomized Educational Intervention 金融素养、风险和时间偏好——随机教育干预的结果
Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3676095
Matthias Sutter, Michael Weyland, Anna Untertrifaller, Manuel Froitzheim
We present the results of a randomized intervention in schools to study how teaching financial literacy affects risk and time preferences of adolescents. Following more than 600 adolescents, aged 16 years on average, over about half a year, we provide causal evidence that teaching financial literacy has significant short-term and longer-term effects on risk and time preferences. Compared to two different control treatments, we find that teaching financial literacy makes subjects more patient, less present-biased, and slightly more risk-averse. Our finding that the intervention changes economic preferences contributes to a better understanding of why financial literacy has been shown to correlate systematically with financial behavior in previous studies. We argue that the link between financial literacy and field behavior works through economic preferences. In our study, the latter are also related in a meaningful way to students’ field behavior.
我们提出在学校进行随机干预的结果,以研究金融知识教学如何影响青少年的风险和时间偏好。对600多名平均年龄为16岁的青少年进行了为期半年的跟踪调查,我们提供了因果证据,证明教授金融知识对风险偏好和时间偏好有显著的短期和长期影响。与两种不同的对照治疗相比,我们发现,教授金融知识使受试者更有耐心,更少地偏向当下,并且稍微更厌恶风险。我们发现,干预改变了经济偏好,有助于更好地理解为什么在以前的研究中,金融素养已被证明与金融行为有系统的关联。我们认为,金融知识和领域行为之间的联系通过经济偏好起作用。在我们的研究中,后者也以有意义的方式与学生的场域行为相关。
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引用次数: 13
The Differential Effect of Narratives on Prosocial Behavior 叙事对亲社会行为的差异效应
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3303744
Adrian Hillenbrand, Eugenio Verrina
Narratives pervade almost any aspect of our life and play a particularly important role in moral and prosocial decision-making. We study how positive (stories in favor of a prosocial action) and negative (stories in favor of a selfish action) narratives influence prosocial behavior. Our main findings are that positive narratives increase giving substantially, especially for selfish types, compared to a baseline with no narratives. Negative narratives, on the other hand, have a differential effect. Prosocial types decrease their giving, while selfish types give more than in the baseline. We also find that positive narratives lead to a binary response (comply or not comply), while negative narratives induce a more gradual trade-off.
叙事几乎渗透到我们生活的方方面面,在道德和亲社会决策中发挥着特别重要的作用。我们研究积极叙事(支持亲社会行为的故事)和消极叙事(支持自私行为的故事)如何影响亲社会行为。我们的主要发现是,与没有叙述的基线相比,积极的叙述大大增加了捐赠,尤其是对自私的人。另一方面,消极叙述则有不同的效果。亲社会类型的人会减少他们的捐赠,而自私类型的人会比基线付出更多。我们还发现,积极的叙述会导致二元反应(服从或不服从),而消极的叙述则会导致更渐进的权衡。
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引用次数: 5
Salience, Incentives, and Timely Compliance: Evidence from Speeding Tickets 显著性,激励和及时遵守:超速罚单的证据
Pub Date : 2020-05-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3600770
L. Dušek, Nicolas Pardo, C. Traxler
This paper studies the enforcement of fines. We randomly assign 80,000 speeding tickets to treatments that increase the salience of the payment deadline, late penalties, or both. Stressing the penalties significantly and persistently increases payment rates. Emphasizing only the deadline is not effective. The findings from the RCT are consistent with a survey experiment which documents the treatments' impact on priors about parameters of the compliance problem. Exploiting discontinuous variation in fines, we then document a strong price responsiveness: a 1% increase in the payment obligation induces a 0.23 percentage point decrease in timely compliance. This semi-elasticity suggests that the impact of the salience nudges is equivalent to the effect of a 4-9% reduction in fines.
本文研究了罚款的执行。我们将8万张超速罚单随机分配给增加付款截止日期、逾期罚款或两者的显著性的治疗方法。持续加大惩罚力度会增加支付率。只强调最后期限是没有效果的。RCT的结果与一项调查实验一致,该实验记录了治疗对依从性问题参数的先验影响。利用罚款的不连续变化,我们记录了强烈的价格响应性:支付义务增加1%导致及时遵守率下降0.23个百分点。这种半弹性表明,显著性轻推的影响相当于罚款减少4-9%的效果。
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引用次数: 6
Reveal It or Conceal It: On the Value of Second Opinions in a Low-Entry-Barriers Credence Goods Market 透露还是隐瞒:论低门槛信用商品市场中第二意见的价值
Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3604912
Parampreet Christopher Bindra, Rudolf Kerschbamer, Daniel Neururer, Matthias Sutter
Credence goods markets with their asymmetric information between buyers and sellers are prone to large inefficiencies. In theory, poorly informed consumers can protect themselves from maltreatment through sellers by asking for second opinions from other sellers. Yet, empirical evidence whether this is a successful strategy is scarce. Here we present a natural field experiment in the market for computer repairs. We find that revealing a second opinion from another expert to the seller does neither increase the rate of successful repairs nor decrease the average repair price. We assess under which conditions gathering a second opinion can be valuable.
信用商品市场的买方和卖方之间的信息不对称,容易产生严重的低效率。理论上,缺乏信息的消费者可以通过向其他卖家征求第二意见来保护自己免受虐待。然而,这是否是一个成功的策略的经验证据很少。在这里,我们提出了一个计算机维修市场的自然现场实验。我们发现,向卖方透露另一位专家的意见既不会增加维修成功率,也不会降低平均维修价格。我们评估在什么情况下征求第二意见是有价值的。
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引用次数: 12
Monetary and Social Incentives in Multi-Tasking: The Ranking Substitution Effect 多任务中的货币和社会激励:等级替代效应
Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3604902
M. Stefan, J. Huber, Michael Kirchler, Matthias Sutter, M. Walzl
Rankings are intended as incentive tools on labor markets. Yet, when agents perform multiple tasks - not all of which can be ranked with respect to performance -, rankings might have unintended side-effects. Based on a dynamic model of multi-tasking, we present an experiment with financial professionals in which we identify hidden ranking costs when performance in one task is ranked while in another prosocial task it is not. We find that subjects lagging behind (leading) in the ranked task devote less (more) effort to the prosocial task. We discuss implications for optimal incentive schemes in organizations with multitasking.
排名的目的是作为劳动力市场的激励工具。然而,当代理执行多个任务时(并非所有任务都可以根据性能进行排名),排名可能会产生意想不到的副作用。基于多任务的动态模型,我们提出了一个金融专业人士的实验,在这个实验中,我们发现了当一项任务的表现被排名而另一项亲社会任务的表现没有排名时,隐藏的排名成本。我们发现在排序任务中落后(领先)的被试在亲社会任务中投入的努力更少(更多)。我们讨论了多任务组织中最优激励方案的含义。
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引用次数: 14
Volunteering at the Workplace under Incomplete Information: Teamsize Does Not Matter 不完全信息下的工作场所志愿者:团队规模无关紧要
Pub Date : 2020-02-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3537569
Adrian Hillenbrand, T. Werner, Fabian Winter
Volunteering is a widespread allocation mechanism at the workplace and emerges naturally in open-source software development, the generation of online knowledge platforms, and to some extent in “agile” work environments. Using a field experiment with 8 treatments and close to 2,800 workers on an online labor market, we study the effect of team size on volunteering at the workplace under incomplete information. In stark contrast to the theoretical predictions, we find no effect of team size on volunteering behavior. With the use of our control treatments, we can show that workers react to free-riding incentives provided by the volunteering setting in general, but do not react strategically to the team size. We show that the result is robust to several further factors.
志愿服务是一种广泛存在于工作场所的分配机制,在开源软件开发、在线知识平台的产生以及某种程度上的“敏捷”工作环境中自然出现。通过对在线劳动力市场上近2800名员工进行8项处理的实地实验,研究了不完全信息条件下团队规模对工作场所志愿服务的影响。与理论预测形成鲜明对比的是,我们没有发现团队规模对志愿行为的影响。通过使用我们的对照处理,我们可以表明,员工一般会对志愿服务环境提供的搭便车激励做出反应,但不会对团队规模做出战略性反应。我们表明,结果是鲁棒的几个进一步的因素。
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引用次数: 5
Strategic Inattention in Product Search 产品搜索中的战略性疏忽
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3048205
Adrian Hillenbrand, Svenja Hippel
Rapid technological developments in online markets fundamentally change the relationship between consumers and sellers. Online platforms can now easily gather data about the consumer and his search behavior, that allow for price discrimination. Therefore the consumers’ product search becomes a strategic choice. Consumers face a trade-off: Search intensely and receive a better fit at a potentially higher price or restrict search behavior – be strategically inattentive – and receive a worse fit, but maybe a better deal. We study the resulting strategic buyer-seller interaction theoretically as well as experimentally. Our experimental results shed a critical light on the added value for consumers through the rise of online platforms.
在线市场的快速技术发展从根本上改变了消费者和卖家之间的关系。在线平台现在可以很容易地收集有关消费者及其搜索行为的数据,从而允许价格歧视。因此,消费者的产品搜索成为一种战略选择。消费者面临着一种权衡:要么密集搜索,以可能更高的价格获得更合适的产品;要么限制搜索行为——战略性地不注意——获得更不合适的产品,但可能是更好的交易。我们从理论和实验两方面研究了由此产生的战略买卖双方相互作用。我们的实验结果揭示了通过在线平台的兴起为消费者带来的附加价值。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods Research Paper Series
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