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A Logical Theory of Causality最新文献

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Actual Causality 实际的因果关系
Pub Date : 2016-08-12 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/10809.001.0001
J. Halpern
Causality plays a central role in the way people structure the world; we constantly seek causal explanations for our observations. But what does it even mean that an event C "actually caused" event E? The problem of defining actual causation goes beyond mere philosophical speculation. For example, in many legal arguments, it is precisely what needs to be established in order to determine responsibility. The philosophy literature has been struggling with the problem of defining causality since Hume. In this book, Joseph Halpern explores actual causality, and such related notions as degree of responsibility, degree of blame, and causal explanation. The goal is to arrive at a definition of causality that matches our natural language usage and is helpful, for example, to a jury deciding a legal case, a programmer looking for the line of code that cause some software to fail, or an economist trying to determine whether austerity caused a subsequent depression. Halpern applies and expands an approach to causality that he and Judea Pearl developed, based on structural equations. He carefully formulates a definition of causality, and building on this, defines degree of responsibility, degree of blame, and causal explanation. He concludes by discussing how these ideas can be applied to such practical problems as accountability and program verification. Technical details are generally confined to the final section of each chapter and can be skipped by non-mathematical readers.
因果关系在人们构建世界的方式中起着核心作用;我们不断地为我们的观察寻找因果解释。但是事件C“实际上导致了”事件E是什么意思呢?确定实际因果关系的问题超出了单纯的哲学思辨。例如,在许多法律论证中,这正是为了确定责任而需要确立的东西。自休谟以来,哲学文献一直在努力解决因果关系的定义问题。在这本书中,约瑟夫·哈尔彭探讨了实际的因果关系,以及诸如责任程度、指责程度和因果解释等相关概念。其目标是得出一个符合我们自然语言用法的因果关系定义,并且对陪审团裁决法律案件,程序员查找导致某些软件失败的代码行,或者经济学家试图确定紧缩是否导致随后的萧条有帮助。Halpern应用并扩展了他和Judea Pearl基于结构方程开发的因果关系方法。他仔细地阐述了因果关系的定义,并以此为基础,定义了责任程度、指责程度和因果解释。最后,他讨论了如何将这些想法应用于诸如问责制和程序验证等实际问题。技术细节通常限于每章的最后一节,非数学读者可以跳过。
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引用次数: 249
Structural Equation Models 结构方程模型
Pub Date : 2005-07-15 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780199286546.003.0018
K. Bollen, S. Rabe-Hesketh, A. Skrondal
Structural equation models refer to general statistical procedures for multiequation systems that include continuous latent variables, multiple indicators of concepts, errors of measurement, errors in equations, and observed variables. An analysis that uses structural equation models has several components. These include (a) model specification, (b) the implied moment matrix, (c) identification, (d) estimation, (e) model fit, and (f) respecification. Historical origins of structural equation models are also described. Keywords: structural equation models; factor loading matrix; path analysis; implied moment matrix; model identification; respecification
结构方程模型是指包含连续潜变量、多个概念指标、测量误差、方程误差和观测变量的多方程系统的一般统计程序。使用结构方程模型的分析有几个组成部分。这些包括(a)模型规范,(b)隐含矩矩阵,(c)识别,(d)估计,(e)模型拟合,以及(f)重新规范。本文还介绍了结构方程模型的历史渊源。关键词:结构方程模型;因子加载矩阵;路径分析;隐含矩矩阵;模式识别;respecification
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引用次数: 40
Indeterminate Causation 不确定的因果关系
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12387.003.0010
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引用次数: 0
A Two-Tier System of Causal Reasoning 因果推理的双层系统
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12387.003.0004
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引用次数: 0
Causal Calculus 因果微积分
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12387.003.0008
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引用次数: 0
Relative Causality 相对的因果关系
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12387.003.0014
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引用次数: 0
Causal Dynamic Formalisms 因果动态形式主义
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12387.003.0016
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引用次数: 0
Mereological Semantics for Classical Logic 经典逻辑的流变语义
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12387.003.0005
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Causal Calculus 动态因果演算
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12387.003.0018
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Markov Assumption 动态马尔可夫假设
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/12387.003.0017
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引用次数: 0
期刊
A Logical Theory of Causality
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