首页 > 最新文献

LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)最新文献

英文 中文
The Right to Carry Has Not Increased Crime: Improving an Old Debate Through Better Data on Permit Growth Over Time 持枪权并没有增加犯罪:通过更好的许可证增长数据改善一个老的争论
Pub Date : 2021-07-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3887151
W. English
Over the last 30 years, a majority of US states adopted Right-to-Carry (RTC) laws at the same time that crime rates dramatically decreased. A large literature has examined whether RTC laws contributed to or slowed this decline in crime, with most studies concluding that they have no significant effect on crime. However, this research has been plagued by methodological challenges, many of which are exacerbated by the common approach of modeling the effect of RTC laws using a binary dummy variable to indicate a one-time change in policy. Recently, Donohue, Aneja and Weber (2019a) have employed a novel synthetic control approach which they suggest indicates that RTC laws significantly increase violent crime. However, we show that this analysis is highly sensitive to modeling choices, and Donohue et al. chose a specification that has been criticized by Kaul et al. (2017) as mistaken because it prevents covariates from exercising any influence on the development of predicted crime rates. Correcting this to properly incorporate covariates dramatically changes the estimated effect in many states; and comprehensive synthetic control analysis reveals no significant effect on crime. Given the methodological challenges inherent in binary approaches to modeling the effects of RTC laws, we gather data on the growth of carry permits in states over time, which allows us to investigate the phenomenon of interest - the actual ability to carry - in a manner that is theoretically more valid and econometrically more powerful. Employing two different methods for estimating missing data - modeling the growth of permits as a logistical growth process and imputing missing data using the Amelia II package - we find that the growth in carry permits has no effect on violent crime rates, homicide rates, firearm homicide rates, or non-firearm homicide rates. This study provides further, strong evidence that the dramatic growth in the ability to carry firearms for self-defense in recent decades has not exacerbated crime rates.
在过去的30年里,美国大多数州都通过了持枪权(RTC)法律,与此同时犯罪率急剧下降。大量文献研究了RTC法律是否有助于或减缓了犯罪率的下降,大多数研究得出的结论是,它们对犯罪率没有显著影响。然而,这项研究一直受到方法挑战的困扰,其中许多挑战因使用二元虚拟变量来指示政策的一次性变化来模拟RTC法律影响的常见方法而加剧。最近,Donohue, Aneja和Weber (2019a)采用了一种新的综合控制方法,他们认为RTC法显着增加了暴力犯罪。然而,我们表明这种分析对建模选择高度敏感,Donohue等人选择了一个被Kaul等人(2017)批评为错误的规范,因为它阻止协变量对预测犯罪率的发展产生任何影响。纠正这一点,适当地纳入协变量,极大地改变了许多州的估计效果;综合综合控制分析表明,对犯罪无显著影响。考虑到对RTC法律影响进行建模的二元方法所固有的方法论挑战,我们收集了各州随时间推移的携带许可证增长数据,这使我们能够以一种理论上更有效、在计量经济学上更强大的方式调查感兴趣的现象——实际携带能力。采用两种不同的方法来估计缺失的数据——将许可证的增长建模为物流增长过程,并使用阿米莉亚II包来推算缺失的数据——我们发现,携带许可证的增长对暴力犯罪率、凶杀率、枪支凶杀率或非枪支凶杀率没有影响。这项研究进一步提供了强有力的证据,证明近几十年来持枪自卫能力的急剧增长并没有加剧犯罪率。
{"title":"The Right to Carry Has Not Increased Crime: Improving an Old Debate Through Better Data on Permit Growth Over Time","authors":"W. English","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3887151","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3887151","url":null,"abstract":"Over the last 30 years, a majority of US states adopted Right-to-Carry (RTC) laws at the same time that crime rates dramatically decreased. A large literature has examined whether RTC laws contributed to or slowed this decline in crime, with most studies concluding that they have no significant effect on crime. However, this research has been plagued by methodological challenges, many of which are exacerbated by the common approach of modeling the effect of RTC laws using a binary dummy variable to indicate a one-time change in policy. Recently, Donohue, Aneja and Weber (2019a) have employed a novel synthetic control approach which they suggest indicates that RTC laws significantly increase violent crime. However, we show that this analysis is highly sensitive to modeling choices, and Donohue et al. chose a specification that has been criticized by Kaul et al. (2017) as mistaken because it prevents covariates from exercising any influence on the development of predicted crime rates. Correcting this to properly incorporate covariates dramatically changes the estimated effect in many states; and comprehensive synthetic control analysis reveals no significant effect on crime. Given the methodological challenges inherent in binary approaches to modeling the effects of RTC laws, we gather data on the growth of carry permits in states over time, which allows us to investigate the phenomenon of interest - the actual ability to carry - in a manner that is theoretically more valid and econometrically more powerful. Employing two different methods for estimating missing data - modeling the growth of permits as a logistical growth process and imputing missing data using the Amelia II package - we find that the growth in carry permits has no effect on violent crime rates, homicide rates, firearm homicide rates, or non-firearm homicide rates. This study provides further, strong evidence that the dramatic growth in the ability to carry firearms for self-defense in recent decades has not exacerbated crime rates.","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129184016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
A Silent Corrupting Force? Criminal Sentencing and the Threat of Recall 一股无声的腐败力量?刑事量刑和罢免威胁
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3619554
S. Gordon, Sidak Yntiso
39 U.S. states authorize recall elections, but the incentives they create are not well understood. We examine how changes in the perceived threat of recall alter the behavior of one set of officials: judges. In 2016, outrage over the sentence imposed on a Stanford athlete following his sexual assault conviction sparked an ultimately successful drive to recall the presiding judge. Using data on over 22,000 sentences from six California counties and matched arrest records for a subset of more than 12,000, we examine whether critical events in the recall campaign were accompanied by corresponding changes in other judges' sentences. We find a large, discontinuous increase in punitiveness associated with the campaign's announcement, but not the recall itself -- suggesting the announcement shifted judges' beliefs about their political environment. The increase may have indirectly produced a disproportionate burden for minority defendants. Our findings are the first to document incentive effects of recall, and suggest that targeted political campaigns may have far-reaching, unintended consequences.
美国有39个州授权罢免选举,但人们对其产生的激励机制并不十分了解。我们研究了被召回威胁的感知变化是如何改变一组官员的行为的:法官。2016年,斯坦福大学一名运动员在被判性侵后被判刑,引发了愤怒,最终成功罢免了主审法官。使用来自加州六个县的22,000多个判决的数据,以及超过12,000个子集的匹配逮捕记录,我们研究了召回活动中的关键事件是否伴随着其他法官判决的相应变化。我们发现,与竞选公告相关的惩罚力度出现了大幅、不连续的增加,但召回本身却没有——这表明公告改变了法官对其政治环境的看法。这一增长可能间接地给少数族裔被告带来了不成比例的负担。我们的研究结果首次记录了回忆的激励效应,并表明有针对性的政治运动可能会产生深远的、意想不到的后果。
{"title":"A Silent Corrupting Force? Criminal Sentencing and the Threat of Recall","authors":"S. Gordon, Sidak Yntiso","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3619554","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3619554","url":null,"abstract":"39 U.S. states authorize recall elections, but the incentives they create are not well understood. We examine how changes in the perceived threat of recall alter the behavior of one set of officials: judges. In 2016, outrage over the sentence imposed on a Stanford athlete following his sexual assault conviction sparked an ultimately successful drive to recall the presiding judge. Using data on over 22,000 sentences from six California counties and matched arrest records for a subset of more than 12,000, we examine whether critical events in the recall campaign were accompanied by corresponding changes in other judges' sentences. We find a large, discontinuous increase in punitiveness associated with the campaign's announcement, but not the recall itself -- suggesting the announcement shifted judges' beliefs about their political environment. The increase may have indirectly produced a disproportionate burden for minority defendants. Our findings are the first to document incentive effects of recall, and suggest that targeted political campaigns may have far-reaching, unintended consequences.","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"96 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123507690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Political Ties across Country Borders 跨越国界的政治关系
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3461819
M. Ayyagari, April M. Knill, K. Syvrud
This paper investigates the value to foreign firms of contributing to US political campaigns. Using a comprehensive database of US campaign contributions by employees of US subsidiaries of foreign firms, we find that foreign firms contributing to US political campaigns have higher profits than a country-industry-size matched sample of foreign firms that do not contribute. In particular, foreign firms facing greater information asymmetry have greater benefits from contributions. Exploiting the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (BCRA) as an exogenous shock to campaign contributions, we find that foreign contributing firms not only receive more government contracts than non-contributing foreign and domestic firms, but also benefit disproportionately more than domestic contributing firms. Our results highlight the limited effectiveness of campaign contribution laws and the cost to US firms of foreign political contributions.
本文调查了外国公司为美国政治竞选捐款的价值。利用外国公司美国子公司雇员对美国竞选捐款的综合数据库,我们发现,为美国政治竞选捐款的外国公司的利润高于不捐款的国家-行业规模匹配的外国公司样本。特别是,面临更大信息不对称的外国公司从贡献中获得的利益更大。利用两党竞选改革法案(BCRA)作为竞选捐款的外生冲击,我们发现外国捐款公司不仅比没有捐款的外国和国内公司获得更多的政府合同,而且比国内捐款公司获得的利益不成比例地多。我们的研究结果突出了竞选献金法的有限效力以及美国公司接受外国政治献金的成本。
{"title":"Political Ties across Country Borders","authors":"M. Ayyagari, April M. Knill, K. Syvrud","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3461819","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3461819","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the value to foreign firms of contributing to US political campaigns. Using a comprehensive database of US campaign contributions by employees of US subsidiaries of foreign firms, we find that foreign firms contributing to US political campaigns have higher profits than a country-industry-size matched sample of foreign firms that do not contribute. In particular, foreign firms facing greater information asymmetry have greater benefits from contributions. Exploiting the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (BCRA) as an exogenous shock to campaign contributions, we find that foreign contributing firms not only receive more government contracts than non-contributing foreign and domestic firms, but also benefit disproportionately more than domestic contributing firms. Our results highlight the limited effectiveness of campaign contribution laws and the cost to US firms of foreign political contributions.","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"77 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127812971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Infrastructure Costs 基础设施成本
Pub Date : 2019-07-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3428675
L. Brooks, Zachary D. Liscow
Despite infrastructure's importance to the US economy, evidence on its cost trajectory over time is sparse. We document real spending per new mile over the history of the Interstate Highway System. We find that spending per mile increased more than threefold from the 1960s to the 1980s. This increase persists even conditional on pre-existing observable geographic cost determinants. We then provide suggestive evidence on why. Input prices explain little of the increase. Statistically, changes in income and housing prices explain about half of the increase. We find suggestive evidence that the rise of “citizen voice” in government decision-making increased spending per mile. (JEL D72, H54, N42, N72, R31, R42)
尽管基础设施对美国经济至关重要,但有关其成本随时间变化轨迹的证据却很少。我们记录了州际公路系统历史上每新里程的实际支出。我们发现,从20世纪60年代到80年代,每英里的支出增加了三倍多。即使存在可观察到的地理成本决定因素,这种增长也会持续下去。然后,我们提供暗示性的证据来解释原因。投入价格几乎不能解释这一增长。从统计数据来看,收入和房价的变化解释了大约一半的增长。我们发现有启发性的证据表明,政府决策中“公民声音”的兴起增加了每英里的支出。(jel d72, h54, n42, n72, r31, r42)
{"title":"Infrastructure Costs","authors":"L. Brooks, Zachary D. Liscow","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3428675","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3428675","url":null,"abstract":"Despite infrastructure's importance to the US economy, evidence on its cost trajectory over time is sparse. We document real spending per new mile over the history of the Interstate Highway System. We find that spending per mile increased more than threefold from the 1960s to the 1980s. This increase persists even conditional on pre-existing observable geographic cost determinants. We then provide suggestive evidence on why. Input prices explain little of the increase. Statistically, changes in income and housing prices explain about half of the increase. We find suggestive evidence that the rise of “citizen voice” in government decision-making increased spending per mile. (JEL D72, H54, N42, N72, R31, R42)","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114324466","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 35
The 'Odd Party Out' Theory of Certiorari 调卷令的“奇数党出局”理论
Pub Date : 2018-06-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3537876
Adam Bonica, Adam Chilton, M. Sen
Whether and why the Supreme Court agrees to hear cases is among the most important—and well studied—topics in American politics. However, existing theories have overlooked a key player: the advocates. We develop and test a new theory that explicitly incorporates advocates in explaining which cases the Supreme Court is likely to accept. Specifically, we theorize that cert petitions are most likely to be successful when (1) there is great ideological distance between the opposing advocates and (2) the lower-court panel is closest ideologically to the advocate who won at the lower-court level. In these cases, as we explain, the advocate petitioning the Supreme Court to intervene becomes the “Odd Party Out,” a cue that conveys important information about the probability of bias as well as the political importance of the case. We test this theory using a new dataset on the identities and ideologies of advocates and judges. We find strong support for our theory: cert petitions are significantly more likely to be granted when the advocate appealing to the Court is an ideological outlier—that is, when the petitioner is in opposition to an ideologically aligned respondent and lower-court panel.
最高法院是否以及为什么同意审理案件是美国政治中最重要的话题之一,也是研究得最透彻的话题之一。然而,现有的理论忽略了一个关键角色:倡导者。我们开发并测试了一种新的理论,明确地将辩护人纳入最高法院可能接受的案件解释中。具体来说,我们的理论是,当(1)反对的倡导者之间存在很大的意识形态距离,(2)下级法院小组在意识形态上与在下级法院获胜的倡导者最接近时,证书请愿最可能成功。正如我们所解释的那样,在这些案件中,请求最高法院干预的辩护人变成了“奇数党出局”,这是一个暗示,传达了有关偏见可能性和案件政治重要性的重要信息。我们使用一个关于律师和法官的身份和意识形态的新数据集来测试这一理论。我们的理论得到了强有力的支持:当向法院上诉的辩护律师是意识形态上的异类时,也就是说,当请愿人反对意识形态上一致的被告和下级法院小组时,确认请愿更有可能被批准。
{"title":"The 'Odd Party Out' Theory of Certiorari","authors":"Adam Bonica, Adam Chilton, M. Sen","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3537876","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3537876","url":null,"abstract":"Whether and why the Supreme Court agrees to hear cases is among the most important—and well studied—topics in American politics. However, existing theories have overlooked a key player: the advocates. We develop and test a new theory that explicitly incorporates advocates in explaining which cases the Supreme Court is likely to accept. Specifically, we theorize that cert petitions are most likely to be successful when (1) there is great ideological distance between the opposing advocates and (2) the lower-court panel is closest ideologically to the advocate who won at the lower-court level. In these cases, as we explain, the advocate petitioning the Supreme Court to intervene becomes the “Odd Party Out,” a cue that conveys important information about the probability of bias as well as the political importance of the case. We test this theory using a new dataset on the identities and ideologies of advocates and judges. We find strong support for our theory: cert petitions are significantly more likely to be granted when the advocate appealing to the Court is an ideological outlier—that is, when the petitioner is in opposition to an ideologically aligned respondent and lower-court panel.","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123530979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Discrimination Directed Toward Conservative Women 针对保守女性的歧视
Pub Date : 2018-02-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3127004
H. Arkes, G. Dent
In two investigations White conservative women and African American conservative women were surveyed with regard to perceived discrimination toward each of their multiple minority categories. Both studies yielded the same results: (1) White women rated perceived discrimination toward their conservative political viewpoint significantly higher than that toward their gender; (2) Among African American conservative women the perceived discrimination toward their race was rated higher than that toward either their political viewpoint or their gender, which did not differ significantly from each other; (3) perceived discrimination on any dimension was not related to whether one was currently in college (or very recently graduated) versus whether one had graduated between 1 and 10 years earlier (Study 1) or between 5 and 10 years earlier (Study 2).
在两项调查中,对白人保守派妇女和非裔美国保守派妇女进行了调查,了解她们对各自所属的多个少数族裔类别的歧视。两项研究都得出了相同的结果:(1)白人女性认为对其保守政治观点的歧视显著高于对其性别的歧视;(2)非裔保守女性认为种族歧视高于政治观点歧视和性别歧视,两者差异不显著;(3)在任何维度上的感知歧视与一个人是否正在上大学(或刚刚毕业)、一个人是否在1到10年前毕业(研究1)或5到10年前毕业(研究2)无关。
{"title":"Discrimination Directed Toward Conservative Women","authors":"H. Arkes, G. Dent","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3127004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3127004","url":null,"abstract":"In two investigations White conservative women and African American conservative women were surveyed with regard to perceived discrimination toward each of their multiple minority categories. Both studies yielded the same results: (1) White women rated perceived discrimination toward their conservative political viewpoint significantly higher than that toward their gender; (2) Among African American conservative women the perceived discrimination toward their race was rated higher than that toward either their political viewpoint or their gender, which did not differ significantly from each other; (3) perceived discrimination on any dimension was not related to whether one was currently in college (or very recently graduated) versus whether one had graduated between 1 and 10 years earlier (Study 1) or between 5 and 10 years earlier (Study 2).","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122265876","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using Appellate Decisions to Evaluate the Impact of Judicial Elections 运用上诉判决评估司法选举的影响
Pub Date : 2017-05-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2973369
Gregory J. DeAngelo, Bryan C. McCannon
We investigate judicial election's impact on criminal case handling. Data from appeals of felony convictions in New York state are used to measure the accuracy of lower court outcomes. We also account for judicial election pressures and career paths. A theoretical model is developed where to guide the empirical analysis judges face a trade-off between exerting time and effort in criminal and civil cases. We show that during a re-election campaign, when the importance of good decision making in both types of cases is heightened, if the civil case outcomes are sufficiently more important, then error rates in criminal cases can increase. This effect is reversed for those who have a greater intrinsic interest in criminal justice. Results from the empirical analysis conform to the hypotheses derived from the theoretical model. Convictions that occur during the judge's re-election campaign are less likely to be upheld if appealed. The effect is concentrated in those who did not previously work in a prosecutor's office. In fact, judges who are former prosecutors experience higher affirmation rates with an additional escalation in success when up for re-election. We also differentiate judges who handle more civil cases and show that re-election distortions are greater. Finally, we also consider those who receive greater campaign support from special interest groups. Those who receive financial support have reduced accuracy. These additional results are consistent with the theory that it is the trade-off between criminal and civil cases that is driving decision making. Our results suggest that the criminal justice system is impacted by the interaction between a judge's characteristics and re-election incentives.
探讨司法选举对刑事案件处理的影响。纽约州重罪上诉案件的数据被用来衡量下级法院判决结果的准确性。我们还考虑了司法选举压力和职业道路。本文建立了一个理论模型,用以指导实证分析法官在刑事和民事案件中所面临的时间和精力的权衡。我们表明,在连任竞选期间,当两种类型的案件中良好决策的重要性都被提高时,如果民事案件的结果足够重要,那么刑事案件的错误率就会增加。对于那些对刑事司法有更大内在兴趣的人来说,这种影响是相反的。实证分析的结果与理论模型的假设一致。在法官竞选连任期间被定罪的案件,如果上诉,维持原判的可能性较小。这种影响主要集中在那些以前没有在检察官办公室工作过的人身上。事实上,检察官出身的法官在竞选连任时,肯定率会更高。我们还区分了审理民事案件较多的法官,并表明连任扭曲更大。最后,我们还考虑那些从特殊利益集团获得更多竞选支持的人。那些接受经济支持的人的准确性降低了。这些额外的结果与推动决策的是刑事和民事案件之间的权衡这一理论是一致的。我们的研究结果表明,刑事司法系统受到法官特征和连任激励之间相互作用的影响。
{"title":"Using Appellate Decisions to Evaluate the Impact of Judicial Elections","authors":"Gregory J. DeAngelo, Bryan C. McCannon","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2973369","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2973369","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate judicial election's impact on criminal case handling. Data from appeals of felony convictions in New York state are used to measure the accuracy of lower court outcomes. We also account for judicial election pressures and career paths. A theoretical model is developed where to guide the empirical analysis judges face a trade-off between exerting time and effort in criminal and civil cases. We show that during a re-election campaign, when the importance of good decision making in both types of cases is heightened, if the civil case outcomes are sufficiently more important, then error rates in criminal cases can increase. This effect is reversed for those who have a greater intrinsic interest in criminal justice. Results from the empirical analysis conform to the hypotheses derived from the theoretical model. Convictions that occur during the judge's re-election campaign are less likely to be upheld if appealed. The effect is concentrated in those who did not previously work in a prosecutor's office. In fact, judges who are former prosecutors experience higher affirmation rates with an additional escalation in success when up for re-election. We also differentiate judges who handle more civil cases and show that re-election distortions are greater. Finally, we also consider those who receive greater campaign support from special interest groups. Those who receive financial support have reduced accuracy. These additional results are consistent with the theory that it is the trade-off between criminal and civil cases that is driving decision making. Our results suggest that the criminal justice system is impacted by the interaction between a judge's characteristics and re-election incentives.","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"273 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124414227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Inter-Agency Learning in United States Regulatory Policymaking 美国监管政策制定中的机构间学习
Pub Date : 2016-09-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2838457
Miranda Yaver
While a number of scholars have evaluated the strategies driving congressional decisions to delegate regulatory authority to administrative agencies, the literature has been largely restricted to evaluating the relationship between Congress and its administrative agent. I argue that this presents an incomplete picture of implementation given that it is typically carried out by multiple administrative actors that interact in multiple contexts and that share political principals. Such arrangements for overlapping jurisdiction and interagency organizations provide opportunities for agencies to learn from one another about the constraints of the political environment within which they are operating. This paper provides a preliminary examination of the extent to which administrative agencies can learn from other agencies the preferences of shared political principals and use that information to reshape their regulatory strategies. Using original data on Court of Appeals litigation directed at administrative agencies from the 93rd to the 113th Congress, as well as congressional delegation to administrative agencies within the text of the Statutes at Large, I provide preliminary evidence that when an agency observes a closely-linked agency facing legal constraints, it reshapes its own regulatory strategy so as to provoke less costly litigation. The results pave the way toward further, more in-depth examination of the spillover effects of bureaucratic punishment and the ways in which this inter-agency learning takes place over time.
虽然一些学者已经评估了推动国会决定将监管权力下放给行政机构的策略,但文献在很大程度上仅限于评估国会与其行政代理人之间的关系。我认为,这是一幅不完整的执行图景,因为它通常是由在多种情况下相互作用并具有共同政治原则的多个行政行为者执行的。这种管辖权重叠和机构间组织的安排使各机构有机会相互了解它们所处的政治环境的制约因素。本文初步考察了行政机构在多大程度上可以从其他机构那里学习共同政治原则的偏好,并利用这些信息来重塑其监管策略。利用第93届至第113届国会针对行政机构的上诉法院诉讼的原始数据,以及国会对行政机构的授权,我提供了初步证据,当一个机构观察到一个密切相关的机构面临法律约束时,它会重塑自己的监管策略,以引发成本较低的诉讼。这些结果为进一步、更深入地研究官僚惩罚的溢出效应以及这种机构间学习的方式铺平了道路。
{"title":"Inter-Agency Learning in United States Regulatory Policymaking","authors":"Miranda Yaver","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2838457","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2838457","url":null,"abstract":"While a number of scholars have evaluated the strategies driving congressional decisions to delegate regulatory authority to administrative agencies, the literature has been largely restricted to evaluating the relationship between Congress and its administrative agent. I argue that this presents an incomplete picture of implementation given that it is typically carried out by multiple administrative actors that interact in multiple contexts and that share political principals. Such arrangements for overlapping jurisdiction and interagency organizations provide opportunities for agencies to learn from one another about the constraints of the political environment within which they are operating. This paper provides a preliminary examination of the extent to which administrative agencies can learn from other agencies the preferences of shared political principals and use that information to reshape their regulatory strategies. Using original data on Court of Appeals litigation directed at administrative agencies from the 93rd to the 113th Congress, as well as congressional delegation to administrative agencies within the text of the Statutes at Large, I provide preliminary evidence that when an agency observes a closely-linked agency facing legal constraints, it reshapes its own regulatory strategy so as to provoke less costly litigation. The results pave the way toward further, more in-depth examination of the spillover effects of bureaucratic punishment and the ways in which this inter-agency learning takes place over time.","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131537393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Labor Market Institutions and Redistributive Voting 劳动力市场制度和再分配投票
Pub Date : 2015-11-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2596826
M. Dimick
In the median-voter model of redistributive voting, an increase in the skewness of the income distribution will lead to more redistribution. Skewness is almost always assumed to be identical to inequality. But this will only be true under specific assumptions, and it is possible for an increase in inequality to be associated with a decrease in skewness. In general then, the relationship between inequality and skewness -- and therefore redistribution -- is ambiguous. This paper resolves this indeterminacy by introducing labor market frictions and labor market institutions into a redistributive voting framework. Under specific conditions, labor market institutions will lower inequality, but increase skewness -- and therefore redistribution. This novel result resolves a "paradox" of redistribution, challenges the prevailing interpretation of the median-voter model, and reconciles the empirical data with the basic logic of that model.
在再分配投票的中位选民模型中,收入分配偏度的增加将导致更多的再分配。偏性几乎总是被假定为等于不平等。但这只能在特定的假设下成立,而且不平等的增加可能与偏度的减少有关。总的来说,不平等和偏度之间的关系——以及再分配之间的关系——是模糊的。本文通过将劳动力市场摩擦和劳动力市场制度引入再分配投票框架来解决这种不确定性。在特定条件下,劳动力市场制度会降低不平等,但会增加不平衡——从而增加再分配。这一新颖的结果解决了再分配的“悖论”,挑战了对中间选民模型的主流解释,并将经验数据与该模型的基本逻辑相协调。
{"title":"Labor Market Institutions and Redistributive Voting","authors":"M. Dimick","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2596826","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2596826","url":null,"abstract":"In the median-voter model of redistributive voting, an increase in the skewness of the income distribution will lead to more redistribution. Skewness is almost always assumed to be identical to inequality. But this will only be true under specific assumptions, and it is possible for an increase in inequality to be associated with a decrease in skewness. In general then, the relationship between inequality and skewness -- and therefore redistribution -- is ambiguous. This paper resolves this indeterminacy by introducing labor market frictions and labor market institutions into a redistributive voting framework. Under specific conditions, labor market institutions will lower inequality, but increase skewness -- and therefore redistribution. This novel result resolves a \"paradox\" of redistribution, challenges the prevailing interpretation of the median-voter model, and reconciles the empirical data with the basic logic of that model.","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"76 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123131235","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Judicial Comparativism and Judicial Diplomacy 司法比较主义与司法外交
Pub Date : 2015-05-06 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2410074
David S. Law
By global standards, the U.S. Supreme Court is unusual in a number of respects, but one of its most distinctive characteristics is its reluctance to engage in comparative constitutional analysis. Much has been said on the normative question of whether and in what ways the Court ought to make use of foreign constitutional jurisprudence. Rarely, however, do scholars broach the underlying empirical question of why some constitutional courts make greater use of foreign law than others. To identify the reasons for which courts engage in comparativism, a behind-the-scenes investigation was conducted of four leading courts in East Asia – the Japanese Supreme Court, the Korean Constitutional Court, the Taiwanese Constitutional Court, and the Hong Kong Court of Final Appeal. The results of this investigation highlight the crucial role of institutional and resource constraints in shaping judicial behavior but also pose an unexpected challenge to traditional conceptions of the role and function of constitutional courts. Evidence from interviews conducted with numerous justices, clerks, and senior administrators suggests that a combination of mutually reinforcing structural factors create the conditions necessary for comparativism to thrive. The first factor is institutional capacity. A court that lacks any institutional mechanisms for learning about foreign law, such as the recruitment of law clerks with foreign legal expertise or the use of researchers who specialize in foreign law, is unlikely to make more than sporadic use of foreign law. The second factor is a supportive system of legal education. Even the most elaborate of institutional mechanisms for facilitating comparativism is unlikely to be effective unless it is backed by a system of legal education that produces an adequate supply of lawyers with both an aptitude and appetite for comparativism. Investigation of the reasons for which courts engage in comparativism also reveals a hidden underlying phenomenon of judicial diplomacy. Unlike other judicial practices such as textualism or originalism, comparativism is not merely a means by which judges perform legal and adjudicative functions; it can also be a form of diplomatic activity. When constitutional courts demonstrate mastery of foreign law or host foreign judges, their goals may not consist exclusively, or even primarily, of writing stronger opinions or winning over domestic audiences. They may also be competing with one another for international influence or pursuing foreign policy objectives, such as promotion of the rule of law and judicial independence in other countries. The concept of judicial diplomacy helps to explain why constitutional courts engage in a number of practices that are only tenuously related to the act of adjudication. Although the U.S. Supreme Court rarely practices constitutional comparativism, it is an active practitioner of judicial diplomacy in other forms.
按照全球标准,美国最高法院在许多方面都是不同寻常的,但其最显著的特点之一是不愿进行比较宪法分析。关于法院是否以及以何种方式利用外国宪法判例的规范性问题,已经讨论了很多。然而,学者们很少提出一个潜在的经验问题,即为什么一些宪法法院比其他宪法法院更多地使用外国法。为了查明法院进行比较主义的原因,对东亚地区的4个主要法院——日本大法院、韩国宪法法院、台湾宪法法院、香港终审法院进行了幕后调查。这项调查的结果突出了制度和资源限制在塑造司法行为方面的关键作用,但也对宪法法院的作用和功能的传统观念提出了意想不到的挑战。对众多法官、书记员和高级行政人员的采访表明,相互加强的结构性因素的结合为比较主义的繁荣创造了必要的条件。第一个因素是制度能力。一个法院如果缺乏学习外国法的制度性机制,比如聘请具有外国法律专业知识的法律助理或聘请专门研究外国法的研究人员,就不太可能偶尔使用外国法。第二个因素是法律教育的支持体系。即使是最复杂的促进比较主义的体制机制也不太可能有效,除非它有一个法律教育系统的支持,这个系统能培养出足够数量的对比较主义既有天赋又有兴趣的律师。对法院从事比较主义的原因的考察也揭示了司法外交的一个隐藏的潜在现象。与文本主义或原旨主义等其他司法实践不同,比较主义不仅仅是法官履行法律和审判职能的一种手段;它也可以是一种外交活动。当宪法法院表现出对外国法律的掌握或接待外国法官时,它们的目标可能不仅仅是,甚至主要是撰写更有力的意见或赢得国内听众的支持。它们也可能相互争夺国际影响力或追求外交政策目标,例如促进其他国家的法治和司法独立。司法外交的概念有助于解释为什么宪法法院从事一些与裁决行为只有微弱关系的做法。虽然美国最高法院很少实行宪法比较主义,但它是其他形式司法外交的积极实践者。
{"title":"Judicial Comparativism and Judicial Diplomacy","authors":"David S. Law","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.2410074","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2410074","url":null,"abstract":"By global standards, the U.S. Supreme Court is unusual in a number of respects, but one of its most distinctive characteristics is its reluctance to engage in comparative constitutional analysis. Much has been said on the normative question of whether and in what ways the Court ought to make use of foreign constitutional jurisprudence. Rarely, however, do scholars broach the underlying empirical question of why some constitutional courts make greater use of foreign law than others. To identify the reasons for which courts engage in comparativism, a behind-the-scenes investigation was conducted of four leading courts in East Asia – the Japanese Supreme Court, the Korean Constitutional Court, the Taiwanese Constitutional Court, and the Hong Kong Court of Final Appeal. The results of this investigation highlight the crucial role of institutional and resource constraints in shaping judicial behavior but also pose an unexpected challenge to traditional conceptions of the role and function of constitutional courts. Evidence from interviews conducted with numerous justices, clerks, and senior administrators suggests that a combination of mutually reinforcing structural factors create the conditions necessary for comparativism to thrive. The first factor is institutional capacity. A court that lacks any institutional mechanisms for learning about foreign law, such as the recruitment of law clerks with foreign legal expertise or the use of researchers who specialize in foreign law, is unlikely to make more than sporadic use of foreign law. The second factor is a supportive system of legal education. Even the most elaborate of institutional mechanisms for facilitating comparativism is unlikely to be effective unless it is backed by a system of legal education that produces an adequate supply of lawyers with both an aptitude and appetite for comparativism. Investigation of the reasons for which courts engage in comparativism also reveals a hidden underlying phenomenon of judicial diplomacy. Unlike other judicial practices such as textualism or originalism, comparativism is not merely a means by which judges perform legal and adjudicative functions; it can also be a form of diplomatic activity. When constitutional courts demonstrate mastery of foreign law or host foreign judges, their goals may not consist exclusively, or even primarily, of writing stronger opinions or winning over domestic audiences. They may also be competing with one another for international influence or pursuing foreign policy objectives, such as promotion of the rule of law and judicial independence in other countries. The concept of judicial diplomacy helps to explain why constitutional courts engage in a number of practices that are only tenuously related to the act of adjudication. Although the U.S. Supreme Court rarely practices constitutional comparativism, it is an active practitioner of judicial diplomacy in other forms.","PeriodicalId":256324,"journal":{"name":"LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)","volume":"48 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122620991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 38
期刊
LSN: Empirical Studies (Law & Politics) (Topic)
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1