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Do COVID-19 Lockdowns Affect Deforestation? COVID-19封锁会影响森林砍伐吗?
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3668029
S. Saavedra
The COVID-19 pandemic and associated government responses halted economic activity across the world. The environment benefited from the reduced pollution in urban areas. However, there is no evidence on the pandemic's environmental effect away from cities, specifically on deforestation. textit{A priori}, the effect is unclear: deforestation might decrease with the restrictions on economic activity. But it might increase, given the drying up of alternative income sources. I combine bi-weekly data from 70 countries covering the entire world's tropical forest with the dates each country introduced lockdown restrictions. Using difference-in-differences strategies, I find that the average effect of lockdowns in deforestation is not distinguishable from zero. However, the effect on deforestation does vary by the share of lockdown vulnerable GDP and the level of government effectiveness. These results highlight the importance of alternative income sources and state capacity for policies that could reduce deforestation.
COVID-19大流行和相关的政府应对措施使世界各地的经济活动停滞不前。环境得益于城市地区污染的减少。然而,没有证据表明疫情对城市以外的环境有影响,特别是对森林砍伐的影响。textit{从先验的角度}来看,其影响尚不清楚:随着对经济活动的限制,森林砍伐可能会减少。但考虑到替代收入来源的枯竭,这一比例可能会上升。我将覆盖全球热带森林的70个国家的双周数据与每个国家实施封锁限制的日期结合起来。使用差异中的差异策略,我发现封锁对森林砍伐的平均影响几乎为零。然而,对森林砍伐的影响确实因封锁脆弱GDP的份额和政府效率水平而异。这些结果突出了替代收入来源和国家能力对减少森林砍伐政策的重要性。
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引用次数: 4
Factors Influencing Carbon Dioxide Emissions in South Asian Economies: An Econometric Analysis 影响南亚经济体二氧化碳排放的因素:计量经济学分析
Pub Date : 2020-11-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3732536
Mohammed Syedul Islam
Climate Change and global warming are two concerning issues in the contemporary world. Greenhouse Gas emissions particularly carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are responsible for this climate change. Both natural and human made factors causes excessive CO2 emissions. This paper investigates the relationship between CO2 emissions and its human made causes such as fossil fuel energy consumption, income, agricultural production, population and forest in South Asian countries. Although pooled OLS, fixed effects (FE) and random effects (RE) model have been used in this study, the best fitting FE model shows that the highest effect on CO2 emissions was found for GDP while the lowest on it was for fossil fuel energy consumption. Though the study declared the validity of Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, contribution of forest over CO2 emissions is out of expectation (though statistically insignificant). Therefore, further research is required to re-investigate the influence of forest toward CO2 emissions to justify the REDD+ program in South Asia.
气候变化和全球变暖是当今世界关注的两个问题。温室气体排放,特别是二氧化碳(CO2)的排放是造成这种气候变化的原因。自然和人为因素都会导致二氧化碳的过量排放。本文研究了南亚国家二氧化碳排放与其人为因素(如化石燃料能源消耗、收入、农业生产、人口和森林)之间的关系。虽然本研究使用了混合OLS、固定效应(FE)和随机效应(RE)模型,但拟合最佳的FE模型表明,GDP对二氧化碳排放的影响最大,而化石燃料能源消费对二氧化碳排放的影响最小。虽然该研究宣布了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假设的有效性,但森林对二氧化碳排放的贡献超出了预期(尽管统计上不显著)。因此,需要进一步的研究来重新调查森林对二氧化碳排放的影响,以证明REDD+计划在南亚的合理性。
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引用次数: 0
A Ricardian Model of Forestry 林业的李嘉图模型
Pub Date : 2015-05-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2611903
Silvia Faggian, G. Freni
This paper provides a continuous-time �Ricardian� model of forestry, where, in response to an increase in timber demand, forest cultivation is progressively intensified on the most fertile lands and/or extended to less fertile qualities of lands. It is shown that, at a given level of the rate of interest, a set of �break-through timber prices� gives the order of fertility (i.e., the order in which the different qualities of land are taken into cultivation) and that, for each land, prices of standing trees are positive above a �threshold timber price�. Since, for each land, the break-through price is higher than the threshold price, Ricardo is shown to be right: a higher demand for timber could simply raise those components of the landlord compensation which are not rent.
本文提供了一个连续时间的林业“李嘉图”模型,其中,为了响应木材需求的增加,森林种植在最肥沃的土地上逐步加强,并/或扩展到较不肥沃的土地。结果表明,在给定的利率水平下,一组“突破性木材价格”给出了生育力的顺序(即,不同质量的土地被用于耕作的顺序),并且对于每片土地,立木价格高于“阈值木材价格”为正。因为,对于每一块土地,突破价格都高于门槛价格,李嘉图被证明是正确的:对木材的更高需求可以简单地提高地主补偿的那些组成部分,而不是租金。
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引用次数: 0
Within Community to Develop and Manage Mangrove Forest Ecosystem (Indonesian) 在社区内发展和管理红树林生态系统(印度尼西亚)
Pub Date : 2006-01-17 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1669905
Y. Wahyudin
Planning is an important step that should be conducted in developing process. The urgent function in development planning is to argue, to direct and in a few things it would control socio-economic-cultural changes of people at a time period.A development planning process should be formulated by involving all of stakeholders and community. This is really important conducted in order to all data and information that be collected and all programs that succeed designed would be the results of stakeholders aspiration. At the end, it would increase communal spirit in its implementation.Development and management of mangrove forest ecosystem need an participative planning approach, so that the main objective goal would be reached with involving the active participative community. Because of that, the activities designed have to represent ecological-economic-social-institutional sustainability. In this case, designing activities should be containing socialization activities and institutional empowerment (social), participative planting of mangrove (ecology) and giving economic incentive/stimulant activities (economy). This book is giving brief pictures about the process of planning and implementation of development program and managing mangrove forest ecosystem at arround Cikaso estuary, District of Sukabumi.
规划是发展过程中应进行的重要步骤。发展规划的紧迫功能是论证、指导和在一些方面控制人们在一段时间内的社会、经济和文化变化。在制订发展规划程序时,应让所有持份者和社会各界都参与。这是非常重要的,因为所有收集到的数据和信息以及所有成功设计的项目都是利益相关者期望的结果。最后,它将在执行过程中增强社区精神。红树林生态系统的开发和管理需要一种参与性的规划方法,以便在积极参与的社区参与的情况下实现主要目标。正因为如此,设计的活动必须代表生态-经济-社会-制度的可持续性。在这种情况下,设计活动应该包含社会化活动和制度授权(社会),参与式种植红树林(生态)和给予经济激励/刺激活动(经济)。这本书简要介绍了素甲umi地区赤甲索河口周边红树林生态系统的规划、实施和管理过程。
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引用次数: 1
Valuation Methods for Environmental Benefits in Forestry and Watershed Investment Projects 林业和流域投资项目环境效益评估方法
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3307569
R. Cavatassi
The understatement or omission of the environmental costs and benefits associated with forest management options results in project evaluations and policy prescriptions that are less than socially optimal. The aim of this paper is to examine the full range of costs and benefits associated with forests, distinguishing between how these should, and actually are, included in economic analyses. The paper first describes the economic analysis undertaken in the project evaluation procedure of the World Bank. The second section deals with all costs and benefits that typically occur in forestry projects. Costs and benefits are classified as on-site private, onsite public or global according to their nature and area of impact and according to the Total Economic Value approach. The third section illustrates valuation techniques and how these are employed to estimate all forest values. The purpose of the fourth section is to examine how analysis is implemented in project evaluation, focussing on five case studies undertaken by the FAO Investment Centre. The analysis reveals that the main determinants of the economic viability of forestry projects are the on-site private benefits, while a major weakness of project evaluations is the difficulty in including and evaluating on-site public benefits, mainly associated with externalities. Global environmental benefits associated with carbon sequestration proved to be significant for the economic viability of forestry projects.
低估或遗漏与森林管理备选办法有关的环境成本和效益,导致项目评价和政策规定不符合社会最优要求。本文的目的是审查与森林有关的全部成本和收益,区分这些成本和收益应该如何以及实际上如何列入经济分析。本文首先介绍了世界银行在项目评估过程中所进行的经济分析。第二部分涉及林业项目中通常发生的所有成本和收益。成本和效益根据其性质和影响范围以及总经济价值方法分为现场私人、现场公共或全球。第三节说明评估技术以及如何利用这些技术来估计所有森林价值。第四节的目的是审查如何在项目评价中实施分析,重点是粮农组织投资中心进行的五个案例研究。分析表明,林业项目经济可行性的主要决定因素是现场的私人利益,而项目评价的一个主要弱点是难以纳入和评价现场的公共利益,主要与外部性有关。与碳封存有关的全球环境效益证明对林业项目的经济可行性具有重大意义。
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引用次数: 23
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EcoRN: Forestry (Topic)
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