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Reforms and Global Economic Integration of the Indian Economy 印度经济的改革与全球经济一体化
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0006
Nagesh Kumar
Nagesh Kumar brings out the reforms pursued since 1991 have deepened global integration of the Indian economy. Opportunities for product and market diversification remain to be fully exploited to sustain export growth and create more jobs. Despite healthy trade surpluses earned by services as India emerged as a global hub for ICT outsourcing, the balance of payment situation continues to face occasional pressures related to oil prices fluctuations. Export competitiveness needs to be strengthened through appropriate exchange rate management and opportunities for strategic import substitution need to be exploited by leveraging India’s large domestic market size using industrial policy measures, such as Make-in-India. While farsighted policies have led India becoming a part of emerging broader regional economic arrangement, Indian industry has yet to learn to exploit the opportunities provided by preferential access to East Asian markets rather than passively grant market access.
纳格什·库马尔提出了自1991年以来推行的改革,深化了印度经济的全球一体化。产品和市场多样化的机会仍有待充分利用,以维持出口增长和创造更多就业机会。尽管随着印度成为信息和通信技术外包的全球中心,服务业获得了健康的贸易顺差,但国际收支状况继续不时面临与石油价格波动有关的压力。需要通过适当的汇率管理加强出口竞争力,需要利用诸如“印度制造”等产业政策措施,利用印度庞大的国内市场规模,利用战略性进口替代的机会。虽然有远见的政策使印度成为新兴的更广泛的区域经济安排的一部分,但印度工业尚未学会利用优惠进入东亚市场所提供的机会,而不是被动地给予市场准入。
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引用次数: 0
After Liberalizing Reforms 自由化改革之后
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0002
P. Balakrishnan, A. Goyal
Pulapre Balakrishnan and Ashima Goyal point to domestic factors rather than the global economy as the source of the growth slowdown in the last decade. It follows more importance needs to be given to domestic demand and to difficult domestic reforms such as improvements in governance. Since macroeconomic policy has impacted growth, attention to the interaction between the two would also yield dividends. To do so, the inflation forecast targeting regime requires to be flexibly implemented with supportive government action to relieve supply-side restrictions.
普拉普拉•巴拉克里什南(Pulapre Balakrishnan)和阿希玛•戈亚尔(Ashima Goyal)指出,过去10年经济增长放缓的根源在于国内因素,而不是全球经济。随之而来的是,需要更加重视国内需求和改善治理等困难的国内改革。既然宏观经济政策影响了经济增长,那么关注两者之间的相互作用也会带来好处。要做到这一点,通胀预测目标制需要灵活实施,政府采取支持性行动,缓解供给侧限制。
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引用次数: 0
Caste, Class, Gender 种姓,阶级,性别
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0008
A. Deshpande
Ashwini Deshpande argues the translation and impact of momentous post reform changes on inter-group disparities has been uneven. Caste inequality shows very strong inter-state variation and some convergence, but no clear relationship between growth and convergence. Gender wage gaps are substantial, despite the reduction in the average gender wage gap for regular wage and salaried employees over the last decade, and these are greater for the lower part of the wage distribution. A decomposition of these gaps between ‘explained’ and ‘residual’ indicates the discriminatory component is greater among the bottom four wage deciles, indicating the presence of a ‘sticky floor’, rather than a ‘glass ceiling’ for women. While poverty incidence has reduced, class inequality has increased sharply, which has fuelled a protracted armed insurgency in large parts of the country.
Ashwini Deshpande认为,重大的职位改革变化对群体间差异的转化和影响是不平衡的。种姓不平等表现出非常强的邦间差异和一些趋同,但在增长和趋同之间没有明确的关系。尽管在过去十年中,正常工资和受薪雇员的平均性别工资差距有所缩小,但性别工资差距仍然很大,而且在工资分布的较低部分,性别工资差距更大。对“已解释”和“剩余”差距的分解表明,在工资最低的四分之一人群中,歧视成分更大,这表明女性存在“粘底”,而不是“玻璃天花板”。虽然贫困发生率有所下降,但阶级不平等却急剧加剧,这助长了该国大部分地区旷日持久的武装叛乱。
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引用次数: 0
The Financial Sector in India 印度的金融业
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0013
R. Chakrabarti
Rajesh Chakrabarti gives an overview of the financial sector in India. For him a financial system is akin to the circulatory system in the human body, tapping and transporting savings throughout the economy, with markets and banks being the two competing and complementary arteries. The Indian financial system ranks slightly below the median in World Economic Forum rankings but has virtually re-booted since the still ongoing liberalization started in 1991. The four pillars of a financial system—laws, technology, creditors’ rights and corporate governance—have all undergone and are still undergoing major transformations. Financial access and inclusion remain key challenges despite serious efforts and experimentation. The banking system is stable, public-sector dominated, fragmented and heavily regulated. Financial markets have witnessed a sea-change but still have limited liquidity. The corporate bond market—key for much-needed infrastructure financing—remains seriously underdeveloped. The regulatory system is fragmented, rule-based and generally speaking quite conservative. Globalization of the financial system has been steadily increasing with time and while not the most innovation-friendly in the world, it has succeeded in providing stability and averting crises in an increasingly turbulent global financial environment. Aadhaar and big-data based fintech has the potential for inclusive innovations. The chapter’s focus on the institutional and legal base brings out the deep seated transformational changes taking place that perhaps need more time to fructify in increasing domestic savings, allocating them better while reducing the cost of credit, improving its availability and encouraging entrepreneurship.
Rajesh Chakrabarti概述了印度的金融部门。对他来说,金融体系类似于人体的循环系统,在整个经济中吸收和输送储蓄,市场和银行是两条相互竞争、互为补充的动脉。在世界经济论坛的排名中,印度金融体系的排名略低于中位数,但自1991年仍在进行中的自由化开始以来,印度金融体系实际上已经重新启动。金融体系的四大支柱——法律、技术、债权人权利和公司治理——都经历了重大变革,而且仍在经历重大变革。尽管进行了认真的努力和试验,但金融获取和包容性仍然是主要挑战。银行体系稳定,由公共部门主导,分散且受到严格监管。金融市场经历了翻天覆地的变化,但流动性仍然有限。公司债券市场——急需的基础设施融资的关键——仍然严重不发达。监管体系支离破碎,以规则为基础,总体而言相当保守。随着时间的推移,金融体系的全球化一直在稳步发展,虽然它不是世界上最有利于创新的,但它成功地在日益动荡的全球金融环境中提供了稳定并避免了危机。基于Aadhaar和大数据的金融科技具有包容性创新的潜力。本章对制度和法律基础的关注揭示了正在发生的深层次变革,这些变革可能需要更多的时间才能在增加国内储蓄、更好地分配储蓄、同时降低信贷成本、改善信贷可得性和鼓励创业方面取得成果。
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引用次数: 0
Agriculture in India 印度的农业
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0011
S. Dev, Srijit Mishra, V. Pandey
Mahendra Dev, Srijit Mishra, and Vijaylaxmi Pandey contextualize Indian agriculture by an evaluation of its performance, with a focus on the roles, challenges and opportunities for small holders. They observe a turn-around over 2004/5–2010/1 compared to the immediate post-reforms period, which had witnessed stagnation in comparison to the pre-reforms period. Public policy initiatives on investment, research, extension and credit and a set of good monsoons were among the reasons for improvement. But livelihood sustainability of smallholder farmers is a matter of concern. Even so, there are opportunities to reduce costs and risks and use low external input sustainable agriculture without compromising on production. There were sharp peaks in agricultural prices that contributed to inflation. But after prices moderated with export prices, there was severe small farmer distress. The supply response has to keep up with demand growth without excessive inflation even as the population dependent on agriculture shrinks.
Mahendra Dev、Srijit Mishra和Vijaylaxmi Pandey通过对印度农业绩效的评估将其置于背景下,重点关注小农的作用、挑战和机遇。他们观察到2004/5-2010/1年与改革后时期相比出现了转机,与改革前时期相比,改革后时期出现了停滞。投资、研究、推广和信贷方面的公共政策举措以及一系列良好的季风是改善的原因之一。但是,小农的生计可持续性是一个值得关注的问题。即便如此,仍有机会降低成本和风险,在不影响生产的情况下使用外部投入较少的可持续农业。农产品价格的急剧上涨导致了通货膨胀。但随着出口价格的回落,小农户陷入了严重的困境。在依赖农业的人口减少的情况下,供给反应必须跟上需求增长,同时又不能出现过度通胀。
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引用次数: 0
Sources of Growth in India 印度的增长来源
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0001
Laveesh Bhandari, Sumita Kale
Laveesh Bhandari and Sumita Kale study the underlying factors behind the acceleration in India’s economic growth and its puzzling structure. The services sector has been the engine of growth for the economy, with different sub-sectors taking the lead in different time periods as each responded to a policy change such as bank nationalization in the seventies, construction boom in the 2000s, et cetera. However, industrial reforms have not resulted in a sustained high growth due to constraints in land, labour and infrastructure. States have followed diverse trajectories, initial conditions in each leading to differential responses to central reforms. Growth and governance are now crucial for electoral outcomes, making them a focal point for the path ahead.
拉维什·班达里和苏米塔·卡莱研究了印度经济增长加速及其令人费解的结构背后的潜在因素。服务业一直是经济增长的引擎,不同的子行业在不同的时期处于领先地位,因为每个行业都对政策变化做出了反应,比如70年代的银行国有化,21世纪初的建筑业繁荣等等。然而,由于土地、劳动力和基础设施的限制,工业改革并没有带来持续的高增长。各国遵循不同的轨迹,每个国家的初始条件导致对中央改革的不同反应。增长和治理现在对选举结果至关重要,使它们成为未来道路的焦点。
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引用次数: 0
Promoting Special Economic Zones as a Strategy of Industrialization and Lessons Learned 推进经济特区作为工业化战略及经验教训
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0010
A. Aggarwal
Aradhna Aggarwal in examining the formation and evolution of SEZ policy and its contribution to Indian industrialization over different phases draws lessons for new policies. Contextual solutions require experimentation, but continuity of government support over the political cycles is also essential. Commercial sustainability with some legal backing may be the way for policy consistency, making special initiatives independent of the government. To the extent special concessions are given, some sunset clause, or else use of competition, and appropriate regulation to prevent rent-seeking, would be required. Tax concessions could be reduced as other constraints ease. A CAG report that highlighted the large tax losses, and the large percentage of unutilized land in SEZs, points to the necessity of both proper design and implementation. But a blind anti-industry position is counterproductive when employment generation is the way to reduce poverty. Strategic vision and dynamic learning must combine with a political will to implement.
Aradhna Aggarwal研究了经济特区政策的形成和演变及其在不同阶段对印度工业化的贡献,为新政策提供了经验教训。情境解决方案需要试验,但政府在政治周期内的持续支持也至关重要。有法律支持的商业可持续性可能是政策一致性的途径,使特别倡议独立于政府。在给予特殊让步的情况下,就需要一些日落条款,或者利用竞争,以及适当的监管来防止寻租。随着其他限制的缓解,税收优惠可能会减少。CAG的一份报告强调了巨大的税收损失,以及经济特区未利用土地的很大比例,指出了合理设计和实施的必要性。但是,当创造就业是减少贫困的途径时,盲目的反工业立场只会适得其反。战略眼光和动态学习必须与执行的政治意愿相结合。
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引用次数: 1
Fiscal and Monetary Policy 财政和货币政策
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0003
Romar Correa
Romar Correa continues to use the Godley-Cripps (1983) stock-flow-consistent (SFC) framework in this update to refine the thesis that the monetary authority is the ‘handmaiden’ of the fiscal authority. The bank, commercial and central being indistinguishable, is central to the account. A revitalized ‘real bills doctrine’ is proposed. The deleterious consequences of promoting the alternative, ‘financialization’ are traced.
在这次更新中,罗马·科雷亚继续使用Godley-Cripps(1983)的股票流量一致性(SFC)框架来完善货币当局是财政当局的“婢女”这一论点。银行,商业银行和中央银行是无法区分的,是账户的中心。提出了重新焕发活力的“实物票据原则”。我们追溯了推动替代方案“金融化”的有害后果。
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引用次数: 0
New Sources of Dynamism in the Industry 行业活力的新来源
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0012
B. Prasad
Bandi Ram Prasad places the canvas of Indian industry in relation to the financial sector. Reforms gave much needed impetus to industries with opportunities to pursue growth, diversification and global expansion even as policy support, changing dynamics of global manufacturing, and financial reforms emerged as new sources of dynamism. The rapid expansion of India’s financial sector in terms of reach of institutions, products, domestic and foreign financial flows have had significant impact on financing of the Indian industry- from the corporate sector in the conventional economy to the new infrastructure projects to the start-ups, though concerns continue to exist in terms of inadequate financial flows to small businesses and SMEs that have greater potential for employment generation in the context of bank NPAs. The focus on finance raises interesting issues such as risks from volatilities arising from global geopolitics and the scope for domestic policy to evolve alternatives to ensure sustained financial flows to industry.
Bandi Ram Prasad将印度工业的画布与金融部门联系起来。改革为有机会追求增长、多样化和全球扩张的行业提供了急需的动力,即使政策支持、全球制造业不断变化的动态和金融改革成为新的活力来源。印度金融部门在机构、产品、国内外资金流动方面的迅速扩张,对印度工业的融资产生了重大影响——从传统经济中的企业部门到新的基础设施项目,再到初创企业,尽管对小企业和中小企业的资金流动不足的担忧仍然存在,因为小企业和中小企业在银行不良资产的背景下有更大的创造就业的潜力。对金融的关注引发了一些有趣的问题,比如全球地缘政治波动带来的风险,以及国内政策制定替代方案以确保资金持续流向工业的空间。
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引用次数: 0
A Governance Analysis of Transportation in India 印度交通管理分析
Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780199496464.003.0009
S. Sriraman
Sriraman attempts to understand the impact of the governance structure in the Indian context on the provision of transport infrastructure and services. Government owned railways have taken some initiatives to promote freight movement in a big way by the establishment of dedicated corridors with a different model of investment and operation. Equally significant are the initiatives taken up by the different transport related Ministries to promote multi-modalism which involves a change in governance structure. The issue is whether there can be effective implementation of these policy initiatives given continuing poor practices and deviation from an ideal institutional governance framework. One other issue discussed critically relates to the effective implementation of planning and operating of information technology practices in the context of smart cities that are being encouraged in a background of poor urban physical infrastructure.
Sriraman试图了解印度背景下的治理结构对运输基础设施和服务提供的影响。国有铁路采取了一些措施,以不同的投资和运营模式,建立专用走廊,以大规模促进货物运输。同样重要的是,与运输有关的各部委为促进涉及改变管理结构的多模式主义所采取的主动行动。问题是,鉴于持续的不良做法和偏离理想的机构治理框架,这些政策举措能否得到有效实施。讨论的另一个重要问题涉及在城市物理基础设施薄弱的背景下鼓励在智慧城市背景下有效实施信息技术实践的规划和运营。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
A Concise Handbook of the Indian Economy in the 21st Century
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