Pub Date : 2022-08-19DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017093
G. Pellizzaro, V. Bacciu, C. Scarpa, B. Arca, M. Salis, M. Casula, L. Giudice, M. Schirru, Fabrizio Pedes, A. Canu
{"title":"Impact of Four Large Fires on Air Quality in Sardinia (Italy)","authors":"G. Pellizzaro, V. Bacciu, C. Scarpa, B. Arca, M. Salis, M. Casula, L. Giudice, M. Schirru, Fabrizio Pedes, A. Canu","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017093","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017093","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124659356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-18DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017089
Paulo Fernandes, N. Guiomar, David A. Davim
: Fires of natural origin are usually a very small fraction of the total number of fires in southern Europe, and as such, they are not relevant to contemporary fire regimes and policies, even if they occasionally develop into large-scale conflagrations. However, lighting-caused fires might have been a relevant landscape-level disturbance prior to the anthropogenic control exerted through land use and land cover, fire use, and wildfire suppression. Our goal was to simulate fire behavior characteristics (rate of spread, fireline intensity) for recent (2001–2020) individual lightning fires occurring in Portugal but under a mid-Holocene landscape context, i.e., just before the human-induced Neolithic disturbances, including burning. We selected three study areas (1240–2615 km 2 ) with distinctively high densities of lightning fires (4.4–7.0 per 100 km 2 per year) and quantified deciduous broadleaved forest, evergreen broadleaved forest and shrubland cover within each area at 6 ka BP (before present) by combining mapped forest cover (from a palynological reconstruction) and potential natural vegetation series. Then, we simulated the unbounded hourly spread of each fire until its natural extinction (determined by fuel moisture) and allowing for smoldering-only periods with subsequent reactivation, using a suite of selected semi-empirical and empirical models and ERA5-Land (ECMWF, Reading, UK) reanalysis weather data for the location and duration of the event. The simulations considered uncertainty in vegetation cover and in the likelihood of fire reactivation after light rainfall. The unbounded fire size exceeded observed fire size by up to four orders of magnitude. Preliminary results for one of the study areas suggest an infrequent and mixed-severity natural fire regime affecting about 1–4% of the landscape every year. The study offers increased understanding of the past regime and ecological role of natural fire in the Mediterranean basin and can inform improved fire management policies in the region.
自然火灾通常只占南欧火灾总数的很小一部分,因此,即使它们偶尔发展成大规模火灾,也与当代火灾制度和政策无关。然而,在土地利用和土地覆盖、火灾利用和野火抑制等人为控制之前,照明引起的火灾可能是一种相关的景观水平干扰。我们的目标是模拟最近(2001-2020年)葡萄牙发生的单个闪电火灾的火灾行为特征(蔓延速度、火线强度),但发生在全新世中期的景观背景下,即在人类引起的新石器时代干扰(包括燃烧)之前。我们选择了3个研究区(1240-2615 km2),闪电火密度特别高(每100 km2每年4.4-7.0次),通过结合森林覆盖(来自孢粉重建)和潜在的自然植被系列,在6 ka BP(现在之前)在每个区域内量化落叶阔叶林、常绿阔叶林和灌木覆盖。然后,我们使用一套选定的半经验和经验模型和ERA5-Land (ECMWF, Reading, UK)对事件位置和持续时间的天气数据进行再分析,模拟了每次火灾的无限小时蔓延,直到其自然熄灭(由燃料湿度决定),并允许随后重新激活的仅阴燃期。模拟考虑了植被覆盖的不确定性和小雨后火灾再次发生的可能性。无界火灾的规模超过观测到的火灾规模达四个数量级。其中一个研究区域的初步结果表明,每年约有1-4%的景观受到罕见和混合严重程度的自然火灾的影响。该研究增加了对地中海盆地自然火灾的过去制度和生态作用的理解,并可以为该地区改进的火灾管理政策提供信息。
{"title":"Modelling the Behavior and Extent of Mid-Holocene Lightning-Caused Fires in Portugal","authors":"Paulo Fernandes, N. Guiomar, David A. Davim","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017089","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017089","url":null,"abstract":": Fires of natural origin are usually a very small fraction of the total number of fires in southern Europe, and as such, they are not relevant to contemporary fire regimes and policies, even if they occasionally develop into large-scale conflagrations. However, lighting-caused fires might have been a relevant landscape-level disturbance prior to the anthropogenic control exerted through land use and land cover, fire use, and wildfire suppression. Our goal was to simulate fire behavior characteristics (rate of spread, fireline intensity) for recent (2001–2020) individual lightning fires occurring in Portugal but under a mid-Holocene landscape context, i.e., just before the human-induced Neolithic disturbances, including burning. We selected three study areas (1240–2615 km 2 ) with distinctively high densities of lightning fires (4.4–7.0 per 100 km 2 per year) and quantified deciduous broadleaved forest, evergreen broadleaved forest and shrubland cover within each area at 6 ka BP (before present) by combining mapped forest cover (from a palynological reconstruction) and potential natural vegetation series. Then, we simulated the unbounded hourly spread of each fire until its natural extinction (determined by fuel moisture) and allowing for smoldering-only periods with subsequent reactivation, using a suite of selected semi-empirical and empirical models and ERA5-Land (ECMWF, Reading, UK) reanalysis weather data for the location and duration of the event. The simulations considered uncertainty in vegetation cover and in the likelihood of fire reactivation after light rainfall. The unbounded fire size exceeded observed fire size by up to four orders of magnitude. Preliminary results for one of the study areas suggest an infrequent and mixed-severity natural fire regime affecting about 1–4% of the landscape every year. The study offers increased understanding of the past regime and ecological role of natural fire in the Mediterranean basin and can inform improved fire management policies in the region.","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129360893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-18DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017088
M. Casula, B. Arca, G. Laneve, E. Cadau, Raffaele Bua, Fabrizio Pedes, M. Salis, P. Andronico, A. Ventura, F. Casula, Maurizio Cao
{"title":"Integrated Platform for Wildfire Prevention and Management: The S2IGI Project","authors":"M. Casula, B. Arca, G. Laneve, E. Cadau, Raffaele Bua, Fabrizio Pedes, M. Salis, P. Andronico, A. Ventura, F. Casula, Maurizio Cao","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017088","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017088","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"42 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133533466","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-17DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017087
L. E. Miezīte, A. Améztegui, Marcos Rodrigues
the provision of services The FIREPATHS project aims to assess future wildfire danger by coupling dynamics, climate modeling and wildfire behavior simulation. The project explores different forest management scenarios based on several EU forest policies (promotion of carbon stocks, water vulnerability reduction, biomass production and business-as-usual) under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate pathways in the period 2020–2100. We evaluated fire behavior
{"title":"Fire Behavior Pathways under Climate Change and Management Scenarios","authors":"L. E. Miezīte, A. Améztegui, Marcos Rodrigues","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017087","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017087","url":null,"abstract":"the provision of services The FIREPATHS project aims to assess future wildfire danger by coupling dynamics, climate modeling and wildfire behavior simulation. The project explores different forest management scenarios based on several EU forest policies (promotion of carbon stocks, water vulnerability reduction, biomass production and business-as-usual) under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate pathways in the period 2020–2100. We evaluated fire behavior","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128356473","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-17DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017086
D. Ascoli, Jose V. Moris, Ângelo Sil, P. Fernandes
1 Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Food Sciences, University of Torino, 10095 Torino, Italy 2 InBIO/CIBIO—Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos, 4485-661 Vairão, Portugal 3 Centre for the Research and Technology of Agro-environmental and Biological Sciences (CITAB), University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro, 5000-801 Vila Real, Portugal * Correspondence: d.ascoli@unito.it † Presented at the Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk, Sardinia, Italy, 3–6 May 2022.
1都灵大学农业、林业和食品科学系,10095意大利都灵2 InBIO/ cibio - 生物多样性研究中心,4485-661葡萄牙vair 3 Trás-os-Montes和上杜罗大学农业环境和生物科学研究与技术中心,5000-801葡萄牙Vila Real *通讯:d.ascoli@unito.it†在第三届火灾行为和风险国际会议上发表,撒丁岛,意大利,2022年5月3日至6日。
{"title":"Using the Rothermel Package in R to Test Standard and Custom Fuel Models against Global Fire Behavior Data","authors":"D. Ascoli, Jose V. Moris, Ângelo Sil, P. Fernandes","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017086","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017086","url":null,"abstract":"1 Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Food Sciences, University of Torino, 10095 Torino, Italy 2 InBIO/CIBIO—Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos, 4485-661 Vairão, Portugal 3 Centre for the Research and Technology of Agro-environmental and Biological Sciences (CITAB), University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro, 5000-801 Vila Real, Portugal * Correspondence: d.ascoli@unito.it † Presented at the Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk, Sardinia, Italy, 3–6 May 2022.","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"71 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124879858","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-17DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017085
M. Parisien, Quinn E. Barber, M. Flannigan, P. Jain
: The broadleaf tree species of the boreal biome of Canada have low flammability compared to conifers, which is in large part due to the high moisture content of their foliage. However, there is a period following snowmelt and prior to leaf budding (i.e., greenup), termed the ‘spring window’ by fire managers, when these forests are more conducive to fire ignition and spread. The goal of this study was to evaluate the length and variability of the spring window from year to year across ecological regions of boreal Canada and to determine whether it is associated with an increased number of human-caused wildfires. We used remotely sensed descriptions of snow cover and greenup to describe the annual spring window for nine ecological regions from 2001 to 2018. Then, we statistically compared the timing of the windows and associated the temporal patterns of fire-conducive weather to human-caused wildfire occurrence. The results show a positive association between the number of human-caused wildfires and the timing of the spring window in only two of the eight regions (the Boreal Plain and Taiga Plain, both in western Canada); however, these are two of the most fire-active areas in the country. A specific set of factors must coincide for regional fire regimes to exhibit a fire-prone spring window: (i) a relatively high (>20%) proportion of broadleaf forest cover, (ii) a high load of human ignitions (because lighting is rare in the spring), and (ii) frequent windy and dry weather conditions. Although the fire regimes that are active in the springtime are mostly confined to parts of western Canada at present, other areas of boreal Canada may see an increase in spring wildfires if projected climatic changes are borne out and if a growing number of people settle into boreal wildlands.
{"title":"The Effect of Broadleaf-Tree Greenup on Springtime Wildfire Occurrence in Boreal Canada","authors":"M. Parisien, Quinn E. Barber, M. Flannigan, P. Jain","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017085","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017085","url":null,"abstract":": The broadleaf tree species of the boreal biome of Canada have low flammability compared to conifers, which is in large part due to the high moisture content of their foliage. However, there is a period following snowmelt and prior to leaf budding (i.e., greenup), termed the ‘spring window’ by fire managers, when these forests are more conducive to fire ignition and spread. The goal of this study was to evaluate the length and variability of the spring window from year to year across ecological regions of boreal Canada and to determine whether it is associated with an increased number of human-caused wildfires. We used remotely sensed descriptions of snow cover and greenup to describe the annual spring window for nine ecological regions from 2001 to 2018. Then, we statistically compared the timing of the windows and associated the temporal patterns of fire-conducive weather to human-caused wildfire occurrence. The results show a positive association between the number of human-caused wildfires and the timing of the spring window in only two of the eight regions (the Boreal Plain and Taiga Plain, both in western Canada); however, these are two of the most fire-active areas in the country. A specific set of factors must coincide for regional fire regimes to exhibit a fire-prone spring window: (i) a relatively high (>20%) proportion of broadleaf forest cover, (ii) a high load of human ignitions (because lighting is rare in the spring), and (ii) frequent windy and dry weather conditions. Although the fire regimes that are active in the springtime are mostly confined to parts of western Canada at present, other areas of boreal Canada may see an increase in spring wildfires if projected climatic changes are borne out and if a growing number of people settle into boreal wildlands.","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121818819","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-16DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017083
Fabio Alaimo Ponziani
{"title":"Water-Based Shields Deployment on Terrain during Wildfire Spread: A Modelling Approach Using Distributed Information through Autonomous Agents","authors":"Fabio Alaimo Ponziani","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017083","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017083","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"53 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132791372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-16DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017084
A. Syphard
{"title":"What Is Normal and Why Is It New? Exploring How, Where, and Why Fire Regimes Are Changing through the Lens of California","authors":"A. Syphard","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017084","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017084","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130143192","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-16DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017080
Luiz Felipe Galizia, R. Barbero, Marcos Rodrigues, T. Curt
{"title":"Pyrogeography: An Alternative Zonation for Europe","authors":"Luiz Felipe Galizia, R. Barbero, Marcos Rodrigues, T. Curt","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017080","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130434792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-11DOI: 10.3390/environsciproc2022017069
V. Egorova, G. Pagnini
{"title":"Predicting the Arrival of the Unpredictable: An Approach for Foreseeing the Transition to Chaos in Wildfire Propagation","authors":"V. Egorova, G. Pagnini","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017069","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"25 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125580535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}