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Bayesian Analysis for Random Effects Models 随机效应模型的贝叶斯分析
Pub Date : 2020-06-16 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.88822
Junshan Shen, Catherine C Liu
Random effects models have been widely used to analyze correlated data sets, and Bayesian techniques have emerged as a powerful tool to fit the models. How-ever, there has been scarce literature that systematically reviews and summarizes the recent advances of Bayesian analyses of random effects models. This chapter reviews the use of the Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) prior to approximate the distribution of random errors within the general semiparametric random effects models with parametric random effects for longitudinal data setting and failure time setting separately. In a survival setting with clusters, we propose a new class of nonparametric random effects models which is motivated from the accelerated failure models. We employ a beta process prior to tact clustering and estimation simultaneously. We analyze a new data set integrated from Alzheimer ’ s disease (AD) study to illustrate the presented model and methods.
随机效应模型已被广泛用于分析相关数据集,而贝叶斯技术已成为拟合模型的有力工具。然而,系统地回顾和总结随机效应模型贝叶斯分析的最新进展的文献很少。本章回顾了使用Dirichlet过程混合(DPM)在纵向数据设置和失效时间设置分别具有参数随机效应的一般半参数随机效应模型中近似随机误差分布的方法。在有集群的生存环境下,我们提出了一类新的非参数随机效应模型,该模型是由加速失效模型驱动的。我们同时在聚类和估计之前使用了beta过程。我们分析了从阿尔茨海默病(AD)研究中整合的新数据集来说明所提出的模型和方法。
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引用次数: 1
Patient Bayesian Inference: Cloud-Based Healthcare Data Analysis Using Constraint-Based Adaptive Boost Algorithm 患者贝叶斯推断:使用基于约束的自适应Boost算法的基于云的医疗保健数据分析
Pub Date : 2020-05-14 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.91171
Shahid Naseem
Cloud-based healthcare data are a form of distributed data over the internet. The internet has become the most vulnerable part of critical healthcare infrastructures. Healthcare data are considered to be sensitive information, which can reveal a lot about a patient. For healthcare data, apart from confidentiality, privacy and protection of data are very sensitive issues. Proactive measures such as early warning are required to reduce the risk of patient ’ s data violation. This chapter investigates the ability of Patient Bayesian Inference (PBI) for network scenario analysis with violation of patient data to produce early warning. The Bayesian inference allows modeling the uncertainties that come with the problem of dealing with missing data, allows integrating data from remote nodes, and explicitly indicates depen-dence and independence. The use of constraint-based adaptive boost algorithm can demonstrate the patient ’ s Bayesian inference performance in the real-world datasets from healthcare data.
基于云的医疗保健数据是互联网上分布式数据的一种形式。互联网已成为关键医疗基础设施中最脆弱的部分。医疗保健数据被认为是敏感信息,可以揭示患者的很多信息。对于医疗保健数据,除了保密性之外,数据的隐私和保护也是非常敏感的问题。需要采取主动措施,如早期预警,以降低患者数据违规的风险。本章探讨了患者贝叶斯推理(PBI)在患者数据违规的网络场景分析中产生预警的能力。贝叶斯推理允许对处理丢失数据问题带来的不确定性进行建模,允许集成来自远程节点的数据,并显式地指示依赖性和独立性。使用基于约束的自适应增强算法可以在医疗数据的真实数据集中展示患者的贝叶斯推理性能。
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引用次数: 0
A Brief Tour of Bayesian Sampling Methods 简要介绍贝叶斯抽样方法
Pub Date : 2020-04-14 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.91451
Michelle Y. Wang, Trevor Park
Unlike in the past, the modern Bayesian analyst has many options for approxi-mating intractable posterior distributions. This chapter briefly summarizes the class of posterior sampling methods known as Markov chain Monte Carlo, a type of dependent sampling strategy. Varieties of algorithms exist for constructing chains, and we review some of them here. Such methods are quite flexible and are now used routinely, even for relatively complicated statistical models. In addition, extensions of the algorithms have been developed for various goals. General-purpose software is currently also available to automate the construction of samplers, freeing the analyst to focus on model formulation and inference.
与过去不同的是,现代贝叶斯分析有很多方法来近似难处理的后验分布。本章简要总结了一类被称为马尔科夫链蒙特卡罗的后验抽样方法,这是一种依赖抽样策略。构造链的算法多种多样,我们在这里回顾其中的一些。这种方法相当灵活,现在已成为常规方法,甚至用于相对复杂的统计模型。此外,还针对各种目标开发了算法的扩展。通用软件目前也可用于自动构建采样器,使分析人员能够专注于模型制定和推理。
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引用次数: 5
A Review on the Exact Monte Carlo Simulation 精确蒙特卡罗模拟研究进展
Pub Date : 2019-11-13 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.88619
Hongsheng Dai
Perfect Monte Carlo sampling refers to sampling random realizations exactly from the target distributions (without any statistical error). Although many different methods have been developed and various applications have been implemented in the area of perfect Monte Carlo sampling, it is mostly referred by researchers to coupling from the past (CFTP) which can correct the statistical errors for the Monte Carlo samples generated by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. This paper provides a brief review on the recent developments and applications in CFTP and other perfect Monte Carlo sampling methods.
完全蒙特卡罗抽样是指精确地从目标分布中抽样随机实现(没有任何统计误差)。虽然在完美蒙特卡罗采样领域已经开发了许多不同的方法并实现了各种各样的应用,但研究人员主要提到的是过去耦合(CFTP),它可以纠正马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)算法产生的蒙特卡罗样本的统计误差。本文简要介绍了CFTP和其他完善的蒙特卡罗采样方法的最新发展和应用。
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引用次数: 2
On the Impact of the Choice of the Prior in Bayesian Statistics 论贝叶斯统计中先验选择的影响
Pub Date : 2019-09-21 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.88994
Fatemeh Ghaderinezhad, Christophe Ley
A key question in Bayesian analysis is the effect of the prior on the posterior, and how we can measure this effect. Will the posterior distributions derived with distinct priors become very similar if more and more data are gathered? It has been proved formally that, under certain regularity conditions, the impact of the prior is waning as the sample size increases. From a practical viewpoint it is more important to know what happens at finite sample size n. In this chapter, we shall explain how we tackle this crucial question from an innovative approach. To this end, we shall review some notions from probability theory such as the Wasserstein distance and the popular Stein's method, and explain how we use these a priori unrelated concepts in order to measure the impact of priors. Examples will illustrate our findings, including conjugate priors and the Jeffreys prior.
贝叶斯分析中的一个关键问题是先验对后验的影响,以及我们如何测量这种影响。如果收集的数据越来越多,具有不同先验的后验分布是否会变得非常相似?已经正式证明,在一定的规律性条件下,先验的影响随着样本量的增加而减弱。从实际的角度来看,更重要的是要知道在有限的样本量n下会发生什么。在本章中,我们将解释如何从一种创新的方法来解决这个关键问题。为此,我们将回顾概率论中的一些概念,如Wasserstein距离和流行的Stein方法,并解释我们如何使用这些先验的不相关概念来衡量先验的影响。例子将说明我们的发现,包括共轭先验和杰弗里斯先验。
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引用次数: 5
Bayesian Inference of Gene Regulatory Network 基因调控网络的贝叶斯推断
Pub Date : 2019-08-28 DOI: 10.5772/INTECHOPEN.88799
Xi Chen, J. Xuan
Gene regulatory networks (GRN) have been studied by computational scientists and biologists over 20 years to gain a fine map of gene functions. With large-scale genomic and epigenetic data generated under diverse cells, tissues, and diseases, the integrative analysis of multi-omics data plays a key role in identifying casual genes in human disease development. Bayesian inference (or integration) has been successfully applied to inferring GRNs. Learning a posterior distribution than making a single-value prediction of model parameter makes Bayesian inference a more robust approach to identify GRN from noisy biomedical observations. Moreover, given multi-omics data as input and a large number of model parameters to estimate, the automatic preference of Bayesian inference for simple models that sufficiently explain data without unnecessary complexity ensures fast convergence to reliable results. In this chapter, we introduced GRN modeling using hierarchical Bayesian network and then used Gibbs sampling to identify network variables. We applied this model to breast cancer data and identified genes relevant to breast cancer recurrence. In the end, we discussed the potential of Bayesian inference as well as Bayesian deep learning for large-scale and complex GRN inference.
基因调控网络(GRN)已经被计算科学家和生物学家研究了20多年,以获得基因功能的精细图谱。随着在不同细胞、组织和疾病下产生的大规模基因组和表观遗传学数据,多组学数据的综合分析在识别人类疾病发展中的偶然基因方面起着关键作用。贝叶斯推理(或积分)已经成功地应用于grn的推理。学习后验分布比单值预测模型参数使贝叶斯推理成为从嘈杂的生物医学观测中识别GRN的更稳健的方法。此外,在给定多组学数据作为输入和大量模型参数需要估计的情况下,贝叶斯推理对简单模型的自动偏好能够充分解释数据而没有不必要的复杂性,从而确保快速收敛到可靠的结果。在本章中,我们介绍了使用分层贝叶斯网络进行GRN建模,然后使用Gibbs抽样来识别网络变量。我们将该模型应用于乳腺癌数据,并确定了与乳腺癌复发相关的基因。最后,我们讨论了贝叶斯推理以及贝叶斯深度学习在大规模和复杂GRN推理中的潜力。
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引用次数: 1
The Bayesian Posterior Estimators under Six Loss Functions for Unrestricted and Restricted Parameter Spaces 六种损失函数下无限制参数空间的贝叶斯后验估计
Pub Date : 2019-08-12 DOI: 10.5772/INTECHOPEN.88587
Ying-Ying Zhang
In this chapter, we have investigated six loss functions. In particular, the squared error loss function and the weighted squared error loss function that penalize overestimation and underestimation equally are recommended for the unrestricted parameter space (cid:1) ∞ ; ∞ ð Þ ; Stein ’ s loss function and the power-power loss function, which penalize gross overestimation and gross underestimation equally, are recommended for the positive restricted parameter space 0 ; ∞ ð Þ ; the power-log loss function and Zhang ’ s loss function, which penalize gross overestimation and gross underestimation equally, are recommended for 0 ; 1 ð Þ . Among the six Bayesian estimators that minimize the corresponding posterior expected losses (PELs), there exist three strings of inequalities. However, a string of inequalities among the six smallest PELs does not exist. Moreover, we summarize three hierarchical models where the unknown parameter of interest belongs to 0 ; ∞ ð Þ , that is, the hierarchical normal and inverse gamma model, the hierarchical Poisson and gamma model, and the hierarchical normal and normal-inverse-gamma model. In addition, we summarize two hierarchical models where the unknown parameter of interest belongs to 0 ; 1 ð Þ , that is, the beta-binomial model and the beta-negative binomial model. For empirical Bayesian analysis of the unknown parameter of interest of the hierarchical models, we use two common methods to obtain the estimators of the hyperparameters, that is, the moment method and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) method.
在本章中,我们研究了六种损失函数。特别是,对于无限制参数空间(cid:1)∞,推荐使用误差平方损失函数和加权误差平方损失函数对高估和低估进行同等惩罚;∞ð Þ;对于正受限参数空间0,推荐使用Stein损失函数和幂-幂损失函数,它们对严重高估和严重低估的惩罚相同;∞ð Þ;建议使用幂对数损失函数和张氏损失函数,它们对严重高估和严重低估的惩罚是一样的,为0;1 ð Þ。在使相应的后验期望损失最小的6个贝叶斯估计量中,存在3串不等式。然而,六个最小的PELs之间并不存在一系列的不平等。此外,我们总结了三个层次模型,其中感兴趣的未知参数属于0;∞ð Þ,即分层正态和反伽马模型,分层泊松和伽马模型,分层正态和正态-反伽马模型。此外,我们总结了两个层次模型,其中感兴趣的未知参数属于0;1 ð Þ即β -二项模型和β -负二项模型。对于层次模型的未知感兴趣参数的经验贝叶斯分析,我们使用两种常用的方法来获得超参数的估计量,即矩量法和极大似然估计(MLE)方法。
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引用次数: 1
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Bayesian Inference on Complicated Data
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