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Examining the Impact of Financial Openness on Domestic Interest Rate in Nigeria 考察尼日利亚金融开放对国内利率的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2023/1-02
Innocent Chile Nzeh, B. Uzoechina, J. N. Ozoh, U. Okoli
The sensitive role played by domestic interest rate in the economy has made studies on its determinants paramount. This study therefore used the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds framework to investigate the impact of financial openness on domestic interest rate in Nigeria over the period from 1980–2020. The study included three de facto financial openness measures, namely: foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, FDI outflows and portfolio investment as well as one de jure financial openness measure, namely: capital account openness. The short-run results revealed that while FDI inflows had a negative but non-significant impact on domestic interest rate, the impact of FDI outflows was positive and significant. The short-run results also indicated that while foreign portfolio investment had a positive but non-significant impact on domestic interest rate, the impact of capital account openness was positive and significant. In the long-run, the study revealed that FDI inflows had a negative but non-significant impact on domestic interest rate. In another vein, while FDI outflows was found to impact on domestic interest rate positively, the impact of capital account openness was also found to be positive. The study therefore concludes that domestic interest rate in Nigeria was influenced positively by both FDI outflows and capital account openness in the two time horizons and this has implications for monetary policy setting. Based on these findings, the study recommends that apart from the traditional policies used in the control of domestic interest rate, monetary authorities in Nigeria should also regulate capital outflows in their quest to direct interest rate to a desired direction.
国内利率在经济中的敏感作用使得对其决定因素的研究至关重要。因此,本研究使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界框架来调查1980-2020年期间尼日利亚金融开放对国内利率的影响。该研究包括三个事实上的金融开放措施,即外国直接投资流入、外国直接投资流出和证券投资,以及一个法律上的金融开放措施,即资本账户开放。短期结果表明,FDI流入对国内利率的影响为负但不显著,而FDI流出对国内利率的影响为正且显著。短期结果还表明,虽然外国证券投资对国内利率有正但不显著的影响,但资本账户开放的影响是正而显著的。从长期来看,研究表明FDI流入对国内利率有负但不显著的影响。另一方面,虽然FDI流出对国内利率的影响为正,但资本账户开放的影响也为正。因此,该研究得出结论,尼日利亚的国内利率在两个时间范围内都受到外国直接投资流出和资本账户开放的积极影响,这对货币政策的制定有影响。根据这些发现,该研究建议,除了用于控制国内利率的传统政策外,尼日利亚的货币当局还应规范资本外流,以寻求将利率引导到理想的方向。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Tokenisation on Economics Demographics and Economics of Selected Crowdfunding Investments 代币化对选定众筹投资的经济学、人口学和经济学的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2023/1-01
Michael Pirgmann
The text analyzed data from two German crowdfunding investments issued by one initiator in the real estate industry, involving a total of 1,692 investors. One fund has a classical investment structure while the initiator used an innovative approach with a tokenised investment product based on the Ethereum blockchain technology in the second one. This paper tries to find the impact on the demographics of the funds and the profitabi lity for the initiator when making a structural change from a classical investment with a minimum investment size of EUR 1,000 to a tokenised investment structure with a mini mum investment of EUR 1. The results show no impact from tokenisation on the structure of the investors´ gender and only minor impact on the age of the investors. But the findings highlight that lowering the minimum investment to EUR 1 via tokenisation to attract more investors, diminishes the profit margin for the initiator substantially. Because every inves tor comes at an acquisition cost, only a certain number of loss-making small investments in relation to profitable high investments can be compensated. Since it is not possible to precisely determine the density distribution of investment sizes in advance to placing a new investment, it is recommended to give up the minimum investment size of EUR 1 to avoid the risk of attracting too many investors at a deficit, hence diminishing the profit margin of the funds.
本文分析了一位房地产行业发起人发布的两项德国众筹投资的数据,共涉及1692名投资者。一只基金采用经典的投资结构,而发起人在第二只基金中采用了基于以太坊区块链技术的代币化投资产品的创新方法。本文试图找出从最小投资规模为1000欧元的经典投资到最小投资额为1欧元的代币化投资结构的结构变化对基金人口结构和发起人盈利能力的影响。结果显示,代币化对投资者性别结构没有影响,对投资者年龄的影响很小。但调查结果强调,通过代币化将最低投资降至1欧元以吸引更多投资者,大大降低了发起人的利润率。因为每个投资者都有收购成本,所以只有一定数量的亏损小投资相对于盈利的高投资才能得到补偿。由于在进行新投资之前无法准确确定投资规模的密度分布,因此建议放弃1欧元的最低投资规模,以避免在赤字情况下吸引过多投资者的风险,从而降低基金的利润率。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the German Pension System COVID-19大流行对德国养老金制度的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2023/1-04
Dennis C. Tale
The COVID-19 pandemic was declared over in April 2023. Like the financial crisis of 2008, the pandemic outbreak had an exogenous shock effect on Germany's micro- and macroeconomic environment. This mainly affected the labor market, and after that, the Bundesregierung took measures to stabilize the labor market to prevent a dramatic increase in unemployment. The German pension system is a pay-as-you-go system that is financed on a long-term basis by demographic and economic developments. Based on these factors, projections on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on statutory pension insurance in Germany were already made in 2020. This paper compares the forecasts from 2020 with the actual development, combined with whether German pension insurance can be assessed as sustainable after the pandemic.
2019冠状病毒病大流行于2023年4月宣布结束。与2008年金融危机一样,此次疫情对德国微观和宏观经济环境产生了外生冲击效应。这主要影响了劳动力市场,此后,联邦政府采取措施稳定劳动力市场,以防止失业率急剧上升。德国的养老金制度是一种现收现付的制度,其资金来源于人口和经济发展的长期基础。根据这些因素,德国已经在2020年预测了新冠疫情对法定养老保险的影响。本文将2020年的预测与实际发展进行比较,并结合疫情后德国养老保险是否可以评估为可持续的。
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引用次数: 0
Behavioral Finance and how its Behavioral Biases Affect German Investors 行为金融及其行为偏见如何影响德国投资者
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2023/1-03
Bastian Schulz
The growing discipline of behavioral finance has identified several biases that significantly impact individual investors' actions. This paper aims to evaluate the influence of behavioral biases on investing decision-making among German investors. A questionnaire is created, and survey results from 342 investors are collected. Three behavioral biases, namely overconfidence, herding, and anchoring behavior, have been examined in this study. Moreover, it was determined if gender influences these biases among German investors. The findings indicate that male German investors are more susceptible to overconfidence and anchoring bias than female German investors. However, women are more likely than males to fall victim to the herding bias. Overall findings show that individual investors are prone to psychological mistakes.
行为金融学这门不断发展的学科已经确定了几个显著影响个人投资者行为的偏见。本文旨在评价行为偏差对德国投资者投资决策的影响。制作问卷,收集342位投资者的调查结果。本研究考察了三种行为偏差,即过度自信、羊群行为和锚定行为。此外,还确定了性别是否会影响德国投资者的这些偏见。研究结果表明,德国男性投资者比德国女性投资者更容易过度自信和锚定偏见。然而,女性比男性更容易成为羊群偏见的受害者。总体发现,个人投资者容易出现心理错误。
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引用次数: 0
Extended Workforce Ecosystems: Intelligent Bots and Freelancers with Employee ID Cards Are Changing the Workforce Paradigm 扩展的劳动力生态系统:智能机器人和拥有员工身份证的自由职业者正在改变劳动力模式
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2023/1-05
Ladislava Knihová, O. Němec
In today's digital age, organizations increasingly leverage an extended workforce ekosystém incorporating freelancers and even intelligent bots with employee ID cards to bolster their operations. This article examines the advantages and challenges of these ecosystems, offering a roadmap for organizations to effectively navigate the shift towards hybrid and fully remote working models. The successful realization of this transition heavily relies on the shared attitude towards education and learning within the extended workforce ecosystem. Drawing upon data obtained from the observational study MML-TGI, the aim of which is to assess and interpret the adoption levels of educational content and identify sociodemographic segments of consumers suitable for targeted educational content, this article presents insights into the current population attitudes towards education and learning, which hold crucial implications for designing employee training programs. The primary objective of this article is to provide organizations with comprehensive and research-based knowledge, enabling them to transition from reactive ad hoc remote work arrangements to a more sustainable and effective hybrid work approach. By acting as a bridge to the future, this study facilitates the transformation towards a strategic and intentional approach to hybrid working models that align with the needs of both employees and the organization.
在当今的数字时代,组织越来越多地利用扩展的劳动力生态系统,将自由职业者甚至智能机器人与员工身份证结合起来,以支持他们的运营。本文研究了这些生态系统的优势和挑战,为组织提供了一个路线图,以有效地引导向混合和完全远程工作模型的转变。这种转变的成功实现在很大程度上依赖于扩展劳动力生态系统中对教育和学习的共同态度。根据观察性研究MML-TGI获得的数据,其目的是评估和解释教育内容的采用水平,并确定适合目标教育内容的消费者的社会人口细分,本文提出了对当前人口对教育和学习的态度的见解,这对设计员工培训计划具有重要意义。本文的主要目标是为组织提供全面的和基于研究的知识,使他们能够从被动的临时远程工作安排过渡到更可持续和有效的混合工作方法。通过充当通往未来的桥梁,本研究促进了向符合员工和组织需求的混合工作模式的战略和有意方法的转变。
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引用次数: 0
Unemployment, Effects of Government Measures and Employment Effects During the Corona Crisis in Germany 德国冠状病毒危机期间的失业、政府措施的影响和就业影响
Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2022/2-02
Katrin Steyer
During the corona pandemic, policymakers in Germany had to act swiftly. There were targeted corona aid and programmes. The impact of the programmes on the development of unemployment is the subject of research, especially in German-speaking countries. There are gaps in knowledge regarding the impact of the pandemic on gender unemployment. By analysing the research in a structured way and combining it with the analysis of unemployment data, it is shown that the Corona measures helped prevent unemployment. It also shows that women were more affected by unemployment. The increased risk of becoming unemployed is followed by a higher risk of remaining unemployed for longer. Studies show that women are significantly more affected by this risk than in previous recessions. The results indicate that women are more likely to be unemployed for longer due to their desire to work in sectors that are typical for women. Considering the shortage of skilled labour is a prevalent issue, the author proposes targeted policy advice to bring women out of unemployment without stereotypes.
在冠状病毒大流行期间,德国的政策制定者必须迅速采取行动。有针对性的冠状病毒援助和规划。这些方案对失业发展的影响是研究的主题,特别是在德语国家。关于这一大流行病对性别失业的影响,知识方面存在差距。通过以结构化的方式分析研究,并将其与失业数据分析相结合,表明科罗娜措施有助于预防失业。调查还显示,女性更容易受到失业的影响。失业的风险越大,失业时间越长的风险也越大。研究表明,与以往的经济衰退相比,女性受到这种风险的影响要大得多。结果表明,妇女更有可能失业更长时间,因为她们希望在典型的妇女部门工作。考虑到熟练劳动力的短缺是一个普遍的问题,作者提出了有针对性的政策建议,使妇女摆脱失业,而不是刻板印象。
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引用次数: 0
The Development of Life Insurance in the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic 捷克和斯洛伐克共和国人寿保险的发展
Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2022/2-04
Lucie Ivanecká, Lenka Přečková
This article investigates the influence of selected determinants on the development of life insurance in the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic in the years 2007–2019. The aim of the present study is to examine whether there are relationships between the development of selected determinants and the development of life insurance in the Czech Republic and Slovak Republic. We are using the correlation analysis, specifically Spearman‘s correlation coefficient, performed in the Eviews program with quarterly data. The determinants can be divided into positive and negative. Positive determinants encourage consumers to take out an insurance contract, thus acting to increase interest in insurance. Negative determinants have the opposite effect, which means that the consumer‘s willingness to take out insurance decreases, and the consumer is not interested in insurance on the development of life insurance in selected countries in the period under review. A positive impact on the development of life insurance was found in the case of gross domestic product, average gross monthly wage, interest rate on deposits and population in selected countries in the period under review.
本文研究了选定的决定因素对2007-2019年捷克共和国和斯洛伐克共和国人寿保险发展的影响。本研究的目的是检查是否有选择的决定因素的发展和发展的人寿保险在捷克共和国和斯洛伐克共和国之间的关系。我们正在使用相关分析,特别是Spearman相关系数,在Eviews程序中执行季度数据。行列式可分为正行列式和负行列式。积极决定因素鼓励消费者购买保险合同,从而增加对保险的兴趣。负面决定因素具有相反的效果,这意味着消费者购买保险的意愿下降,消费者对所选国家在本报告所述期间的人寿保险发展不感兴趣。在本报告所述期间,某些国家的国内生产总值、平均月工资毛额、存款利率和人口对人寿保险的发展产生了积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Czech Monetary and Fiscal Policies: Big Deficits and Challenges 捷克货币和财政政策:大赤字和挑战
Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2022/2-05
Jaroslav Vostatek
Czech monetary and fiscal policies require fundamental reform, even without considering the current war in Ukraine. The tax structure can be rationalized within 1–2 years. The very introduction of a single collection point must be taken seriously, and there is no need to undertake a fundamental tax reform to implement its main stage. Czech social security contributions are very specific, dominated by their tax nature. This allows for a quick consolidation of employer contributions into one levy to the state budget and the inclusion of employee contributions in personal income tax. Only slightly more politically challenging is the integration of dividend income taxation into corporate tax and the removal of interest from corporate tax costs. The OECD recommendations are one-sided, mechanically oriented according to the neoliberal welfare regime. Our analyses and subsequent proposals do not foresee and do not require any reform of social security benefits, including public funding of healthcare. Strengthening value-added tax in the tax structure is completely wrong. The overall insufficient taxation of value added in the Czech financial sector needs to be eliminated. Czech monetary policy is not very effective in the fight against inflation, the link to overall economic policy is lacking. This policy has created excessive foreign exchange reserves that can be transferred to the state assets. It is economically desirable to link the Czech currency to the euro. The proceeds of the issue of all money belong to the state budget.
即使不考虑当前的乌克兰战争,捷克的货币和财政政策也需要进行根本性改革。税收结构可以在1-2年内实现合理化。必须认真对待单一收税点的引入,没有必要进行根本的税收改革来实施其主要阶段。捷克的社会保障缴款非常具体,主要取决于其税收性质。这样就可以快速地将雇主缴纳的税款合并到国家预算中,并将雇员缴纳的税款纳入个人所得税。仅稍微更具政治挑战性的是,将股息所得税纳入公司税,并从公司税成本中剔除利息。经合组织的建议是片面的,机械地以新自由主义福利制度为导向。我们的分析和随后的建议没有预见到,也不需要对社会保障福利进行任何改革,包括医疗保健的公共资金。在税收结构中强化增值税是完全错误的。捷克金融部门对增值征税总体不足的问题需要消除。捷克的货币政策在对抗通货膨胀方面不是很有效,缺乏与整体经济政策的联系。这一政策造成了过多的外汇储备,这些外汇储备可以转为国有资产。从经济上讲,将捷克货币与欧元挂钩是可取的。所有货币发行的收益都属于国家预算。
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引用次数: 0
Readiness of the Czech Republic to Join the Euro Area 捷克共和国准备加入欧元区
Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2022/2-03
Roman Mentlík, Pavel Rezabek, Naděžda Petrů
The Czech Republic has been a member of the European Union since 2004. As a Member State, it is obliged to join the euro area upon meeting all the Maastricht criteria. There is still no fixed date for adopting the single European currency. The Czech Republic is failing to meet some criteria. There are ongoing discussions about joining the euro among experts, bank representatives, politicians, entrepreneurs, representatives of the Czech Chamber of Commerce and various associations, economics students and the general public. The aim of this paper is to assess the ongoing fulfilment of the Maastricht convergence criteria in the Czech Republic and to identify the relationship between actual and perceived inflation. The paper reflects new aspects, which were generated by the recent development on financial markets during the last 2 years, including COVID-19 and Russian attack to Ukraine. Due to the fact, that not all statistics reflects recent development, some tables and charts are not reflecting this for hundred percent. The analyses carried out reveal that the only criterion that is currently met is the level of public debt (sustainability will be assessed at the time of application). Smooth adoption of the euro by the public is associated with an increased perception of inflation above actual inflation. This situation should be addressed by economic policy actors in preparation for joining the euro area. The importance of a government communication and explanation campaign was confirmed by countries in a similar position. Since February this year, Europe and the whole world have been facing a new geopolitical situation. There are voices calling for Europe to become stronger, more compact, perhaps move towards a federation, including a strengthening of the common currency’s position. Therefore, this is a highly topical issue. The final decision in the Czech Republic to start the process of adopting the euro and to set the date for joining the euro area rests with the Czech Government in cooperation with the Czech National Bank.
捷克共和国自2004年以来一直是欧盟成员国。作为成员国,它有义务在满足所有马斯特里赫特标准的情况下加入欧元区。采用欧洲单一货币的日期仍未确定。捷克共和国未能达到某些标准。专家、银行代表、政治家、企业家、捷克商会和各种协会的代表、经济学专业的学生和公众正在就加入欧元区进行讨论。本文的目的是评估捷克共和国马斯特里赫特趋同标准的持续履行情况,并确定实际通货膨胀与感知通货膨胀之间的关系。该文件反映了过去两年金融市场的最新发展所产生的新方面,包括COVID-19和俄罗斯对乌克兰的攻击。由于并非所有的统计数据都反映了最近的发展,一些表格和图表并不能百分之百地反映这一事实。所进行的分析表明,目前满足的唯一标准是公共债务水平(可持续性将在申请时进行评估)。公众对欧元的顺利采用,与对通货膨胀的认识高于实际通货膨胀有关。在为加入欧元区做准备时,经济政策制定者应该解决这一问题。政府沟通和解释运动的重要性得到了处境类似的国家的肯定。今年2月以来,欧洲乃至世界面临新的地缘政治形势。有声音呼吁欧洲变得更强大、更紧密,或许迈向一个联邦,包括加强欧元的地位。因此,这是一个非常热门的问题。捷克共和国是否启动采用欧元的进程和确定加入欧元区的日期的最终决定取决于捷克政府与捷克国家银行的合作。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Reporting and Performance of Nigerian Listed Oil and Gas Firms 尼日利亚上市石油和天然气公司的环境报告和绩效
Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.37355/acta-2022/2-01
J. Olabisi, R. W. Oladiran, S. Aransiola, Damilola Gloria Adenekan
The study investigated the environmental reporting and performance of listed oil and gas firms in Nigeria. The study adopted an ex-post facto research design method using existing data from the financials of selected firms. The population of the study consisted of thirteen (13) listed firms as of 2021, out of which ten (10) were purposively selected based on the availability of annual reports and accounts. Secondary data were extracted and the results of the unit-roots test informed the adoption of Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Error Correction Techniques. The study found a positive and significant relationship between Environmental Management Cost (EMC) and ROCE (p<0.05), also a positive but insignificant relationship between Environmental Protection Cost (EPC) and ROCE (p>0.05). However, there was a negative and significant relationship between Environmental Research and evelopment Cost (ERDC) and ROCE (p<0.05). The study concluded that environmental accounting reporting contributed to the firms’ performance of Nigerian listed oil and gas firms. Therefore, these firms should be cost-effective and efficient when planning environmental activities to improve firms’ performance.
该研究调查了尼日利亚上市石油和天然气公司的环境报告和业绩。该研究采用了一种事后研究设计方法,使用了选定公司财务状况的现有数据。截至2021年,该研究的人群包括十三(13)家上市公司,其中十(10)家是根据年度报告和账目的可用性有意选择的。二次数据被提取出来,单位根测试的结果为采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)和纠错技术提供了依据。研究发现,环境管理成本(EMC)与ROCE呈正相关(p0.05),而环境研究与开发成本(ERDC)与ROCE呈负相关(p<0.05)。因此,这些企业在规划环境活动以提高企业绩效时应具有成本效益和效率。
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引用次数: 0
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