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Ending Inflation 结束通货膨胀
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-47
J. Judd, Brian Motley
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引用次数: 0
A Primer on Monetary Policy 货币政策入门
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-23
C. Walsh
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引用次数: 0
Beyond Shocks 除了冲击
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-1
Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, Scott D. Schuh
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引用次数: 0
The Great Depression in the United States from a Neoclassical Perspective 新古典主义视角下的美国大萧条
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.21034/QR.2311
Harold L. Cole, L. Ohanian
Can neoclassical theory account for the Great Depression in the United States—both the downturn in output between 1929 and 1933 and the recovery between 1934 and 1939? Yes and no. Given the large real and monetary shocks to the U.S. economy during 1929–33, neoclassical theory does predict a long, deep downturn. However, theory predicts a much different recovery from this downturn than actually occurred. Given the period’s sharp increases in total factor productivity and the money supply and the elimination of deflation and bank failures, theory predicts an extremely rapid recovery that returns output to trend around 1936. In sharp contrast, real output remained between 25 and 30 percent below trend through the late 1930s. We conclude that a new shock is needed to account for the Depression’s weak recovery. A likely culprit is New Deal policies toward monopoly and the distribution of income.
新古典主义理论能否解释美国的大萧条——1929年至1933年的产出下滑和1934年至1939年的复苏?是也不是。鉴于1929 - 1933年期间美国经济遭受了巨大的实体和货币冲击,新古典主义理论确实预测了一场长期的深度衰退。然而,理论预测的经济复苏与实际情况大不相同。考虑到这一时期全要素生产率和货币供应量的急剧增长,通货紧缩和银行倒闭的消除,理论预测,经济将以极快的速度复苏,使产出回到1936年左右的趋势水平。与之形成鲜明对比的是,整个20世纪30年代末,实际产出一直比趋势水平低25%至30%。我们的结论是,需要一场新的冲击来解释大萧条时期复苏乏力的原因。一个可能的罪魁祸首是针对垄断和收入分配的新政政策。
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引用次数: 69
Controlling Inflation 控制通货膨胀
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-46
F. Furlong, Bharat Trehan
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引用次数: 0
Inflation and Growth 通货膨胀与增长
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-53
Brian Motley
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引用次数: 0
Interest Rate Spreads as Indicators for Monetary Policy 作为货币政策指标的利差
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-11
Chan Guk Huh
Traditionally, economists have focused on aggregate money stock measures such as M 1 and M2 as indicators of future economic activity. However, the relationship between these aggregates and real GDP has deteriorated in recent years. Thus there is a growing interest in alternative indicators, some of which are conceptually quite new compared to the conventional financial market aggregates. For example, Kashyap, Stein, and Wilcox (1993) examine the ratio of bank loans to the sum of both bank loans and funds raised through issuing commercial paper by firms.
传统上,经济学家关注的是总货币存量指标,如m1和M2,作为未来经济活动的指标。然而,这些总量与实际GDP之间的关系近年来有所恶化。因此,人们对替代指标的兴趣日益浓厚,与传统的金融市场总量相比,其中一些指标在概念上相当新颖。例如,Kashyap、Stein和Wilcox(1993)研究了银行贷款与银行贷款和企业通过发行商业票据筹集的资金之和的比率。
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引用次数: 0
Historical U.S. Money Growth, Inflation, and Inflation Credibility 美国历史货币增长、通货膨胀和通货膨胀可信度
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-58
W. DeWald
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引用次数: 0
European System of Central Banks 欧洲中央银行体系
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-60
Mark A. Wynne
On January 1, 1999, the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) began conducting monetary policy for eleven of the fifteen nations of the European Union, formally creating an economic and monetary union. The ESCB is governed by the decision-making bodies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and manages Europe's new currency, the euro. The structure of the ESCB is in many ways similar to that of the Federal Reserve System, with the ECB playing a role similar to that of the Board of Governors and the various national central banks occupying positions not unlike those of the regional Reserve Banks. In this article, Mark Wynne compares the two central banks, drawing on the insights of economic theory to shed light on how monetary policy is likely to be made in Europe under monetary union. He documents two key differences between the ESCB and the Federal Reserve System. First, the ESCB has a much stronger price stability mandate. Second, power is much more diffusely distributed in the ESCB. The strong mandate for price stability will enhance the euro's credibility. But the diffuse power structure may make it difficult to resolve conflicts, which will undermine credibility. The monetary union's fate depends on which of these two features of the monetary policy process dominates.
1999年1月1日,欧洲中央银行体系(ESCB)开始为欧盟15个成员国中的11个执行货币政策,正式创建了一个经济和货币联盟。ESCB由欧洲中央银行(ECB)的决策机构管理,并管理欧洲的新货币欧元。欧洲中央银行体系的结构在许多方面与联邦储备系统相似,欧洲央行扮演的角色类似于理事会,各国央行扮演的角色与地区储备银行相似。在这篇文章中,马克·韦恩(Mark Wynne)比较了两家央行,利用经济理论的见解,阐明了货币联盟下欧洲可能如何制定货币政策。他记录了ESCB和联邦储备系统之间的两个关键区别。首先,欧洲央行拥有更强大的价格稳定职责。其次,权力在欧洲中央银行体系中的分布要分散得多。稳定物价的强大使命将增强欧元的可信度。但是,分散的权力结构可能会使冲突难以解决,这将损害信誉。货币联盟的命运取决于货币政策过程中这两个特征中哪一个占主导地位。
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引用次数: 8
Money
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.4324/9780429270949-21
J. Madison
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引用次数: 0
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Handbook of Monetary Policy
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