Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.344-360
M. A. Izmailova
Purpose: is to develop the mechanism of the ESG transformation of Russian companies based on a critical assessment of the evolution and modern implementation of the ESG agenda in Russia. The first part of the work presents the solution of the following research tasks: to identify the key drivers for the formation of the ESG agenda in Russia and present an assessment of its implementation by Russian companies. Methods: the study is based on the application of a set of the methods, including: theoretical analysis applied to the study and systematization of scientific publications; empirical analysis and statistical method required for quantitative and qualitative analysis of ESG characteristics; the retrospective method for determining the evolution of the ESG agenda and its trends. Results: conceptual approaches to the interpretation of the phenomena of ESG and sustainable development, which have a common generic basis with corporate social responsibility, are outlined. The growing interest of Russian business in the ESG agenda has been identified and substantiated, and the drivers for its development have been identified. The experience and motives for the implementation of the ESG agenda are analyzed, the factors influencing the level of maturity of the ESG practices of Russian companies are identified. Conclusions and Relevance: the relevance of the ESG agenda in Russia is determined by its association with the values of the country's socio-economic development, regardless of the unprecedented geo-economic confrontation and the threats to sustainable development generated by it. Drivers for the implementation of the ESG agenda are regulators and authorities, shareholders and investors, the board of directors and top management of companies; the influence of civil society is insignificant. The motives for implementing ESG requirements in business processes are related to strengthening the brand and increasing business reputation. The level of maturity of ESG practices depends on the company's industry affiliation, business size, investment needs: the best ESG practices are demonstrated by the mining and metallurgical industries, the largest business and companies with high investment needs. A deep awareness of the need for ESG transformation by stakeholders seeking to achieve social and environmental well-being, stability of economic development becomes a trigger for the sustainable development of economic systems.
{"title":"The current state and the mechanism of the transformation of the EsG agenda by Russian companies. Part 1","authors":"M. A. Izmailova","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.344-360","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.344-360","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: is to develop the mechanism of the ESG transformation of Russian companies based on a critical assessment of the evolution and modern implementation of the ESG agenda in Russia. The first part of the work presents the solution of the following research tasks: to identify the key drivers for the formation of the ESG agenda in Russia and present an assessment of its implementation by Russian companies. Methods: the study is based on the application of a set of the methods, including: theoretical analysis applied to the study and systematization of scientific publications; empirical analysis and statistical method required for quantitative and qualitative analysis of ESG characteristics; the retrospective method for determining the evolution of the ESG agenda and its trends. Results: conceptual approaches to the interpretation of the phenomena of ESG and sustainable development, which have a common generic basis with corporate social responsibility, are outlined. The growing interest of Russian business in the ESG agenda has been identified and substantiated, and the drivers for its development have been identified. The experience and motives for the implementation of the ESG agenda are analyzed, the factors influencing the level of maturity of the ESG practices of Russian companies are identified. Conclusions and Relevance: the relevance of the ESG agenda in Russia is determined by its association with the values of the country's socio-economic development, regardless of the unprecedented geo-economic confrontation and the threats to sustainable development generated by it. Drivers for the implementation of the ESG agenda are regulators and authorities, shareholders and investors, the board of directors and top management of companies; the influence of civil society is insignificant. The motives for implementing ESG requirements in business processes are related to strengthening the brand and increasing business reputation. The level of maturity of ESG practices depends on the company's industry affiliation, business size, investment needs: the best ESG practices are demonstrated by the mining and metallurgical industries, the largest business and companies with high investment needs. A deep awareness of the need for ESG transformation by stakeholders seeking to achieve social and environmental well-being, stability of economic development becomes a trigger for the sustainable development of economic systems.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014136","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.361-379
Ia. A. Dolganova, A. A. Babkin
Purpose: of the study is to determine the factors that have both a positive and a negative impact on the economic security of depressed regions. Methods: of statistical analysis and ratio assessment were applied in determining the economic security of depressed regions, as well as cluster analysis, in order to identify similar trends in regions, on the basis of which it is possible to identify factors that affect economic security. The study is based on the analysis of statistical data from EMISS, as well as data from the Expert RA rating agency. The calculations were performed using the following programs: Microsoft Office Excel 2016 (calculation of the values of the resulting indicators of economic security of depressed regions) and IBM SPSS Statistics 2019 (carrying out cluster analysis). Results: an assessment of the economic security of depressed regions was carried out. It was revealed that all regions have problems with financial stability and a low level of development of foreign economic activity. However, for a number of socio-economic indicators, the Altai Republic, Pskov Region, and Kalmykia Republic reach values above the Russian average, but the indicators of average per capita cash income still remain low. Based on the cluster analysis of regions, a number of factors influencing the economic security of depressed regions have been identified. Conclusions and Relevance: for each cluster, key factors influencing economic security have been identified. The processes of digital transformation, subject to their high-quality implementation, become a positive factor in ensuring economic security for regions that occupy low positions in socio-economic development. The primary factors for ensuring economic security for regions that make up another cluster are qualitative changes aimed at the economic growth of the region.
{"title":"Factors for ensuring the economic security of depressed regions in the context of digital transformation","authors":"Ia. A. Dolganova, A. A. Babkin","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.361-379","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.361-379","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: of the study is to determine the factors that have both a positive and a negative impact on the economic security of depressed regions. Methods: of statistical analysis and ratio assessment were applied in determining the economic security of depressed regions, as well as cluster analysis, in order to identify similar trends in regions, on the basis of which it is possible to identify factors that affect economic security. The study is based on the analysis of statistical data from EMISS, as well as data from the Expert RA rating agency. The calculations were performed using the following programs: Microsoft Office Excel 2016 (calculation of the values of the resulting indicators of economic security of depressed regions) and IBM SPSS Statistics 2019 (carrying out cluster analysis). Results: an assessment of the economic security of depressed regions was carried out. It was revealed that all regions have problems with financial stability and a low level of development of foreign economic activity. However, for a number of socio-economic indicators, the Altai Republic, Pskov Region, and Kalmykia Republic reach values above the Russian average, but the indicators of average per capita cash income still remain low. Based on the cluster analysis of regions, a number of factors influencing the economic security of depressed regions have been identified. Conclusions and Relevance: for each cluster, key factors influencing economic security have been identified. The processes of digital transformation, subject to their high-quality implementation, become a positive factor in ensuring economic security for regions that occupy low positions in socio-economic development. The primary factors for ensuring economic security for regions that make up another cluster are qualitative changes aimed at the economic growth of the region.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"52 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014456","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.380-396
N. V. Vlasova, E. I. Molokova, E. S. Kulikova
Purpose: of this paper is to characterize the potential of regional theories in solving the current scientific socio-economic problem of establishing the interaction between society and the system of higher education. Methods: the processes of interaction between society and higher education are considered through the prism of separate approaches and concepts of the scientific paradigm of regional economics, to solve the set goal. Results: based on statistical data, significant regional differentiation of higher education system in modern Russia is shown, which actualizes its study through the prism of regional scientific paradigm. Through systematization of existing experience of interaction between universities and society in Sverdlovsk region the role of universities as coordinators of public participation in the spatial development of the region is shown. By applying methodological apparatus of specific theories of regional paradigm, their cognitive potential in the sphere of educational social relations analysis as well as possibilities of identification of problems of public participation in higher education are revealed. In particular, the gnoseological possibilities of the spatial approach are substantiated. The characteristics of the last reform of higher education, which entailed the segregation of universities in the context of applying the theory of growth poles, are given. The article shows the prospects for regional development through the application of the methodology of the theory "center–periphery", usingthe example of correcting staff imbalances of the small towns. The practical significance of applying the theory of "genetic" codes in the study and interpretation of the causes of low intensity and quality of public participation in higher education was characterized. The methodological possibilities of using institutional mesoeconomics, coordination theory, mesoeconomics of network structures, and cluster theory in studying the experience of interaction between higher education institutions and society in the regional context were substantiated. Conclusions and Relevance: the interpretation of the region in the context of mesoeconomics stipulates the necessity and possibility to form an independent theoretical and methodological apparatus for studying regional systems of higher education and apply special tools for analysis and identification of problems of public participation in higher education on specific territories.
{"title":"Perspectives on regional science in studies of public participation in higher education","authors":"N. V. Vlasova, E. I. Molokova, E. S. Kulikova","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.380-396","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.380-396","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: of this paper is to characterize the potential of regional theories in solving the current scientific socio-economic problem of establishing the interaction between society and the system of higher education. Methods: the processes of interaction between society and higher education are considered through the prism of separate approaches and concepts of the scientific paradigm of regional economics, to solve the set goal. Results: based on statistical data, significant regional differentiation of higher education system in modern Russia is shown, which actualizes its study through the prism of regional scientific paradigm. Through systematization of existing experience of interaction between universities and society in Sverdlovsk region the role of universities as coordinators of public participation in the spatial development of the region is shown. By applying methodological apparatus of specific theories of regional paradigm, their cognitive potential in the sphere of educational social relations analysis as well as possibilities of identification of problems of public participation in higher education are revealed. In particular, the gnoseological possibilities of the spatial approach are substantiated. The characteristics of the last reform of higher education, which entailed the segregation of universities in the context of applying the theory of growth poles, are given. The article shows the prospects for regional development through the application of the methodology of the theory \"center–periphery\", usingthe example of correcting staff imbalances of the small towns. The practical significance of applying the theory of \"genetic\" codes in the study and interpretation of the causes of low intensity and quality of public participation in higher education was characterized. The methodological possibilities of using institutional mesoeconomics, coordination theory, mesoeconomics of network structures, and cluster theory in studying the experience of interaction between higher education institutions and society in the regional context were substantiated. Conclusions and Relevance: the interpretation of the region in the context of mesoeconomics stipulates the necessity and possibility to form an independent theoretical and methodological apparatus for studying regional systems of higher education and apply special tools for analysis and identification of problems of public participation in higher education on specific territories.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.484-499
A. V. Lukina, G. S. Timokhina, T. V. Murtuzalieva, S. V. Mkhitaryan, R. R. Sidorchuk
Purpose: is to assess of the degree of influence of consumer experience, expressed in terms of the frequency of use of ground public transport services, on the perception of transport accessibility in Moscow by consumers of such services. Methods: the research hypotheses were tested on the basis of the dimensions of the perception of transport accessibility for 17 attributes. An online survey of the perception of transport accessibility in terms of these attributes was conducted on a representative sample of 1,500 observations in Moscow. The significance of the results was tested using the chi-square test at a significance level of 5%. Results: the first hypothesis was confirmed about the presence of a positive relationship between the variables "frequency of use" and "perception of the availability of ground urban public transport" for seventeen attributes. As part of testing the second hypothesis for 7 out of 17 attributes, differences in the assessments of the perception of transport accessibility of different categories of passengers depending on the frequency of transport use were revealed. The focus of researchers on the negative experience of consumers with different frequency of use of transport made it possible to identify two consumer segments with a higher proportion of dissatisfied consumers relative. Due to different consumer experience and the nature of consumer dissatisfaction the authors propose differentiated management and marketing solutions to improve the experience of these consumers and change their perception of transport accessibility in Moscow. Conclusions and Relevance: it has been proven that the perception of transport accessibility depends on consumer experience and frequency of use of Ground Urban Passenger Transport (GUPT) services. The optimal level of use of public transport services at which positive consumer experience is formed has been determined. The authors believe that digitization of the economy, remote work tendencies, and urban infrastructure planning will change the transport behavior of consumers, enabling passengers to reduce the number of trips, bringing them closer to the optimal level. Understanding the interrelation between the frequency of use of GUPT services and differences in consumer perceptions of individual attributes of transport accessibility allows us to make decisions on managing the transport behavior of different consumer segments.
{"title":"The influence of consumer experience on the assessment of perceived transport accessibility in the metropolis","authors":"A. V. Lukina, G. S. Timokhina, T. V. Murtuzalieva, S. V. Mkhitaryan, R. R. Sidorchuk","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.484-499","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.484-499","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: is to assess of the degree of influence of consumer experience, expressed in terms of the frequency of use of ground public transport services, on the perception of transport accessibility in Moscow by consumers of such services. Methods: the research hypotheses were tested on the basis of the dimensions of the perception of transport accessibility for 17 attributes. An online survey of the perception of transport accessibility in terms of these attributes was conducted on a representative sample of 1,500 observations in Moscow. The significance of the results was tested using the chi-square test at a significance level of 5%. Results: the first hypothesis was confirmed about the presence of a positive relationship between the variables \"frequency of use\" and \"perception of the availability of ground urban public transport\" for seventeen attributes. As part of testing the second hypothesis for 7 out of 17 attributes, differences in the assessments of the perception of transport accessibility of different categories of passengers depending on the frequency of transport use were revealed. The focus of researchers on the negative experience of consumers with different frequency of use of transport made it possible to identify two consumer segments with a higher proportion of dissatisfied consumers relative. Due to different consumer experience and the nature of consumer dissatisfaction the authors propose differentiated management and marketing solutions to improve the experience of these consumers and change their perception of transport accessibility in Moscow. Conclusions and Relevance: it has been proven that the perception of transport accessibility depends on consumer experience and frequency of use of Ground Urban Passenger Transport (GUPT) services. The optimal level of use of public transport services at which positive consumer experience is formed has been determined. The authors believe that digitization of the economy, remote work tendencies, and urban infrastructure planning will change the transport behavior of consumers, enabling passengers to reduce the number of trips, bringing them closer to the optimal level. Understanding the interrelation between the frequency of use of GUPT services and differences in consumer perceptions of individual attributes of transport accessibility allows us to make decisions on managing the transport behavior of different consumer segments.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"91 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.434-449
N. V. Bondarchuk, A. I. Smirnov
Purpose of the article is to describe the authors' proposal on the use of the concept of stakeholders in assessing the investment attractiveness of corporate structures, an alternative to traditional fundamental investment analysis. Methods: the basis of the research is the expansion of ideas about the factors affecting the investment attractiveness of the corporate structure on the basis of multi-subject assessments, in accordance with the theory of stakeholders. Results: currently, the investment attractiveness of a large corporate structure is formed under the influence of a variety of financial and nonfinancial factors that depend on actions or judgments broadcast (via the media, the Internet or other modern means of communication), not only by investors, but also by other interested parties. The approach proposed by the authors to assessing investment attractiveness differs in that it is based on the need to meet the information needs of various groups of stakeholders, not just investors. To achieve this goal, two interrelated tasks have been solved in the work. Firstly, the impact of factors influenced by stakeholders on the indicators of investment attractiveness is considered. Secondly, the assessment of investment attractiveness is carried out on the basis of information about the company's solution of environmental, social and other modern tasks. Conclusions And Relevance: the approach considered in the article, which involves the use of the theory of stakeholders to study the factors that influence investment attractiveness, has practical importance for corporate structures. The authors' calculations made on the basis of open information from one of the largest Russian oil and gas companies, PJSC Lukoil, confirm the hypothesis about the correctness of using the theory of stakeholders as another approach to assessing the investment attractiveness of the company. The calculations illustrate the significant closeness of the relationship between indicators traditionally used in assessing investment attractiveness and non-financial indicators that reflect the information needs of not only investors, but also other stakeholders (employees, customers, suppliers, financial institutions, the media, environmentalists, trade unions, etc.).
{"title":"Application of the theory of stakeholders in assessing the investment attractiveness of corporate structures","authors":"N. V. Bondarchuk, A. I. Smirnov","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.434-449","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.434-449","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose of the article is to describe the authors' proposal on the use of the concept of stakeholders in assessing the investment attractiveness of corporate structures, an alternative to traditional fundamental investment analysis. Methods: the basis of the research is the expansion of ideas about the factors affecting the investment attractiveness of the corporate structure on the basis of multi-subject assessments, in accordance with the theory of stakeholders. Results: currently, the investment attractiveness of a large corporate structure is formed under the influence of a variety of financial and nonfinancial factors that depend on actions or judgments broadcast (via the media, the Internet or other modern means of communication), not only by investors, but also by other interested parties. The approach proposed by the authors to assessing investment attractiveness differs in that it is based on the need to meet the information needs of various groups of stakeholders, not just investors. To achieve this goal, two interrelated tasks have been solved in the work. Firstly, the impact of factors influenced by stakeholders on the indicators of investment attractiveness is considered. Secondly, the assessment of investment attractiveness is carried out on the basis of information about the company's solution of environmental, social and other modern tasks. Conclusions And Relevance: the approach considered in the article, which involves the use of the theory of stakeholders to study the factors that influence investment attractiveness, has practical importance for corporate structures. The authors' calculations made on the basis of open information from one of the largest Russian oil and gas companies, PJSC Lukoil, confirm the hypothesis about the correctness of using the theory of stakeholders as another approach to assessing the investment attractiveness of the company. The calculations illustrate the significant closeness of the relationship between indicators traditionally used in assessing investment attractiveness and non-financial indicators that reflect the information needs of not only investors, but also other stakeholders (employees, customers, suppliers, financial institutions, the media, environmentalists, trade unions, etc.).","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.416-433
Yu. A. Altynov
Purpose: of the study is to identify promising areas for the use of metaverse technologies in the field of public finance in Russia in the context of the current sanctions restrictions and considering the peculiarities of the national budget system. Methods: the research uses such general scientific methods as literature review, comparative analysis, generalization and analysis of factual data. The work uses the method of constructing block diagrams that describe the key relationships of objects and related business processes to illustrate the proposed innovations. Results: the main results of the study include: 1) proposals for further digitalization of public and socially significant services using VR / AR technologies; 2) a scheme for integrating distributed ledger technologies (based on blockchain) into the treasury budget service system; 3) guidelines for the use of smart contract technologies in the field of public procurement, considering exclusive and inclusive access. Conclusions and Relevance: most of the current government information systems are based on traditional relational databases, which have technological limitations compared to modern distributed ledger technologies. At the same time, the development of the sphere of public finance in the context of the digital transformation of economic relations and the active spread of metauniverses requires continuous updating of the technological infrastructure. The study made it possible to conclude that the technological capabilities of the metaverses cover the current needs for the digital transformation of public finances. In addition, for the Russian public finance sector, the current metaverse tools can be assessed as a factor in further digital development under the current sanctions restrictions.
{"title":"Prospects for the use of metaverse tools in the field of public finance in Russia","authors":"Yu. A. Altynov","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.416-433","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.416-433","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: of the study is to identify promising areas for the use of metaverse technologies in the field of public finance in Russia in the context of the current sanctions restrictions and considering the peculiarities of the national budget system. Methods: the research uses such general scientific methods as literature review, comparative analysis, generalization and analysis of factual data. The work uses the method of constructing block diagrams that describe the key relationships of objects and related business processes to illustrate the proposed innovations. Results: the main results of the study include: 1) proposals for further digitalization of public and socially significant services using VR / AR technologies; 2) a scheme for integrating distributed ledger technologies (based on blockchain) into the treasury budget service system; 3) guidelines for the use of smart contract technologies in the field of public procurement, considering exclusive and inclusive access. Conclusions and Relevance: most of the current government information systems are based on traditional relational databases, which have technological limitations compared to modern distributed ledger technologies. At the same time, the development of the sphere of public finance in the context of the digital transformation of economic relations and the active spread of metauniverses requires continuous updating of the technological infrastructure. The study made it possible to conclude that the technological capabilities of the metaverses cover the current needs for the digital transformation of public finances. In addition, for the Russian public finance sector, the current metaverse tools can be assessed as a factor in further digital development under the current sanctions restrictions.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014300","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.398-415
I. V. Danilova, A. V. Rezepin, N. V. Pravdina
Purpose: is to develop the model for stress testing of the impact of external constraints of Russian regions in the context of foreign economic constraints 2022–2023. Methods: the research is based on the theory of economic dynamics, regional economy and spatial development, the concept of the BANI world; the methodological basis of the study is a scenario approach to the formation of the stress testing model and the algorithm for determining the expected impact based on the machine learning method – the artificial neural network. Results: the study of scientific publications on the research topic, analysis of shock events, post-shock consequences (2006–2022) made it possible to substantiate feasibility of testing and differentiating the response of Russian regions to external constraints, applying the criteria of “shock-resistant” development, classifying economic space and identifying the territory with “shock-resistant” and “non-shockresistant”reactions. The model of regions stress testing has been developed, industrial and sectoral (67.6% importance) and spatial (32.4%) stabilization factors have been identified, areas of vulnerability to the restrictions of 2022-2023 and industrial regions with the potential for “non-shock-resistant” type of reaction have been identified. Conclusions and Relevanc e: the reaction of regions to external economic shocks (the duration of the decline period and the intensity of recovery growth) is determined by the totality of the production and spatial characteristics of the regions. The results of the study are important for the development of the theory of regional economy; they can be used byfederal and regional executive authorities of the Russian Federation.
{"title":"Stress testing of the development of Russian regions in the context of external economic restrictions","authors":"I. V. Danilova, A. V. Rezepin, N. V. Pravdina","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.398-415","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.398-415","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: is to develop the model for stress testing of the impact of external constraints of Russian regions in the context of foreign economic constraints 2022–2023. Methods: the research is based on the theory of economic dynamics, regional economy and spatial development, the concept of the BANI world; the methodological basis of the study is a scenario approach to the formation of the stress testing model and the algorithm for determining the expected impact based on the machine learning method – the artificial neural network. Results: the study of scientific publications on the research topic, analysis of shock events, post-shock consequences (2006–2022) made it possible to substantiate feasibility of testing and differentiating the response of Russian regions to external constraints, applying the criteria of “shock-resistant” development, classifying economic space and identifying the territory with “shock-resistant” and “non-shockresistant”reactions. The model of regions stress testing has been developed, industrial and sectoral (67.6% importance) and spatial (32.4%) stabilization factors have been identified, areas of vulnerability to the restrictions of 2022-2023 and industrial regions with the potential for “non-shock-resistant” type of reaction have been identified. Conclusions and Relevanc e: the reaction of regions to external economic shocks (the duration of the decline period and the intensity of recovery growth) is determined by the totality of the production and spatial characteristics of the regions. The results of the study are important for the development of the theory of regional economy; they can be used byfederal and regional executive authorities of the Russian Federation.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014302","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.500-516
I. V. Danilin, B. A. Bokarev, I. G. Samburskiy
Purpose: this article is to conceptualize the reasons of European green energy transition sustainability on the basis of its historic dynamics of its political and economic drivers and its possible developments taking into account adjustments of this process caused by current energy market situation. Methods: system analysis in the context of economics and politics, case-study, statistical method, information analysis and synthesis, data visualization method are applied. Results: the process of formation of modern economic and political drivers of green energy transition from the moment of the origin of this process to the present time has been investigated. The scale of the restructuring of European energy in the first quarter of the 21st century is shown based on the analysis of the dynamics of energy production by different types of generation. The substantiation of the sustainability of the process of greening energy in European countries is formulated, consisting in a combination of political and economic factors. The possible options for the development of the European green transition process in the medium term are evaluated, taking into account the adjustments of market conditions that are caused by the current unstable state of the energy markets. Conclusions and Relevance: green energy transition is caused from a political point of view, firstly, by the popularity of the concept among voters, and secondly, by the fact that it is the only option to ensure energy independence for Europe. From an economic point of view, the green transition acts as a tool for the development of industry, support for innovation and a factor in reducing negative externalities associated with the negative consequences of the use of hydrocarbon energy. The combination of these factors ensures the sustainability of the greening of energy, therefore, the most likely option for its medium-term development will be the resumption of the process after finding temporary solutions for energy supply.
{"title":"European green energy transition formation and its modern implementation adjustments","authors":"I. V. Danilin, B. A. Bokarev, I. G. Samburskiy","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.500-516","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.500-516","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: this article is to conceptualize the reasons of European green energy transition sustainability on the basis of its historic dynamics of its political and economic drivers and its possible developments taking into account adjustments of this process caused by current energy market situation. Methods: system analysis in the context of economics and politics, case-study, statistical method, information analysis and synthesis, data visualization method are applied. Results: the process of formation of modern economic and political drivers of green energy transition from the moment of the origin of this process to the present time has been investigated. The scale of the restructuring of European energy in the first quarter of the 21st century is shown based on the analysis of the dynamics of energy production by different types of generation. The substantiation of the sustainability of the process of greening energy in European countries is formulated, consisting in a combination of political and economic factors. The possible options for the development of the European green transition process in the medium term are evaluated, taking into account the adjustments of market conditions that are caused by the current unstable state of the energy markets. Conclusions and Relevance: green energy transition is caused from a political point of view, firstly, by the popularity of the concept among voters, and secondly, by the fact that it is the only option to ensure energy independence for Europe. From an economic point of view, the green transition acts as a tool for the development of industry, support for innovation and a factor in reducing negative externalities associated with the negative consequences of the use of hydrocarbon energy. The combination of these factors ensures the sustainability of the greening of energy, therefore, the most likely option for its medium-term development will be the resumption of the process after finding temporary solutions for energy supply.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014451","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.467-483
G. B. Novoseltseva, I. V. Palatkin, N. V. Rasskazova
Purpose: of the study is to identify factors and parameters that provide opportunities for sustainable development for territorial systems (regions), based on the analysis of the dynamic series of key statistical indicators. Methods: the basis of the study is the use of various methodological approaches, systemic, multivariate analysis, methodology of institutional reforms. The research methodology is based on the systematization and comparative analysis of the main statistical indicators of the development of the economic and innovative spheres of the Volga Federal District and Russia as a whole, which ultimately makes it possible to identify the growth drivers of territorial systems. Results: the study analyzes the indicators of economic and innovative development of the subjects of the Volga Federal District and Russia. Based on this, four types of sustainability of territorial systems were identified: sustainability of the depressive type, sustainability of the adaptive type, sustainability of the advanced type, sustainability of the innovative type. The type of economic stability was determined for each subject of the region, which made it possible to identify drivers and growth points. In the context of rapidly changing external factors of development, the results obtained are relevant, since they allow us to determine the trajectory of the development of territorial systems. Conclusions and Relevance: economic and innovative indicators of development make it possible to classify the Volga Federal District as a region with an established adaptive type of stability. The drivers of the region's development are developed agriculture, industrial production, high-tech and innovative production. The positive dynamics of the socio-economic indicators of the region with a focus on innovative components ensures an increase in the degree of stability of the regional system. Activation of drivers and stimulation of growth points is the result of the strategy and implementation of socio-economic policy measures to achieve innovation-type sustainability in the region.
{"title":"Sustainability of territorial systems in the context of economic indicators","authors":"G. B. Novoseltseva, I. V. Palatkin, N. V. Rasskazova","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.467-483","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.467-483","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: of the study is to identify factors and parameters that provide opportunities for sustainable development for territorial systems (regions), based on the analysis of the dynamic series of key statistical indicators. Methods: the basis of the study is the use of various methodological approaches, systemic, multivariate analysis, methodology of institutional reforms. The research methodology is based on the systematization and comparative analysis of the main statistical indicators of the development of the economic and innovative spheres of the Volga Federal District and Russia as a whole, which ultimately makes it possible to identify the growth drivers of territorial systems. Results: the study analyzes the indicators of economic and innovative development of the subjects of the Volga Federal District and Russia. Based on this, four types of sustainability of territorial systems were identified: sustainability of the depressive type, sustainability of the adaptive type, sustainability of the advanced type, sustainability of the innovative type. The type of economic stability was determined for each subject of the region, which made it possible to identify drivers and growth points. In the context of rapidly changing external factors of development, the results obtained are relevant, since they allow us to determine the trajectory of the development of territorial systems. Conclusions and Relevance: economic and innovative indicators of development make it possible to classify the Volga Federal District as a region with an established adaptive type of stability. The drivers of the region's development are developed agriculture, industrial production, high-tech and innovative production. The positive dynamics of the socio-economic indicators of the region with a focus on innovative components ensures an increase in the degree of stability of the regional system. Activation of drivers and stimulation of growth points is the result of the strategy and implementation of socio-economic policy measures to achieve innovation-type sustainability in the region.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.450-466
V. Karginova-Gubinova Karginova-Gubinova, A. V. Vasilyeva, M. V. Moroshkina
abstrac t Purpose: is to develop a methodology for zoning and socio-economic forecasting of the state of the northern and arctic territories in order to produce a conceptual framework to ensure their sustainability. Methods: the work is based on the statistical indicators and rating scores of the spatial development of the territories of the Republic of Karelia, indicators of financial statements of companies operating in the region, and other public information about them for 2010-2021. A number of methods of multivariate statistics, in particular, cluster and regression analysis, mapping method and scenario approach were used to analyze the data. Results: the study shows the importance of zoning and forecasting in the design and implementation of sustainable spatial development policy, as well as the need to update and adapt existing tools to new challenges and characteristics of the regions. The methodology of zoning of territories, based on the existing economic relations between actors and the role of human capital in sustainable development was developed. The methodology of mediumand long-term forecasting of socio-economic space, taking into account the mutual influence of adjacent territorial units, was proposed. The methods have been tested for the Karelian Arctic and economically connected territories of the North; a dynamic zoning model has been built. The forecast of mediumand long-term development of this space was carried out with the use of institutional innovations and overcoming of "bottlenecks" by the subjects of management. C onclusions and Relevanc e: the results obtained can become the basis for the policy of regional development. The paper proposes a conceptual framework of sustainable development strategy for the territories of the Republic of Karelia under consideration. It is shown that one of the fundamental problems of the majority of the northern territories is low human capital characteristics; in this connection a number of institutional changes, in particular, affecting the methodology of calculating social deductions for personal income tax and issuing referrals for targeted training, is proposed. This determines the practical signifi e of the study. The continuation of the work will be the detailing of the policy of sustainable development of Karelia.
{"title":"Zoning and forecasting as the basis for sustainable spatial development (on the example of the territories of the Republic of Karelia)","authors":"V. Karginova-Gubinova Karginova-Gubinova, A. V. Vasilyeva, M. V. Moroshkina","doi":"10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.450-466","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.3.450-466","url":null,"abstract":"abstrac t Purpose: is to develop a methodology for zoning and socio-economic forecasting of the state of the northern and arctic territories in order to produce a conceptual framework to ensure their sustainability. Methods: the work is based on the statistical indicators and rating scores of the spatial development of the territories of the Republic of Karelia, indicators of financial statements of companies operating in the region, and other public information about them for 2010-2021. A number of methods of multivariate statistics, in particular, cluster and regression analysis, mapping method and scenario approach were used to analyze the data. Results: the study shows the importance of zoning and forecasting in the design and implementation of sustainable spatial development policy, as well as the need to update and adapt existing tools to new challenges and characteristics of the regions. The methodology of zoning of territories, based on the existing economic relations between actors and the role of human capital in sustainable development was developed. The methodology of mediumand long-term forecasting of socio-economic space, taking into account the mutual influence of adjacent territorial units, was proposed. The methods have been tested for the Karelian Arctic and economically connected territories of the North; a dynamic zoning model has been built. The forecast of mediumand long-term development of this space was carried out with the use of institutional innovations and overcoming of \"bottlenecks\" by the subjects of management. C onclusions and Relevanc e: the results obtained can become the basis for the policy of regional development. The paper proposes a conceptual framework of sustainable development strategy for the territories of the Republic of Karelia under consideration. It is shown that one of the fundamental problems of the majority of the northern territories is low human capital characteristics; in this connection a number of institutional changes, in particular, affecting the methodology of calculating social deductions for personal income tax and issuing referrals for targeted training, is proposed. This determines the practical signifi e of the study. The continuation of the work will be the detailing of the policy of sustainable development of Karelia.","PeriodicalId":31441,"journal":{"name":"Modernizacia Innovacia Razvitie","volume":"48 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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