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PSN: Other Political Behavior: Voting & Public Opinion (Topic)最新文献

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Which Political Activities Are Caused by Education? Evidence from School Entry Exams 哪些政治活动是由教育引起的?入学考试的证据
Pub Date : 2020-10-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3707982
Dominik Hangartner, L. Schmid, Dalston G. Ward, S. Boes
Research on education's effect on participation is split between those who argue that education is a ``universal solvent'' that causally increases participation and those who hold that education merely proxies for pre-adult differences, with no independent effects. We incorporate a calculus of participation into the education-participation nexus to predict education’s effects for political activities that vary in their costs and benefits. We test these predictions with quasi-random variation in education caused by entry exams into upper-level secondary schools in Switzerland and participation measures from an original survey of former students conducted 40 years later. Comparing former students who narrowly passed or failed their exam, we find that an additional year of education increases electoral and low-cost non-electoral participation. We find no effects on high-cost non-electoral participation, however. These findings suggest that, rather than being a universal solvent or a mere proxy, education's effect depends on the characteristics of political activities.
关于教育对参与率影响的研究分为两派,一派认为教育是一种“普遍的溶剂”,可以因果地增加参与率,另一派认为教育只是代表了成年前的差异,没有独立的影响。我们将参与演算纳入教育-参与关系,以预测教育对成本和收益不同的政治活动的影响。我们用瑞士高中入学考试引起的教育准随机变化和40年后对前学生进行的原始调查的参与措施来检验这些预测。比较那些勉强通过或未通过考试的前学生,我们发现额外一年的教育增加了选举和低成本的非选举参与。然而,我们发现对高成本的非选举参与没有影响。这些发现表明,教育的效果取决于政治活动的特点,而不是一种普遍的溶剂或仅仅是一种代理。
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引用次数: 4
Identity and the Self-Reinforcing Effects of Norm Compliance 认同与规范遵从的自我强化效应
Pub Date : 2019-08-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3183931
Mark Pickup, Erik O. Kimbrough, Eline A. de Rooij
When making political and economic decisions (e.g. voting, donating money to a cause), individuals consider the expectations of groups with which they identify. These expectations are injunctive norms, shared beliefs about appropriate behavior for identity group members, and individuals’ choices reflect trade-offs between adherence to these norms and other preferences. We show that when those who identify moderately/strongly with the group pay a cost as a consequence of avoiding a norm violation, they subsequently view the norms as stronger than those that paid no cost. This is evident in their greater willingness to pay an additional cost to punish/reward other group members for violating/complying with the norm. They also view other norms associated with the identity as stronger. In this way, costly norm compliance may be self-reinforcing.
在做出政治和经济决策(如投票、捐款)时,个人会考虑他们认同的群体的期望。这些期望是强制性规范,关于身份群体成员适当行为的共同信念,个人的选择反映了遵守这些规范和其他偏好之间的权衡。我们发现,当那些中度/强烈认同群体的人为了避免违反规范而付出代价时,他们随后会认为规范比那些没有付出代价的人更强大。他们更愿意支付额外的费用来惩罚/奖励其他违反/遵守规范的小组成员,这一点很明显。他们还认为与身份相关的其他规范更强。通过这种方式,代价高昂的规范遵从可能会自我强化。
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引用次数: 0
The Value-Added by Cultural Theories of Political Values: Comparing Ideology, Partisanship, and Two Cultural Value Explanations 政治价值文化理论的增值:意识形态、党派之争及两种文化价值解释之比较
Pub Date : 2019-07-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3426221
B. Swedlow, B. Johnson
Political values are a central motivation for political behavior, prompting significant research programs in political science and public opinion research, but rigorous efforts to compare any two such research programs are rare, which creates barriers to developing theory and improved explanations. Accordingly, we investigate whether two cultural theories incorporating political values – the cultural theory (CT) developed by Mary Douglas, Aaron Wildavsky, and others and the cultural cognition theory (CCT) developed by Dan Kahan and colleagues – explain variation in political behavior beyond ideology and partisanship and if so which of these cultural theories explains more. We find that while ideology and partisanship explain significant variation in political behavior (here attitudes called risk perceptions regarding abortion, gun control, and the environment, including climate change), cultural political values explain still more, with CT measures explaining more than CCT. We discuss these findings and offer guidance on the further use of these cultural theories in studying political behavior.
政治价值观是政治行为的核心动机,促使政治学和民意研究领域开展了重要的研究项目,但对任何两种研究项目进行严格比较的努力都很少见,这为发展理论和改进解释造成了障碍。因此,我们研究了两种包含政治价值观的文化理论——由玛丽·道格拉斯、亚伦·威尔达夫斯基等人发展的文化理论(CT)和丹·卡汉及其同事发展的文化认知理论(CCT)——是否解释了超越意识形态和党派关系的政治行为变化,如果是这样,哪一种文化理论解释得更多。我们发现,虽然意识形态和党派关系解释了政治行为的显著差异(这里的态度被称为对堕胎、枪支管制和环境(包括气候变化)的风险感知),但文化政治价值观解释得更多,CT措施比CCT解释得更多。我们讨论了这些发现,并为进一步使用这些文化理论来研究政治行为提供了指导。
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引用次数: 6
Measuring Time Preferences in Large Surveys 在大型调查中测量时间偏好
Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3422697
Michael M. Bechtel, A. Jensen, Jordan H. McAllister, Kenneth F. Scheve
Time preferences may explain public opinion about a wide range of long-term policy problems with costs and benefits realized in the distant future. However, mass publics may discount these costs and benefits because they are later or because they are more uncertain. Standard methods to elicit individual-level time preferences tend to conflate risk and time attitudes and are susceptible to social desirability bias. A potential solution relies on a costly lab-experimental method, convex time budgets (CTB). We present and experimentally validate an affordable version of this approach for implementation in mass surveys. We find that the theoretically preferred CTB patience measure predicts attitudes toward a local, delayed investment problem but fails to predict support for more complex, future-oriented policies.
时间偏好可以解释公众对一系列长期政策问题的看法,这些问题的成本和收益在遥远的未来才会实现。然而,大众可能会低估这些成本和收益,因为它们较晚,或者因为它们更不确定。诱发个人时间偏好的标准方法往往将风险和时间态度混为一谈,容易受到社会期望偏差的影响。一个潜在的解决方案依赖于昂贵的实验室实验方法,凸时间预算(CTB)。我们提出并实验验证了这种方法在大规模调查中实施的可负担的版本。我们发现,理论上首选的CTB耐心度量预测了对局部延迟投资问题的态度,但无法预测对更复杂的、面向未来的政策的支持。
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引用次数: 3
Experimental Evidence for a Link between Labor Market Competition and Anti-Immigrant Attitudes 劳动力市场竞争与反移民态度之间联系的实验证据
Pub Date : 2019-03-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2997321
Jonathan Mellon
Anti-immigrant sentiment has become central to politics in Western Democracies yet researchers disagree about its causes. Experimental studies claim to disprove the labor market competition (LMC) hypothesis of anti-immigrant attitudes because high-skilled workers should prefer low-skilled immigrants who do not compete with them, but actually prefer high-skilled immigrants. However, these studies do not account for high-skilled natives' skill specificity which protects them from immigrant competition unlike low-skilled natives. I present a survey experiment with an equal LMC treatment for all skill levels: respondents' actual occupations. The results support the LMC hypothesis: high-skilled natives are 0.27 less favorable towards immigrants in their occupation than other high-skilled immigrants (on a 1-7 scale), comparable to their preference against low-skilled immigrants (0.3 lower). I find low-skilled natives perceive all low-skilled immigration as threatening whereas high-skilled natives only feel threatened by immigration in their occupation, showing LMC contributes to anti-immigrant sentiment.
反移民情绪已成为西方民主政治的核心,但研究人员对其原因意见不一。实验研究声称反驳了反移民态度的劳动力市场竞争假说,因为高技能工人应该更喜欢不与他们竞争的低技能移民,而实际上更喜欢高技能移民。然而,这些研究没有考虑到高技能本地人的技能特异性,这使得他们不像低技能本地人那样受到移民竞争的影响。我提出了一项调查实验,对所有技能水平的受访者的实际职业进行了平等的LMC处理。结果支持LMC假设:高技能本地人对移民的职业偏好比其他高技能移民低0.27(1-7),与他们对低技能移民的偏好相当(低0.3)。我发现低技能本地人认为所有低技能移民都是威胁,而高技能本地人只在他们的职业中感受到移民的威胁,这表明LMC助长了反移民情绪。
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引用次数: 2
Polarizing Currents within Purple America 紫色美国内部的两极分化趋势
Pub Date : 2018-08-20 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3235867
S. Peltzman
The ideology of average Americans has changed little since the 1970s. Then as now around 30 percent identify liberal or conservative and 40 percent are moderates. In contrast to this stable “purple” distribution political parties have become more polarized into “red” and “blue” ideological camps with much less overlap than in the past. This paper contributes to the literature that seeks to reconcile these divergent trends by examining changes in the policy preferences within ideological categories. I analyze answers to a stable set of questions in the General Social Survey. The key finding is that liberals and conservatives have mainly moved further apart on a wide variety of policy issues. The divergence is substantial quantitatively and in its plausible political impact: intra party moderation has become increasingly unlikely.
自上世纪70年代以来,普通美国人的意识形态几乎没有改变。当时和现在一样,大约30%的人认为自己是自由派或保守派,40%的人认为自己是温和派。与这种稳定的“紫色”分布形成对比的是,政党在意识形态上变得更加两极化,分为“红色”和“蓝色”阵营,重叠的地方比过去少得多。本文有助于通过研究意识形态类别内政策偏好的变化来调和这些不同趋势的文献。我分析综合社会调查中一系列稳定问题的答案。关键的发现是,自由派和保守派在广泛的政策问题上分歧越来越大。这种分歧在数量上和政治影响上都是巨大的:党内的温和变得越来越不可能了。
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引用次数: 0
Labor Unions and Unequal Representation 工会和不平等代表权
Pub Date : 2018-07-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3220032
Daniel Stegmueller, Michael Becher, Konstantin Käppner
Recent research has documented that lawmakers are more responsive to the views of the affluent than to the less well-off. This raises the important question of whether there are institutions that can limit unequal representation. We argue that labor unions play this role and we provide evidence from the contemporary U.S. House of Representatives. Our extensive dataset combines a novel measure of district-level union strength, drawn from 350,000 administrative records, with income-specific measures of constituency preferences based on 223,000 survey respondents matched to 27 roll-call votes. Exploiting within-district variation in preference polarization, within-state variation in union strength and rich data on confounds, our analysis rules out a host of alternative explanations. In contrast to the view that unions have become too weak or fragmented to matter, they significantly dampen unequal responsiveness: a standard deviation increase in union membership increases legislative responsiveness towards the poor by about 9 percentage points.
最近的研究表明,议员们对富人的观点比不那么富裕的人更敏感。这就提出了一个重要的问题,即是否存在能够限制不平等代表权的制度。我们认为工会发挥了这一作用,并提供了当代美国众议院的证据。我们广泛的数据集结合了从35万份行政记录中提取的地区级工会实力的新衡量标准,以及基于与27张唱名投票相匹配的223,000名调查受访者的选区偏好的收入特定衡量标准。利用偏好极化的地区内变化,工会强度的州内变化和丰富的混杂数据,我们的分析排除了许多替代解释。与认为工会已经变得太弱或太分散而无关紧要的观点相反,工会显著地抑制了不平等的反应:工会成员的标准偏差增加会使对穷人的立法反应提高约9个百分点。
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引用次数: 2
The Good Intention Gap: Poverty, Anxiety, and Implications for Political Action 善意差距:贫困、焦虑和对政治行动的影响
Pub Date : 2016-09-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2839926
Elaine K. Denny
At least 2 in 5 U.S. citizens live in high financial insecurity, leaving them vulnerable to economic shocks and stress. This paper identifies a mechanism linking poverty to turnout, showing that financial stress influences political behavior by influencing cognition and decision-making. I provide foundational evidence for a Good Intention Gap in political participation: Poor people want to take political action, but, consistent with the broader psychological effects of stress, financial anxiety taxes the brain’s cognitive resources. Taxed mental bandwidth and short-sighted decision-making reduce one’s capacity to follow through on intentions to participate.I show that experimentally-induced financial anxiety decreases long-term strategic thinking in ways that are increasingly at odds with policy preferences. When political action is easy and immediate, financial anxiety increases participation due to increased issue salience; however, when action is delayed, financial anxiety mediates decreased turnout, especially among the poor. Nationally representative data show that financial stress correlates with the Good Intention Gap via a mechanism of forgetting, while competing explanations for lower participation among the poor find little support.
至少有五分之二的美国公民生活在高度的财务不安全感中,这使他们很容易受到经济冲击和压力的影响。本文确定了贫困与投票率之间的联系机制,表明经济压力通过影响认知和决策来影响政治行为。我为政治参与中的善意差距提供了基本证据:穷人想采取政治行动,但与压力带来的更广泛的心理影响一致,经济焦虑会消耗大脑的认知资源。繁重的脑力负担和短视的决策会降低一个人实现参与意愿的能力。我的研究表明,实验引发的财务焦虑会以与政策偏好越来越不一致的方式削弱长期战略思维。当政治行动容易而直接时,由于问题的突出性增加,财务焦虑增加了参与;但是,如果行动推迟,财政焦虑就会导致投票率下降,特别是在穷人中。具有全国代表性的数据显示,经济压力通过遗忘机制与善意差距相关,而穷人参与度较低的其他解释几乎没有证据支持。
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引用次数: 4
Party Hacks and True Believers: The Effect of Party Affiliation on Political Preferences 政党黑客与忠实信徒:政党归属对政治偏好的影响
Pub Date : 2015-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2595108
Eric D. Gould, Esteban F. Klor
This paper examines the effect of party affiliation on an individual’s political views. To do this, we exploit the party realignment that occurred in the U.S. due to abortion becoming a more prominent and highly partisan issue over time. We show that abortion was not a highly partisan issue in 1982, but a person’s abortion views in 1982 led many to switch parties over time as the two main parties diverged in their stances on this issue. We find that voting for a given political party in 1996, due to the individual’s initial views on abortion in 1982, has a substantial effect on a person’s political, social, and economic attitudes in 1997. These findings are stronger for highly partisan political issues, and are robust to controlling for a host of personal views and characteristics in 1982 and 1997. As individuals realigned their party affiliation in accordance with their initial abortion views, their other political views followed suit.
本文考察了政党归属对个人政治观点的影响。为了做到这一点,我们利用了由于堕胎随着时间的推移成为一个更加突出和高度党派化的问题而在美国发生的政党重组。我们发现,在1982年,堕胎并不是一个高度党派化的问题,但随着时间的推移,一个人对堕胎的看法导致许多人改变了政党,因为两个主要政党在这个问题上的立场出现了分歧。我们发现,由于个人在1982年对堕胎的最初看法,在1996年投票给一个给定的政党,对一个人在1997年的政治、社会和经济态度有实质性影响。这些发现在高度党派化的政治问题上更为明显,并且在控制1982年和1997年的大量个人观点和特征方面更为有力。当个人根据他们最初的堕胎观点重新调整他们的党派关系时,他们的其他政治观点也会随之改变。
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引用次数: 3
Military, Intelligence, Police Law and Order Inside Security and Security of Border - An Indian Scenario 军事,情报,警察法律和秩序内部安全和边境安全-一个印度的场景
Pub Date : 2013-03-09 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2230835
Assist. Prof. Pankaj Umbarkar
Nowadays the security of nation is at the high alarming position. The security includes the internal security and external security of Nations. No one is ready to realize the sense of insecurity and destruction of civilized structure of the society. The terrorism, naxalizum, political consumerism leads the society toward the sense of insecurity. No doubt the burden to protect the individual’s life’s automatically shifted toward the military, police and other significant intelligence agencies attain great attention with new challenges. In the present research paper the researcher mostly focus on the role of these above agencies in detecting, investigating and dealing with the criminality and impediments in the way thereof. Generally it is speaking that, every problem rooted in to the causes of that problem . So in order to curb the problem of internal and external security of Nation the researcher has tried to reach to the problem and accordingly end with certain suggestions.
当前,国家安全已处于高度警戒的地位。安全包括国家的内部安全与外部安全。没有人愿意意识到社会的不安全感和文明结构的破坏。恐怖主义、纳粹党主义、政治消费主义将社会引向不安全感。毫无疑问,保护个人生命的重担自动转移到了军队、警察和其他重要的情报机构身上,它们面临着新的挑战,受到了极大的关注。在本文的研究中,研究者主要集中在上述机构在侦查、侦查和处理犯罪中的作用以及在侦查、侦查和处理犯罪中的障碍。一般来说,每个问题的根源都在于产生这个问题的原因。因此,为了遏制国家内外安全的问题,研究者试图达到这一问题,并提出相应的建议。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
PSN: Other Political Behavior: Voting & Public Opinion (Topic)
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