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Determinants of Environmental Quality in Nigeria: Assessing the Role of Financial Development 尼日利亚环境质量的决定因素:评估金融发展的作用
Pub Date : 2018-09-03 DOI: 10.33119/ERFIN.2018.3.1.3
E. Mesagan, M. Nwachukwu
In this study, we analyze the determinants of environmental quality in Nigeria, focusing on the role of financial development. It is a time series analysis covering the period from 1981 to 2016. The study uses the ARDL bounds testing approach to analyze data on urbanization, per capita income, environmental degradation, energy consumption, trade intensity, and capital investment. We generate the environmental degradation index using principal component analysis (PCA). Empirical results suggest that income, financial development, energy consumption, and trade are significant in explaining environmental quality, whereas investment and urbanization are insignificant in the model. Moreover, we find no causality between the capital investment, financial development, and environmental quality, although urbanization and income unidirectionally cause environmental degradation. Also, there exists a bidirectional causality between energy consumption and environmental degradation. Therefore, to ensure efficient credit allocation to low carbon emitting firms, financial sector operators should adequately screen investment proposals before committing funds to them.
在这项研究中,我们分析了尼日利亚环境质量的决定因素,重点是金融发展的作用。这是一个涵盖1981年至2016年期间的时间序列分析。该研究使用ARDL边界测试方法分析了城市化、人均收入、环境退化、能源消耗、贸易强度和资本投资的数据。我们使用主成分分析(PCA)生成环境退化指数。实证结果表明,收入、金融发展、能源消费和贸易在解释环境质量方面具有显著性,而投资和城市化在模型中不显著。此外,我们没有发现资本投资、金融发展和环境质量之间的因果关系,尽管城市化和收入单向地导致环境退化。此外,能源消耗和环境退化之间存在双向因果关系。因此,为了确保向低碳排放企业有效分配信贷,金融部门运营商在向其承诺资金之前,应充分筛选投资提案。
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引用次数: 43
The U.S. Shale Oil Revolution and the Behavior of Commodity Prices 美国页岩油革命与商品价格走势
Pub Date : 2018-09-03 DOI: 10.33119/ERFIN.2018.3.1.2
Afees A. Salisu, I. Adediran
The United States is committed to technological improvements in horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing in its drive of toppling the world's leading oil producers by the mid-2020s and evolving into a net oil exporter by 2030. Consequently, these technological innovations revolutionized the U.S. oil sector and the international oil market with increasing relevance of the shale oil and attendant shock spillovers to financial and commodity markets. Upon these attractions and consistent with evidence in the literature, we trace the oil price and commodity price dynamics to the shale oil revolution using a recursive structural VAR model of the shale supply shocks. In line with the standard practice of ensuring sensitivity of results, we conduct analyses such as impulse responses, forecast-error variance decomposition, and historical decompositions to accommodate energy and nonenergy commodity components. We show, in addition to the popular view in the extant literature, that the shale oil revolution is not only associated with the recent oil price plunge, but also responsible for the tumble in the total energy-based commodity prices with crude oil price being just a component.
美国致力于水平钻井和水力压裂技术的改进,以期在20世纪20年代中期推翻世界领先的石油生产国,并在2030年前发展成为石油净出口国。因此,这些技术创新彻底改变了美国石油行业和国际石油市场,页岩油的相关性越来越大,随之而来的冲击波及金融和大宗商品市场。基于这些吸引力,并与文献中的证据一致,我们使用页岩供应冲击的递归结构VAR模型将油价和商品价格动态追溯到页岩油革命。根据确保结果敏感性的标准实践,我们进行了脉冲响应、预测误差方差分解和历史分解等分析,以适应能源和非能源商品成分。除了现有文献中的流行观点外,我们还表明,页岩油革命不仅与最近的油价暴跌有关,而且是以能源为基础的大宗商品总价格暴跌的原因,原油价格只是其中的一个组成部分。
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引用次数: 6
The Effect of Central Bank Communication on the Capital Buffer of Banks: Evidence from an Emerging Economy 央行沟通对银行资本缓冲的影响——来自新兴经济体的证据
Pub Date : 2018-09-03 DOI: 10.33119/ERFIN.2018.3.1.1
Rodolfo Nicolay, Claudio Oliveira de Moraes, Bruno Pires Tiberto
The global financial crisis has revealed that the coordination between monetary policy and financial stability should be part of economic policy. This study examines the effects of monetary policy on the capital buffer (financial stability proxy) in the Brazilian economy and, in particular, how communication about both monetary policy and normative macroprudential policy affect the capital buffer maintained by banks. The study presents three main results: i) banks react strongly to monetary policy changes by increasing (reducing) the capital buffer in response to an increase (decrease) in the interest rate; ii) banks increase (decrease) the capital buffer when the central bank monetary policy communication signals an increase (decrease) in interest rates; and iii) banks use the capital buffer to accommodate the new measures of regulatory capital: the announcement of restrictive (liberalizing) capital measures reduces (increases) the capital buffer.
全球金融危机表明,货币政策和金融稳定之间的协调应该成为经济政策的一部分。本研究考察了货币政策对巴西经济中资本缓冲(金融稳定指标)的影响,特别是关于货币政策和规范宏观审慎政策的沟通如何影响银行维持的资本缓冲。该研究提出了三个主要结果:一是银行对货币政策变化的强烈反应,通过增加(减少)资本缓冲来应对利率的上升(下降);ii)当中央银行货币政策通信发出利率上升(下降)的信号时,银行增加(减少)资本缓冲;iii)银行利用资本缓冲来适应监管资本的新措施:限制性(自由化)资本措施的宣布减少(增加)了资本缓冲。
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引用次数: 2
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Econometric Research in Finance
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