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Earthquake Early Warning and Tsunami Warning of JMA for the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake 日本气象厅2011年太平洋沿岸东北地震的地震预警和海啸预警
Pub Date : 2012-03-31 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.155
M. Hoshiba, T. Ozaki
The 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake (Mw9.0) occurred on March 11, 2011, caused strong ground motion around northeastern Japan, and generated devastating tsunami, which killed more than 16,000 people. Before the strong ground motion hit cities, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) issued Earthquake Early Warning (EEW) announcements to the general public of the Tohoku district and then the warning was automatically broadcast through TV, radios and cellular phone messages. JMA also issued the first tsunami warnings/advisories based on hypocentral parameters, i.e., location, focal depth and magnitude, at 14:49 (Japan Standard Time), which was about three minutes after the occurrence of the earthquake, and then upgraded them using sea-level observation data. This paper reports the performance of the EEW and the tsunami warnings/advisories, lessons learned from the earthquake, and direction for the improvement of the warning systems.
2011年3月11日,太平洋沿岸的东北地震(Mw9.0)在日本东北部地区引起强烈的地面运动,并引发了毁灭性的海啸,造成1.6万多人死亡。在强烈的地面运动袭击城市之前,日本气象厅(JMA)向东北地区的公众发布了地震预警(EEW)公告,然后警报通过电视、广播和手机短信自动广播。日本气象厅还根据震源位置、震源深度和震级等震源参数,于地震发生约3分钟后的14时49分(日本标准时间)发布了第一次海啸预警/通报,并利用海平面观测数据进行了升级。本文报告了EEW和海啸预警/报告的表现,从地震中吸取的教训,以及改进预警系统的方向。
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引用次数: 20
Seismic Source Process of the 2011 Tohoku-oki Earthquake 2011年东北大地震震源过程
Pub Date : 2012-03-31 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.143
Y. Yagi
We reported seismic waveform analysis results of the source process of the 2011 mega-thrust Tohoku-oki earthquake. The Tohoku-oki earthquake is the first mega-thrust earthquake in Japan since the initiation of modern and multi-channel seismic observation. Many researchers have performed source inversion using seismic waveforms observed at near-source or/and global seismic networks, and presented their seismic source models. As pointed out by some researchers, however, seismic source models for the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake are different from one another. The discrepancy has prevented us to understand the nature of mega-thrust earthquake in Tohoku-oki region, which may be originated from data processing manner, assumption of error structure, strength of constraints, and setting of source model. In this paper, we endeavor to describe detailed analysis procedure for each study. Common feature in slip distributions obtained by all studies is that the huge seismic slip located off the coast of Miyagi (Miyagi-oki) where huge slip deficit was detected by GPS studies. Many studies obtained the large rupture near Japan Trench or hypocenter during 45-70 sec after initial break, which may be a key of understanding this earthquake. At present, it is difficult to discuss the detailed rupture process of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake. The future studies using multi-channel data analysis with proper error structure model will reveal the nature of mega-thrust earthquake.
报道了2011年东北大逆冲地震震源过程的波形分析结果。东北大地震是近代多道地震观测以来日本发生的第一次特大逆冲地震。许多研究人员利用近震源或全球地震台网观测到的地震波形进行了震源反演,并提出了他们的震源模型。然而,正如一些研究人员指出的那样,2011年东北大地震的震源模型彼此不同。这种差异阻碍了我们对东北-oki地区特大逆冲地震性质的认识,这可能与数据处理方式、误差结构假设、约束强度和震源模型的设置有关。在本文中,我们试图详细描述每个研究的分析过程。所有研究得到的滑动分布的共同特征是,巨大的地震滑动位于宫城(Miyagi-oki)海岸附近,GPS研究发现了巨大的滑动亏缺。许多研究获得了日本海沟或震源附近在初始断裂后45-70秒发生的大断裂,这可能是了解这次地震的关键。目前,很难讨论2011年东北大地震的详细破裂过程。未来的研究将利用多通道数据分析和适当的误差结构模型来揭示特大逆冲地震的性质。
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引用次数: 3
Strong Motion Characteristics of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake 2011年东北大地震的强运动特征
Pub Date : 2012-03-31 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.169
S. Aoi, T. Kunugi, W. Suzuki, N. Morikawa, H. Nakamura, S. Senna, H. Fujiwara
The 2011 M 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake is the largest earthquake that occurred in and around Japan since the beginning of the recorded history. This megathrust event initiated approximately 100km off-shore Miyagi prefecture, in northeast Japan, and its rupture extended 400-500km along the subducting Pacific plate. This is the first M 9-class earthquake that has been closely recorded by a dense seismograph network. Strong motions of this earthquake are characterized by large seismic intensities and peak ground accelerations (PGA), long durations, and wideness of the area that experienced intense shaking. The ground motions were recorded by 1223 K-NET and KiK-net stations. The PGA exceeded gravity at 20 sites; the largest PGA, of 2933 gals, was observed at the K-NET Tsukidate station (MYG004). The attenuation of the recorded peak values shows a possibility of saturating strong ground motion amplitude with the magnitude. The complex features of the accelerograms and velocity waveforms are discussed in connection with the source processes estimated using long and short period waveform data. Due to the large ground motions and tsunamis associated with this event, more than 16 thousand people were killed and more than 360 thousand houses and buildings were totally or partially destroyed. Although the tsunamis were the primary cause of damage, the strong shaking, liquefaction and landslides also brought serious destruction. However, it was reported that the damage ratios of houses and buildings directly due to shaking were not as high as for the former earthquakes having comparable seismic intensities and PGA. The recorded ground motions at most stations where the seismic intensities and PGA were large had dominant periods shorter than 0.5s and relatively poor power in the 1-2s period range which has strong influence on the damage of few-stories wooden houses. The main reason for the short-period predominance is the amplification due to the low-velocity superficial layer and can be roughly explained by empirical amplification factors for 0.1-0.5s periods. Long-period ground motions were also observed. The velocity response spectra (5% dumping) for periods of 4-20s reached around 100cm/s at many stations, mainly in the Tohoku and Kanto regions. This level may be considered not very large taking into account that the Tohoku-Oki earthquake was an M 9-class event. In the Kanto district, at epicentral distances of 300-400km, liquefaction widely occurred at the artificially reclaimed land in Tokyo and Chiba bay areas and the basin of major rivers, such as the Tone and Ara. The damage (e.g., cutoff of lifelines and differential settlement of house-basements) due to liquefaction was very severe. In this paper we summarize the strong motion characteristics associated with the M 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake and review the latest results from the viewpoint of strong motions.
2011年的9.0级东北大地震是有记录以来发生在日本及其周边地区的最大地震。这次大型逆冲事件始于日本东北部宫城县海岸约100公里处,其破裂沿俯冲的太平洋板块延伸了400-500公里。这是第一次被密集的地震仪网密切记录的9级地震。这次地震的强烈运动的特点是地震强度和峰值地面加速度(PGA)大,持续时间长,经历强烈震动的地区范围广。1223个K-NET和KiK-net站点记录了地面运动。20个站点的PGA超过重力;在K-NET筑门站(MYG004)观测到最大的PGA,为2933个女孩。记录的峰值衰减表明强地震动幅值有可能与震级饱和。结合利用长周期和短周期波形数据估计的源过程,讨论了加速度和速度波形的复杂特征。由于大的地面运动和海啸与此事件有关,超过1.6万人死亡,超过36万所房屋和建筑物被完全或部分摧毁。虽然海啸是造成破坏的主要原因,但强烈的震动、液化和山体滑坡也带来了严重的破坏。但是,据报道,与地震烈度和PGA相当的前几次地震相比,直接因震动造成的房屋和建筑物的损坏率并不高。地震烈度和PGA较大的台站记录的地震动优势周期短于0.5s,在1 ~ 2s周期范围内功率较差,对低层木屋的破坏影响较大。短周期优势的主要原因是由于低速浅层的放大,可以用0.1 ~ 0.5s周期的经验放大因子来大致解释。还观测到长周期的地面运动。在东北和关东地区,许多站点的速度响应谱(5%倾倒)在4-20s期间达到100cm/s左右。考虑到日本东北大地震是9级地震,这个级别可能不是很大。在关东地区,震中距离300-400公里,液化广泛发生在东京和千叶湾地区的人工填海土地以及主要河流流域,如Tone和Ara。由于液化造成的破坏(例如,生命线的切断和房屋地下室的不同沉降)非常严重。本文从强震的角度综述了日本东北9.0级地震的强震特征,并对强震的最新研究成果进行了综述。
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引用次数: 11
Inversion Analyses Based on ABIC with Non-full Rank Prior Information 基于非全秩先验信息的ABIC反演分析
Pub Date : 2012-01-25 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.91
Y. Fukahata
In inversion analyses using ABIC, a non-full rank matrix for prior constraints is allowed in the formulation of Yabuki and Matsu'ura (1992), while Fukuda and Johnson (2008) claimed that the matrix must be full rank. This problem depends on consideration about the value of “zero” of zero eigenvalues contained in the prior constraint matrix. In actual inversion analyses, we must have some prior information about model parameters, even if it is not explicitly expressed. Therefore, the “zero” of the zero eigenvalues is considered to be not zero exactly. Based on this consideration, we can obtain the same inversion solution as Yabuki and Matsu'ura (1992). Mathematical difficulty in expressing the prior probability density function for a matrix with zero eigenvalues can be avoided by the use of non-informative prior.
在使用ABIC的反演分析中,Yabuki和Matsu'ura(1992)的公式允许先验约束的非满秩矩阵,而Fukuda和Johnson(2008)则声称矩阵必须是满秩的。该问题依赖于对先验约束矩阵中包含的零特征值的“零”值的考虑。在实际的反演分析中,我们必须有一些关于模型参数的先验信息,即使它没有显式表达。因此,零特征值的“零”被认为不完全为零。基于这种考虑,我们可以得到与Yabuki和Matsu'ura(1992)相同的反演解。对于零特征值矩阵,使用非信息先验可以避免表示先验概率密度函数的数学困难。
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引用次数: 5
Long-term Slow Slip Event around Kochi City from 1977 to 1980 1977 - 1980年高知市周边长期慢滑事件
Pub Date : 2012-01-25 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.63
A. Kobayashi
We extracted unsteady vertical crustal deformations in the Shikoku region before GPS deployment using leveling and sea-level data. GPS-derived, steady-state vertical displacements related to ongoing subduction of the Philippine Sea plate were subtracted from the vertical displacements observed by leveling surveys. Monthly mean sea-level data were corrected for atmospheric pressure and hydrographic effects. As a result, we found an upheaval of 4-5cm near Kochi City from 1977 to 1980 in both the leveling and sea-level data. This may represent a crustal deformation caused by a long-term slow slip event on the plate boundary.
利用水准和海平面数据提取了四国地区在GPS部署前的非定常垂直地壳形变。gps导出的与菲律宾海板块持续俯冲有关的稳态垂直位移从水准测量观测到的垂直位移中减去。根据大气压力和水文效应对月平均海平面数据进行了校正。结果表明,在1977 - 1980年期间,高知市附近的水平面和海平面都发生了4-5cm的隆起。这可能是由于板块边界上的长期缓慢滑动事件引起的地壳变形。
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引用次数: 11
Great Earthquakes along the Nankai Trough 南开海槽沿线的大地震
Pub Date : 2012-01-25 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.97
T. Seno
Great earthquakes have historically occurred along the Nankai Trough. It has been said that they ruptured part or whole of characteristic fault planes A, B, C, D, and E repeatedly. However, there are a number of enigmas for their occurrence. Major ones are as follows. The 1944 Showa-Tonankai earthquake occurred only 90 years after the 1854 Ansei earthquakes. The 90-year period seems short compared with other time intervals of the historical earthquakes. The Tonankai earthquake did not rupture fault plane E west of the Suruga Trough, by some unknown reasons. The Tokai earthquake anticipated at fault plane E has not occurred yet since the Ansei-Tokai event even if a slow slip event occurred recently near the downdip end of its rupture zone. In this study, I propose a model to solve these enigmas. I characterize a fault plane of a great earthquake into a seismic-b.eq, a tsunami-b.eq, and a geodetic-b.eq, in which seismic waves, tsunamis, and crustal deformations are dominantly generated, respectively. I compare these different bands of rupture zones between the 1944 Showa-Tonankai and 1854 Ansei-Tokai earthquakes, the 1946 Showa-Nankai and 1854 Ansei-Nankai earthquakes, and the 1707 Hoei and other earthquakes, using seismic intensity data and previous studies on asperities, tsunamis, and crustal deformations. It is found that the Ansei-Tokai and Showa-Tonankai earthquakes scarcely shared their seismic-b.eqs. The tsunami- and geodetic-b.eqs of the Ansei-Tokai earthquake extended to the west of its seismic-b.eq, and was shared by, but did not cover the seismic-, tsunami- and geodetic-b.eqs of the Showa-Tonankai earthquake. It cannot thus be said that the Ansei-Tokai earthquake ruptured fault planes C+D+E or that fault plane E was left unbroken after the Showa-Tonankai earthquake. The occurrence of these two earthquakes is rather complementary from a viewpoint of the seismic-b.eq. The seismic-b.eq of the Ansei-Nankai earthquake also seems to have been different from and was located further north than that of the Showa-Nankai earthquake. On the other hand, the Hoei earthquake had a seismic-b.eq similar to those of the Showa earthquakes. I group historical great earthquakes into the Ansei-type or the Hoei-type, which has a seismic-b.eq similar to either of the Ansei or Hoei earthquake. It is likely that the Ansei-type earthquakes are the 684 Hakuho, 1096 Eicho-1099 Kowa, 1498 Meio, and 1854 Ansei earthquakes and recurred with a ∼400-year period, and that the Hoei-type earthquakes are the 887 Ninna, 1361 Shohei, 1707 Hoei, and 1944 Tonankai-1946 Nankai earthquakes and recurred with a ∼350-year period. Since the Showa-Tonankai earthquake was complementary to the Ansei-Tokai earthquake, the 90-year period between the two events is not a recurrence time and it is natural that the Showa-Tonankai did not rupture fault plane E. It is also natural that the next Tokai earthquake did not occur even if the slow slip event occurred at its downdip end, because it is
历史上,大地震发生在南开海槽附近。据说他们反复破坏了A、B、C、D和E的部分或整个特征断层面。然而,它们的出现有许多谜团。主要有以下几点。1944年昭和东南海地震发生在1854年安sei地震90年后。与历史上地震的其他时间间隔相比,90年的周期似乎很短。由于一些未知的原因,东南开地震没有使骏河海槽以西的E断层面破裂。自安西-东海事件以来,即使在其断裂带的下倾端附近最近发生了一次慢滑事件,但预计在E断层面发生的东海地震尚未发生。在本研究中,我提出了一个模型来解决这些谜题。我把大地震的断裂面描述成b级地震。Eq, a,海啸,b。方程,测地线b。Eq,其中地震波、海啸和地壳变形分别占主导地位。我比较了1944年昭和- tonankai地震和1854年安西- tokai地震、1946年昭和-南开地震和1854年安西-南开地震以及1707年会惠地震和其他地震之间的这些不同的破裂带,使用了地震强度数据和以前关于岩石、海啸和地壳变形的研究。研究发现,安西-东海地震和昭和-东南海地震的地震特征基本不一致。海啸和大地测量仪。安西-东海地震的震区延伸到地震b区的西部。Eq,和被共享,但不包括地震-,海啸-和大地测量-b。昭和-东南海地震。因此,不能说安西-东海地震使C+D+E断裂面破裂,也不能说昭和-东南海地震使E断裂面没有破裂。从地震台谱的观点来看,这两次地震的发生是相辅相成的。seismic-b。安塞-南开地震的震源似乎也不同于昭和-南开地震,而且震源位置比昭和-南开地震更靠北。另一方面,会海地震的震级为b级。与昭和地震相似。我将历史上的大地震分为安塞型和会伊型,它们的地震级为b级。类似于安西地震或安徽地震。安西型地震可能是684年白湖地震、1096年惠一地震、1099年和和县地震、1498年美奥地震和1854年安西地震,其重复周期为~ 400年;会西型地震可能是887年nina地震、1361年正平地震、1707年会地震和1944年Tonankai-1946年南开地震,其重复周期为~ 350年。由于昭和- tonankai地震与安西-东海地震相辅相成,两次事件之间的90年间隔不是一个重复时间,因此昭和- tonankai断层面e没有破裂是很自然的。即使慢滑事件发生在其下倾端,下一次东海地震也没有发生也是很自然的,因为它预计至少在距今200年后发生。因为在安西东海地震之前发生的地震是1498年的梅奥地震。
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引用次数: 24
Focal Mechanisms of Small Earthquakes within the Pacific Plate near the Japan Trench 日本海沟附近太平洋板块内小地震震源机制
Pub Date : 2012-01-25 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.75
S. Koga, Y. Ito, R. Hino, M. Shinohara, N. Umino
A double-planed shallow seismic zone has been found in the northeastern Japan forearc region. However, the characterizations of the focal mechanisms of earthquakes in this zone, especially the lower plane events, cannot be carried out adequately due to low seismicity and poor station coverage on the focal sphere of the onshore P-wave polarity data. In this study, we determine the focal depth using the sP depth phase and the focal mechanisms using the P-wave initial motions observed by the ocean bottom cabled seismic stations and temporary autonomous ocean bottom seismic networks off Miyagi, as well as the onshore seismic networks. Seven focal mechanism solutions of events were precisely determined. Using the classification based on the dip angles of the T, B and P axes, we classified 21 weakly constrained focal mechanisms of other events having poor station coverage. All the determined solutions were of the thrust-faulting type regardless of the focal depth. The offshore observations helped considerably in constraining the focal mechanisms of these far-offshore earthquakes, especially their rake angles. Although previous studies had reported that the focal mechanisms of the upper and lower plane events show predominantly normal and reverse faulting respectively, our result showed that the thrust events in the upper plane seem to occur on the plate boundary. We found that the focal mechanisms change from normal faulting in the upper plane to reverse faulting in the lower plane at a depth of 15km from the plate boundary, possibly defining the depth of the neutral plane in the northeastern Japan forearc region included in the source area of the 1933 Mw8.4 Sanriku earthquake. The western edge of the normal faulting events along the upper plane is located about 70km inward from the trench axis. These results suggest that the earthquake-generating stress field in the double-planed shallow and deep seismic zone in the northeastern Japan arc can be explained by the bending-unbending model of the subducting Pacific plate.
在日本东北部的弧前地区发现了一个双平面浅层地震带。然而,由于地震活动性低,且岸上p波极性资料震源球上的台站覆盖较差,该地区地震的震源机制特征,特别是下平面地震的震源机制特征不能得到充分的描述。在本研究中,我们利用sP深度相位确定震源深度,并利用海底电缆地震台站和宫城附近的临时自主海底地震台网以及陆上地震台网观测到的p波初始运动来确定震源机制。精确地确定了事件的7个焦点机制解。采用基于T、B、P轴倾角的分类方法,对21个弱约束震源机制进行了分类。无论震源深度如何,所确定的解均为逆冲断裂型。近海观测对限制这些远海地震的震源机制,特别是震源角有很大帮助。虽然以往的研究报道上、下平面事件的震源机制分别以正断层和逆断层为主,但我们的研究结果表明,上平面的逆冲事件似乎发生在板块边界上。研究发现,在距板块边界15km深度处,震源机制由上平面正断层向下平面逆断层转变,可能定义了1933年Mw8.4三陆地震震源区所包括的日本东北部弧前区中性面深度。正断层事件沿上平面的西缘位于距海沟轴线向内约70km处。这些结果表明,日本弧东北部深浅双平面地震带的地震应力场可以用太平洋板块俯冲的弯曲-不弯曲模型来解释。
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引用次数: 3
Newly-found Surface Faulting Event on the North-central Portion of the Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line Active Fault System 伊藤川—静冈构造线活动断裂系统中北部新发现的地表断裂事件
Pub Date : 2011-08-25 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.11
K. Taniguchi, Mitsuhisa Watanabe, Yasuhiro Suzuki, H. Sawa
The 150 km long Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line Active Fault System (ISTL) in central Japan is one of the most active fault systems in Japan. Paleoseismologcal studies 1980s have revealed that the most recent event and the average recurence interval of the ISTL. The approximately 7 km long portion of the fault system between Matsumoto and Okaya has been regarded as a gap without any active fault trace. The gap namely the “Shiojiri Pass Gap” has long been taken as a segment boundary owing to the geometric discontinuity. Recent geomorphological analyses of the gap have demonstrated a through-going left-lateral slip assocaited with recent earthquakes in this area, based on aerial photograph interpretation and excavation studies. Excavation study on this portion revealed that the latest faulting event occurred between 1,700 cal. B.P. to 1,310 cal. B.P. (255 A.D. -645 A.D.). The timing of the last faulting event at this study area coincides with the timing in the Gofukuji fault and Okaya fault. The active faults extending from the Matsumoto basin as far as the northwestern margin of the Suwa basin display the evidence for its recent reactivation at the same time.
日本中部150公里长的伊藤川-静冈构造线活动断裂系统(ISTL)是日本最活跃的断裂系统之一。20世纪80年代的古地震学研究揭示了ISTL的最近一次事件和平均复发间隔。松本和冈谷之间大约7公里长的断层系统部分被认为是一个没有任何活动断层痕迹的间隙。由于其几何上的不连续,“盐尻关隘”一直被认为是一段边界。根据航空照片解释和挖掘研究,最近对该地区的地貌学分析表明,该地区与最近的地震有关。对这部分的挖掘研究表明,最近的断裂事件发生在1700 cal. B.P.至1310 cal. B.P.(公元255 -645年)之间。研究区最后一次断裂事件的时间与谷福寺断裂和冈谷断裂的时间一致。同时,从松本盆地延伸至水洼盆地西北缘的活动断裂也显示了其近期活动的证据。
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引用次数: 1
Estimation of Velocity Boundaries in a Sedimentary Layer-Basement System Using the Fuchu Array Recordings 用富中阵列记录估算沉积层-基底体系的速度边界
Pub Date : 2011-08-25 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.1
Maki Takagishi, S. Kinoshita
A new method to estimate the velocity boundaries of real layered structure from only surface recordings was constructed by decomposing an SH-wave into instantaneous power of wave associated with rays in a homogeneous half space. The estimated results obtained by applying this method to seismograms were represented as a function of lapse-time (t) and depth-time (τ); i.e., travel time from surface toward depth-direction. We conducted the evaluation of the proposed method to the strong motion data recorded at the FCH array. The recordings were obtained using broadband velocity seismometers for the earthquakes that occurred in five source regions, the Eastern Yamanashi, East off Izu peninsula, in and around Tokyo, the Southwestern Ibaraki, and the Central Chiba regions. The estimated results of velocity boundaries obtained by this method were in good agreement with the velocity boundaries previously determined by means of down-hole method. The comparison study with seismic interferometry was also conducted, and yielded concordant results for the estimation of velocity boundaries.
将sh波分解为均匀半空间中与射线相关的瞬时波功率,建立了一种仅从表面记录估计真实层状结构速度边界的新方法。将该方法应用于地震记录得到的估计结果表示为失效时间(t)和深度时间(τ)的函数;即,从表面到深度方向的旅行时间。我们对FCH阵列记录的强运动数据进行了评价。这些记录是使用宽带速度地震仪获得的,记录发生在五个震源地区的地震,山梨县东部、伊豆半岛东部、东京及其周边、茨城县西南部和千叶中部地区。该方法得到的速度边界估计结果与以前用井下法确定的速度边界吻合较好。并与地震干涉法进行了对比研究,得到了一致的速度边界估计结果。
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引用次数: 0
A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Days of Earthquake in Japan and Its Vicinity and Beryllium-7 Concentrations in the Surface Air at Takasaki 日本及其邻近地区地震日数与高崎地面空气中铍-7浓度关系的统计分析
Pub Date : 2011-08-25 DOI: 10.4294/ZISIN.64.23
Masaki Ichihashi
The relationship between the days of earthquake in Japan and its vicinity and the Be-7 concentrations in the surface air at Takasaki were statistically analyzed. A day when one or more earthquakes of M 5 or greater occurred in Japan and its vicinity was defined as a “day of earthquake”. Earthquakes which were deemed aftershocks were not included in the analysis. In order to avoid the effect of seasonal variation, the residuals obtained by deducting 31-day moving averages from Be-7 concentrations and those obtained by deducting the ‘21-day’ moving averages of the periods from −15 to +0 days and from +11 to +15 days were analyzed. The ‘21-day’ moving averages were also calculated to avoid the effect of aftershocks. Rank-sum tests of the residuals showed that the Be-7 concentrations decreased from the 31-day and ‘21-day’ moving averages on days of earthquake. A binomial test showed that there were significantly more days of earthquake when the Be-7 concentrations were smaller than the medians of Be-7 concentrations for the 31-day periods (from 15 days before to 15 days after days of earthquake) than those when the Be-7 concentrations exceeded the medians. These suggest that the Be-7 concentrations decrease on days of earthquake. It is noted that the Be-7 concentrations on days of earthquake decreased on days of both precipitation and non-precipitation, respectively.
统计分析了日本及其附近地区地震日数与高崎地面空气中Be-7浓度的关系。日本及其附近地区发生一次或多次五级以上地震的一天被定义为“地震日”。被认为是余震的地震没有包括在分析中。为了避免季节变化的影响,对Be-7浓度扣除31天移动平均得到的残差和Be-7浓度扣除- 15 ~ +0天和+11 ~ +15天“21天”移动平均得到的残差进行了分析。“21天”移动平均线的计算也是为了避免余震的影响。残差秩和检验表明,Be-7浓度较地震日31天和21天移动平均线有所下降。二项检验表明,在31天(震前15天至震后15天)内,Be-7浓度小于Be-7浓度中位数的地震天数明显多于Be-7浓度超过中位数的地震天数。这些结果表明,Be-7浓度在地震发生的日子里下降。地震日Be-7浓度在降水日和非降水日均呈下降趋势。
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Journal of the Seismological Society of Japan
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