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Proximity-based Methods for Link Prediction in Graphs with R package 'linkprediction' 基于邻近度的图中链接预测方法
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Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ASK.V29I1.0002
M. Bojanowski, Bartosz Chrol
Link prediction is a problem of predicting future edges of an undirected graph based on a single snapshot of data of that graph. Vertex proximity measures are indicies giving numerical scores for every pair of vertices in a graph that can be used for predicting future edges. This short note describes an R package ‘linkprediction’ implementing 20 different vertex similarity and proximity measures from the literature. The article provides the de fi nitions of implemented measures, describes the main user-facing functions, and illustrates the use of the methods with a problem of predicting future co-authorship relations between researchers of the University of Warsaw.
链接预测是基于无向图的单个数据快照来预测无向图的未来边缘的问题。顶点接近度量是为图中每对顶点给出数值分数的指标,可用于预测未来的边缘。这篇短文描述了一个R包“链接预测”,实现了20种不同的顶点相似度和接近度度量。本文提供了实施措施的定义,描述了主要的面向用户的功能,并举例说明了预测华沙大学研究人员之间未来合作关系的方法的使用问题。
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引用次数: 4
Back Matter (Volume 29, Issue 1, 2020) 后刊(2020年第29卷第1期)
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Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ask.v29i1.0007
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引用次数: 0
Longitudinal Surveys for Comparative Analyses of Poland and Romania: The Polish Panel Survey (POLPAN), 2013–2018 and the Romanian World Values Survey Panel (WVS-RO), 2012–2018 波兰和罗马尼亚比较分析的纵向调查:波兰小组调查(POLPAN), 2013-2018和罗马尼亚世界价值观调查小组(WVS-RO), 2012-2018
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Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ASK.V29I1.0003
K. Slomczynski, M. Voicu, Joshua K. Dubrow, S. Stănescu, Irina Tomescu-Dubrow
: If researchers wish to use surveys to understand the attitudes and behaviors of those who live in former State Socialist countries, they face a research landscape densely populated by cross-sectional studies. Panel surveys with individuals as the units of analysis, which are ideal for understanding change within people over time, are rare. As a service to researchers, this article presents possibilities for cross-national comparison via two sets publicly available panel data: the Polish Panel Survey POLPAN (focusing on its 2013 and 2018 waves) and the novel Romanian World Values Survey Panel RO-WVS (2012 and 2018 waves), which is the only panel version of World Values Survey (WVS). We present the research designs of each, and explore their ex-post harmonization. Conceptual overlap between these sources occurs mainly (but not only) with major socio-demographics and with political attitudes and behavior, including interest in politics, political participation, democratic values, and institutional trust. Whereas POLPAN is relatively well known, we argue that RO-WVS panel stands out as a unique resource that provides data on the
如果研究人员希望通过调查来了解生活在前国家社会主义国家的人们的态度和行为,他们将面临一个由横断面研究密集组成的研究景观。以个人为分析单位的小组调查,是了解人们随时间变化的理想方法,但很少。作为对研究人员的服务,本文通过两组公开的面板数据展示了跨国比较的可能性:波兰面板调查POLPAN(重点关注其2013年和2018年的浪潮)和新颖的罗马尼亚世界价值观调查面板RO-WVS(2012年和2018年的浪潮),这是世界价值观调查(WVS)的唯一面板版本。我们提出了每一个的研究设计,并探讨了它们的事后协调。这些来源之间的概念重叠主要(但不仅限于)发生在主要的社会人口统计学和政治态度和行为上,包括对政治的兴趣、政治参与、民主价值观和制度信任。尽管POLPAN相对知名,但我们认为RO-WVS面板作为提供数据的独特资源脱颖而出
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引用次数: 0
Front Matter (Volume 29, Issue 1, 2020) 前沿内容(2020年第29卷第1期)
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Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ask.v29i1.0006
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引用次数: 0
Explaining the Policy Constraints of Anti-democratic Regimes by Means of Sequential OLS-Regressions 用序贯ols回归解释反民主政权的政策约束
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Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ask.v28i1.0003
G. Mueller
One of the key problems of many sociological regression models is their modest explanatory power. This has not only to do with the insufficient development of the underlying theories but also with the free will of the concerned social actors, which manifests itself in irrational, spontaneous, and sometimes even arbitrary decisions. The foreign and economic policy of the US government under Donald Trump is an excellent example of this source of indeterminacy. An alternative and more promising approach is an explanation of the constraints of social behaviour by the unequal distribution of power resources and the competing interests of the actors concerned. This approach requires, on the one hand, enough observational data which include cases that reached the analysed constraints. On the other hand, there is a need for statistical procedures which estimate and explain these constraints. Assuming that sufficient amounts of data are available, this paper proposes the use of sequential OLS regressions, which eliminate step by step non-critical observations in order to identify the cases that reached the mentioned constraints. For illustrative purposes, the author analyses the policy space of anti-democratic regimes with regard to their possibilities of curbing democracy. On the basis of the democracy scores of Freedom House, the author explores the governmental constraints set by (i) national civil societies and (ii) international NGOs for the promotion of political/ civil rights. The related sequential regressions allow for an assessment of how effective the different constraints are and how far democracy may deteriorate in the worst case under given structural conditions.
许多社会学回归模型的关键问题之一是它们的解释能力有限。这不仅与基础理论的发展不足有关,而且与有关社会行动者的自由意志有关,这种自由意志表现为非理性的、自发的,有时甚至是武断的决定。唐纳德•特朗普(Donald Trump)领导下的美国政府的外交和经济政策就是这种不确定性来源的一个极好例子。另一种更有希望的方法是解释权力资源的不平等分配和有关行为者的竞争利益对社会行为的制约。这种方法一方面需要足够的观测数据,其中包括达到分析约束条件的案例。另一方面,需要统计程序来估计和解释这些限制。假设有足够数量的数据可用,本文建议使用顺序OLS回归,逐步消除非关键观测值,以识别达到上述约束的情况。为了说明问题,作者分析了反民主政权的政策空间,以及它们遏制民主的可能性。在自由之家民主得分的基础上,作者探讨了(i)国家公民社会和(ii)国际非政府组织为促进政治/公民权利而设定的政府约束。相关的顺序回归可以评估不同限制的有效性,以及在给定的结构条件下,民主在最坏的情况下可能恶化到什么程度。
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引用次数: 0
Exploratory Fieldwork on Balconies as Threshold Spaces on the Juliusz Słowacki housing estate in Lublin 卢布林Juliusz Słowacki住宅区阳台作为门槛空间的探索性田野调查
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Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ask.v28i1.0004
Natalia Otrishchenko
The author reflects upon her experience of exploratory fieldwork conducted by an interdisciplinary group during the Urban Summer School. The research was conducted within an environment built according to the idea of “Open Form”, introduced by architect Oskar Hansen. Together with his wife Zofia, he designed a few neighborhoods around Poland, one of which – the Juliusz Słowacki housing estate in Lublin – is used as a case study for this paper. The article follows the process of collaborative development of research design and discusses a number of methods (focused ethnography, interviews, mental mapping, observation, participatory photography) applied to the study of materiality and social functioning of balconies as “threshold spaces” and their domestication. The author also outlines her positions in relation to both the local people with whom she has conducted interviews about their homes and the participants of her group.
作者反思了她在城市暑期学校期间由一个跨学科小组进行的探索性实地考察的经历。这项研究是在一个根据建筑师Oskar Hansen提出的“开放形式”理念建造的环境中进行的。他和他的妻子Zofia一起设计了波兰周围的几个社区,其中一个-卢布林的Juliusz Słowacki住宅区-被用作本文的案例研究。本文遵循研究设计的合作开发过程,并讨论了一些方法(集中民族志、访谈、心理测绘、观察、参与式摄影),这些方法应用于研究作为“门槛空间”的阳台的物质性和社会功能及其驯化。提交人还概述了她对当地居民的立场,她曾对当地居民的家庭和她的小组成员进行过采访。
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引用次数: 1
Back Matter (Volume 28, Issue 1, 2019) 后刊(2019年第28卷第1期)
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Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ask.v28i1.0007
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引用次数: 0
Between fallacy and feasibility? Dealing with the risk of ecological fallacies in the quantitative study of protest mobilization and conflict 在谬论和可行性之间?在抗议动员和冲突的定量研究中处理生态谬误的风险
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Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ask.v28i1.0002
Leila Demarest, A. Langer, B. Meuleman
In recent years, the quantitative study of conflict has increasingly focused on small-scale and/or localized conflicts in the developing world. In this paper, we analyze and critically reflect upon a major methodological shortcoming of many studies in this field of research. We argue that by using groupor macro-level empirical data and modelling techniques, while at the same time theoretically underpinning observed empirical associations with individual-level mechanisms, many of these studies risk committing an ecological fallacy. The individual-level mechanism on which many studies rely concerns the presence of grievances which mobilize people to participate in contentious politics. This motivational approach was also present in early studies on protest mobilization in Western societies, which often relied on similar research designs. However, subsequent advances in this literature and the use of methods that were targeted more directly at the individual level uncovered that grievances alone cannot explain mobilization and that organizational capabilities and complex psychological mechanisms of belonging also form part of the puzzle. While drawing on conflict events as well as survey data from Africa, we demonstrate empirically that here, as well, inferring micro-level relations and dynamics from macro-level empirical models can lead to erroneous interpretations and inferences. Hence, we argue that to improve our understanding of conflict mobilization in the developing world, especially for conflicts with low levels of violence, it is necessary to substantially expand our methodological toolbox beyond macro-level analyses.
近年来,对冲突的定量研究越来越集中于发展中国家的小规模和/或局部冲突。在本文中,我们分析并批判性地反思了这一研究领域中许多研究的主要方法论缺陷。我们认为,通过使用群体或宏观层面的经验数据和建模技术,同时在理论上支持观察到的与个人层面机制的经验关联,这些研究中的许多都有可能犯生态谬论。许多研究所依赖的个人层面机制涉及动员人们参与有争议的政治的不满情绪的存在。这种动机方法也出现在西方社会抗议动员的早期研究中,这些研究往往依赖于类似的研究设计。然而,这一文献的后续进展和更直接针对个人层面的方法的使用表明,不满本身不能解释动员,组织能力和复杂的归属感心理机制也构成了这一难题的一部分。在借鉴冲突事件和非洲调查数据的同时,我们从经验上证明,在这里,从宏观层面的经验模型推断微观层面的关系和动态也可能导致错误的解释和推断。因此,我们认为,为了提高我们对发展中国家冲突动员的理解,特别是对暴力程度较低的冲突的理解,有必要大幅扩展我们的方法论工具箱,超越宏观层面的分析。
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引用次数: 1
Using Web Probing to Elucidate Respondents' Understanding of 'Minorities' in Cross-Cultural Comparative Research 跨文化比较研究中被调查者对“少数民族”的理解
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Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ask.v28i1.0001
Michael Braun, Dorothée Behr, Katharina Meitinger, Klara Raiber, Lydia Repke
Due to the growing significance of international studies, the need for tools to assess the equivalence of items is pressing. Web probing, which is implementing verbal probing techniques traditionally used in cognitive interviewing in online surveys, is a method to complement quantitative techniques to establish equivalence of items in crosscultural research. We illustrate this approach by assessing the question of ‘how important it is that government authorities respect and protect the rights of minorities’, which was originally used in the International Social Survey Program, for respondents in five countries (Germany, Britain, the U.S., Mexico, and Spain). First, participants answered this question using a 7-point Likert scale. Then they wrote freely what types of minorities they had thought of. Whether country differences in the response patterns can be interpreted substantially depends partially on how similarly the term ‘minorities’ is understood across these five contexts. Our results show that people in the participating countries have slightly different kinds of ‘minorities’ in mind.
由于国际研究的重要性日益增加,对评估项目等效性的工具的需求是迫切的。网络探究是在网络调查中运用传统认知访谈中使用的言语探究技术,是对定量技术的补充,在跨文化研究中建立项目对等性。我们通过评估“政府当局尊重和保护少数群体权利有多重要”的问题来说明这种方法,该问题最初用于国际社会调查项目,针对五个国家(德国、英国、美国、墨西哥和西班牙)的受访者。首先,参与者用7分李克特量表回答这个问题。然后他们自由地写下他们所想到的少数民族类型。各国在反应模式上的差异能否得到充分解释,部分取决于在这五种情况下对“少数群体”一词的理解有多相似。我们的研究结果显示,参与国的人们对“少数民族”的看法略有不同。
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引用次数: 4
Front Matter (Volume 28, Issue 1, 2019) 前沿内容(2019年第28卷第1期)
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Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.18061/ask.v28i1.0006
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引用次数: 0
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