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The School Choice Voucher: A 'Get Out of Jail' Card? 择校券:一张“出狱卡”?
Pub Date : 2016-03-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2743541
Corey A. DeAngelis, Patrick Wolf
In this report we examine crime rates for young adults who experienced Milwaukee's citywide voucher program as high school students and a comparable group of their peers who had been public school students. Using unique data collected as part of a longitudinal evaluation of the program, we consider criminal activity by youth initially exposed to voucher schools and those in public schools at the same time. We also consider subsequent criminal activity by the students that stayed in the voucher program through 12th grade compared to those who were in public schools for the same period. We show that the mere exposure to private schooling through a voucher is associated with lower rates of criminal activity but the relationship is not robust to different analytic samples or measures of crime. We find a more consistent statistically significant negative relationship between students that stayed in the voucher program through 12th grade and criminal activity (meaning persistent voucher students commit fewer crimes). These results are apparent when controlling for a robust set of student demographics, test scores, and parental characteristics. We conclude that merely being exposed to private schooling for a short time through a voucher program may not have a significant impact on criminal activity, though persistently attending a private school through a voucher program can decrease subsequent criminal activity, especially for males.
在这份报告中,我们研究了密尔沃基市的青少年犯罪率,这些青少年在高中时参加了全市代金券计划,而他们的同龄人则是公立学校的学生。使用作为该计划纵向评估的一部分收集的独特数据,我们考虑了最初接触代金券学校和同时接触公立学校的青少年的犯罪活动。我们还考虑了在学券计划中学习到12年级的学生随后的犯罪行为,并与同期在公立学校学习的学生进行了比较。我们表明,仅仅通过代金券接受私立学校教育与较低的犯罪活动率有关,但这种关系对不同的分析样本或犯罪衡量标准并不稳健。我们发现,在学券计划中度过12年级的学生与犯罪活动之间存在更一致的统计上显著的负相关关系(这意味着持续学券的学生犯罪较少)。当控制了一组强大的学生人口统计,考试成绩和父母特征时,这些结果是明显的。我们的结论是,仅仅通过学券计划在短时间内接受私立学校教育可能不会对犯罪活动产生重大影响,尽管通过学券计划持续在私立学校上学可以减少随后的犯罪活动,尤其是对男性而言。
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引用次数: 11
The Impact of the Louisiana Scholarship Program on Racial Segregation in Louisiana Schools 路易斯安那奖学金计划对路易斯安那州学校种族隔离的影响
Pub Date : 2016-02-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2738785
Anna J. Egalite, Jonathan N. Mills, Patrick J. Wolf
The question of how school choice programs affect the racial stratification of schools is highly salient in the field of education policy. We use a student-level panel data set to analyze the impacts of the Louisiana Scholarship Program (LSP) on racial segregation in public and private schools. This targeted school voucher program provides funding for low-income, mostly minority students in the lowest-graded public schools to enroll in participating private schools. Our analysis indicates that the vast majority (82%) of LSP transfers have reduced racial segregation in the voucher students’ former public schools. LSP transfers have marginally increased segregation in the participating private schools, however, where just 45% of transfers reduce racial segregation. In those school districts under federal desegregation orders, voucher transfers result in a large reduction in traditional public schools’ racial segregation levels and have no discernible impact on private schools. The results of this analysis provide reliable empirical evidence that parental choice actually has aided desegregation efforts in Louisiana.
择校计划如何影响学校的种族分层,这个问题在教育政策领域非常突出。我们使用学生水平的面板数据集来分析路易斯安那奖学金计划(LSP)对公立和私立学校种族隔离的影响。这项有针对性的教育券计划为低收入、主要是少数族裔的学生提供资金,让他们在评分最低的公立学校就读参与计划的私立学校。我们的分析表明,绝大多数(82%)的LSP转移减少了代金券学生以前就读的公立学校的种族隔离。然而,LSP转移在参与的私立学校中略微增加了种族隔离,只有45%的转移减少了种族隔离。在那些执行联邦废除种族隔离命令的学区,代金券的转移大大减少了传统公立学校的种族隔离水平,对私立学校没有明显的影响。这一分析的结果提供了可靠的经验证据,证明父母的选择实际上有助于路易斯安那州的废除种族隔离努力。
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引用次数: 8
When Students Don't Care: Reexamining International Differences in Achievement and Non-Cognitive Skills 当学生不关心:重新审视成绩和非认知技能的国际差异
Pub Date : 2015-11-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2857243
Gema Zamarro, Collin Hitt, Ildefonso Méndez
Policy debates in education are often framed by using international test scores, such as the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA). The obvious presumption is that observed differences in test scores within and across countries reflect differences in cognitive skills and general content knowledge, the things which achievement tests are designed to measure. We challenge this presumption, by studying how much of the within-country and between-country variation in PISA test scores is associated with student effort, rather than true academic content knowledge. Drawing heavily on recent literature, we posit that our measures of student effort are actually proxy measures of relevant non-cognitive skills related to conscientiousness. Completing surveys and tests takes effort and students may actually reveal something about their conscientiousness by the amount of effort they show during these tasks. Our previous work, and that of others validates this claim (e.g. Boe, May and Boruch, 2002; Borghans and Schils, 2012; Hitt, Trivitt and Cheng, 2016; Hitt, 2016; Zamarro et al., 2016). Using parametrizations of measures of survey and test effort we find that these measures help explain between 32 and 38 percent of the observed variation in test scores across countries, while explaining only a minor share of the observed variation within countries.
教育方面的政策辩论通常以国际考试成绩为框架,例如国际学生评估项目(PISA)。显而易见的假设是,观察到的国家内部和国家之间考试成绩的差异反映了认知技能和一般内容知识的差异,而成就测试的目的是衡量这些差异。我们通过研究国家内部和国家之间的PISA测试分数差异与学生努力有关的程度,而不是真正的学术内容知识,来挑战这一假设。根据最近的文献,我们假设我们对学生努力的测量实际上是与责任心相关的相关非认知技能的替代测量。完成调查和测试需要付出努力,学生们在完成这些任务时所付出的努力实际上可以揭示出他们的责任心。我们之前的工作,以及其他人的工作证实了这一说法(例如Boe, May和Boruch, 2002;Borghans and Schils, 2012;Hitt, Trivitt and Cheng, 2016;希特,2016;Zamarro et al., 2016)。使用调查和测试努力的参数化措施,我们发现这些措施有助于解释32%至38%的观察到的国家之间的考试成绩差异,而只能解释国家内部观察到的变化的一小部分。
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引用次数: 31
Assessing the Impact of Investment Shortfalls on Unfunded Pension Liabilities: The Allure of Neat, but Faulty Counterfactuals 评估投资不足对无基金养老金负债的影响:简洁但有缺陷的反事实的诱惑
Pub Date : 2015-11-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2685383
Robert M. Costrell
In this paper I provide a methodological critique of the conventional method for assessing the impact of investment shortfalls and other contributors to unfunded pension liabilities, and offer a methodologically sound replacement with substantive policy implications. The conventional method – simply summing the annual actuarial gain/loss figures over time – provides a neat, additive decomposition of the sources of the rise in the Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL). In doing so, however, it implicitly assumes that in the counterfactual exercise, amortization would adjust dollar-for-dollar with the interest on additional UAL. That is, even if the total (and average) shortfall from covering interest is substantial, the marginal shortfall is assumed to be zero. This is not how contribution shortfalls arise under funding formulas typically used by public plans in the United States. Using the actual funding formula in the counterfactual – with contribution shortfalls on the margin -- leads to much higher estimates of the UAL impact of investment shortfalls than the conventional method. The reason is that there are large interactions over time between investment shortfalls and marginal contribution shortfalls. The conventional counterfactual implicitly assumes away these interactions. The resulting additivity is alluring, but illusory. The conventional method also leads to untenable results on other UAL-drivers. Most striking is the implication that the cumulative UAL impact of pension obligation bonds (POB’s) is no different from the initial impact of receiving the proceeds, independent of the return (actual or assumed) on those proceeds. The underlying problem with the conventional framework is that it has emerged without careful attention to the counterfactual scenarios it is meant to address. This paper provides explicit and internally consistent counterfactuals to better understand the conventional method and its flaws, as well as the reasons for using instead the actual amortization formula in the counterfactual. Mathematical methods are used to illuminate the theoretical issues that lie behind any simulations. The analytical results are illustrated empirically with an adapted version of the actuarial history of the Connecticut State Teachers’ Retirement System (CSTRS), FY00-FY14. The example is instructive because it is a highly underfunded system, notable for its high (and unreduced) assumed rate of return (8.5 percent), as well as its use of $2 billion in POB proceeds to reduce the UAL in FY08, just before the market crash.
在本文中,我对评估投资不足和其他贡献者对无资金准备的养老金负债的影响的传统方法进行了方法上的批评,并提供了一种方法上合理的替代方法,具有实质性的政策含义。传统的方法——简单地将每年的精算损益数字随时间累加起来——提供了一种简洁的、累加式的未准备应计负债(UAL)上升来源的分解。然而,在这样做时,它隐含地假设在反事实的练习中,摊销将与额外UAL的利息按美元进行调整。也就是说,即使覆盖利息的总缺口(和平均缺口)很大,边际缺口也被假定为零。在美国公共计划通常使用的筹资公式下,缴款不足不是这样产生的。在反事实中使用实际资金公式——在边际上有贡献不足——会导致对投资不足的UAL影响的估计比传统方法高得多。原因在于,随着时间的推移,投资不足和边际贡献不足之间存在很大的相互作用。传统的反事实隐含地假设了这些相互作用。由此产生的加法是诱人的,但虚幻的。传统方法在其他ual驱动程序上也会导致站不住脚的结果。最引人注目的是,养老金义务债券(POB’s)的累积影响与收到收益的初始影响没有什么不同,与这些收益的回报(实际或假设)无关。传统框架的根本问题是,它出现时没有仔细考虑它所要解决的反事实情景。本文提供了明确的和内部一致的反事实,以便更好地理解传统方法及其缺陷,以及在反事实中使用实际摊销公式代替的原因。数学方法被用来阐明任何模拟背后的理论问题。分析结果用康涅狄格州教师退休制度(CSTRS) FY00-FY14精算历史的改编版本进行实证说明。这个例子很有启发意义,因为它是一个资金严重不足的系统,以其高(且未降低)的假设回报率(8.5%)而闻名,以及在2008财年(就在市场崩溃之前)使用20亿美元的POB收益来减少UAL。
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引用次数: 3
When You Say Nothing at All: The Predictive Power of Student Effort on Surveys 当你什么都不说:学生在调查中努力的预测能力
Pub Date : 2015-10-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2684096
Collin Hitt, Julie R. Trivitt, Albert Cheng
Character traits and noncognitive skills are important for human capital development and long-run life outcomes. Research in economics and psychology now shows this convincingly. But research into the exact determinants of noncognitive skills has been slowed by a common data limitation: most large-scale datasets do not contain adequate measures of noncognitive skills. This is particularly problematic in education policy evaluation. We demonstrate that within any survey dataset, there is important latent information that can be used as a proxy measure of noncognitive skills. Specifically, we examine the amount of conscientious effort that students exhibit on surveys, as measured by their item response rates. We use six nationally-representative, longitudinal surveys of American youth. We find that the percentage of questions skipped during the baseline year when respondents were adolescents is a significant predictor of later-life educational attainment, net of cognitive ability. Insofar as item response rates affect employment and income, they do so through their effect on educational attainment. The pattern of findings gives compelling reasons to view item response rates as a promising behavioral measure of noncognitive skills for use in future research. We posit that response rates are a measure of conscientiousness, though additional research is required to determine what exact noncognitive skills are being captured by item response rates.
性格特征和非认知技能对人力资本发展和长期生活结果很重要。经济学和心理学的研究现在令人信服地证明了这一点。但是,对非认知技能的确切决定因素的研究一直受到一个普遍的数据限制:大多数大规模数据集没有包含对非认知技能的充分衡量。这在教育政策评价中尤其成问题。我们证明,在任何调查数据集中,都有重要的潜在信息可以用作非认知技能的代理测量。具体来说,我们考察了学生在调查中表现出的认真努力的程度,通过他们的项目回复率来衡量。我们使用了六个具有全国代表性的美国青年纵向调查。我们发现,当受访者是青少年时,在基准年跳过的问题百分比是晚年受教育程度的重要预测指标,净认知能力。就项目回答率对就业和收入的影响而言,它们是通过对受教育程度的影响来实现的。研究结果的模式提供了令人信服的理由,将项目反应率视为未来研究中使用的非认知技能的有希望的行为测量。我们假设反应率是一种责任感的衡量标准,尽管还需要进一步的研究来确定项目反应率究竟反映了哪些非认知技能。
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引用次数: 79
Discipline Disproportionalities in Schools: The Relationship between Student Characteristics and School Disciplinary Outcomes 学校纪律失衡:学生特征与学校纪律结果的关系
Pub Date : 2015-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2693141
Kaitlin P. Anderson, Gary W. Ritter
According to a 2014 report from the US Department of Education’s Office for Civil Rights, black students represent only 15% of students across the nation, but 35% of students suspended once are black, 44% of students suspended more than once are black, and 36% of expelled students are black. These disparate disciplinary aggregate outcomes, while troubling, do not provide as much information as policymakers need. In this study, we exploit three years of student-level discipline data from Arkansas to assess the extent to which black students or other minority students were more likely to receive certain types of punishments, even for the same infraction. In previous studies utilizing the same dataset, we find that, consistent with the recent reports on this topic, black students were punished more frequently; furthermore, we find that black students received slightly longer punishments than their white peers in the same school. The current study utilizes multinomial logit to assess the extent to which student demographics predict consequence type, even after controlling for infraction-level information and district characteristics. Black students, males, and low-income students (eligible for free- and reduced- lunch) were more likely to receive certain types of exclusionary consequences such as out-of-school suspension, expulsion, and referrals to Alternative Learning Environments relative to in-school-suspension.
根据美国教育部民权办公室2014年的一份报告,黑人学生只占全国学生的15%,但被停学一次的学生中有35%是黑人,被停学多次的学生中有44%是黑人,被开除的学生中有36%是黑人。这些不同学科的综合结果虽然令人不安,但并没有提供决策者所需的那么多信息。在这项研究中,我们利用阿肯色州三年的学生纪律数据来评估黑人学生或其他少数民族学生更有可能受到某些类型的惩罚的程度,即使是同样的违规行为。在先前使用相同数据集的研究中,我们发现,与最近关于这一主题的报告一致,黑人学生受到的惩罚更频繁;此外,我们发现在同一所学校,黑人学生受到的惩罚比白人学生稍长。目前的研究利用多项逻辑来评估学生人口统计预测后果类型的程度,即使在控制了违规级别信息和地区特征之后。黑人学生、男性和低收入家庭学生(有资格享受免费和减少的午餐)更有可能受到某些类型的排他性后果,如校外停学、开除和转到替代学习环境,而不是在校停学。
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引用次数: 5
Effects of Dual-Language Immersion on Students’ Academic Performance 双语沉浸对学生学习成绩的影响
Pub Date : 2015-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2693337
J. Steele, Robert Slater, Gema Zamarro, Trey Miller, Jennifer Li, Susan Burkhauser, M. Bacon
Using data from seven cohorts of language immersion lottery applicants in a large, urban school district, we estimate the causal effects of immersion on students’ test scores in reading, mathematics, and science, and on English learners’ (EL) reclassification. We estimate positive intent-to-treat (ITT) effects on reading performance in fifth and eighth grades, ranging from 13 to 22 percent of a standard deviation, reflecting 7 to 9 months of learning. We find little benefit in terms of mathematics and science performance, but also no detriment. By sixth and seventh grade, lottery winners’ probabilities of remaining classified as EL are three to four percentage points lower than those of their counterparts. This effect is stronger for ELs whose native language matches the partner language.
使用来自一个大型城市学区的七组语言浸入式抽签申请人的数据,我们估计了浸入式对学生阅读、数学和科学考试成绩以及英语学习者(EL)重新分类的因果影响。我们估计了积极的意向治疗(ITT)对五年级和八年级学生阅读表现的影响,范围从标准偏差的13%到22%,反映了7到9个月的学习。我们发现在数学和科学表现方面几乎没有好处,但也没有损害。到了六年级和七年级,彩票中奖者被分类为EL的概率比其他学生低三到四个百分点。对于母语与伙伴语言匹配的el来说,这种效果更强。
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引用次数: 8
Falling Below the Line: Minimum Subgroup Size and Special Education Enrollment 低于标准:最小分组规模和特殊教育入学率
Pub Date : 2015-08-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2667047
Sivan Tuchman
The No Child Left Behind Act of 2001 (NCLB) brought high-stakes accountability testing into every American public school with the goal of 100 percent proficiency for all students. Making annual yearly progress (AYP) toward this proficiency goal for the total student population as well as at-risk subgroups was required in order for schools to avoid possible sanctions, such as school restructuring. In implementing NCLB, states had flexibility to determine the minimum size of these subgroups as to provide statistical reliability and accountability for as many schools as possible. If a school did not meet the state’s minimum subgroup size, the proficiency of the students in the group were not calculated as part of AYP. The subjectivity of identification along with the lack of reliability in test score results makes manipulating the subgroup of students with disabilities possible and advantageous to schools. Using data from over 1,000 Arkansas schools for the years 2004-05 to 2013-14, school-level fixed effects analyses show that falling below the minimum subgroup cutoff of 40 is associated with a 1.5 percentage point decrease in students with disabilities at the school. For every student a school is above the cutoff, there is an increase of 0.09 percentage points in special education enrollment. Possible implications are discussed.
2001年的《不让一个孩子掉队法案》(NCLB)将高风险的问责考试引入了美国的每一所公立学校,目标是让所有学生100%熟练掌握考试。为了使学校避免可能的制裁,例如学校重组,需要为所有学生以及有风险的亚群体制定年度进展(AYP)来实现这一熟练程度目标。在实施NCLB时,各州可以灵活地确定这些小组的最小规模,以便为尽可能多的学校提供统计可靠性和问责制。如果一所学校没有达到该州的最小子组规模,则该组学生的熟练程度不被计算为AYP的一部分。由于鉴定的主观性以及考试成绩结果的不可靠,使得对残疾学生群体的操纵成为可能,并对学校有利。利用2004-05至2013-14年间阿肯色州1000多所学校的数据,学校层面的固定效应分析表明,低于40这个最低亚组分界点,学校的残疾学生数量会下降1.5个百分点。每有一所学校高于分数线,特殊教育招生人数就会增加0.09个百分点。讨论了可能的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Non-Cognitive Abilities and Spanish Regional Differences in Student Performance in PISA 2009 非认知能力和西班牙学生在PISA 2009中表现的地区差异
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2652322
Ildefonso Méndez, Gema Zamarro, J. G. Clavel, Collin Hitt
The goal of this paper is to analyze the role that non-cognitive skills and, in particular, regional differences in those skills, play on the observed differences in 15-year-old student’s academic performance, across Spanish regions, on PISA 2009. Previous research has shown the relevance of differences in student’s personal, family and school characteristics in accounting for academic differences across Spanish regions but it has also found that a sizeable part of the observed differences remained unexplained. We have found that differences in the distribution of certain non-cognitive skills associated to academic performance like focus, perseverance and resilience play a prominent role in accounting for differences in student performance in PISA 2009. We observe these skills by developing new measures of student effort on standardized tests. In particular, our estimates suggest that a standard deviation reduction in the dispersion of non-cognitive skills across Spanish regions would lead to a 25% reduction in the magnitude of the observed differences in student performance across regions. This is a relevant effect as, for example, a one standard deviation reduction in the regional dispersion of parent’s educational levels or occupational status would only lead to at most a 2% reduction in the magnitude of observed differences in performance on PISA across Spanish regions. Put plainly, a substantial portion of the regional variation in test scores appears attributable to effort on the PISA test, and not necessarily just differences in actual knowledge.
本文的目的是分析非认知技能,特别是这些技能的地区差异,对西班牙各地区15岁学生在2009年国际学生评估项目中所观察到的学习成绩差异所起的作用。先前的研究表明,学生的个人、家庭和学校特征的差异与西班牙各地区的学术差异有关,但研究也发现,观察到的差异中有相当大一部分仍无法解释。我们发现,与学习成绩相关的某些非认知技能的分布差异,如专注力、毅力和适应力,在解释2009年PISA学生表现的差异方面发挥了重要作用。我们通过制定学生在标准化考试中努力的新措施来观察这些技能。特别是,我们的估计表明,西班牙各地区非认知技能分散的标准差减少将导致各地区学生表现差异的幅度减少25%。这是一个相关的影响,例如,父母的教育水平或职业地位的区域分散减少一个标准差,最多只会导致西班牙地区在PISA上观察到的差异幅度减少2%。坦率地说,考试成绩的地区差异很大一部分似乎归因于学生在PISA测试中的努力,而不一定只是实际知识的差异。
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引用次数: 6
How Can We Accurately Measure Whether Students are Gaining Relevant Outcomes in Higher Education? 我们如何准确地衡量学生在高等教育中是否获得了相关的成果?
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2652376
Tatiana Melguizo, Gema Zamarro, Tatiana Velasco, Fábio Sanchez
The main objective of this study is to empirically test a number of theory-based models (i.e. fixed effects (FE), random effects (RE), and aggregated residuals (AR)) to measure both, the generic knowledge as well as the degree attainment rates and early labor outcomes, gained by students in different programs and institutions in higher education. There are four main findings: First, the results of the paper confirm the need of using models that address the issue of student selection into programs and institutions in order to avoid biased estimates. Second, our findings provide suggestive evidence in favor of using FE models. Third, the results also illustrate the need to use appropriate statistical corrections (e.g., Heckman type selection models) to also address the issue related to students dropping out of college. Finally, our findings confirm our hypotheses that rankings of specific college-program combinations change depending on different educational and labor outcome measures considered. This finding emphasizes the need to use complementary indicators related to the mission of the specific post-secondary institutions that are being ranked. The results of this paper illustrate the importance of validating empirical models intended to rank college-program contributions according to a number of educational and early labor market outcomes. Finally, given the sensitivity of the models to different model specifications, it is not clear that they should be used to make any high-stakes decisions in higher education. They could, however, serve as part of a broader set of indicators to support programs and colleges as part of a formative evaluation.
本研究的主要目的是实证检验一些基于理论的模型(即固定效应(FE),随机效应(RE)和汇总残差(AR)),以衡量不同专业和机构的高等教育学生获得的一般知识,学位获得率和早期劳动成果。有四个主要发现:首先,论文的结果证实了需要使用模型来解决学生进入项目和机构的选择问题,以避免有偏见的估计。其次,我们的发现为支持使用有限元模型提供了启发性证据。第三,结果还说明需要使用适当的统计修正(例如,Heckman类型选择模型)来解决与学生辍学相关的问题。最后,我们的研究结果证实了我们的假设,即特定大学课程组合的排名会根据所考虑的不同教育和劳动结果指标而变化。这一发现强调需要使用与正在排名的特定高等教育机构的使命相关的补充性指标。本文的结果说明了验证经验模型的重要性,这些模型旨在根据一些教育和早期劳动力市场的结果对大学课程的贡献进行排名。最后,考虑到模型对不同模型规范的敏感性,尚不清楚它们是否应该用于高等教育中的任何高风险决策。然而,它们可以作为一套更广泛的指标的一部分,作为形成性评估的一部分,以支持项目和大学。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
University of Arkansas Department of Education Reform Research Paper Series
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