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COMMENT: ON CLOSING OF ENGLISH JOURNAL OF JSCS AND THE BIRTH OF NEW JOURNAL JJSD 评《JSCS》英文期刊停刊与新期刊《JJSD》的诞生
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1802001_245
Y. Tanaka
As announced by the current editors Wataru Sakamoto and Hiroshi Yadohisa, the English journal of JSCS “Journal of the Japanese Society of Computational Statistics” (JJSCS) closes at this issue (Volume 30, Number 2), and is going to join a new journal “Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science” (JJSD) that will start in 2018 as an official journal of the Japanese Federation of Statistical Science Associations (JFSSA). All of six member societies will jointly contribute to the publication of JJSD. JSCS was established in 1986. I played the role of chief editor of JJSCS since then until 1990, and was responsible for the publication of volumes 1 to 3. The major purpose of establishing JSCS was to make a progress in computational statistics in Japan by providing a forum for people working in various aspects of computational statistics, e.g., statisticians engaged in the research and application of statistical theory and methods, computer scientists/engineers engaged in the development of statistical software, and statisticians/data analysts engaged in the analysis of data obtained with surveys, experiments or other means, and provide them opportunities for exchanging information and ideas and, if possible, for finding seeds for joint works among them. For producing better products as well as for getting more valuable outcomes using the products, it is vital to know what the counterpart really wishes between the producers and the users (or consumers) of everything including statistical methods and software. In those days our major interest was in the R & D of statistical program packages (SPP) as described in President Address (JSCS Japanese journal, Volume 1, Number 1) by the first president Chooichiro Asano. I myself was interested in R & D of SPP on personal computers with my colleagues, that is useful both for the data analysis and for the research work of statistical methods. There are three remarkable traditions in JSCS. I like these traditions and think that they have contributed very much to the achievement of the purpose of establishment mentioned above. One is social gathering at the time of scientific meeting. Every time it is organized in such a way that participants can talk freely in a comfortable atmosphere for exchanging information and ideas. The second one is the tradition that president of JSCS is elected alternately from academic and non-academic communities so that both sides will be satisfied equally in a long period. The third one is that it is very positive in international activities, for example, Japan and Korea Conferences, Japan and China Symposia, and also organizing international meetings such as 25 JSCS Symposium in Busan in 2011, two international scientific meetings for 30 Anniversary in Okinawa and Seattle in 2015 and 2016. Since around a decade ago the environment of statistics has been changing due to advances in the computer and information technology, and accordingly it has strong effect on statistical scienc
正如现任编辑Wataru Sakamoto和Hiroshi Yadohisa所宣布的那样,JSCS的英文期刊《journal of the Japanese Society of Computational Statistics》(JJSCS)将于本期(第30卷第2期)结束,并将加入新期刊《japan journal of Statistics and Data Science》(JJSD),该期刊将于2018年开始作为日本统计科学协会联合会(JFSSA)的官方期刊。所有六个成员协会将共同为JJSD的出版做出贡献。JSCS成立于1986年。从那时起至1990年,我一直担任JJSCS的主编,负责第1卷至第3卷的出版工作。建立JSCS的主要目的是为从事计算统计各方面工作的人员提供一个论坛,例如从事统计理论和方法的研究和应用的统计学家、从事统计软件开发的计算机科学家/工程师、从事分析通过调查、实验或其他手段获得的数据的统计学家/数据分析师,从而在日本的计算统计方面取得进展。为他们提供交流信息和想法的机会,如果可能的话,为他们之间的合作寻找种子。为了生产更好的产品以及使用产品获得更有价值的结果,了解生产者和用户(或消费者)之间的真正愿望是至关重要的,包括统计方法和软件。当时,我们的主要兴趣是开发第一任社长浅野光一郎在《社长演说》(JSCS日文杂志第1卷第1期)中所描述的统计程序包(SPP)。我本人和同事对个人电脑上的SPP的研发很感兴趣,这对数据分析和统计方法的研究工作都很有用。JSCS有三个显著的传统。我喜欢这些传统,并认为它们对实现上述建立的目的做出了很大贡献。一是科学会议期间的社交聚会。每次会议的组织方式都是这样的,参与者可以在一个舒适的氛围中自由交谈,交换信息和想法。二是JSCS的主席由学术界和非学术界交替选举产生的传统,使双方在长期内都能感到满意。第三,在国际活动中非常积极,例如,日本和韩国会议,日本和中国研讨会,以及2011年在釜山举办的25 JSCS研讨会,2015年和2016年在冲绳和西雅图举办的30周年国际科学会议。大约十年前以来,由于计算机和信息技术的进步,统计环境发生了变化,因此它对统计科学特别是计算统计产生了强烈的影响。让我们简要回顾一下所发生的事情。
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引用次数: 0
ENHANCING POWER OF SCORE TESTS FOR REGRESSION MODELS VIA FISHER TRANSFORMATION 利用fisher变换增强回归模型的分数检验能力
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1702001_234
Masao Ueki
A simple method is presented to enhance statistical power of score tests for regression models via Fisher transformation (or Fisher’s z-transformation) by exploiting a relationship with the partial correlation coefficient. Simulation studies mimicking marginal association and gene-environment interaction analyses for genome-wide association studies (GWASs) under case-control design demonstrate that the Fisher transformation enhances power of the score tests while maintaining type I error asymptotically. The smaller the sample size is, the more the enhancement is pronounced, at the expense of inflated type I error due to invalidating asymptotic approximation. Accordingly, the proposed method may be applied when sample size is enough for valid asymptotic approximation. An illustration with real GWAS data is also presented. 1. Fisher-transformation of score tests for regression models Suppose that n response variables y = (y1, . . . , yn) T and an n × p design matrix X = (x1, . . . ,xn) T are observed, where xi is a p-dimensional column vector of explanatory variables for subject i ∈ {1, . . . , n}. Let f(yi | xi) denote the probability distribution of yi conditional on xi for each i. Here, the probability density function of a continuous random variable or the probability mass function of a discrete random variable is referred to as a probability distribution (Dobson, 2002). Assume that a transformed conditional expectation of yi through some differentiable monotone function (i.e. the link function) is written as xi β, in which β is a vector of corresponding p regression coefficients. Then, denote the loglikelihood by l(xi β) = log f(yi | xi) for the ith sample. Throughout, it is assumed that each yi is independently distributed given xi. The above regression framework includes the generalized linear models (McCullagh and Nelder, 1989; Dobson, 2002) and regression with heavy-tailed error distribution (Lange and Sinsheimer, 1993). Suppose thatX is partitioned into two parts as (X1,X2), where X1 is a collection of q (q < p) explanatory variables to be tested for association with y and X2 is a set of p − q covariates to be adjusted for. Correspondingly, let β = (β1 ,β T 2 ) T and xi = (x T 1,i,x T 2,i) T . In this article, X is assumed to be of full column rank. 1.1. Fisher-transformed score test: single parameter case This subsection considers the case of q = 1, and hence the corresponding regression coefficient is written as β1 with a non-bold letter. In genome-wide association study (GWAS) ∗Biostatistics Center, Kurume University, 67 Asahi-machi, Kurume, Fukuoka 830-0011, Japan. Present affiliation is Statistical Genetics Team, RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project, 1-4-1 Nihonbashi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 103-0027, Japan E-mail: uekimrsd@nifty.com
本文提出了一种简单的方法,利用Fisher变换(或Fisher的z变换)与偏相关系数的关系来提高回归模型得分检验的统计能力。在病例对照设计下,模拟全基因组关联研究(GWASs)的边际关联和基因-环境相互作用分析的模拟研究表明,Fisher变换增强了分数检验的有效性,同时保持了I型误差的渐近性。样本量越小,增强越明显,代价是由于渐近近似无效而导致的I型误差膨胀。因此,所提出的方法可以应用于样本量足够的有效渐近逼近。并给出了用实际GWAS数据进行的说明。1. 假设n个响应变量y = (y1,…), n) T和n × p设计矩阵X = (x1,…),xn) T,其中xi是主题i∈{1,…的解释变量的p维列向量。n}。设f(yi | xi)表示每个i在xi条件下yi的概率分布。这里,连续随机变量的概率密度函数或离散随机变量的概率质量函数被称为概率分布(Dobson, 2002)。假设yi通过某个可微单调函数(即链接函数)变换后的条件期望写成xi β,其中β是对应p个回归系数的向量。然后,用l(xi β) = log f(yi | xi)表示第i个样本的对数似然。自始至终,假设给定xi,每个yi都是独立分布的。上述回归框架包括广义线性模型(McCullagh and Nelder, 1989;Dobson, 2002)和重尾误差分布回归(Lange and Sinsheimer, 1993)。设x分为(X1,X2)两部分,其中X1为q (q < p)个有待检验与y关联的解释变量集合,X2为p−q个有待调整的协变量集合。相应地,设β = (β1,β t2) T, xi = (x t1,i,x t2,i) T。在本文中,假设X具有全列秩。1.1. 本节考虑q = 1的情况,因此对应的回归系数用非黑体字母表示为β1。全基因组关联研究(GWAS) *生物统计中心,日本福冈830-0011。目前隶属于RIKEN高级智能项目中心统计遗传学小组,日本东京103-0027中央区日本桥1-4-1。E-mail: uekimrsd@nifty.com
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引用次数: 1
THE PERFORMANCE OF RANDOMIZATION METHODS IN CONSIDERATION OF PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR SMALL-SIZE CLINICAL TRIALS: A SIMULATION STUDY 小型临床试验中考虑预后因素的随机化方法的表现:一项模拟研究
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1707001_236
Kanae Takahashi, Kouji Yamamoto
The performance of randomization methods in consideration of the impact of a prognostic factor that has an interaction and baseline characteristics that have no effect on the outcome has not been clarified, especially for small sized clinical trials. We conducted numerical simulations to identify the difference in behaviour of the empirical power and the empirical type 1 error rate among some randomization methods and statistical analyses when we use a prognostic factor that has an interaction or baseline characteristics that have no effect on the outcome for small sized randomized controlled trials. The empirical power was higher when using a prognostic factor that had an interaction. Also, by using stratified blocked randomization (ST) or minimization (MI) with the multiple regression, the empirical power was further increased. On the other hand, the empirical power was lower when using baseline characteristics that had no effect on the outcome. We recommend conducting ST or MI, multiple regression and using a prognostic factor that has an interaction in small-size randomized controlled trials.
在考虑具有相互作用的预后因素的影响和对结果没有影响的基线特征时,随机化方法的性能尚未明确,特别是对于小型临床试验。我们进行了数值模拟,以确定在一些随机化方法和统计分析中,当我们使用对小型随机对照试验结果没有影响的相互作用或基线特征的预后因素时,经验功率和经验1型错误率的行为差异。当使用具有交互作用的预测因子时,经验功率更高。此外,通过分层阻塞随机化(ST)或最小化(MI)与多元回归,进一步提高了经验功率。另一方面,当使用对结果没有影响的基线特征时,经验功率较低。我们建议在小型随机对照试验中进行ST或MI、多元回归和使用相互作用的预后因素。
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引用次数: 0
ANNOUNCEMENT: ON PUBLICATION OF THE JAPANESE JOURNAL OF STATISTICS AND DATA SCIENCE 公告:关于日本统计与数据科学杂志的出版
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1802002_246
Wataru Sakamoto, Hiroshi Yadohisa
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引用次数: 0
INDOOR LOCATION ESTIMATION BASED ON TOA DATA AND BIAS ESTIMATION USING GAMMA REGRESSION 基于toa数据的室内位置估计和使用伽玛回归的偏差估计
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1605001_231
Atsushi Yoshida, T. Sakumura, T. Kamakura
We aim at improving the accuracy of indoor position estimation through a statistical approach. In this study, we propose a position estimation method based on Time-of-Arrival (ToA). ToA data are often useful. However, ToA data include a positive bias due to the reflection of radio waves. Therefore, it is difficult to estimate the TAG position from ToA data directly without an accurate bias correction. In this paper, we propose a maximum likelihood estimation method for the TAG position using gamma regression and a rotated distribution, and we show that the estimation with bias correction is more accurate than the estimation without bias correction. In addition, we show that our method also provides a confidence region for the TAG position.
我们的目的是通过统计方法提高室内位置估计的精度。在本研究中,我们提出一种基于到达时间(Time-of-Arrival, ToA)的位置估计方法。ToA数据通常是有用的。然而,由于无线电波的反射,ToA数据包含一个正偏差。因此,如果没有精确的偏差校正,很难直接从ToA数据估计TAG的位置。在本文中,我们提出了一种利用伽玛回归和旋转分布对TAG位置进行极大似然估计的方法,并证明了有偏差校正的估计比没有偏差校正的估计更准确。此外,我们还证明了我们的方法还为TAG位置提供了一个置信区域。
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引用次数: 0
EDITORIAL: SPECIAL FEATURE ON THE 30TH ANNIVERSARY OF JSCS 社论:JSCS成立30周年特刊
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1709000_239
M. Tomita
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引用次数: 0
DISTRIBUTION OF THE LARGEST EIGENVALUE OF AN ELLIPTICAL WISHART MATRIX AND ITS SIMULATION 椭圆wishart矩阵最大特征值的分布及其仿真
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1708001_244
A. Shinozaki, Hiroki Hashiguchi, Toshiya Iwashita
This paper provides an alternative proof of the derivation of the distribution of the largest eigenvalue of an elliptical Wishart matrix in contrast to the result of CaroLopera et al. (2016). We show the relation between multivariate and matrix-variate t distributions. From this relation, we can generate random numbers drawn from the matrix-variate t distribution. A Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to evaluate the accuracy for the truncated distribution function of the largest eigenvalue of the elliptical Wishart matrix. Exact computation of the distribution of the smallest eigenvalue is also presented.
与CaroLopera等人(2016)的结果相比,本文提供了椭圆Wishart矩阵最大特征值分布的推导的另一种证明。我们展示了多元和矩阵变量t分布之间的关系。从这个关系中,我们可以从矩阵变量t分布中生成随机数。通过蒙特卡罗仿真,对椭圆型Wishart矩阵最大特征值截断分布函数的精度进行了评价。给出了最小特征值分布的精确计算。
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引用次数: 3
ASYMMETRY MODELS BASED ON LOGIT TRANSFORMATIONS FOR SQUARE CONTINGENCY TABLES WITH ORDINAL CATEGORIES 基于logit变换的序类方形列联表不对称模型
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1706002_235
Kengo Fujisawa, Kouji Tahata
Many observations tend to concentrate in the main diagonal cells when analyzing square contingency tables with ordered categories. Although many statisticians have proposed a variety of symmetry and asymmetry models, constraints on the main diagonal cells are not considered. This implies that the observed frequencies on the main diagonal cells are not utilized. Herein we propose three models that indicate an asymmetric structure for the log odds ratio for cell probabilities. These models constrain the main diagonal cells such that the information in the main diagonal cells can be utilized. Then we decompose the symmetry model using the proposed models.
在分析具有有序类别的方形列联表时,许多观察结果倾向于集中在主对角线单元格中。尽管许多统计学家提出了各种对称和不对称模型,但没有考虑对主对角线单元的约束。这意味着主对角线单元上观察到的频率没有被利用。在这里,我们提出了三个模型,表明一个不对称结构的对数比值比的细胞概率。这些模型约束主对角线单元格,以便可以利用主对角线单元格中的信息。然后利用所提出的模型对对称模型进行分解。
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引用次数: 0
INFERENCE FOR THE EXTENT PARAMETER OF DAMAGE BY TSUNAMI WITH POINCARE CONES 用庞加莱锥推断海啸破坏程度参数
Pub Date : 2018-04-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1605003_232
T. Nagai, T. Kamakura
The cone-convex hull by complement (ccc-hull) is a generalized convex hull created from Poincar´e Cones . We propose a new approach with the ccc-hull for the simulation of the extent of damage by a tsunami, and simulate the damaged area at the time of the Great East Japan Earthquake for approximate damage by samples from a two-dimensional Non-homogeneous Poisson Process. Then, we consider the problem of the estimation of the parameter ρ , which corresponds to the opening angle of the Poincar´e Cones. We believe our suggestion can be used to predict the extent of a tsunami in a specified area in Japan.
补锥凸壳(cc -hull)是由庞加莱锥构造的一种广义凸壳。本文提出了一种用cc-船体模拟海啸破坏程度的新方法,并利用二维非均匀泊松过程的样本模拟了东日本大地震时的破坏区域。然后,我们考虑了参数ρ的估计问题,ρ对应于庞加莱锥的开口角。我们相信我们的建议可以用来预测海啸在日本特定地区的程度。
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引用次数: 0
A SURVIVAL ANALYSIS INCORPORATING AUXILIARY INFORMATION BY A BAYESIAN GENERALIZED METHOD OF MOMENTS: APPLICATION TO PURCHASE DURATION MODELING 基于贝叶斯广义矩量法的包含辅助信息的生存分析:在购买持续时间模型中的应用
Pub Date : 2017-12-20 DOI: 10.5183/JJSCS.1705001_242
R. Igari, T. Hoshino
In this study, we propose a new estimation procedure for incomplete survival data caused by nonignorable nonresponses or missing censoring indicators. It is widely known that if there is any nonignorable missingness or censoring indicators cannot be fully observed, the results from survival analysis such as the Kaplan-Meier estimator or the Cox proportional hazard model may be biased. However, it sometimes occurs that nonignorable missingness cannot be specified and that the censoring indicators are never or partially observed. We propose a Bayesian generalized method of moments (GMM) approach that utilizes population-level information to identify true survival time and estimates parameters. We apply the proposed model to analyze purchase duration in marketing using purchase history data.
在这项研究中,我们提出了一种新的估计程序,用于不可忽略的无反应或缺失审查指标导致的不完整生存数据。众所周知,如果存在不可忽略的缺失或不能完全观察到的审查指标,Kaplan-Meier估计或Cox比例风险模型等生存分析的结果可能存在偏差。然而,有时发生的情况是无法说明不可忽视的缺失,审查指标从未或部分得到遵守。我们提出了一种贝叶斯广义矩量法(GMM)方法,该方法利用种群水平信息来识别真实生存时间并估计参数。我们将提出的模型应用于利用购买历史数据分析市场营销中的购买持续时间。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Journal of the Japanese Society of Computational Statistics
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