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'Come Monday, It'll be All Right': Buffett, the U.S. Financial Crisis and the Need for a Reliable, Private Liquidity Consortium “周一来吧,一切都会好起来的”:巴菲特、美国金融危机以及需要一个可靠的私人流动性联盟
Pub Date : 2012-04-28 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1669525
Richard C. Strasser
During the 2007-2008 Financial Crisis, several large U.S. financial institutions either faced insolvency or became insolvent as investors lost confidence in the financial system and traditional funding sources evaporated. Self-preservation efforts led many banks, broker-dealers, and other financial firms to seek (often unsuccessfully) funding from private equity firms, competitors, and sovereign-wealth funds. Warren Buffett received several such funding requests because he had ready access to large amounts of capital and because financing from a trusted and savvy investor such as Buffett carried an imprimatur that the investment was likely to be sound. But not even Mr. Buffett had sufficient resources to single-handedly recapitalize the many struggling U.S. financial firms. Nevertheless, other avenues for private funding seemed haphazard and potentially hazardous for many U.S. financial firms as they struggled to survive in a dangerous world that they helped to create but that now seemed destined to destroy them. In the absence of trusted and reliable sources of private funding, struggling firms were forced either to submit to an uncertain and unwieldy bankruptcy process or to risk being subjected to an ad hoc government-facilitated take-over, the terms for which seemed opaque and subject to change at a moment’s notice. Transactions where public funding was used were sure to provoke public outrage and a painful berating by Congress. The public outcry over such taxpayer-funded rescues and the absence of more politically palatable alternatives led Congress to include provisions in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (“Dodd-Frank Act”) that provide a framework for a government liquidation of a struggling financial firm that is not federally insured and that poses a significant risk to the financial stability of the United States. Although the Dodd-Frank Act and the rules of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation promulgated under that Act codify and clarify the government’s authority to take over a struggling non-bank financial firm, they may not make that alternative much more politically palatable than the ad hoc approaches used during the Financial Crisis. Moreover, certain provisions of the Dodd-Frank Act designed to reduce moral hazard and promote the continued operation of struggling firms may make the Dodd-Frank Liquidation Framework particularly troubling for management, shareholders and would-be creditors of firms to which such provisions might apply. Nevertheless, the absence of a formalized process to facilitate the private recapitalization or orderly liquidation of a systemically important struggling financial firm could leave such firm with little other alternative. Therefore, it is important to consider other options to the Dodd-Frank Act Orderly Liquidation Framework that could minimize government involvement in a winddown of a troubled non-bank financial firm while offering incentives for private investor
在2007-2008年金融危机期间,由于投资者对金融体系失去信心,传统资金来源枯竭,美国几家大型金融机构要么面临破产,要么已经破产。自我保护的努力导致许多银行、经纪自营商和其他金融公司向私募股权公司、竞争对手和主权财富基金寻求融资(通常不成功)。沃伦•巴菲特(Warren Buffett)收到过几次这样的融资请求,因为他随时可以获得大量资金,而且从巴菲特这样一位值得信赖、精明的投资者那里融资,意味着投资可能是稳健的。但即便是巴菲特也没有足够的资源,以一己之力对众多陷入困境的美国金融公司进行资本重组。然而,对于许多美国金融公司来说,其他私人融资渠道似乎杂乱无章,而且存在潜在风险,因为它们在一个自己帮助创造的危险世界中挣扎求生,但现在这个世界似乎注定要毁灭它们。在缺乏可信可靠的私人资金来源的情况下,苦苦挣扎的公司要么被迫接受不确定且难以处理的破产程序,要么冒着被政府临时接管的风险,后者的条款似乎不透明,随时可能改变。使用公共资金的交易肯定会激起公众的愤怒,并受到国会的痛苦斥责。公众对这种纳税人出资的救助计划的强烈抗议,以及缺乏政治上更令人满意的替代方案,导致国会在《多德-弗兰克华尔街改革和消费者保护法案》(“多德-弗兰克法案”)中加入了一些条款,这些条款为政府清算那些没有联邦保险、对美国金融稳定构成重大风险的陷入困境的金融公司提供了一个框架。尽管《多德-弗兰克法案》(Dodd-Frank Act)和根据该法案颁布的联邦存款保险公司(Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation)规定,明确了政府接管陷入困境的非银行金融公司的权力,但与金融危机期间使用的临时方法相比,这种替代方法在政治上可能不会更受欢迎。此外,《多德-弗兰克法案》中旨在减少道德风险和促进陷入困境的公司继续经营的某些条款,可能会使《多德-弗兰克清算框架》对可能适用这些条款的公司的管理层、股东和潜在债权人尤其麻烦。然而,缺乏一个正式的过程来促进私人资本重组或对一个具有系统重要性的挣扎中的金融公司进行有序清算,可能会使这些公司几乎没有其他选择。因此,重要的是要考虑多德-弗兰克法案有序清算框架的其他选择,这些选择可以最大限度地减少政府对陷入困境的非银行金融公司的介入,同时为愿意冒险投资以促进有效资本重组的私人投资者提供激励。本文分析了某些美国金融机构在金融危机期间寻求获得紧急资金时面临的困难,并探讨了2007-2008年金融危机与十年前对冲基金长期资本管理公司(Long-Term Capital Management)的衰落和救助之间的异同。本文还分析了多德-弗兰克法案授权政府清算非银行金融公司的条款,以及联邦存款保险公司颁布和提出的实施这些条款的规则。它认为,《多德-弗兰克有序清算》框架的某些条款可能会使它对那些最有可能受该框架约束的公司不起作用。这篇文章断言,通过有利的监管待遇、税收激励或其他方式,促进流动性提供者私人财团的形成可能会有好处,其中可能包括银行、经纪交易商、大型机构投资者和私人股本公司,这些公司拥有现成的现金来源,可以灵活地在危机时期向金融机构提供短期资本注入。它的结论是,促进私人流动性财团的正式结构可以作为多德-弗兰克法案清算条款和为解决长期资本管理公司(LTCM)破产以及十年后雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)即将破产而形成的特别财团类型的更好替代方案。
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引用次数: 2
Liquidity and Capital Structure: Evidence from a Bank-dominated Economy 流动性和资本结构:来自银行主导经济的证据
Pub Date : 2011-10-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1725745
Prasit Udomsirikul, Seksak Jumreornvong, P. Jiraporn
We explore the impact of liquidity on capital structure decisions. Firms that enjoy more liquid equity experience a lower cost of equity and may be more motivated to adopt more equity and less debt in their capital structure. Consistent with this notion, the empirical evidence demonstrates an inverse relation between liquidity and leverage. Our results are especially interesting because we examine firms in Thailand, where capital markets are less sophisticated than the U.S., bank loans more prevalent, and corporate ownership much more concentrated. In spite of these differences, we document that Thai firms with more liquid equity are significantly less leveraged.
我们探讨了流动性对资本结构决策的影响。拥有更多流动股权的公司拥有更低的股权成本,可能更有动力在其资本结构中采用更多的股权和更少的债务。与这一概念一致,实证证据表明流动性和杠杆率之间呈反比关系。我们的研究结果特别有趣,因为我们研究的是泰国的公司,那里的资本市场不如美国复杂,银行贷款更为普遍,企业所有权更加集中。尽管存在这些差异,但我们证明,拥有更多流动性股权的泰国公司杠杆率明显较低。
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引用次数: 6
Firm Life Cycle and the Choice of the Form of Payout 企业生命周期与支付方式的选择
Pub Date : 2011-10-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1632834
G. Stepanyan
I examine the emergence and evolution of three distinct groups of payers – firms that distribute cash to shareholders in the form of (i) repurchases, (ii) dividends, and (iii) the mixture of dividends and share buybacks – to understand what determines firms’ preferences for certain distribution techniques. I document that the choice of the form of payout is a reflection of a life cycle stage and evolves as firms alternate between the introductory, growth and maturity stages of their life cycle. My findings imply that viewing paying population of industrial firms as a homogeneous group may be seriously flawed – I document the existence of three distinct groups of payers that display dissimilar firm characteristics and have unique motives for choosing a particular method of distribution.
我研究了三种不同支付者群体的出现和演变——以(1)回购、(2)股息和(3)股息和股票回购混合的形式向股东分配现金的公司——以了解是什么决定了公司对某些分配技术的偏好。我的文件表明,支付形式的选择是生命周期阶段的反映,并随着公司在其生命周期的入门阶段,成长阶段和成熟阶段之间交替而演变。我的研究结果表明,将工业企业的付费人群视为一个同质群体可能存在严重缺陷——我记录了三个不同的付费群体的存在,它们表现出不同的企业特征,并有选择特定分配方法的独特动机。
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引用次数: 14
Optimal Priority Structure, Capital Structure, and Investment 最优优先结构、资本结构与投资
Pub Date : 2011-08-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1424107
D. Hackbarth, D. Mauer
We study the interaction between financing and investment decisions in a dynamic model, where the firm has multiple debt issues and equityholders choose the timing of investment. Jointly optimal capital and priority structures can virtually eliminate investment distortions because debt priority serves as a dynamically optimal contract. Examining the relative efficiency of priority rules observed in practice, we develop several predictions about how firms adjust their priority structure in response to changes in leverage, credit conditions, and firm fundamentals. Notably, financially unconstrained firms with few growth opportunities prefer senior debt, while financially constrained firms, with or without growth opportunities, prefer junior debt. Moreover, lower-rated firms are predicted to spread priority across debt classes. Finally, our analysis has a number of important implications for empirical capital structure research, including the relations between market leverage, book leverage, and credit spreads and Tobin's Q, the influence of firm fundamentals on the agency cost of debt, and the conservative debt policy puzzle. The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.
本文在一个动态模型中研究了融资和投资决策之间的相互作用,其中公司有多个债务问题,股东选择投资时机。由于债务优先级是一种动态最优契约,因此共同最优资本和优先级结构实际上可以消除投资扭曲。通过考察实践中观察到的优先级规则的相对效率,我们对企业如何调整优先级结构以应对杠杆、信贷条件和企业基本面的变化做出了一些预测。值得注意的是,财务不受约束且增长机会很少的公司更喜欢优先债务,而财务受约束的公司,无论有无增长机会,都更喜欢初级债务。此外,评级较低的公司预计会将优先级分散到不同的债务类别。最后,我们的分析对实证资本结构研究有一些重要的启示,包括市场杠杆、账面杠杆、信用利差和托宾Q之间的关系,公司基本面对债务代理成本的影响,以及保守的债务政策难题。作者2011。牛津大学出版社代表金融研究学会出版。版权所有。有关许可,请发送电子邮件:journals.permissions@oup.com.,牛津大学出版社。
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引用次数: 63
Do Responsible Real Estate Companies Outperform Their Peers? 负责任的房地产公司比同行表现更好吗?
Pub Date : 2011-08-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1808701
F. Fuerst, Marcelo Cajias, P. Mcallister, Anupam Nanda
This paper investigates the relationship between corporate social and environmental performance and financial performance for a sample of publicly traded US real estate companies. Using the MSCI ESG (formerly KLD) database on seven Environmental, Social & Governance dimensions in the 2003-2010 period, and weighting the dimensions according to prominence in the real estate sector, we model Tobin's Q and annual total return in a panel data framework. The results indicate a positive relationship between ESG rating and Tobin's Q but this effect is driven by ESG concerns rather than strengths. Consistently across all model specifications, overall ESG ratings are associated with lower returns. Negative scores appear to result in higher returns in the short run but positive scores have no significant impact on returns.
本文以美国上市房地产公司为样本,研究了企业社会和环境绩效与财务绩效之间的关系。利用摩根士丹利资本国际ESG(以前的KLD)数据库2003-2010年期间的七个环境、社会和治理维度,并根据房地产行业的突出程度对维度进行加权,我们在面板数据框架中对托宾Q和年度总回报进行建模。结果表明,ESG评级与托宾Q之间存在正相关关系,但这种影响是由ESG关注而不是优势驱动的。在所有模型规格中,总体ESG评级与较低的回报相关联。在短期内,负得分似乎导致更高的回报,但正得分对回报没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 8
Private Investment and Public Equity Returns 私人投资和公共股本回报
Pub Date : 2011-07-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1598548
R. Couch, Wei Wu
Because of external financing costs, private business owners often need to self-finance new investment projects. These self-financing needs create an incentive for business owners to hold financial assets whose payoffs are positively correlated with self-financing needs. If this effect is aggregated, expected returns on financial assets should be negatively correlated with aggregate private investment self-financing needs. To test the cross-sectional asset pricing implications of this conjecture, we use realized noncorporate investment growth and future forecasted noncorporate investment growth as proxies for self-financing needs. We find that our private investment model can explain a good share of the cross-sectional returns of size-, value- and distress-sorted equity portfolios, almost as well as the Fama–French factors. In contrast to the Fama–French model, however, we find the signs on our estimated coefficients to be consistent with our theoretical predictions.
由于外部融资成本,私营企业主往往需要为新的投资项目自筹资金。这些自我融资需求促使企业主持有其收益与自我融资需求正相关的金融资产。如果这种影响是汇总的,那么金融资产的预期收益应该与总私人投资自我融资需求负相关。为了检验这一猜想的横截面资产定价含义,我们使用已实现的非企业投资增长和未来预测的非企业投资增长作为自我融资需求的代理。我们发现,我们的私人投资模型可以很好地解释规模、价值和危机分类股票投资组合的横截面回报,几乎和Fama-French因素一样好。然而,与Fama-French模型相反,我们发现估计系数上的符号与我们的理论预测一致。
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引用次数: 1
Are Incentives for R&D Effective? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Approach 研发激励是否有效?来自回归不连续方法的证据
Pub Date : 2011-05-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1829994
Raffaello Bronzini, E. Iachini
This paper contributes to the literature on the effectiveness of R&D incentives by evaluating a unique investment subsidy program implemented in northern Italy. Firms were invited to submit proposals for new projects and only those that scored above a certain threshold received the subsidy. We use a sharp regression discontinuity design to compare investment spending of subsidized firms just above the cut-off score with spending by firms just below the cut-off. For the sample as a whole we find no significant increase in investment as a result of the program. This overall effect, however, masks substantial heterogeneity in the programi?½s impact. On average, we estimate that small enterprises increased their investments by about the amount of the subsidy they received from the program, whereas for larger firms the subsidies appear to have had no additional effect.
本文通过评估意大利北部实施的一项独特的投资补贴计划,为研究研发激励有效性的文献做出贡献。公司被邀请提交新项目提案,只有得分超过一定门槛的公司才能获得补贴。我们使用尖锐的回归不连续设计来比较刚好高于临界值的补贴企业的投资支出与刚好低于临界值的补贴企业的投资支出。对于整个样本,我们发现该计划没有显著增加投资。然而,这种总体效果掩盖了项目的实质性异质性。½年代的影响。平均而言,我们估计小企业增加的投资大约与他们从该计划中获得的补贴数额相当,而对大公司来说,补贴似乎没有额外的效果。
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引用次数: 384
The 'New' Venture Capital Cycle (Part I): The Importance of Private Secondary Market Liquidity “新”风险资本周期(第一部分):私人二级市场流动性的重要性
Pub Date : 2011-05-03 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1829835
J. Mendoza, E. Vermeulen
This paper demonstrates that liquidity gaps disrupt the venture capital cycle. How should this problem be addressed? We offer a new perspective on the venture capital cycle and argue that the emergence of more liquidity options can bridge these gaps. Analyzing the development of secondary marketplaces for private shares in non-listed companies in the United States and similar initiatives in Europe, Israel and India, this paper makes the case that the development of a structured pre-IPO segment in stock markets can remedy the disruptions in the venture capital industry.
本文论证了流动性缺口对风险投资周期的影响。如何解决这个问题?我们对风险资本周期提供了一个新的视角,并认为更多流动性选择的出现可以弥合这些差距。本文分析了美国非上市公司私募股权二级市场的发展,以及欧洲、以色列和印度的类似举措,认为股票市场中结构化的ipo前细分市场的发展可以弥补风险投资行业的中断。
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引用次数: 8
M&M 1963: An Alternative Equilibrium M&M 1963:另一种均衡
Pub Date : 2011-04-03 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1803332
Alan L. Tucker, T. F. Sugrue, Kenneth J. Kopecky
Invoking the same assumptions as Modigliani and Miller (1963), we demonstrate that their debt-only corner solution is not a unique equilibrium and furthermore that an alternative equilibrium exists in which capital structure is irrelevant for determining shareholder value. Our equilibrium follows from a simple and feasible arbitrage trading strategy and is sustainable in the sense that it is neither dominated by nor dominates the M&M solution in an inter-temporal setting. Our equilibrium has potentially significant implications for topics ranging from the under-leverage puzzle to the cost of capital to assessing fund performance, and beyond.
引用与Modigliani和Miller(1963)相同的假设,我们证明了他们的债务角解决方案不是唯一的均衡,而且存在另一种均衡,其中资本结构与决定股东价值无关。我们的均衡遵循简单可行的套利交易策略,并且在某种意义上是可持续的,即在跨期设置中,它既不受并购解决方案的支配,也不主导并购解决方案。我们的均衡对从杠杆不足问题到资本成本,再到评估基金业绩等诸多问题都有潜在的重大影响。
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引用次数: 1
The Tax Elasticity of Corporate Debt: A Synthesis of Size and Variations 企业债务的税收弹性:规模和变化的综合
Pub Date : 2011-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1826548
Ruud A. De Mooij
Although the empirical literature has long struggled to identify the impact of taxes on corporate financial structure, a recent boom in studies offers ample support for the debt bias of taxation. Yet, studies differ considerably in effect size and reveal an equally large variety in methodologies and specifications. This paper sheds light on this variation and assesses the systematic impact on the size of the effects. We find that, typically, a one percentage point higher tax rate increases the debt-asset ratio by between 0.17 and 0.28. Responses are increasing over time, which suggests that debt bias distortions have become more important.
尽管实证文献长期以来一直在努力确定税收对公司财务结构的影响,但最近大量研究为税收的债务偏见提供了充分的支持。然而,研究在效应大小上差异很大,在方法和规范上也显示出同样大的差异。本文阐明了这种变化,并评估了对影响大小的系统影响。我们发现,通常情况下,税率每提高一个百分点,债务资产比率就会增加0.17至0.28。随着时间的推移,回应越来越多,这表明债务偏见扭曲已变得更加重要。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
ERN: Intertemporal Firm Choice & Growth
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