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Modeling Extreme Stochastic Variations using the Maximum Order Statistics of Convoluted Distributions 利用卷积分布的最大阶统计量建模极端随机变化
Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.994
A. O. Adeyemi, I. Adeleke, E. Akarawak
Modeling extreme stochastic phenomena associated with catastrophic temperatures, heat waves, earthquakes and destructive floods is an aspect of proactive mitigation of risk. Hydrologists, reliability engineers, meteorologist and researchers among other stakeholders are faced with the challenges of providing adequate model for fitting real life datasets from the extreme natural hazardous occurrences in our environment. Convoluted distributions (CD) and generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution for r- largest order statistics (r-LOS) have been some of the prominent existing techniques for modeling the extreme events. This study explored the properties of order statistics from the convoluted distribution as alternative procedure for analyzing the extreme maximum with the aim of obtaining superior modeling fit compared to some other existing techniques. The new procedure called MAXOS-G employed the potential properties of the Maximum Order Statistics (MAXOS) and the flexibilities of convoluted distributions where G is taken to beWeibull-Exponential Pareto (WEP) and the New Kumaraswamy-Weibull (NKwei) distributions. The maximum order statistics of the WEP distribution (MAXOS-WEP) and NKwei distribution (MAXOS-NKwei) was derived and applied to three datasets consisting of annual maximum flood discharges, annual maximum precipitation and annual maximum one-day rainfall. Some properties of the MAXOS-WEP was investigated including the moment, mean, variance, skewness, and kurtosis. Characterization of WEP distribution by the L-moment of maximum order statistics was presented and coefficient of L-variation, L-skewness and L-kurtosis were derived. The results from the application to three datasets using R-software justified the importance of this new procedure for modeling the maximum events. The MAXOS-NKwei and MAXOS-WEP models provide superior goodness-of-fit to the datasets than the WEP and NKwei distributions and better than some previously proposed convoluted distributions for modeling the datasets.
模拟与灾难性温度、热浪、地震和破坏性洪水有关的极端随机现象是主动减轻风险的一个方面。水文学家、可靠性工程师、气象学家和研究人员以及其他利益相关者都面临着提供足够的模型来拟合我们环境中极端自然危险事件的真实数据集的挑战。卷积分布(CD)和广义极值分布(GEV)是目前研究极端事件的主要方法。本研究从卷积分布中探索了阶统计量的性质,作为分析极值的替代方法,目的是与其他现有技术相比,获得更好的建模拟合。这个叫做MAXOS-G的新程序利用了最大阶统计量(MAXOS)的潜在特性和卷积分布的灵活性,其中G被取为weibull - exponential Pareto (WEP)和new kumaraswami - weibull (NKwei)分布。推导了WEP分布(MAXOS-WEP)和NKwei分布(MAXOS-NKwei)的最大阶统计量,并将其应用于年最大洪流量、年最大降水量和年最大日降雨量3个数据集。研究了MAXOS-WEP的矩、均值、方差、偏度和峰度等特性。利用最大阶统计量的l矩对WEP分布进行了表征,并推导了l变异系数、l偏度系数和l峰度系数。从应用程序到使用r软件的三个数据集的结果证明了这个新过程对最大事件建模的重要性。MAXOS-NKwei和MAXOS-WEP模型比WEP和NKwei分布提供了更好的数据集拟合优度,并且比以前提出的一些复杂分布更好地建模数据集。
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引用次数: 0
Health Risk Assessment of Heavy Metals in Sediment of Tropical Freshwater Stream 热带淡水河流沉积物中重金属健康风险评价
Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.983
G. Olutona
An investigation of the heavy metals in the bed sediment of Asunle stream was carried out to assess how seriously the sediment is polluted using Inductively Coupled Plasma Optical Emission Spectroscopy (ICP-OES). The potential health risk assessment was calculated for a lifetime exposure (ingestion) based on the United State Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) models to determine the carcinogenic and noncarcinogenic risks for children and adults. The range of values (mg/kg) of heavy metals in bed sediment were: Fe (2850 – 7260), Mn (58 – 209), Co (0.7 – 33), Ti (21.6 – 67), Ba (1.61 – 9.81), Zn (7.5 – 79), Cu (5.6 – 25), As (8 – 137), Al (273 – 2160), Y (24 – 49), and Sr (0.10 – 5.3). As and Sr, values were below the background values for typical soil. The health risk assessment of heavy metals in the bed sediments revealed that carcinogenic risk was almost insignificant while the non-carcinogenic risk was significant since their values were above the recommended minimal risk level. The results also revealed that children are more vulnerable to hazards than adults. The chronic hazard quotient index for exposure to these metals through ingestion exceeded the acceptable USEPA value of 1.0.
利用电感耦合等离子体发射光谱(ICP-OES)技术对Asunle河河床沉积物中的重金属进行了调查,评价了沉积物的污染程度。潜在健康风险评估是根据美国环境保护署(USEPA)模型计算的,以确定儿童和成人的致癌和非致癌风险。沉积物中重金属含量(mg/kg)范围为:Fe(2850 ~ 7260)、Mn(58 ~ 209)、Co(0.7 ~ 33)、Ti(21.6 ~ 67)、Ba(1.61 ~ 9.81)、Zn(7.5 ~ 79)、Cu(5.6 ~ 25)、As(8 ~ 137)、Al(273 ~ 2160)、Y(24 ~ 49)、Sr(0.10 ~ 5.3)。As和Sr值均低于典型土壤的背景值。对河床沉积物中重金属的健康风险评估表明,其致癌风险几乎不显著,而非致癌风险显著,因为它们的值高于建议的最低风险水平。研究结果还显示,儿童比成年人更容易受到危险的伤害。通过摄入暴露于这些金属的慢性危害商指数超过了可接受的USEPA值1.0。
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引用次数: 1
Tectonic Setting of the Syenite Around Igarra, Southwestern Nigeria: Constraints from Geochemistry 尼日利亚西南部Igarra地区正长岩构造背景:地球化学约束
Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.999
F. Ugbe, O. E. Ominigbo, A. Akano
Syenites are relatively rare within the Nigerian Basement Complex. As a result of their rarity, these rocks have been given less research attention over time and are consequently poorly understood. The syenitic rocks at Igarra were studied to ascertain their tectonic evolution using geochemistry. Sampling was carried out using the survey-type geological field mapping approach. A total of 10 samples of syenitic rocks were collected for laboratory analyses. Compositionally, the rocks are intermediate with regards to SiO2 content (58.02% – 60.58%), having Al2O3 and alkali (Na2O + K2O) compositional ranges of 15.34% – 15.52% and 8.99% – 9.7% respectively. The sampled rocks are similar and consistent in their trace and rare earth elements concentrations (the only exception being Zr with values ranging from 4 ppm to 79 ppm). The rocks are relatively enriched in Ba, K, TI, and Sr but depleted in Tc, Nb, U, Hf, Yb, Te and Ta. The syenites also show fairly high ratios of Rb/Nb and Rb/Sr with mean values of 488.627 and 0.171 respectively. As seen from the geochemical analyses, the syenites around Igarra are high-K calcalkaline, alkalic to alkalic-calcic. The rocks are peraluminous in character as shown by the bivariate plot of A/NK vs. A/CNK. Sedimentary protolith with continental crustal parent magma is inferred for these rocks. The similarity and consistency of the trends of major, trace and rare earth elements is indicative of cogenetic origin for the rocks. The geochemistry and discrimination plots for the rocks indicate geodynamic setting ranging from orogenic to post-orogenic. A volcanic arc geotectonic setting is interpreted for the Igarra syenites, with magma emplacement and evolution thought to have been initiated during the late stages of the Pan-African reactivation and continued into post-orogenic times.
正长岩在尼日利亚地下复合体中相对稀少。由于它们的稀缺性,随着时间的推移,这些岩石得到的研究关注较少,因此人们对它们的了解也很少。用地球化学方法研究了伊加拉地区正长岩的构造演化。采用调查式地质野外填图方法进行采样。共收集了10个正长岩样品进行实验室分析。岩石组成中SiO2含量为58.02% ~ 60.58%,Al2O3和碱(Na2O + K2O)含量分别为15.34% ~ 15.52%和8.99% ~ 9.7%。样品岩石的微量元素和稀土元素浓度相似且一致(唯一的例外是Zr,其值在4 ppm至79 ppm之间)。Ba、K、TI、Sr相对富集,Tc、Nb、U、Hf、Yb、Te、Ta相对富集。正长岩Rb/Nb和Rb/Sr比值较高,平均值分别为488.627和0.171。地球化学分析表明,伊加拉周围正长岩为高钾钙碱性、碱性到碱钙性。A/NK vs. A/CNK的二元图显示,岩石具有过铝质特征。在这些岩石中推断出具有大陆地壳母岩浆的沉积原岩。主量元素、微量元素和稀土元素趋势的相似性和一致性表明了岩石的共成成因。岩石的地球化学和判别图显示了从造山期到后造山期的地球动力学背景。Igarra正长岩的地质构造背景为火山弧,岩浆侵位和演化被认为是在泛非活动后期开始的,并持续到后造山期。
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引用次数: 0
A Data-Driven Approach Towards the Application of Reinforcement Learning Based HVAC Control 基于强化学习的暖通空调控制应用的数据驱动方法
Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.1244
C. Falk, Tarek El Ghayed, Ron van de Sand, J. Reiff-Stephan
Refrigeration applications consume a significant share of total electricity demand, with a high indirect impact on global warming through greenhouse gas emissions. Modern technology can help reduce the high power consumption and optimize the cooling control. This paper presents a case study of machine-learning for controlling a commercial refrigeration system. In particular, an approach to reinforcement learning is implemented, trained and validated utilizing a model of a real chiller plant. The reinforcement-learning controller learns to operate the plant based on its interactions with the modeled environment. The validation demonstrates the functionality of the approach, saving around 7% of the energy demand of the reference control. Limitations of the approach were identified in the discretization of the real environment and further model-based simplifications and should be addressed in future research.
制冷应用消耗了总电力需求的很大一部分,通过温室气体排放对全球变暖产生了很大的间接影响。现代技术可以帮助降低高功耗和优化冷却控制。本文介绍了一个应用机器学习控制商用制冷系统的案例研究。特别地,一种强化学习的方法被实施,训练和验证利用一个真实的冷水机组的模型。强化学习控制器根据其与建模环境的相互作用来学习操作对象。验证证明了该方法的功能性,节省了参考控制约7%的能量需求。该方法在真实环境的离散化和进一步的基于模型的简化方面存在局限性,应在未来的研究中加以解决。
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引用次数: 0
Thermal distribution of magneto-tangent hyperbolic flowing fluid over a porous moving sheet: A Lie group analysis 磁切双曲流动流体在多孔移动薄片上的热分布:李群分析
Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.1103
A. Disu, S. Salawu
An investigation of magneto-hyperbolic tangent fluid motion through a porous sheet which stretches vertically upward with temperature-reliant thermal conductivity is scrutinized in this study. The current model characterizes thermal radiation and the impact of internal heat source in the heat equation plus velocity and thermal slipperation at the wall. The translation of the transport equations is carried out via the scaling Lie group technique and the resultant equations are numerically tackled via shooting scheme jointly with Fehlberg integration Runge-Kutta scheme. The results are publicized through various graphs to showcase the reactions of the fluid terms on the thermal and velocity fields. From the investigations, it is found that rising values of the material Weissenberg number, slip and suction terms damped the hydrodynamic boundary film whereas the heat field is prompted directly with thermal conductivity.
磁-双曲正切流体运动的研究,通过一个多孔片拉伸垂直向上与温度依赖的导热率仔细审查在本研究中。目前的模型将热辐射和内部热源的影响在热方程中加上壁面的速度和热滑动。通过缩放李群技术对输运方程进行平移,并结合Fehlberg积分龙格-库塔格式对所得方程进行数值求解。结果通过各种图表展示了流体项对热场和速度场的反应。研究发现,材料的Weissenberg数、滑移项和吸力项的增大会对流体动力边界膜产生阻尼,而热场则直接受到导热系数的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Prospects of nanosorption and photocatalysis in remediation of oil spills 纳米吸附与光催化在石油泄漏修复中的应用前景
Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.1043
S. Shaibu, E. Inam, E. Moses, U. Ofon, O. Fatunla, C. Obadimu, Nnamso Ibuotenang, Nnanake-Abasi O. Offiong, V. Ekpo, Tijesu Adeoye, Edidiong Udokang, D. Fapojuwo
Nanoremediation approaches have been applied to remove oil from surface and ground water as oil spills have been found to have long-term negative consequences for the ecosystem. Nanoremediation via the nanosorption mechanism of different environmental matrices in the world at large is at its formative stages despite the alarming and extensive prevalence of petroleum related environmental pollution. Over 9 million barrels of oil have been leaked in the last five decades, making that ecosystem one of the most deteriorated by oil exploration and extraction activities. The goal of this research is to assess the current status, trends, and future prospects of the nanosorption of surface and ground water in oil spill regions. High surface area of nanomaterials, wide spectrum of treatable contaminants, non-generation of intermediate or secondary products, as well as speed and extent of contaminant destruction give nanoremediation a superior comparative edge over other treatment technologies. Notably, the remediation efficiency of a cleanup is highly dependent on the type of material and treatment routes employed. It is imperative to employ a concerted and practical approach to the development of nanotechnology to combat the bedeviling oil pollution challenges faced in oil producing counties.
由于发现石油泄漏对生态系统有长期的负面影响,纳米修复方法已被应用于从地表水和地下水中去除石油。尽管与石油有关的环境污染令人担忧且广泛存在,但通过不同环境基质的纳米吸附机制进行纳米修复在世界范围内仍处于形成阶段。在过去的50年里,超过900万桶石油泄漏,使该生态系统成为石油勘探和开采活动中最恶化的生态系统之一。本研究的目的是评估溢油区地表水和地下水纳米吸附的现状、趋势和未来前景。纳米材料的高表面积,可处理污染物的广谱,不产生中间或二次产物,以及污染物破坏的速度和程度,使纳米修复比其他处理技术具有优越的比较优势。值得注意的是,清理的修复效率高度依赖于所采用的材料类型和处理路线。必须采用协调一致和实用的方法来发展纳米技术,以应对石油生产国面临的令人困扰的石油污染挑战。
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引用次数: 0
A Review on Quadrant Interlocking Factorization: WZ andWH Factorization 象限联锁分解研究综述:WZ和wh分解
Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.1112
Dlal Bashir, H. Kamarulhaili, O. Babarinsa
Quadrant Interlocking Factorization (QIF), an alternative to LU factorization, is suitable for factorizing invertible matrix A such that det(A) , 0. The QIF, with its application in parallel computing, is the most efficient matrix factorization technique yet underutilized. The two forms of QIF among others, which are not only similar in algorithm but also in computation, are WZ factorization and WH factorization yet differs in applications and properties. This review discusses both the old form of QIF, called WZ factorization, and the latest form of QIF, called WH factorization, with an example and open questions to further the studies between the two factorization techniques.
象限联锁分解(QIF)是LU分解的一种替代方法,适用于对可逆矩阵A进行因式分解,使得det(A), 0。QIF在并行计算中的应用,是目前尚未充分利用的最有效的矩阵分解技术。QIF的两种形式是WZ因子分解和WH因子分解,它们不仅在算法上相似,而且在计算上也相似,但在应用和性质上却有所不同。本文讨论了QIF的旧形式WZ分解和最新形式WH分解,并给出了一个例子和开放性问题,以进一步研究这两种分解技术之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Benchmark Studies on the Isomerization Enthalpies for Interstellar Molecular Species 星际分子异构化焓的基准研究
Pub Date : 2023-02-12 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.527
E. Etim
With the well-established correlation between the relative stabilities of isomers and their interstellar abundances coupled with the prevalence of isomeric species among the interstellar molecular species, isomerization remains a plausible formation route for isomers in the interstellar medium. The present work reports an extensive investigation of the isomerization energies of 246 molecular species from 65 isomeric groups using the Gaussian-4 theory composite method with atoms ranging from 3 to 12. From the results, the high abundances of the most stable isomers coupled with the energy sources in interstellar medium drive the isomerization process even for barriers as high as 67.4 kcal/mol. Specifically, the cyanides and their corresponding isocyanides pairs appear to be effectively synthesized via this process. The following potential interstellar molecules; CNC, NCCN, c-C5H, methylene ketene, methyl Ketene, CH3SCH3, C5O, 1,1-ethanediol, propanoic acid, propan-2-ol, and propanol are identified and discussed. The study further reaffirms the importance of thermodynamics in interstellar formation processes on a larger scale and accounts for the known isomeric species. In all the isomeric groups, isomerization appears to be an effective route for the formation of the less stable isomers (which are probably less abundant) from the most stable ones that are perhaps more abundant.
由于同分异构体的相对稳定性与其星际丰度之间建立了良好的相关性,再加上星际分子物种中异构体物种的普遍存在,异构化仍然是星际介质中异构体的合理形成途径。本文利用高斯-4理论复合方法对65个同分异构体中246种分子的异构化能进行了广泛的研究,原子范围从3到12。结果表明,最稳定异构体的高丰度与星际介质中的能量源相结合,即使在高达67.4 kcal/mol的势垒上也能驱动异构化过程。具体地说,氰化物及其相应的异氰化物对似乎是通过这种方法有效地合成的。以下是潜在的星际分子;对CNC、NCCN、c-C5H、亚甲基烯酮、甲基烯酮、CH3SCH3、c50、1,1-乙二醇、丙酸、丙二醇和丙醇进行了鉴定和讨论。该研究进一步重申了热力学在更大规模星际形成过程中的重要性,并解释了已知的同分异构体物种。在所有的同分异构体中,异构化似乎是一种有效的途径,从最稳定的异构体(可能更丰富)形成较不稳定的异构体(可能较少)。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Pre-Test Drying Temperature on the Properties of Lateritic Soils. 试验前干燥温度对红土性质的影响。
Pub Date : 2023-02-04 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.1109
L. Afolagboye, Zaccheaus Olajide Arije, A. O. Talabi, O. O. Owoyemi
The properties of residual soils, according to literature, are sensitive to the pre-test drying method given to the sample prior to testing. Similarly, residual soils such as laterites/lateritic soils are formed under various climatic conditions, hence they show different degrees of sensitivity to pretest drying method. This work is therefore carried out to elucidate the influence of pre-test drying temperature or method on the properties of three lateritic soils that developed over three different Pre-Cambrian basement complex rocks from Ado-Ekiti, SW, Nigeria. The soils were subjected to three pre-test drying temperature before conducting laboratory tests. The pre-test drying temperature considered in this study include air-drying, oven-drying at 60° C, and oven-drying at 110° C. Pre-test drying at 60° and 110° C caused particle aggregation (which reduced the soil surface are) and loss of cohesion. Consequently, this reduced the specific gravity, optimum moisture content, clay content, consistency limits, and unconfined compressive strength of the lateritic soils. The maximum dry density and sand content increased as the pre-test drying temperature increases. The pre-test drying temperature did not significantly change the plasticity classification of the soils, however, at higher pre-test temperature the soils become less plastic. The free swell index of the lateritic soils increased with increasing pre-test drying temperature (up to 60° C) before decreasing when the temperature rose to 110° C. This study has revealed the effect pre-test drying temperature may have on the properties of lateritic soils and these may produce  soil properties that may not likely indicate the actual field performance of the tested soils.
根据文献,残余土的性质对测试前样品的预干燥方法很敏感。同样,残余土如红土/红土是在不同的气候条件下形成的,因此它们对试验前干燥方法的敏感性不同。因此,本研究旨在阐明试验前干燥温度或干燥方法对在尼日利亚西南部Ado-Ekiti三种不同的前寒武纪基底复岩上发育的三种红土性质的影响。在进行实验室试验之前,土壤经受了三种预试验干燥温度。本研究考虑的预试干燥温度包括风干、60℃烘箱干燥和110℃烘箱干燥。60℃和110℃预试干燥会导致颗粒聚集(使土壤表面粗糙度降低)和粘聚力丧失。因此,这降低了红土的比重、最佳含水量、粘土含量、稠度极限和无侧限抗压强度。最大干密度和含砂量随试验前干燥温度的升高而增大。试验前干燥温度对土壤的塑性分类没有显著影响,但试验前干燥温度越高,土壤的可塑性越弱。红土的自由膨胀指数随试验前干燥温度(60℃)的增加而增加,当温度升至110℃时下降。该研究揭示了试验前干燥温度对红土性质的影响,这些影响可能产生的土壤性质可能不太可能表明试验土壤的实际现场性能。
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引用次数: 1
Robust M-estimators and Machine Learning Algorithms for Improving the Predictive Accuracy of Seaweed Contaminated Big Data 提高海藻污染大数据预测精度的稳健m估计器和机器学习算法
Pub Date : 2023-02-04 DOI: 10.46481/jnsps.2023.1137
O. Ibidoja, Fam Pei Shan, Mukhtar, J. Sulaiman, Majid Khan Majahar Ali
A common problem in regression analysis using ordinary least squares (OLS) is the effect of outliers or contaminated data on the estimates of the parameters. A robust method that is not sensitive to outliers and can handle contaminated data is needed. In this study, the objective is to determine the significant parameters that determine the moisture content of the seaweed after drying and develop a hybrid model to reduce the outliers. The data were collected with sensors from the v-Groove Hybrid Solar Drier (v-GHSD) at Semporna, South-Eastern Coast of Sabah, Malaysia. After the second order interaction, we have 435 drying parameters, each parameter has 1914 observations. First, we used four machine learning algorithms, such as random forest, support vector machine, bagging and boosting to determine the significant parameters by selecting 15, 25, 35 and 45 parameters. Second, we developed the hybrid model using robust methods such as M. Bi-Square, M. Hampel and M. Huber. The results show that there is a significant improvement in the reduction of the number of outliers and better prediction using hybrid model for the contaminated seaweed big data. For the highest variable importance of 45 significant drying parameters of seaweed, the hybrid model bagging M Bi-square performs better because it has the lowest percentage of outliers of 4.08 %.
在使用普通最小二乘(OLS)进行回归分析时,一个常见的问题是异常值或污染数据对参数估计的影响。需要一种对异常值不敏感并能处理受污染数据的鲁棒方法。在本研究中,目的是确定决定干燥后海藻水分含量的重要参数,并建立一个混合模型来减少异常值。数据是通过位于马来西亚沙巴东南海岸Semporna的v-Groove混合太阳能干燥器(v-GHSD)的传感器收集的。在二阶相互作用后,我们有435个干燥参数,每个参数有1914个观测值。首先,我们使用随机森林、支持向量机、bagging和boosting四种机器学习算法,通过选择15、25、35和45个参数来确定显著参数。其次,我们利用M. Bi-Square、M. Hampel和M. Huber等稳健方法开发了混合模型。结果表明,混合模型对污染海藻大数据在减少异常值数量和更好的预测方面有显著改善。对于海藻45个显著干燥参数中变量重要性最高的品种,套袋M双方杂交模型的异常值百分比最低,为4.08%。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Journal of the Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences
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