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Changing Climate of Uttarakhand, India 印度北阿坎德邦的气候变化
Pub Date : 2014-07-02 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000163
A. Mishra
India has a unique climate system dominated by the monsoon, and the major physiographic features that drive this monsoon are its location in the globe, the Himalayas, the central plateau, the western and Eastern Ghats and the oceans surrounding the region. The country is considered highly vulnerable to climate change, not only because of high physical exposure to climate-related disasters, but also because of the dependency of its economy and majority of population on climate-sensitive sectors (e.g. agriculture, forests, tourism, animal husbandry and fisheries). The Himalayan Region comprises of the highest mountain system of the world, the Himalayas and the North- Eastern hill states. Being the home of some very large and important glaciers (viz. Gangotri, Ponting, Milam, Pindari etc) the state of Uttarakhand has remained in centre of climate change discussions since over three decades. In addressing this debate and to eliminate confusions, the paper examines emerging climate trend scenarios in the region by measuring temperature and rainfall variabilities during the past century. The results indicate unanimous warming of the entire region but are more critical in mountainous parts. On the other hand the plain areas have received more rainfall, while it has declined in hilly districts.
印度有一个独特的由季风主导的气候系统,驱动季风的主要地理特征是它在全球的位置,喜马拉雅山脉、中央高原、西高止山脉和东高止山脉以及环绕该地区的海洋。该国被认为极易受到气候变化的影响,这不仅是因为该国易受气候相关灾害的影响,还因为其经济和大多数人口依赖于气候敏感部门(如农业、森林、旅游业、畜牧业和渔业)。喜马拉雅地区包括世界上最高的山脉系统,喜马拉雅山脉和东北部山区。北阿坎德邦(Uttarakhand)是一些非常大而重要的冰川(如Gangotri、Ponting、Milam、Pindari等)的所在地,30多年来一直是气候变化讨论的中心。为了解决这一争论并消除混淆,本文通过测量过去一个世纪的温度和降雨变化来研究该地区正在出现的气候趋势情景。结果表明,整个地区一致变暖,但在山区更为严重。另一方面,平原地区的降雨量增加了,而丘陵地区的降雨量减少了。
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引用次数: 23
Deformation Microstructures in Plagioclases of the Doran Granite: An Interpretation to Emplacement of this Intrusion at the Type Locality, Zanjan 多兰花岗岩斜长石的变形微结构:对该岩体在赞詹类型地位的解释
Pub Date : 2014-07-02 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000164
A. BakhtiariBandHajabolfath
Observations on the microstructure of a rock, in thin section, can be used to reconstruct its tectonic evolution. This paper presents deformation microstructures, which were observed in Plagioclase of the late precambrian Doran-granite at the type locality in south of Zanjan. Two sample-sets of central and marginal parts of the Doran intrusion show similar microstructures, which can be related to temperatures up to 500°C, believed as emplacement temperature of the Doran intrusion in shale of Kahar-formation. The former structures are affected, in some samples of marginal part of the intrusion, by cataclastic flow, formed at temperatures lower than 400°C, during subsequent uplift. The good preservation of the deformation microstructures, in the studied samples, can be referred to fast decrease of temperature, meaning quickly uplift process. Microscopic deformation-induced microstructures of minerals in rocks and set the conditions for reconstruction at the time of adoption of intrusive form used in the study, because the microstructure formation in minerals affected by the different conditions of temperature and pressure, and can be different stages of the fit mass to reflect stones. In this paper, the microscopic induced deformation microstructures in plagioclase White granite outcrop in the model presented, the analysis is presented on how to fit the masses.
观察岩石的微观结构,在薄片上,可以用来重建其构造演化。本文介绍了赞詹南部模式地区晚前寒武纪多兰花岗岩斜长石中观测到的变形微结构。多兰侵入体中部和边缘两组样品显示出相似的显微结构,这些显微结构可能与温度高达500℃有关,可以认为这是多兰侵入体在卡哈尔组页岩中的侵位温度。在侵入岩边缘部分的一些样品中,前一种构造在随后的隆升过程中受到温度低于400°C的碎裂流的影响。在研究的样品中,形变组织保存良好,可以指温度的快速下降,即快速的隆升过程。微观变形诱发岩石中矿物的微观结构并设定重建条件时采用侵入形式进行研究,因为矿物中微观结构的形成受不同条件的温度和压力的影响,并能以不同阶段的适宜质量来反映岩石。本文介绍了白花岗斜长石露头的微观诱导变形微结构模型,并对如何进行岩体拟合进行了分析。
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引用次数: 0
Climate Change and Indigenous People: Perceptions of Transhumant Herders and Implications to the Transhumance System in the Himalayas 气候变化与土著人民:对喜马拉雅地区迁移牧民的看法及其对迁移系统的影响
Pub Date : 2014-07-02 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000162
S. Aryal, T. Maraseni, G. Cockfield
Climate change poses differential vulnerability for different communities, sectors and regions. People, whose subsistence livelihood is based on the direct utilisation of natural resources are most affected by climate change and have different but accurate perceptions of climate change than those people following modern lifestyles. The herders of the higher Himalayas follow vertical transhumance and combine it with subsistence agriculture for their livelihood. Although, climate models have predicted pronounced warming in high altitude areas of the Himalayas and there are many indications that climate change impacts different aspects of transhumance, there is no information on how transhumant herders have perceived change in climate and how these changes might impact transhumance system. One hundred and forty five transhumant herders were interviewed from three Village Development Committees (VDCs) namely Khumjung in Solukhumbu, Kalinchok in Dolakhaand Majhigaun in Bajhang; representing Eastern, Central and far-Western mountainous areas of Nepal respectively to explore their perceptions about climate change and other observed changes in biophysical indicators. About 80% of the herders perceived increasing summer temperature, 92% decreasing winter rainfall and more than 93% noticed decreasing snowfall. Majority of the herders agreed that there was fast melting of snow in the rangelands, rainfall events were becoming more and more unpredictable, drought events increased, there was early induce in greenery and maturity of grasses in the rangelands and appearance of new livestock diseases. These observations suggest that transhumant herders in the Himalayas have experienced change in climatic variables and have noticed change in bio-physical indicators that have implications to the transhumance system. The findings help to devise adaptation strategies for indigenous communities and incorporate them in the climate change policies in the Himalayas.
气候变化对不同社区、部门和地区造成不同的脆弱性。以直接利用自然资源为生计基础的人们受气候变化的影响最大,他们对气候变化的认识与遵循现代生活方式的人们不同,但准确。喜马拉雅山脉较高地区的牧民遵循垂直迁移,并将其与自给农业相结合以维持生计。尽管气候模型预测喜马拉雅高海拔地区会出现明显的变暖,并且有许多迹象表明气候变化会影响迁移的不同方面,但目前还没有关于迁移牧民如何感知气候变化以及这些变化如何影响迁移系统的信息。采访了来自三个村发展委员会(VDCs)的145名迁移牧民,即索卢坤布的坤容、多拉汗的卡林秋和巴张县的马吉贡;分别代表尼泊尔东部、中部和偏远的西部山区,探讨他们对气候变化和其他观察到的生物物理指标变化的看法。约80%的牧民认为夏季气温升高,92%的牧民认为冬季降雨量减少,超过93%的牧民认为降雪量减少。多数牧民一致认为,草地积雪融化快,降雨事件越来越难以预测,干旱事件增多,草地草木绿化和成熟期提前,牲畜新病害出现。这些观察结果表明,喜马拉雅地区的迁移牧民经历了气候变量的变化,并注意到对迁移系统有影响的生物物理指标的变化。这些发现有助于为土著社区制定适应战略,并将其纳入喜马拉雅地区的气候变化政策。
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引用次数: 13
Rare Earth Elements and Sr-Nd-Pb Isotopic Analyses of the Arima Hot Spring Waters, Southwest Japan: Implications for Origin of the Arima-type Brine 日本西南部阿利马温泉水体稀土元素和Sr-Nd-Pb同位素分析:对阿利马型卤水成因的启示
Pub Date : 2014-06-27 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000161
Hitomi Nakamura, Y. Fujita, S. Nakai, T. Yokoyama, H. Iwamori
Rare earth elements (REEs) and Sr-Nd-Pb isotopic compsotions of the Arima hot spring waters, a specific type of deep-seated brine (up to 6 wt.% NaCl) in the non-volcanic fore-arc region of southwest Japan, have been analyzed in order to discuss their source materials and origins. We have first examined the matrix effect associated with variable salinity (0 to 5 wt.% NaCl), and found that above 1 wt.% NaCl, the intensity of REE in ICP-MS measurement is drastically reduced due to the matrix effect. Accordingly, we have diluted the sample waters to contain ~0.6 wt.% NaCl, and then analyzed them by the standard addition method. The result shows that the abundance is appreciably high compared to near-surface waters, and exhibits almost a flat DMM-normalized pattern, which can be explained by mixing of a slab-derived fluid at relatively low temparature (400 to 500oC) and a near-surface water. The Sr-Nd- Pb isotopic compositions of the brineare consistent with the above interpretation on REEs, in that the deep brine is isotopically similar to a slab-derived fluid of the subducted Philippine Sea slab. These evidences suggest that the slabderived fluid is upwelling even in the non-volcanic region possibly through a fault zone along the tectonic line.
本文对日本西南非火山弧前地区一种特殊的深层卤水——有马温泉的稀土元素(ree)和Sr-Nd-Pb同位素组成进行了分析,探讨了其来源物质和成因。我们首先研究了与变盐度(0 ~ 5 wt.% NaCl)相关的基质效应,发现在1 wt.% NaCl以上,ICP-MS测量中REE的强度由于基质效应而急剧降低。因此,我们将样品水稀释至含~0.6 wt.% NaCl,然后用标准加入法进行分析。结果表明,与近地表水相比,丰度明显较高,且几乎呈平坦的dmm归一化模式,这可以解释为温度较低(400 ~ 500℃)的板源流体与近地表水的混合。深部卤水的Sr-Nd- Pb同位素组成与上述稀土元素解释一致,其同位素特征与菲律宾海俯冲板块的板块衍生流体相似。这些证据表明,即使在非火山区,板源流体也可能沿着构造线通过断裂带上涌。
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引用次数: 14
Quantitative Evaluation Model of Carbonate Reservoirs Based on Multi-Level Fuzzy Theory 基于多级模糊理论的碳酸盐岩储层定量评价模型
Pub Date : 2014-02-28 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000149
Xiong Ding, X. Tan, Ling-na Li, Zhou Yan, Zhao Zihao, Qingsong Tang
The quantitative evaluation of carbonate reservoir is one of the key issues of oil and gas exploitation. However, due to the characteristics of carbonate reservoir, such as diverse physical distribution, complex pore-throat structure and strong heterogeneity, its quantitative evaluation is relatively difficult. Take the Lei 1 Member carbonate reservoir of Middle Triassic Leikoupo Formation in the Moxi gas field of Sichuan Basin as the example. The improved analytic hierarchy process is adopted based on 9 prioritized parameters which have direct influence on the quality of carbonate reservoir, namely porosity, permeability, water saturation, displacement pressure, average pore-throat radius, effective reservoir thickness, permeability variation coefficient, permeability rush coefficient and permeability range, to build a multi-level hierarchical structure model and quantitatively determine the relative importance quantitative indicators of all the parameters for reservoir quality. And fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to build a quantitative evaluation model of carbonate reservoir. The evaluation results are well consistent with the actual gas capacity, which indicates that the mathematical model is available for quantitatively evaluating the carbonate reservoir and has relatively good feasibility.
碳酸盐岩储层的定量评价是油气开发的关键问题之一。但由于碳酸盐岩储层物性分布多样、孔喉结构复杂、非均质性强等特点,对其进行定量评价相对困难。以四川盆地磨溪气田中三叠统雷口坡组雷一段碳酸盐岩储层为例。对孔隙度、渗透率、含水饱和度、驱替压力、平均孔喉半径、有效储层厚度、渗透率变异系数、渗透率涌动系数、渗透率范围等9个直接影响储层质量的参数进行优先排序,采用改进的层次分析法。建立多层次层次结构模型,定量确定各参数对储层质量的相对重要性定量指标。采用模糊综合评价法建立了碳酸盐岩储层定量评价模型。评价结果与实际含气量吻合较好,表明该数学模型可用于碳酸盐岩储层定量评价,具有较好的可行性。
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引用次数: 1
Land Use/Land Cover and NDVI Analysis for Monitoring the Health of Micro-watersheds of Sarada River Basin, Visakhapatnam District, India 印度维萨卡帕特南地区萨拉达河流域微流域健康监测的土地利用/土地覆盖和NDVI分析
Pub Date : 2014-02-21 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000146
Nooka Ratnam Kinthada, M. Gurram, Amminedu Eadara, Venkateswara Rao Velagala
The study has been undertaken to map the land use/land cover resource at a micro-watershed level in the Sarada river basin covering an area of 2634 km2. Multi-temporal remote sensing data acquired by the Landsat-7 ETM+ satellite sensor of 30m spatial resolution and IRS-P6 LISS-III satellite sensor of 23.5m resolution, respectively has been used for the study. Change analysis of the land use/land cover pattern in the basin was carried out to identify the impact of anthropogenic activities in each of the 60 micro-watersheds of the basin. The study has appraised the fact that, land use/land cover changes are affected by factors, such as, population growth, agricultural demand (food, bio-energy, forest, etc.), urbanization and economic development in the Sarada river basin. Simultaneously, NDVI was used to broadly monitor the vegetative vigor and imperviousness of the micro-watersheds. The combination of land use/land cover and NDVI analysis helped in identifying and measuring the impact of human induced change which may alter the hydrological setting, behaviour and environment of the Sarada river basin.
已经进行了一项研究,在面积为2634平方公里的萨拉达河流域的小流域一级绘制土地利用/土地覆盖资源地图。采用空间分辨率为30m的Landsat-7 ETM+卫星传感器和23.5m分辨率的IRS-P6 LISS-III卫星传感器采集的多时相遥感数据进行研究。通过对流域土地利用/土地覆盖格局的变化分析,确定了流域内60个微流域的人为活动影响。研究评价了萨拉达河流域土地利用/覆被变化受人口增长、农业需求(粮食、生物能源、森林等)、城市化和经济发展等因素的影响。同时,利用NDVI对微流域的营养活力和不透水性进行了广泛的监测。土地利用/土地覆盖与NDVI分析相结合,有助于确定和衡量人类引起的变化的影响,这些变化可能改变萨拉达河流域的水文环境、行为和环境。
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引用次数: 15
Pruned Committee Neural Network Based on Accuracy and Diversity Trade-off for Permeability Prediction 基于准确度和多样性权衡的剪枝委员会神经网络渗透率预测
Pub Date : 2014-02-14 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000144
Seyed Ali Jafari Kenari, S. Mashohor
Committee Machine (CM) or ensemble introduces a machine learning technique that aggregates some learners or experts to improve generalization performance compared to single member. The constructed CMs are sometimes unnecessarily large and have some drawbacks such as using extra memories, computational overhead, and occasional decrease in effectiveness. Pruning some members of this committee while preserving a high diversity among the individual experts is an efficient technique to increase the predictive performance. The diversity between committee members is a very important measurement parameter which is not necessarily independent of their accuracy and essentially there is a tradeoff between them. In this paper, first we constructed a committee neural network with different learning algorithms and then proposed an expert pruning method based on diversity and accuracy tradeoff to improve the committee machine framework. Finally we applied this proposed structure to predict permeability values from well log data with the aid of available core data. The results show that our method gives the lowest error and highest correlation coefficient compared to the best expert and the initial committee machine and also produces significant information on the reliability of the permeability predictions.
委员会机器(CM)或集成引入了一种机器学习技术,它将一些学习者或专家聚集在一起,以提高与单个成员相比的泛化性能。构建的CMs有时会不必要地大,并且有一些缺点,例如使用额外的内存、计算开销和偶尔的有效性降低。在保留专家个体高度多样性的同时,精简该委员会的部分成员是提高预测性能的有效方法。委员会成员之间的多样性是一个非常重要的测量参数,它不一定独立于他们的准确性,本质上是他们之间的权衡。本文首先构建了一个采用不同学习算法的委员会神经网络,然后提出了一种基于多样性和准确性权衡的专家剪枝方法来改进委员会机框架。最后,我们将该结构应用于利用现有岩心资料从测井资料中预测渗透率。结果表明,与最佳专家和初始委员会机相比,我们的方法误差最小,相关系数最高,并且在渗透率预测的可靠性方面也提供了重要的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Morphometric Analysis of Kangshabati-Darkeswar Interfluves Area in West Bengal, India using ASTER DEM and GIS Techniques 基于ASTER DEM和GIS技术的印度西孟加拉邦康沙巴提-达克斯瓦尔流域形态计量学分析
Pub Date : 2013-11-01 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000133
Sumita Gayen, G. Bhunia, P. Shit
The aim of the study is to delineate the morphometric characteristics of Kangshabati-Darkeswar Interfluves Area using remote sensing and GIS technology. 10 km2 grids were elaborate to delineate the relief characteristics using Advance Space Thermal Emission and Radiometer (ASTER) data. Drainage networks were automatically extracted from digital aster elevation models. Second order local polynomial (LP) interpolation technique was used to estimate the surface characteristics of the study area using ArcGIS 9.3. The absolute elevation of the study region is extended between 4.0-949.29 m with an average elevation of 484.50 m. The highest relative relief resulted 833.69 m, whereas the average ruggedness index of the study area is recorded as 0.09 per 10 km2 area. The average drainage density of the study area was computed 0.73/sq. km and the highest drainage intensity are recorded as 9.58/10 km2 grid area. The average length of overland flow of the study area was 2.56/10 km2 grid areas. The result of the study highlights an about the spatial distribution of relief and hydrological characteristics which may provide the knowledge to devise and accomplish an appropriate plan to progress agriculture and others allied activities. Hence, from the study, it can be concluded that remote sensing data (ASTER –DEM) coupled with GIS techniques prove to be a competent tool in morphometric analysis and the data can be used for basin or interfluves area management and other hydrological studies in future.
利用遥感和GIS技术对康沙巴堤-达克斯瓦尔流域的地貌特征进行了研究。利用ASTER (Advance Space Thermal Emission and Radiometer)数据,绘制了10 km2的网格来描绘地形特征。从数字aster高程模型中自动提取排水网络。利用ArcGIS 9.3软件,采用二阶局部多项式(LP)插值技术估算研究区地表特征。研究区绝对高程在4.0 ~ 949.29 m之间扩展,平均高程为484.50 m。研究区的最高相对起伏度为833.69 m,而平均崎岖度指数为0.09 / 10 km2。研究区平均排水密度为0.73/sq。最高排水强度为9.58/10 km2网格面积。研究区平均坡面流长度为2.56/10 km2。研究结果强调了关于地形和水文特征的空间分布,这可能为制定和完成适当的计划以推进农业和其他相关活动提供知识。因此,从研究中可以得出结论,遥感数据(ASTER -DEM)与GIS技术相结合被证明是一种有效的形态计量学分析工具,这些数据可以用于流域或流域管理以及未来的其他水文研究。
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引用次数: 50
General Attitude to the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources Middle East (With Iran) 对气候变化对水资源影响的总体态度中东(与伊朗)
Pub Date : 2013-11-01 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000132
Parviz Teymori, Azam Gohardoust
Close relationship between the hydrological cycle and climate system there. Water resources to reduce Middle East with regard to global climate change will be. Iran country and consequently Middle East in the semi arid region located in arid and water resources are limited. Runoff, river discharge, groundwater, flood and drought are all strongly influenced by rainfall, one of the most important elements are among climate, accommodation. In this paper, relying on staff information (IPCC) and obtaining information from relevant agencies to assess the effects of climate change on water resources, water crises in the Middle East and paid for Analytic Research enmity - are documents, the purpose of research, of climate change in recent years the Middle East and prevent the water crisis in Iran. Also provide part of the results of studies done on temperature and precipitation changes that indicated increased fluctuations in temperature and precipitation is in the country, the possible effects overset balance between the country’s climatic and hydrological systems, including increased flooding due to rainfall and temperature, changes in water levels of lakes and above all competition between water needs will be referred.
水文循环与气候系统关系密切。水资源的减少对于中东地区的全球气候变化将是不利的。伊朗国家因而处于中东半干旱地区,地处干旱,水资源有限。径流、河流排放、地下水、洪水和干旱都受到降雨的强烈影响,其中最重要的因素之一是气候、住宿。本文依托工作人员信息(IPCC),从相关机构获取信息,评估气候变化对水资源的影响,中东地区的水危机和付费分析研究的敌意-都是文献,研究的目的,气候变化近年来中东地区和防止伊朗的水危机。还请提供关于温度和降水变化的部分研究结果,其中表明该国的温度和降水波动加剧,该国气候和水文系统之间的平衡可能被抵消,包括降雨和温度造成的洪水增加、湖泊水位变化以及最重要的是水需求之间的竞争。
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引用次数: 4
Development of a Preliminary Hydrogeology Conceptual Model for a Heterogeneous Alluvial Aquifer using Geological Characterization 基于地质表征的非均质冲积含水层水文地质初步概念模型的建立
Pub Date : 2013-09-09 DOI: 10.4172/2329-6755.1000128
M. Gomo, G. V. Tonder
Geological characterization of a heterogeneous alluvial channel aquifer was conducted using outcrop mapping and analysis of lithological logs from 15 boreholes drilled at the site. The study was aimed at developing a preliminary hydrogeology conceptual model. A total of 12 lithological samples were tested in the laboratory using falling head permeameter to determine the hydraulic conductivity of each unconsolidated lithology unit. Shale and calcrete outcrops were observed on the study site. Outcrop mapping on the site also indicated the presence of a contact plane between the overlying unconsolidated sediments and the shale of the underlying bedrock where a groundwater discharge zone has been created. Geology logs show that the alluvial channel aquifer comprises of three distinct layered unconsolidated sediment materials (calcrete, clay-silt, sand-gravel deposited formations) that overlie low permeable shale formation. Geological lithology revealed the spatial variation in the nature and type of unconsolidated sediments deposits between boreholes that can influence groundwater occurrence and flow in the aquifer system. The gravel-sand aquifer layer that consists of medium to large pebbles is conceptually the main hydraulically conductive unit with an average laboratory determined hydraulic conductivity of 8.5 m/day. Hydraulic gradient calculated using a combination of boreholes ranges from 0.013-0.022.
通过露头测绘和现场15个钻孔的岩性测井分析,对非均质冲积河道含水层进行了地质表征。研究的目的是建立一个初步的水文地质概念模型。利用降头渗透率仪在实验室测试了12个岩性样品,以确定每个松散岩性单元的水力导电性。在研究现场观察到页岩和钙质露头。该地点的露头测绘也表明,在上面的松散沉积物和下面基岩的页岩之间存在一个接触面,在那里形成了地下水排放区。地质测井表明,冲积河道含水层由三种不同的层状松散沉积物质(钙质、粘土粉砂、砂砾沉积地层)组成,它们覆盖在低渗透页岩地层上。地质岩性揭示了钻孔间松散沉积物的性质和类型的空间差异,这些松散沉积物会影响含水层系统中地下水的赋存和流动。由大中型卵石组成的砂砾含水层在概念上是主要的水力导电性单元,实验室测定的平均水力导电性为8.5米/天。利用井眼组合计算的水力梯度范围为0.013-0.022。
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Geology and Geosciences
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