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Capital Markets Union and the fintech opportunity 资本市场联盟和金融科技机遇
Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJX012
M. Demertzis, S. Merler, G. Wolff
Complementing Europe’s bank-based system with deeper capital markets and more cross-border financial integration promises benefits, but despite long-running debate and policy action, financial system change remains slow. Fintech has the potential to change financial intermediation structures substantially. It could disrupt existing financial intermediation with new business models empowered by intelligent algorithms, big data, cloud computing and artificial intelligence. Lower costs and potentially better consumer experiences could be the driving forces. However, empirically, fintech remains at a small scale, especially in the European Union. Even the largest fintech market, in China, is of marginal size compared to overall financial intermediation. In the EU, much of fintech is concentrated in the United Kingdom. We argue that policymakers need to consider four questions urgently - (1) Develop a European or national fintech market? (2) What regulatory framework to pursue? (3) Should supervision of fintech be exercised at the European level? (4) What is the overall vision for the EU’s financial system? Getting the answers to these questions right at an early stage of market development would be an opportunity to shape a stable and cost-efficient financial system. In contrast, late action could mean that Europe loses out to foreign competitors and misses an opportunity to improve financial intermediation in Europe.
用更深层次的资本市场和更多的跨境金融一体化来补充以银行为基础的欧洲体系,有望带来好处,但尽管存在长期的辩论和政策行动,金融体系的变革仍然缓慢。金融科技有可能大幅改变金融中介结构。它可以用智能算法、大数据、云计算和人工智能支持的新商业模式颠覆现有的金融中介。更低的成本和潜在的更好的消费者体验可能是推动因素。然而,从经验来看,金融科技的规模仍然很小,尤其是在欧盟。即使是中国最大的金融科技市场,与整体金融中介相比,规模也很小。在欧盟,大部分金融科技都集中在英国。我们认为,政策制定者需要迫切考虑四个问题:(1)发展欧洲或国家金融科技市场?(2)采取什么样的监管框架?(3)是否应该在欧洲层面对金融科技进行监管?(4)欧盟金融体系的总体愿景是什么?在市场发展的早期阶段正确回答这些问题,将是塑造一个稳定和具有成本效益的金融体系的机会。相比之下,行动迟缓可能意味着欧洲输给外国竞争对手,并失去改善欧洲金融中介的机会。
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引用次数: 139
A compelling case for Chinese monetary easing 这是中国放松货币政策的令人信服的理由
Pub Date : 2015-04-01 DOI: 10.22459/cdtgc.07.2015.03
Guonan Ma
• Chinese monetary policy was excessively tight in 2014 but started loosening in late 2014, in an attempt to cushion growth, facilitate rebalancing, support reform and mitigate financial risk. • There are three main reasons for this policy shift. First, there is evidence that the Chinese economy has been operating below its potential capacity. Second, among the big five economies, China’s monetary policy stance and broader financial condition both tightened the most in the wake of the global financial crisis, likely weighing on domestic growth. Third, a mix of easy monetary policy and neutral fiscal policy would serve China best at the current juncture, because it would support domestic demand and help with the restructuring of China's local government debts, while facilitating a move away from the soft dollar peg. • Such a warranted shift in monetary policy stance faces the challenges of uncertain potential growth, a more liberalised financial system, an evolving monetary policy framework, the legacy of excess leverage and a politicised policy debate.
•中国的货币政策在2014年过度紧缩,但在2014年底开始放松,试图缓冲增长、促进再平衡、支持改革和降低金融风险。•这种政策转变主要有三个原因。首先,有证据表明,中国经济一直在低于其潜在产能运行。其次,在五大经济体中,中国的货币政策立场和更广泛的金融状况在全球金融危机爆发后收紧幅度最大,可能对国内经济增长造成压力。第三,在当前关头,宽松的货币政策和中性的财政政策相结合对中国最有利,因为这将支持国内需求,并有助于中国地方政府债务的重组,同时促进中国摆脱盯住美元的软汇率。•货币政策立场的这种合理转变面临着以下挑战:潜在增长的不确定性、更加自由化的金融体系、不断演变的货币政策框架、过度杠杆的遗留问题以及政治化的政策辩论。
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引用次数: 2
Capital Markets Union- a vision for the long term 资本市场联盟——一个长期的愿景
Pub Date : 2015-04-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJW006
Nicolas. Véron, G. Wolff
• Capital Markets Union (CMU) is a welcome initiative. It could augment economic risk sharing, set the right conditions for more dynamic development of risk capital for high-growth firms and improve choices and returns for savers. This offers major potential for benefits in terms of jobs, growth and financial resilience. • CMU cannot be a short-term cyclical instrument to replace subdued bank lending, because financial ecosystems change slowly. Shifting financial...
•资本市场联盟(CMU)是一个受欢迎的倡议。它可以增加经济风险分担,为高增长公司的风险资本更有活力的发展创造合适的条件,并改善储户的选择和回报。这在就业、增长和金融韧性方面提供了巨大的潜在效益。•CMU不可能成为一种短期的周期性工具,以取代低迷的银行贷款,因为金融生态系统变化缓慢。转移金融…
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引用次数: 92
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Policy Contributions
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