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Assessment the Role of Renewable Energy in Socio-Economic Development of Rural and Arctic Regions 评估可再生能源在农村和北极地区社会经济发展中的作用
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.9770/jesi.2020.7.4(51)
S. Tishkov, A. Shcherbak, V. Karginova-Gubinova, A. Volkov, A. Tleppayev, A. Pakhomova
The paper overviews Russian and foreign studies on renewable energy. In view of some economic and environmental premises, namely depletion of the traditional energy sources and growing costs of their exploitation, a new alley is being paved in scientific literature and global practices for displacing traditional energy resources and providing for a substantial contribution of renewable sources to total energy consumption. In this context, the aim of this study is to determine what role renewable energy will play in the socio-economic security of territories, to identify the potential and possible applications of renewable energy. The main tasks for the study were to: identify the socio-economic implications of the transition from traditional to renewable energy sources, study the foreign experience of implementing renewable energy policies, estimate the potential and evaluate the prospects for renewable energy with the focus on rural northern regions. The potential for renewable energy market growth in Russia was estimated, specifically for the Northwestern macro-region. To provide for socio-economic security, the energy policy being developed must have an environmental and economic orientation. Primary focus in the development of renewable energy sources should be on peripheral regions, which have no electrical grids of their own and are energy deficient.
本文综述了国内外对可再生能源的研究。鉴于一些经济和环境前提,即传统能源的耗竭和开发这些能源的费用日益增加,正在科学文献和全球实践中开辟一条新的道路,以取代传统能源,并使可再生能源对总能源消费作出重大贡献。在这方面,本研究的目的是确定可再生能源将在领土的社会经济安全方面发挥什么作用,查明可再生能源的潜在和可能的应用。这项研究的主要任务是:查明从传统能源向可再生能源过渡所涉及的社会经济问题,研究外国执行可再生能源政策的经验,估计可再生能源的潜力并评价其前景,重点是北部农村地区。对俄罗斯可再生能源市场的增长潜力进行了估计,特别是对西北宏观区域。为了提供社会经济安全,正在制订的能源政策必须具有环境和经济方向。发展可再生能源的主要重点应放在周边地区,这些地区本身没有电网,而且能源不足。
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引用次数: 19
False Assumptions: A Critique of Keller et al (2019) on BC Vehicle Electrification 错误的假设:凯勒等人(2019)对不列颠哥伦比亚省汽车电气化的批评
Pub Date : 2020-02-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3536476
Kent Zehr
Keller et al have reported that the complete electrification of road transportation in British Columbia is possible and that incorporating a requirement that the additional electricity supply required be 93% renewable in nature is also possible and increases the perceived benefits. While their logic is impeccable, it is founded on naive, simplistic, or just false assumptions. Consideration of the corrected or realistic assumptions invalidates all the conclusions of the paper. The faulty premises underlying Keller et al will have serious socio-economic consequences for the people of British Columbia if no further critical assessment of their proposals is undertaken by policymakers.
Keller等人报告说,不列颠哥伦比亚省道路运输的完全电气化是可能的,并且纳入要求93%的额外电力供应在本质上是可再生的也是可能的,并增加了感知效益。虽然他们的逻辑是无可挑剔的,但它是建立在天真、简单或错误的假设之上的。考虑到修正的或现实的假设使本文的所有结论无效。如果政策制定者不对凯勒等人的建议进行进一步的批判性评估,那么凯勒等人的错误前提将对不列颠哥伦比亚省人民产生严重的社会经济后果。
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引用次数: 0
Locational Marginal Network Tariffs for Intermittent Renewable Generation 间歇性可再生能源发电的边际上网电价
Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3495488
Thomas P. Tangerås, F. Wolak
The variability of solar and wind generation increases transmission network operating costs associated with maintaining system stability. These ancillary services costs are likely to increase as a share of total energy costs in regions with ambitious renewable energy targets. We examine how efficient deployment of intermittent renewable generation capacity across locations depends on the costs of balancing real-time system demand and supply. We then show how locational marginal network tariffs can be designed to implement the efficient outcome for intermittent renewable generation unit location decisions. We demonstrate the practical applicability of this approach by applying our theory to obtain quantitative results for the California electricity market.
太阳能和风能发电的可变性增加了与维持系统稳定性相关的输电网络运营成本。在具有雄心勃勃的可再生能源目标的地区,这些辅助服务成本在总能源成本中所占的份额可能会增加。我们研究了间歇性可再生能源发电能力在不同地点的有效部署如何取决于平衡实时系统需求和供应的成本。然后,我们展示了如何设计边际网络电价来实现间歇性可再生发电机组选址决策的有效结果。我们通过应用我们的理论来获得加州电力市场的定量结果来证明这种方法的实际适用性。
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引用次数: 2
What are You Waiting to Invest? Long-Term Investment in Grid-Connected Residential Solar Energy in California. A Real Options Analysis. 你在等什么投资?加州并网住宅太阳能的长期投资。实物期权分析。
Pub Date : 2019-05-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3231984
Carlos Vargas, M. Chesney
The goal of this paper is to assess the optimal choice of a household in California, United States, in terms of their decision if and when to undertake a certain investment in a residential scale, grid-connected, solar photovoltaic system, in order to obtain savings in their monthly expenditures in electricity. This irreversible option is then defined, mainly, by the initial cost of the solar PV system. For this purpose, Real Options Analysis is deployed to assess this investment opportunity for the household. This approach allows determining not only whether the investments should be undertaken or not, but also the optimal timing to do so. Results show it is optimal for a Californian household to invest in a photovoltaic system, however, some delay might be advised depending on the energy production factor of specific areas, and the expected useful life of the equipment. Furthermore, government intervention influencing subsidies and energy prices has a major effect in the length of such delay.
本文的目标是评估美国加利福尼亚州的一个家庭是否以及何时进行住宅规模的并网太阳能光伏系统的一定投资,以节省他们每月的电力支出的最优选择。这种不可逆转的选择主要由太阳能光伏系统的初始成本来定义。为此,使用实物期权分析来评估家庭的投资机会。这种方法不仅可以确定是否应该进行投资,还可以确定进行投资的最佳时机。结果表明,对于加州家庭来说,投资光伏系统是最理想的,然而,根据特定地区的能源生产因素和设备的预期使用寿命,可能会建议一些延迟。此外,影响补贴和能源价格的政府干预对这种延迟的长度有重大影响。
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引用次数: 3
Distributed Renewable Power Generation and Implications for Capacity Investment and Electricity Prices 分布式可再生能源发电及其对产能投资和电价的影响
Pub Date : 2018-12-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3172207
Alexandar Angelus
Renewable energy generation at the point of consumption (i.e., distributed generation) reduces
consumer’s electricity expenditure, and eliminates the cost, complexity, and inefficiency associated
with power transmission and distribution. In this paper, we address the problem of how a
consumer should invest in distributed renewable generation to minimize the total expected cost
of meeting his electricity demand. In contrast to the existing literature that focuses on grid-connected, large scale investments in renewable power generation in the wholesale electricity
market, we address investment in stand-alone, distributed renewable energy by an individual
consumer who participates in a regulated, retail electricity market. We formulate an infinite horizon,
continuous-time model in which the utility moves first, and announces a retail electricity
rate. Each consumer then acts strategically in deciding if, when, and how much distributed
generation capacity to install. We find the subgame-perfect Nash equilibrium of this dynamic
Stackelberg game by first deriving the consumer’s optimal investment time and the resulting
optimal capacity of his installed distributed generation. Using those results, we quantify the ensuing
cost savings to the consumer, which average over 22% across a range of model parameters.
Next, we evaluate the impact of consumer’s investment in renewable energy on the revenue of
his electric utility, and arrive at the structure of the pricing policy that maximizes that revenue.
We quantify the revenue increase available to the utility from following this revenue-maximizing
pricing when serving either a single consumer or multiple heterogeneous consumers, and find
that it averages over 10% in our numerical studies.
可再生能源发电在消费点(即分布式发电)减少了消费者的电力支出,并消除了与电力传输和分配相关的成本、复杂性和低效率。在本文中,我们讨论了消费者应该如何投资分布式可再生能源发电以使满足其电力需求的总预期成本最小化的问题。与现有文献关注的是批发电力市场中并网的可再生能源发电的大规模投资不同,我们研究的是参与受监管的零售电力市场的个人消费者对独立的、分布式的可再生能源的投资。我们制定了一个无限视界,连续时间模型,其中公用事业首先移动,并宣布零售电价。然后,每个用户都有策略地决定是否、何时以及安装多少分布式发电容量。首先推导出消费者的最优投资时间和由此产生的最优分布式发电装机容量,得到了该动态stackelberg博弈的子博弈-完美纳什均衡。使用这些结果,我们量化了随后为消费者节省的成本,在一系列模型参数中平均超过22%。接下来,我们评估消费者在可再生能源上的投资对其电力公司收益的影响,并得出使收益最大化的定价政策结构。当服务于单个消费者或多个异构消费者时,我们通过遵循这种收入最大化定价,量化了公用事业公司可获得的收入增长,并发现在我们的数值研究中,它平均超过10%。
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引用次数: 10
Renewable Energy Production, Growth of Sustainable Entrepreneurs and Inclusivity: The Case of India's Biodiesel Programme 可再生能源生产、可持续企业家的成长和包容性:印度生物柴油计划的案例
Pub Date : 2018-09-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3246532
P. Biswas, J. Verma, S. Pohit
The biodiesel programme introduced by the Government of India in the beginning of this century represents a unique case of the development of numerous sustainable entrepreneurs, substantial employment generation for the poor and reduction of carbon footprints without compromising food security and thus promote equity and social justice. It is estimated that a 20% biofuel blending through domestic feedstock production would create 6.37 million sustainable entrepreneurs and185.15 million man-days per year by 2020. Given the availability of wasteland in the country this target is achievable. The two most important factors that restrained the success of the programme are the uncertainties in yield and seed prices for the farmers. As the domestic price of petroleum is linked to global crude price, any decline in the price of crude in the world market would reduce the feedstock prices in the local market. It therefore requires fixing minimum support prices for seeds and stabilizing yield at higher level through R&D. Given all this potential benefits and the recent trend of jobless growth in the country the programme deserves to be implemented more vigorously.
印度政府在本世纪初推出的生物柴油计划是一个独特的例子,它培养了众多可持续的企业家,为穷人创造了大量就业机会,在不损害粮食安全的情况下减少了碳足迹,从而促进了公平和社会正义。据估计,到2020年,通过国内原料生产20%的生物燃料混合将创造637万可持续企业家和每年18515万工日。鉴于这个国家有很多荒地,这个目标是可以实现的。制约该计划成功的两个最重要因素是产量和农民种子价格的不确定性。由于国内石油价格与全球原油价格挂钩,国际市场原油价格的任何下跌都会降低当地市场的原料价格。因此,需要确定种子的最低支持价格,并通过研发在较高水平上稳定产量。鉴于所有这些潜在的好处和该国最近失业增长的趋势,该方案应该得到更有力的执行。
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引用次数: 0
Renewable Energy Consumption and Sustainable Economic Growth in Non-Oil MENA Countries 中东和北非非石油国家的可再生能源消费与可持续经济增长
Pub Date : 2017-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3063111
Badry Hechmy
This study examines the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in non-oil countries in the Middle East and North Africa (NOMENA) during the period 2000 to 2015. The Pedroni (2000) test shows that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the variables and the Granger causality test in VECM shows that this relationship is bidirectional in the short and long term. Thus to ensure sustainable economic growth without pollution and to reduce dependence at abroad, renewable energies can be chosen as substitutes for conventional energies in the NOMENA countries.
本研究考察了2000年至2015年期间中东和北非非石油国家(NOMENA)可再生能源消费与经济增长之间的关系。Pedroni(2000)检验表明变量之间存在长期协整关系,VECM中的Granger因果关系检验表明这种关系在短期和长期都是双向的。因此,为了确保无污染的可持续经济增长和减少对国外的依赖,可以选择可再生能源作为NOMENA国家常规能源的替代品。
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引用次数: 0
Settlement by Energy – Can Renewable Energies Sustain Our Civilisation? 能源解决方案-可再生能源能维持我们的文明吗?
Pub Date : 2017-10-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3049170
Krzysztof Waśniewski
This article contributes to explaining the recently observable acceleration in the growth of output in renewable energies, through studying the fundamental role of renewable energies in sustaining human settlement. A model of general equilibrium is introduced, based on the logic of the original production function by Cobb and Douglas, where the size of the human population in a given place at a given time is in equilibrium with the available food and energy. Empirical check provided for the model strongly suggests that renewable energies can sustain the majority of local human populations on Earth, and most countries, with the intriguing exception of China and India, can sustain significantly bigger populations than their present ones, by reorienting their economies totally to renewable energies.
本文通过研究可再生能源在维持人类住区方面的基本作用,有助于解释最近可再生能源产量增长的加速。根据Cobb和Douglas提出的原始生产函数的逻辑,提出了一个一般均衡模型,即在给定时间、给定地点的人口规模与可获得的食物和能源处于均衡状态。为该模型提供的经验检验有力地表明,可再生能源可以维持地球上大多数当地人口,而且除了中国和印度这两个令人感兴趣的例外,大多数国家都可以通过将其经济完全转向可再生能源,来维持比现有人口多得多的人口。
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引用次数: 0
Методологические Подходы К Анализу Возможностей Развития Ветровой и Солнечной Энергетики в России (Methodological Approaches to the Analysis of the Development Opportunities for Wind and Solar Energy in Russia)
Pub Date : 2017-04-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2957555
V. Barinova, V. Barinova, T. Lanshina
Russian Abstract: В последнее время, в связи с началом развития возобновляемых источников энергии (ВИЭ) в России, а также в связи с появлением новых технологических и экономических данных по возобновляемой энергетике, наблюдается потребность в обновлении имеющихся оценок технического и экономического потенциала ВИЭ. В данной работе для оценки выбран потенциал солнечной и ветровой энергетики – наиболее развитых в настоящее время отраслей возобновляемой энергетики. Данная работа направлена на обобщение методологических подходов к расчету валового, технического и экономического потенциала солнечной и ветровой энергетики и проведение соответствующих оценок. English Abstract: Recently, in connection with the beginning of the development of renewable energy sources in Russia, and also in connection with the emergence of new technological and economic data on renewable energy, a need to update the available estimates of the technical and economic potential of renewable energy sources arises. In this paper, the potential of solar and wind energy - currently the most developed renewable energy sectors - has been selected for assessment. This work is aimed at summarizing the methodological approaches to calculating the gross, technical and economic potential of solar and wind energy and conducting relevant assessments.
俄罗斯的Abstract:最近,随着俄罗斯可再生能源的开始和可再生能源的新技术和经济数据的出现,需要更新现有的技术和经济能力评估。这项工作选择了太阳能和风能的潜力,这是目前最发达的可再生能源部门。这项工作旨在概括计算太阳能和风能总量、技术和经济潜力的方法方法,并进行适当的评估。抽象:Recently English in connection with the beginning of the development of energy字段soll in Russia and also in connection with the涌现of new经验and economic data on energy a need to update the检索soll estimates of the technical and economic potential of energy soll字段arises。在这张纸上,《太阳与风的力量》是有史以来最具启发性的雷诺sectors - has的选择。这篇文章是关于对生长进行评估的,是关于独奏和风动力的技术和经济方面的。
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引用次数: 2
Renewable Entry in Liberalized Electricity Markets: Implications for Policy Design 可再生能源进入自由化电力市场:对政策设计的影响
Pub Date : 2017-03-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2932057
Gerard Llobet, Jorge Padilla
Electricity generation from renewable energy sources is growing rapidly. This has resulted in lower wholesale electricity prices, but has also reduced the use of conventional generation technologies, such as coal and gas, because renewable energy generally has lower running costs. Declining demand, lower prices and lower utilisation rates have all reduced the profitability of conventional electricity generation. At the same time, flexible conventional technologies continue to play a very important role: the growing share of renewable energy sources like wind and solar energy, the output of which varies with weather conditions and from daytime to night time, requires flexible energy systems, including reliable back-up capacity, that can take the form of conventional generation, demand-response or storage, to ensure security of supply at all times.
可再生能源发电正在迅速增长。这导致批发电价下降,但也减少了传统发电技术(如煤和天然气)的使用,因为可再生能源通常具有较低的运行成本。需求下降、价格下降和利用率下降都降低了传统发电的盈利能力。与此同时,灵活的传统技术继续发挥着非常重要的作用:风能和太阳能等可再生能源的份额越来越大,其产量随天气条件和昼夜变化,需要灵活的能源系统,包括可靠的备用能力,可以采取传统发电、需求响应或储存的形式,以确保任何时候的供应安全。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
SRPN: Other Renewable Energy (Topic)
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