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Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty, Second Edition最新文献

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Financial markets since the crisis: a smorgasbord of issues 危机以来的金融市场:问题的大杂烩
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4337/9781784717193.00024
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引用次数: 0
Monetary policy credibility 货币政策公信力
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4337/9781784717193.00012
D. Wal
In this paper we applied the credibility-hypothesis to the Netherlands' exchange rate policy. Since September 1979 Dutch exchange rate policy has been intensified. The policy is now to keep the guilder in the upper part of the EMS band and to strive for an unchanged central rate with the Deutsche mark. Such a policy, if maintained, will lead to a lower premium for currency risk on the guilder vis a vis the DM, resulting in a lower level of Dutch interest rates. By means of two indirect and two direct estimation methods we found support for the credibility-hypothesis. After one year this policy led to a significant and permanent cut in money market rates, amounting to about 1V*%. Further, the public turned out to react to policy results, not merely to policy announcements. We also found evidence the unanticipated devaluation of the guilder vis a vis the DM in the March 1983 realignment was seen as cheating. Free University Amsterdam Faculty of Economics & Econometrics P.O. Box 7161 1007 MC Amsterdam The Netherlands Amsterdam, February 1991
本文将可信性假设应用于荷兰的汇率政策。自1979年9月以来,荷兰的汇率政策加强了。目前的政策是将荷兰盾保持在EMS波动区间的上半部分,并力争与德国马克保持一个不变的中间汇率。这种政策如果维持下去,将导致荷兰盾相对于马克的货币风险溢价降低,从而导致荷兰盾的利率水平降低。通过两种间接和两种直接的估计方法,我们找到了可信性假设的支持。一年后,这一政策导致货币市场利率大幅永久性下调,降幅约为1%。此外,公众不仅对政策公告作出反应,而且对政策结果作出反应。我们还发现有证据表明,1983年3月重新调整时盾对马克的意外贬值被视为欺诈行为。阿姆斯特丹自由大学经济与计量经济学院邮编7161 1007 MC阿姆斯特丹荷兰阿姆斯特丹,1991年2月
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引用次数: 4
Introduction, Part 3 引言,第3部分
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4337/9781784717193.00021
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引用次数: 0
Imperfect information, responses to shocks, and credibility issues 信息不完善,对冲击的反应和可信度问题
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4337/9781784717193.00006
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking stabilization policy 重新思考稳定政策
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4337/9781784717193.00023
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty, Second Edition
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