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¿UNA RENEGOCIACIÓN EN PUERTA O UNA FRACTURA DEL PARADIGMA? 在国内重新谈判还是范式的断裂?
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rpd.2017.11.001
Alicia Girón
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引用次数: 0
¿QUÉ SUCEDIÓ CON EL CASILLERO VACÍO DEL DESARROLLO DE AMÉRICA LATINA 30 AÑOS DESPUÉS? 30年后,拉丁美洲发展的空壳发生了什么?
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rpd.2017.11.002
Paola Jaimes, Guillermo Matamoros

This paper revives Fernando Fajnzylber's methodology, used to characterize Latin America's development pattern from the nineteen-sixties to the nineteen-eighties, leading him to describe it as a non-equitable growth pattern, which he termed the empty box. This time around, we analyze the last thirty years, aiming to reveal how the development pattern in the region has fundamentally changed, if it has changed at all, and find evidence as to whether the empty box, pursuant to its original definition, persists or not. Implicitly, the task is to propose a critical analysis of Latin American economic development in line with a classic structuralist work, as Fajnyzylber's research is.

本文回顾了Fernando Fajnzylber的方法论,该方法论用于描述20世纪60年代至80年代拉丁美洲的发展模式,使他将其描述为一种非公平的增长模式,他称之为空盒子。这一次,我们对过去三十年进行分析,旨在揭示该地区的发展模式发生了怎样的根本变化,是否发生了根本变化,并找到证据,证明按照最初的定义,空盒子是否会继续存在。隐含的是,本书的任务是按照经典的结构主义著作,对拉丁美洲的经济发展提出批判性的分析,就像Fajnyzylber的研究一样。
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引用次数: 5
MEDIOS DE VIDA SUSTENTABLES Y CONTEXTO DE VULNERABILIDAD DE LOS HOGARES RURALES DE MÉXICO 墨西哥农村家庭的可持续生计和脆弱性背景
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rpd.2017.11.006
Isael Fierros, V. Sophie Ávila-Foucat

This paper identifies four different rural household profiles in Mexico, taking into account assets, income level, and other aspects related to vulnerability. The classification was done using cluster analysis and a sustainable livelihood approach. Our findings show that households diversify the ways they earn a living as one subsistence strategy to deal with the challenges of limited access to markets and physical infrastructure and weather-related damage from hurricanes and droughts. Likewise, rural Mexico is very heterogeneous across regions. This spurs reflection about the pressing need to design the right public policies to address the problems facing each household profile.

本文将资产、收入水平和其他与脆弱性相关的方面考虑在内,确定了墨西哥四种不同的农村家庭概况。采用聚类分析和可持续生计方法进行分类。我们的研究结果表明,家庭将谋生方式多样化作为一种生存策略,以应对市场准入和物质基础设施受限以及飓风和干旱造成的天气相关损害等挑战。同样,墨西哥农村地区的差异也很大。这促使人们思考,迫切需要设计正确的公共政策,以解决每个家庭面临的问题。
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引用次数: 11
INNOVACIÓN Y DESARROLLO: PROGRAMA DE ESTÍMULOS A LA INNOVACIÓN REGIONAL EN MÉXICO 创新与发展:墨西哥区域创新激励计划
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rpd.2017.11.007
Patricia Moctezuma, Sergio López, Alejandro Mungaray

This paper evaluates the Innovation Stimulus Program (pei) in Mexico through its contribution to the Baja California Regional Innovation System (sri) between 2009 and 2013. Using additional behavior methodologies, we analyzed the within-company effect and the network effect, as well as the degree of connectivity and number of interactions between stakeholders from the worlds of business, science, and government involved in the sri. The results reveal that by making funding for innovative projects subject to connections between actors from the realms of business and science, the pei is helping fortify the sri by incentivizing 15% of its interactions.

本文通过2009 - 2013年墨西哥创新刺激计划(pei)对下加利福尼亚州区域创新系统(sri)的贡献来评估该计划。使用其他行为方法,我们分析了公司内部效应和网络效应,以及参与sri的商业、科学和政府利益相关者之间的联系程度和互动数量。研究结果显示,通过将创新项目的资金建立在商业和科学领域参与者之间的联系上,pei通过激励15%的互动,帮助巩固了sri。
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引用次数: 6
SECTOR EXTERNO, RESTRICCIONES Y CRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO EN ECUADOR 厄瓜多尔的外部部门、限制和经济增长
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rpd.2017.11.005
Rafael Alvarado, Stefany Iglesias

This research examines the constraint imposed by the external sector on growth in Ecuador in the time period 1980-2015 using cointegration techniques. The results are consistent with the theoretical framework used and conclude that the external sector does indeed hinder Ecuadorian growth. In the timespan analyzed, we found that Ecuador exhibits an elevated marginal propensity to import: when national income rises 1%, imports go up by 1.57%. Moreover, we show that exports are closely related in the short and long term with external income. One policy implication derived from this research is that two mechanisms to shore up economic growth in developing countries could involve bolstering domestic demand and diversifying export destinations.

本研究利用协整技术考察了1980-2015年期间厄瓜多尔外部部门对经济增长的约束。结果与所使用的理论框架一致,并得出结论,即外部部门确实阻碍了厄瓜多尔的增长。在分析的时间跨度中,我们发现厄瓜多尔表现出较高的边际进口倾向:当国民收入增加1%时,进口增加1.57%。此外,我们表明出口在短期和长期与外部收入密切相关。这项研究得出的一个政策启示是,支持发展中国家经济增长的两种机制可能涉及扩大国内需求和使出口目的地多样化。
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引用次数: 11
Desarrollo sostenible y conceptos “verdes” 可持续发展与“绿色”理念
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-12 DOI: 10.22201/IIEC.20078951E.2018.192.59312
M. Grand, V. D´Elia
In the aftermath of the financial crisis that broke out in 2008, new terms to talk about sustainable development started to emerge: the “green” economy and “green” growth. Some countries supported their usage and others did not. The literature witnessed the recrudescence of the debate on the relationship between economic activity and taking care of the environment, divided into three stances: degrowth advocates, “green” growth backers, and the growth agnostics. This paper dives into the different “green” terms, paying special attention to the case of Argentina. Unlike in previous papers, which have analyzed country interventions in international forums, the methodology here was to search the web pages of the most relevant local players. The most traditional terms “sustainable development” were strongly predominant, and the concepts of “green” economy or “green” growth were few and far between.
2008年爆发的金融危机之后,关于可持续发展的新术语开始出现:“绿色”经济和“绿色”增长。有些国家支持使用,有些国家则不支持。这些文献见证了关于经济活动与环境保护之间关系的辩论再次出现,分为三种立场:反增长倡导者、“绿色”增长支持者和增长不可知论者。本文深入探讨了不同的“绿色”术语,并特别关注了阿根廷的案例。与以前的论文分析了国家在国际论坛上的干预不同,本文的方法是搜索最相关的当地参与者的网页。“可持续发展”是最传统的用语,占主导地位,“绿色”经济或“绿色”增长的概念很少。
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引用次数: 12
Política energética argentina: un balance del periodo 2003-2015 阿根廷能源政策:2003-2015年的平衡
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-12 DOI: 10.22201/IIEC.20078951E.2018.192.58745
Natalia Ceppi
Energy policy, like any other public policy, requires the powers of the government to devise precise and coordinated provisions to efficiently manage a strategic sector. Every country adopts its own energy policy based on factors like resource endowment, macroeconomic policy, the regulatory framework, and its own vision of the relationship between the state and market in a given field, to name a few factors. This paper analyzes energy policy in twenty-first century Argentina, considering its most notable peculiarities, how it has changed and remained the same, and the principal challenges looming ahead.
与其他公共政策一样,能源政策需要政府的权力来制定精确和协调的规定,以有效地管理一个战略部门。每个国家根据资源禀赋、宏观经济政策、监管框架以及自己对特定领域国家与市场关系的看法等因素采取自己的能源政策,仅举几例。本文分析了21世纪阿根廷的能源政策,考虑到其最显著的特点,它是如何改变和保持不变的,以及迫在眉睫的主要挑战。
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引用次数: 5
Economía étnica transnacional mexicana: Los Ángeles, California 墨西哥跨国民族经济:加州洛杉矶
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-12 DOI: 10.22201/IIEC.20078951E.2018.192.58714
B. Peraza, Blas Valenzuela
This research analyzes the nature of the Mexican ethnic economy developing in the cities of Huntington Park and Lynwood, California, in the United States. Using census databases and the results of 145 surveys administered to and 25 interviews with a range of people in 2012, this paper documents the existence of a Transnational Ethnic Economy (TEE), which goes further than the traditional definition of the “ethnic economy” concept” and is organized and develops in such a way that includes individual businesses, businesses with multiple branches, supermarket networks, and a commercial consortium in the study zone, with bonds and relationships that transcend national borders.
本研究分析了在美国加利福尼亚州亨廷顿公园和林伍德市发展的墨西哥民族经济的性质。本文利用人口普查数据库和2012年对145人进行的调查和25次访谈的结果,证明了跨国民族经济(TEE)的存在,它超越了“民族经济”概念的传统定义,并以包括个体企业,多分支企业,超市网络和商业财团的方式组织和发展。拥有超越国界的纽带和关系。
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引用次数: 0
Gasto público, índice de competitividad y política social en México 墨西哥的公共支出、竞争力指数和社会政策
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-12 DOI: 10.22201/IIEC.20078951E.2018.192.58918
I. S. Juárez
This paper was drafted using the Social Competitiveness Index (SCI) compiled by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP-Mexico) to analyze progress and/or backsliding in the areas of healthcare, education, and job income in the Mexican Republic’s 32 states over the time period 2005-2014. The aim was also to use panel data techniques to evaluate the relationship between the SCI and public spending, finding that public spending on social issues was negatively related to the SCI (elasticity was -0.5764%). In conjunction with that, it was demonstrated that a lack of social competitiveness existed alongside growth in public spending, leading to the conclusion that the social policy was ineffective, on top of an economic policy that only drove scant growth in production.
本文采用联合国开发计划署(UNDP Mexico)编制的社会竞争力指数(SCI)来分析2005-2014年期间墨西哥共和国32个州在医疗、教育和就业收入领域的进展和/或倒退。目的还在于使用面板数据技术来评估SCI与公共支出之间的关系,发现社会问题上的公共支出与SCI呈负相关(弹性为-0.5764%)。同时,研究表明,随着公共支出的增长,社会竞争力的缺乏也存在,得出的结论是,除了经济政策只推动了生产的少量增长之外,社会政策是无效的。
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引用次数: 5
Mercados de futuros y físicos de petróleo: transmisión de media y volatilidad 石油期货和实物市场:平均传播和波动性
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-12 DOI: 10.22201/IIEC.20078951E.2018.192.58715
R. Gutiérrez
Este trabajo propone el modelo VEC-EGARCH bivariado con correlaciones constantes para analizar el proceso de transmision de la media y volatilidad entre mercados de futuros de crudo y mercados fisicos del petroleo mexicano. Los resultados revelan la existencia de patrones de transmision de informacion de rendimientos bilaterales con efectos mas fuertes de los mercados de futuros hacia los mercados fisicos. En tanto que la evidencia de efectos de transmision de volatilidad bilateral, solo existe entre los mercados de futuros y el mercado fisico del petroleo Olmeca. Los hallazgos empiricos son relevantes para las autoridades gubernamentales y consumidores porque coadyuvan en el diseno de estrategias de cobertura cruzada, que mitigan la exposicion al riesgo de precios en el petroleo mexicano.
本文提出了具有常数相关性的双变量VEC-EGARCH模型,以分析原油期货市场与墨西哥石油实体市场之间平均值和波动性的传递过程。结果表明,存在双边收益率信息传递模式,期货市场对实体市场的影响更大。作为双边波动传导效应的证据,只有期货市场和奥尔梅卡石油实体市场之间存在。经验发现与政府当局和消费者有关,因为它们有助于设计交叉套期保值策略,以减轻墨西哥石油价格风险的风险。
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