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Quantitative Flood Risk Projection in Java Island, Indonesia 印尼爪哇岛洪水风险定量预测
Qoriatun Nafishoh, I. Meilano, A. Riqqi
Quantitative risk assessment is useful to determine the actual risk conditions from the society. This paper aims to assess quantitative risks due to flood disasters in Java Island and project the risk until 2030 based on land change scenarios. Quantitative risk is assessed by integrating hazard, vulnerabilitiy, and elements at risk through Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Flood hazard is represented by inundation depth. Vulnerability is represented by a vulnerability curve for relating flood depth with the probability of damage level. While the elements at risk consists of house and population. Risk projection is carried out based on land change scenarios. This scenario is modeled using the relationship of the availability of foodstuffs energy to the population. The results show that during 2014 – 2030, the number of populations and houses that affected by floods has increased around 13.99% and 31.84%. The estimated economic losses from house building about Rp1.797.258 billion in 2014 and increase up to Rp3.240.681 billion in 2030.
定量的风险评估有助于从社会上确定实际的风险状况。基于土地变化情景,对爪哇岛洪水灾害风险进行定量评估,并预测其至2030年的风险。定量风险是通过地理信息系统(GIS)综合危害、脆弱性和风险要素来评估的。洪水灾害用淹没深度来表示。脆弱性用洪水深度与破坏等级概率关系的脆弱性曲线来表示。而面临风险的因素包括房屋和人口。基于土地变化情景进行风险预测。这一情景是用食物和能量对人口的可用性的关系来建模的。结果表明:2014 - 2030年,受洪涝灾害影响的人口和房屋分别增加了13.99%和31.84%。2014年房屋建设的经济损失估计为17792.58亿印尼盾,到2030年将增加到32406.81亿印尼盾。
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引用次数: 0
Earthquake Risk Analysis of Building Houses using Probabilistic and Deterministic Approach (Study Case: West Sumatra, Indonesia) 基于概率和确定性方法的房屋地震风险分析(以印度尼西亚西苏门答腊岛为例)
Febriana Kuscahyadi, A. Riqqi, I. Meilano
Over the past decade, West Sumatra experienced a major earthquake event with significant risk. Disaster risk analysis needs to be done with the aim of minimizing disaster risk. This study aims to model the distribution risk of building houses damages and economic losses. Risk analysis is carried out quantitatively with probabilistic and deterministic approaches with faults and subduction zone sources based on Seismic Hazard Analysis (SHA) method. The use of probabilistic and deterministic approaches is done for providing a better risk analysis perspective and regarding to earthquake disaster management policy making. The results found that the earthquake risks are greater from fault earthquake sources compared with subduction earthquake sources.
在过去的十年里,西苏门答腊经历了一次具有重大风险的大地震事件。灾害风险分析需要以尽量减少灾害风险为目标。本研究旨在建立房屋损毁与经济损失的分布风险模型。基于地震危险性分析(SHA)方法,采用概率和确定性方法对断层和俯冲带震源进行了定量风险分析。使用概率和确定性方法是为了提供更好的风险分析视角和关于地震灾害管理政策制定。结果发现,断层震源的地震危险性比俯冲震源大。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Himawari Rainfall Data for Indonesia Fire Danger Rating System (Ina-FDRS) Himawari降雨数据在印度尼西亚火灾危险等级系统(Ina-FDRS)中的作用
R. Sulistyowati, E. Avianti, A. Panjaitan, A. Darmawan, L. Sumargana
The 2015 fire period and 2018 non-fire period in South Sumatera, Indonesia, will be studied by using satellite rainfall data from HIMAWARI-8 AHI. The rainfall data from satellite remote sensing and surface meteorological data will be used as an input for Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System and compare during those two different seasons. In this study, the satellite rainfall data will be applied to the peat land area at South Sumatera Province. During 2015, rainfall conditions less than 3 mm/day and South Sumatera’s condition very dry compare with the conditions on 2018.
利用HIMAWARI-8 AHI卫星降水数据,对印度尼西亚南苏门答腊2015年火期和2018年非火期进行了研究。来自卫星遥感的降雨数据和地面气象数据将被用作加拿大森林火灾天气指数系统的输入,并在这两个不同的季节进行比较。在本研究中,卫星降雨数据将应用于南苏门答腊省泥炭地地区。与2018年相比,2015年的降雨量不足3毫米/天,南苏门答腊的情况非常干燥。
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引用次数: 3
Carbon Stocks In OKI Regency Peatland – A Benefit Transfer Approach 俄克拉荷马州摄政泥炭地的碳储量——一种利益转移方法
W. A. Martono, Laju Gandharum
Ogan Komering Ilir (OKI) regency has the largest peatland area peatland in South Sumatera province. A benefit transfer method is proposed in this paper to calculate the peatland carbon stock. While this approach may not resulted in a highly accurate carbon stock figure when compared to a more time and resource consuming survey and sample plot method, the resulting carbon figure is still useful for general planning requirements. The benefit transfer method uses similar survey approach for carbon stock calculation, namely consist of the five pools: above-ground biomass, subsurface biomass, deadwood, litter, and soil. Assuming the lack of detailed information of those five pools, this approach uses a benefit transfer method to estimate the five pools of carbon stocks. Benefit transfer method is a method (widely used in natural resources studies) in which available information from studies completed in another location is used. This paper has estimated that the (soil pool) peatlands in OKI regency holds 409,470,154 tonnes of carbon stock.
Ogan Komering Ilir (OKI)摄政拥有南苏门答腊省最大的泥炭地面积。本文提出了一种计算泥炭地碳储量的效益转移法。虽然与耗时和消耗资源的调查和样本图方法相比,这种方法可能无法产生高度准确的碳储量数字,但所产生的碳数字仍然对总体规划要求有用。效益转移法采用类似的调查方法计算碳储量,即由地上生物量、地下生物量、枯木、凋落物和土壤五个库组成。假设缺乏这五个碳库的详细信息,该方法采用利益转移法对五个碳库进行估算。利益转移法是一种利用在另一地点完成的研究的现有资料的方法(广泛用于自然资源研究)。本文估计OKI摄政区(土壤池)泥炭地的碳储量为409,470,154吨。
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引用次数: 0
Identify depth of peat using Ultra GPR in Siak Regency, Riau Province 在廖内省Siak Regency使用超探地雷达确定泥炭深度
Sumirah, L. Sumargana, D. Nugroho, G. P. Dinanta, Y. Anantasena
The Ultra GPR (Ground Penetrating Radar) method is one of the electromagnetic geophysical methods designed to detect objects buried in the ground and can be used to map subsurface conditions without drilling or digging the ground. This method uses the principle of wave propagation from transmitter to receiver. The ultra GPR data collection is done on peatland in Siak Regency, Riau Province. The results of the radargram show a clear boundary between the peat and the underlying mineral layer, this is demonstrated by clear and continuous contrast. The ultra GPR method is an effective and efficient method used to identify thickness of the peat in a broad scale.
超探地雷达(超探地雷达)方法是一种电磁地球物理方法,用于探测埋在地下的物体,可以在不钻孔或挖掘地面的情况下绘制地下情况。这种方法利用了波从发射机传播到接收机的原理。超探地雷达数据收集是在廖内省锡亚克县的泥炭地进行的。雷达图的结果显示泥炭和下伏矿物层之间有清晰的边界,这一点通过清晰连续的对比得到了证明。超探地雷达方法是一种在大范围内识别泥炭厚度的有效方法。
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引用次数: 4
Deformation of West Sumatra Due to the 2016 Earthquake (M7.8) Based on Continuous GPS Data 基于连续GPS数据的2016年西苏门答腊7.8级地震形变
Dzakiyyah Khaerani, D. Sarsito, I. Meilano, Susilo
Sumatra Island, one of the areas in Indonesia, has a very active tectonics in the world. It causes Sumatra to be prone to tectonic earthquake disaster due to the movement of the plates around it. On March 2nd, 2016, a Mw7.8 earthquake centered in the Wharton Indian Ocean Basin Zone, West of Sumatra island happened at a depth of 24 km. This earthquake was an intraplate earthquake that occurred due to the movement in the ocean plate as a type of left lateral strike-slip fault. The calculation of deformation in West Sumatra due to the earthquake was conducted through continuous GPS observation of SuGAr (Sumatran GPS Array) from January 1, 2015 until March 30, 2017 around west part of Sumatra areas. Data processing is done by using GAMIT/GLOBK 10.6 software and the results in daily solution shows that the horizontal component of co-seismic deformation of West Sumatra earthquake in 2016 ranged from 3,6 mm – 5,5 mm which moves toward to northwest. The difference in velocity movement of GPS observation before and after earthquake is used to calculate the strain of plate tectonic around West Sumatra region, where there is a compression pattern before earthquake equal to 2.72×10-8 strain and after earthquake equal to 5.98×10-8 strain. This indicates that there is an increase in compression value in the observation after the earthquake, and the observation area again show the interseismic deformation which means that there is still a considerable accumulation of energy and sometimes can cause the other earthquake.
苏门答腊岛是印度尼西亚的一个地区,是世界上构造非常活跃的地区。由于它周围的板块运动,使得苏门答腊岛容易发生构造地震灾害。2016年3月2日,苏门答腊岛以西沃顿印度洋海盆带发生震源深度24 km的里氏7.8级地震。这次地震是由于海洋板块作为一种左旋走滑断层的运动而发生的板内地震。通过SuGAr (Sumatran GPS Array)在2015年1月1日至2017年3月30日对苏门答腊岛西部地区进行连续GPS观测,计算了西苏门答腊岛地震造成的形变。利用GAMIT/GLOBK 10.6软件对数据进行处理,日解结果显示,2016年西苏门答腊地震同震形变水平分量在3.6 ~ 5.5 mm之间,向西北方向移动。利用GPS观测的地震前后速度运动差值计算西苏门答腊地区板块构造应变,该地区地震前为2.72×10-8应变,地震后为5.98×10-8应变。这说明地震发生后观测压缩值有所增加,观测区域再次出现震间变形,说明仍有相当大的能量积累,有时会引起另一次地震。
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引用次数: 3
Tropical Peat Moisture Profiles for Early Information of Drought in Indonesia 印度尼西亚干旱早期信息的热带泥炭水分剖面
F. Marpaung, D. Fernando, S. Putiamini
Tropical peatland is one of the main factors in global climate regulation. However, a repeatable large-scale fire as a result of land clearing and poor management practices rapidly devastates tropical peatlands in Indonesia. To restore this ecosystem, Indonesia government makes special actions by doing three activities, namely rewetting, replantation, and communal empowerment. These activities need real-time and actual information of peat moisture. Therefore, we investigated the soil moisture profile in Ogan Komering Ilir, South Sumatera Province, Indonesia. We measured soil moisture at four different soil layers, namely 5-cm, 15-cm, 25-cm, and 35-cm soil layer along with two types of land covers, namely acacia and oil palm. Results indicated that the variance of 15-cm was lower than other soil layers. Therefore, the soil moisture in the layer of 15-cm soil layer can be used as preliminary information of drought in tropical peatland, Indonesia.
热带泥炭地是全球气候调节的主要因素之一。然而,由于土地清理和管理不善导致的反复发生的大规模火灾迅速摧毁了印度尼西亚的热带泥炭地。为了恢复这一生态系统,印尼政府采取了三项特别行动,即重新湿润、重新种植和社区赋权。这些活动需要泥炭水分的实时和实际信息。因此,我们调查了印度尼西亚南苏门答腊省Ogan Komering Ilir的土壤水分剖面。我们测量了5厘米、15厘米、25厘米和35厘米四个不同土层的土壤水分,以及两种类型的土地覆盖,即金合欢和油棕。结果表明,15 cm的变异小于其他土层。因此,印度尼西亚热带泥炭地15cm土层的土壤水分可以作为干旱的初步信息。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2018 IEEE Asia-Pacific Conference on Geoscience, Electronics and Remote Sensing Technology (AGERS)
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