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Development and Internal Validation of an Interpretable Machine Learning Model to Predict Readmissions in a United States Healthcare System 一个可解释的机器学习模型的开发和内部验证,以预测美国医疗保健系统的再入院率
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10020033
Amanda L. Luo, Akshay Ravi, Simone Arvisais-Anhalt, Anoop Muniyappa, Xinran Liu, Sha Wang
(1) One in four hospital readmissions is potentially preventable. Machine learning (ML) models have been developed to predict hospital readmissions and risk-stratify patients, but thus far they have been limited in clinical applicability, timeliness, and generalizability. (2) Methods: Using deidentified clinical data from the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) between January 2016 and November 2021, we developed and compared four supervised ML models (logistic regression, random forest, gradient boosting, and XGBoost) to predict 30-day readmissions for adults admitted to a UCSF hospital. (3) Results: Of 147,358 inpatient encounters, 20,747 (13.9%) patients were readmitted within 30 days of discharge. The final model selected was XGBoost, which had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.783 and an area under the precision-recall curve of 0.434. The most important features by Shapley Additive Explanations were days since last admission, discharge department, and inpatient length of stay. (4) Conclusions: We developed and internally validated a supervised ML model to predict 30-day readmissions in a US-based healthcare system. This model has several advantages including state-of-the-art performance metrics, the use of clinical data, the use of features available within 24 h of discharge, and generalizability to multiple disease states.
(1) 四分之一的再次入院可能是可以预防的。机器学习(ML)模型已被开发用于预测医院再次入院和对患者进行风险分层,但到目前为止,它们在临床适用性、及时性和可推广性方面受到限制。(2) 方法:利用加州大学旧金山分校(UCSF)2016年1月至2021年11月的非识别临床数据,我们开发并比较了四种监督ML模型(逻辑回归、随机森林、梯度增强和XGBoost),以预测加州大学旧金山分校医院收治的成年人30天的再入院情况。(3) 结果:在147358例住院患者中,20747例(13.9%)患者在出院后30天内再次入院。最终选择的型号是XGBoost,其受试者工作特性曲线下的面积为0.783,精密召回曲线下的区域为0.434。Shapley加法解释最重要的特征是自上次入院以来的天数、出院部门和住院时间。(4) 结论:我们开发并内部验证了一个监督ML模型,用于预测美国医疗系统中30天的再次入院。该模型具有几个优点,包括最先进的性能指标、临床数据的使用、出院24小时内可用特征的使用,以及对多种疾病状态的可推广性。
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引用次数: 0
Affective Design Analysis of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI): A User-Centric Perspective 可解释人工智能的情感设计分析:以用户为中心的视角
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-16 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010032
Ezekiel Bernardo, R. Seva
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) has successfully solved the black box paradox of Artificial Intelligence (AI). By providing human-level insights on AI, it allowed users to understand its inner workings even with limited knowledge of the machine learning algorithms it uses. As a result, the field grew, and development flourished. However, concerns have been expressed that the techniques are limited in terms of to whom they are applicable and how their effect can be leveraged. Currently, most XAI techniques have been designed by developers. Though needed and valuable, XAI is more critical for an end-user, considering transparency cleaves on trust and adoption. This study aims to understand and conceptualize an end-user-centric XAI to fill in the lack of end-user understanding. Considering recent findings of related studies, this study focuses on design conceptualization and affective analysis. Data from 202 participants were collected from an online survey to identify the vital XAI design components and testbed experimentation to explore the affective and trust change per design configuration. The results show that affective is a viable trust calibration route for XAI. In terms of design, explanation form, communication style, and presence of supplementary information are the components users look for in an effective XAI. Lastly, anxiety about AI, incidental emotion, perceived AI reliability, and experience using the system are significant moderators of the trust calibration process for an end-user.
可解释人工智能(XAI)成功地解决了人工智能(AI)的黑匣子悖论。通过提供人类对人工智能的洞察力,即使用户对它使用的机器学习算法知之甚少,它也能让用户了解它的内部工作原理。结果,该领域发展壮大,发展繁荣。然而,有人表示关切,这些技术在适用对象和如何发挥其效果方面是有限的。目前,大多数XAI技术都是由开发人员设计的。尽管需要且有价值,但考虑到透明度对信任和采用的影响,XAI对最终用户来说更为关键。本研究旨在了解并概念化以最终用户为中心的XAI,以填补最终用户理解的不足。结合近年来的相关研究成果,本研究着重于设计概念化和情感分析。来自202名参与者的数据是从在线调查中收集的,以确定重要的XAI设计组件和测试平台实验,以探索每个设计配置的情感和信任变化。结果表明,情感是一种可行的XAI信任校准路径。在设计方面,说明形式、沟通风格和补充信息的存在是用户在有效的XAI中寻找的组件。最后,对人工智能的焦虑、附带情绪、感知到的人工智能可靠性和使用系统的经验是最终用户信任校准过程的重要调节因子。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of E-Learning Activities on English as a Second Language Proficiency among Engineering Cohorts of Malaysian Higher Education: A 7-Month Longitudinal Study 马来西亚高等教育工程群组中电子学习活动对英语作为第二语言能力的影响:一项为期7个月的纵向研究
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-15 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010031
Dipima Buragohain, Grisana Punpeng, Sureenate Jaratjarungkiat, Sushank Chaudhary
Recent technology implementation in learning has inspired language educators to employ various e-learning techniques, strategies, and applications in their pedagogical practices while aiming at improving specific learning efficiencies of students. The current study attempts to blend e-learning activities, including blogging, video making, online exercises, and digital storyboarding, with English language teaching and explores its impact on engineering cohorts at a public university in Malaysia. The longitudinal research study used three digital applications—Voyant Tools, Lumos Text Complexity Analyzer, and Advanced Text Analyzer—to analyze the data collected through a variety of digital assignments and activities from two English language courses during the researched academic semesters. Contributing to the available literature on the significance of integrating technology innovation with language learning, the study found that implementing e-learning activities can provide substantial insights into improving the learners’ different linguistic competencies, including writing competency, reading comprehension, and vocabulary enhancement. Moreover, the implementation of such innovative technology can motivate students to engage in more peer interactivity, learning engagement, and self-directed learning.
最近技术在学习中的应用激发了语言教育者在教学实践中采用各种电子学习技术、策略和应用,同时旨在提高学生的特定学习效率。目前的研究试图将电子学习活动(包括博客、视频制作、在线练习和数字故事板)与英语教学相结合,并探讨其对马来西亚一所公立大学工程专业学生的影响。这项纵向研究使用了三个数字应用程序——voyant工具、Lumos文本复杂性分析器和高级文本分析器——来分析在研究的学术学期中从两个英语语言课程中通过各种数字作业和活动收集的数据。结合现有文献对科技创新与语言学习整合的重要性的研究,本研究发现,实施电子学习活动可以为提高学习者的不同语言能力提供实质性的见解,包括写作能力、阅读理解和词汇量的增加。此外,这种创新技术的实施可以激励学生参与更多的同伴互动,学习参与和自主学习。
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引用次数: 1
Whitelist or Leave Our Website! Advances in the Understanding of User Response to Anti-Ad-Blockers 加入白名单或离开我们的网站!用户对反广告拦截软件反应的理解进展
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-12 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010030
I. Redondo, Gloria Aznar
Website publishers cannot monetize the ad impressions that are prevented by ad-blockers. Publishers can then employ anti-ad-blockers that force users to choose between either accepting ad impressions by whitelisting the website in the ad-blocker, or leaving the website without accessing the content. This study delineates the mechanisms of how willingness to whitelist/leave the website are affected by the request’s sensitivity to recipients as well as the users’ psychological reactance and evaluation of the website advertising. We tested the proposed relationships using an online panel sample of 500 ad-blocker users, who were asked about their willingness to whitelist/leave their favorite online newspaper after receiving a hypothetical anti-ad-blocker request—four alternative requests with different sensitivity levels were created and randomly assigned to the participants. The results confirmed that (a) the request’s sensitivity can improve the recipient’s compliance, (b) users’ psychological reactance plays an important role in explaining the overall phenomenon, and (c) a favorable evaluation of the website advertising can improve willingness to whitelist. These findings help to better understand user response to anti-ad-blockers and may also help publishers increase their whitelist ratios.
网站发布商无法从广告拦截器阻止的广告印象中获利。然后,发布商可以使用反广告拦截软件,迫使用户在广告拦截软件将网站列入白名单中接受广告印象,或者在不访问内容的情况下离开网站之间做出选择。本研究描述了白名单意愿/离开网站的机制如何受到请求对接受者的敏感性以及用户对网站广告的心理抗拒和评价的影响。我们使用500个广告拦截器用户的在线小组样本来测试所提出的关系,这些用户被问及在收到一个假设的反广告拦截器请求后,他们是否愿意将他们最喜欢的在线报纸列入白名单/离开他们——创建了四个不同敏感级别的替代请求,并随机分配给参与者。结果证实:(a)请求的敏感性可以提高接受者的依从性,(b)用户的心理抗拒在解释整体现象中起着重要作用,(c)对网站广告的良好评价可以提高白名单的意愿。这些发现有助于更好地了解用户对反广告拦截软件的反应,也可能帮助发布商提高他们的白名单比例。
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引用次数: 2
Strategies for Enhancing Assessment Information Integrity in Mobile Learning 增强移动学习评估信息完整性的策略
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-10 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010029
G. Kaisara, K. Bwalya
Mobile learning is a global trend, which has become more widespread in the post-COVID-19 pandemic era. However, with the adoption of mobile learning comes new assessment approaches to evaluate the understanding of the acquired information and knowledge. Nevertheless, there is scant knowledge of how to enhance assessment information integrity in mobile learning assessments. Due to the importance of assessments in evaluating knowledge, integrity is the sine qua non of online assessments. This research focuses on the strategies universities could use to improve assessment information integrity. This research adopts a qualitative design, employing interviews with academics as well as teaching and learning support staff for data collection. The findings reveal five strategies that academics and support staff recommend to enhance assessment information integrity in mobile learning. The theoretical and practical implications are discussed, as well as future research directions.
移动学习是一种全球趋势,在后新冠肺炎大流行时代,这种趋势变得更加普遍。然而,随着移动学习的采用,出现了新的评估方法来评估所获得的信息和知识的理解。然而,如何在移动学习评估中提高评估信息完整性的知识却很少。由于评估在评估知识方面的重要性,诚信是在线评估的必要条件。本研究的重点是大学可以使用的策略来提高评估信息的完整性。本研究采用质性设计,通过对学者和教学支持人员的访谈来收集数据。研究结果揭示了学者和支持人员建议的五种策略,以加强移动学习中的评估信息完整性。讨论了理论和实践意义,并展望了未来的研究方向。
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引用次数: 1
Enhancing Small Medical Dataset Classification Performance Using GAN 利用GAN增强小型医疗数据集分类性能
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-08 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010028
Mohammad Alauthman, Ahmad Al-qerem, Bilal I. Sowan, A. Alsarhan, Mohammed Eshtay, A. Aldweesh, N. Aslam
Developing an effective classification model in the medical field is challenging due to limited datasets. To address this issue, this study proposes using a generative adversarial network (GAN) as a data-augmentation technique. The research aims to enhance the classifier’s generalization performance, stability, and precision through the generation of synthetic data that closely resemble real data. We employed feature selection and applied five classification algorithms to thirteen benchmark medical datasets, augmented using the least-square GAN (LS-GAN). Evaluation of the generated samples using different ratios of augmented data showed that the support vector machine model outperforms other methods with larger samples. The proposed data augmentation approach using a GAN presents a promising solution for enhancing the performance of classification models in the healthcare field.
由于数据集有限,在医学领域开发有效的分类模型具有挑战性。为了解决这个问题,本研究提出使用生成对抗网络(GAN)作为数据增强技术。本研究旨在通过生成接近真实数据的合成数据来提高分类器的泛化性能、稳定性和精度。我们对13个基准医疗数据集采用特征选择和5种分类算法,并使用最小二乘GAN (LS-GAN)进行增强。使用不同比例的增强数据对生成的样本进行评估,结果表明支持向量机模型在更大样本下优于其他方法。提出的使用GAN的数据增强方法为提高医疗保健领域分类模型的性能提供了一个有前途的解决方案。
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引用次数: 3
The Influence of Light and Color in Digital Paintings of Environmental Issues on Emotions and Cognitions 环境题材数字绘画中光与色对情感与认知的影响
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-03 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010026
Witthaya Hosap, Chaowanan Khundam, Patibut Preeyawongsakul, Varunyu Vorachart, Frédéric Noël
This study aimed to examine the use of light and color in digital paintings and their effect on audiences’ perceptions of environmental issues. Five digital paintings depicting environmental issues have been designed. Digital painting techniques created black-and-white, monochrome, and color images. Each image used utopian and dystopian visualization concepts to communicate hope and despair. In the experiment, 225 volunteers representing students in colleges were separated into three independent groups: the first group was offered black-and-white images, the second group was offered monochromatic images, and the third group was offered color images. After viewing each image, participants were asked to complete questionnaires about their emotions and cognitions regarding environmental issues, including identifying hope and despair and the artist’s perspective at the end. The analysis showed no differences in emotions and cognitions among participants. However, monochromatic images were the most emotionally expressive. The results indicated that the surrounding atmosphere of the images created despair, whereas objects inspired hope. Artists should emphasize the composition of the atmosphere and the objects in the image to convey the concepts of utopia and dystopia to raise awareness of environmental issues.
本研究旨在检验数字绘画中光线和颜色的使用及其对观众对环境问题感知的影响。已经设计了五幅描绘环境问题的数字绘画。数字绘画技术创造了黑白、单色和彩色图像。每幅图像都使用乌托邦和反乌托邦的视觉概念来传达希望和绝望。在实验中,225名代表大学学生的志愿者被分为三组:第一组提供黑白图像,第二组提供单色图像,第三组提供彩色图像。在观看完每张图像后,参与者被要求完成关于他们对环境问题的情绪和认知的问卷调查,包括识别希望和绝望,以及艺术家最后的视角。分析显示,参与者在情绪和认知方面没有差异。然而,单色图像最能表达情感。研究结果表明,图像周围的气氛造成了绝望,而物体激发了希望。艺术家应该强调气氛和图像中物体的构成,以传达乌托邦和反乌托邦的概念,提高人们对环境问题的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the Influence of Fake Accounts on User Behavior and Information Diffusion in Online Social Networks 虚假账户对在线社交网络中用户行为和信息扩散的影响建模
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-03 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010027
Sara G. Fahmy, Sayed AbdelGaber, Omar H. Karam, Doaa S. Elzanfaly
The mechanisms of information diffusion in Online Social Networks (OSNs) have been studied extensively from various perspectives with some focus on identifying and modeling the role of heterogeneous nodes. However, none of these studies have considered the influence of fake accounts on human accounts and how this will affect the rumor diffusion process. This paper aims to present a new information diffusion model that characterizes the role of bots in the rumor diffusion process in OSNs. The proposed SIhIbR model extends the classical SIR model by introducing two types of infected users with different infection rates: the users who are infected by human (Ih) accounts with a normal infection rate and the users who are infected by bot accounts (Ib) with a different diffusion rate that reflects the intent and steadiness of this type of account to spread the rumors. The influence of fake accounts on human accounts diffusion rate has been measured using the social impact theory, as it better reflects the deliberate behavior of bot accounts to spread a rumor to a large portion of the network by considering both the strength and the bias of the source node. The experiment results show that the accuracy of the SIhIbR model outperforms the SIR model when simulating the rumor diffusion process in the existence of fake accounts. It has been concluded that fake accounts accelerate the rumor diffusion process as they impact many people in a short time.
在线社交网络(Online Social Networks, OSNs)中的信息扩散机制已经从不同的角度进行了广泛的研究,其中一些重点是识别和建模异构节点的作用。然而,这些研究都没有考虑到假账号对真人账号的影响,以及这将如何影响谣言的传播过程。本文旨在提出一种新的信息扩散模型,该模型描述了机器人在社交网络谣言传播过程中的作用。本文提出的SIhIbR模型对经典SIR模型进行了扩展,引入了两种感染率不同的感染用户:感染率正常的人账号(Ih)感染用户和传播速率不同的机器人账号(Ib)感染用户,这反映了这类账号传播谣言的意图和稳定性。虚假账户对人类账户扩散率的影响已经使用社会影响理论进行了测量,因为它更好地反映了机器人账户通过考虑源节点的强度和偏差,将谣言传播到网络的大部分的故意行为。实验结果表明,SIhIbR模型在模拟虚假账户存在情况下的谣言传播过程时,准确性优于SIR模型。结论是,虚假账号在短时间内影响了很多人,加速了谣言的传播过程。
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引用次数: 1
Vertical Integration Dynamics to Innovate in Technology Business 垂直整合动态创新技术业务
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-22 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010025
P. Nogueira, L. Pereira, Ana Simões, Á. Dias, R. Costa
Companies try to acquire the finest advantages and techniques in a technologically advanced and end-to-end market to have a stronger foothold there. Although empirical research on this topic links IT to a decline in vertical integration, corporations are increasingly using this corporate strategy. The goal of this study is to show how over the past 22 years, scientific literature has changed with regard to how information technology (IT) affects vertical integration, one of the main types of corporate strategies. The findings demonstrated that vertical integration has been evolving in a balanced manner in a technological environment. Three categories—information technology, innovation, and processes—help explain this association and were discovered through cluster analysis. The direction of operational integration, the degree of industry concentration, demand unpredictability, and innovation should all be considered while making integration decisions.
公司试图在技术先进的端到端市场中获得最佳优势和技术,以在那里站稳脚跟。尽管对这一主题的实证研究将IT与垂直整合的下降联系在一起,但企业越来越多地使用这种企业战略。本研究的目的是展示在过去22年中,科学文献在信息技术(IT)如何影响垂直整合(企业战略的主要类型之一)方面发生了怎样的变化。研究结果表明,垂直一体化在技术环境中以平衡的方式发展。三个类别——信息技术、创新和流程——有助于解释这种关联,它们是通过聚类分析发现的。在做出整合决策时,应考虑运营整合的方向、行业集中度、需求的不可预测性和创新。
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引用次数: 1
Fan Fault Diagnosis Using Acoustic Emission and Deep Learning Methods 基于声发射和深度学习方法的风扇故障诊断
IF 3.1 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.3390/informatics10010024
Giuseppe Ciaburro, Sankar Padmanabhan, Yassine Maleh, Virginia Puyana-Romero
The modern conception of industrial production recognizes the increasingly crucial role of maintenance. Currently, maintenance is thought of as a service that aims to maintain the efficiency of equipment and systems while also taking quality, energy efficiency, and safety requirements into consideration. In this study, a new methodology for automating the fan maintenance procedures was developed. An approach based on the recording of the acoustic emission and the failure diagnosis using deep learning was evaluated for the detection of dust deposits on the blades of an axial fan. Two operating conditions have been foreseen: No-Fault, and Fault. In the No-Fault condition, the fan blades are perfectly clean while in the Fault condition, deposits of material have been artificially created. Utilizing a pre-trained network (SqueezeNet) built on the ImageNet dataset, the acquired data were used to build an algorithm based on convolutional neural networks (CNN). The transfer learning applied to the images of the spectrograms extracted from the recordings of the acoustic emission of the fan, in the two operating conditions, returned excellent results (accuracy = 0.95), confirming the excellent performance of the methodology.
现代工业生产观念认识到维修的作用日益重要。目前,维护被认为是一项旨在保持设备和系统效率的服务,同时也考虑到质量、能源效率和安全要求。在本研究中,开发了一种自动化风机维护程序的新方法。研究了一种基于声发射记录和深度学习故障诊断的轴流风机叶片积灰检测方法。可以预见两种运行情况:无故障和故障。在无故障状态下,风扇叶片是完全清洁的,而在故障状态下,物质的沉积是人为制造的。利用在ImageNet数据集上构建的预训练网络(SqueezeNet),获取的数据用于构建基于卷积神经网络(CNN)的算法。将迁移学习应用于从风扇声发射记录中提取的频谱图图像,在两种操作条件下,返回了极好的结果(精度= 0.95),证实了该方法的优异性能。
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引用次数: 4
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Informatics
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