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Analysis of dengue infection transmission dynamics in Nepal using fractional order mathematical modeling 尼泊尔登革热感染传播动态的分数阶数学模型分析
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2023.100098
Hem Raj Pandey , Ganga Ram Phaijoo , Dil Bahadur Gurung

Dengue is a significant factor to the global public health issue, including Nepal. In Nepal from 20042022, the largest outbreak occurred in the year 2022. Dengue infection cases appeared all over 77 districts of Nepal. The Caputo fractional order SEIR-SEI epidemic model is able to describe dengue disease transmission dynamics of present situation. For fundamental mathematical guarantees of epidemic model equations, we studied the Lipschitz and Banach contraction theorems to show that the model equations have a unique solution. The Ulam-Hyres stability is established in the model. Next generation matrix approach is used to calculate the associated basic reproduction number R0. The model equilibrium points are identified, and the local asymptotic stability for disease-free equilibrium point is analyzed. Normalized forward and partial rank correlation coefficient are used for sensitivity study to identify the factors that affect dengue infection with respect to basic reproduction number. Using real data of Nepal, the model is fitted and the least square method is used for estimating parameters. Numerical scheme has been illustrated using a two-step Lagrange interpolation approach and the solution is approximated. With numerical results and sensitivity analysis, it is concluded that biting rate and death rate of mosquito are extremely sensitive to the disease transmission. The transmission increases with increasing biting rate and decreases with decreasing mosquito death rate. For the year 2022, R0=1.7739>1 showing that the disease is endemic. Thus, effective control measure should be implemented to combat the dengue virus. However, further research needs to be undertaken to assess the impact of such control measures.

登革热是包括尼泊尔在内的全球公共卫生问题的一个重要因素。2004年至2022年,尼泊尔爆发了最大规模的疫情。登革热感染病例出现在尼泊尔77个地区。Caputo分数阶SEIR-SEI流行病模型能够描述登革热传播现状的动态。对于流行病模型方程的基本数学保证,我们研究了Lipschitz和Banach收缩定理,证明了模型方程具有唯一解。在模型中建立了Ulam-Hyres的稳定性。使用下一代矩阵方法来计算相关联的基本再现次数R0。确定了模型的平衡点,并分析了无病平衡点的局部渐近稳定性。使用归一化正向和偏秩相关系数进行敏感性研究,以确定影响登革热感染的基本繁殖数因素。利用尼泊尔的实际数据,对模型进行了拟合,并采用最小二乘法对参数进行了估计。使用两步拉格朗日插值方法对数值格式进行了说明,并对解进行了近似。通过数值计算和敏感性分析,得出蚊虫叮咬率和死亡率对疾病传播极为敏感的结论。传播随着叮咬率的增加而增加,随着蚊子死亡率的降低而减少。对于2022年,R0=1.7739>;1表明该病为地方病。因此,应采取有效的控制措施来对抗登革热病毒。然而,需要进行进一步的研究,以评估这种控制措施的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Novel theorems for a Bochner flat Lorentzian Ka¨hler space-time manifold with η-Ricci-Yamabe solitons 具有η-Ricki-Yamabe孤子的Bochner平坦Lorentzian-Ka¨hler时空流形的新定理
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2023.100097
B.B. Chaturvedi , Prabhawati Bhagat , Mohammad Nazrul Islam Khan

In the current work, we examine η-Ricci-Yamabe solitons in a Bochner flat Lorentzian Ka¨hler space-time manifolds. We have addressed various circumstances for Ricci-Yamabe solitons to be steady, shrinking or expanding in terms of isotropic pressure, the cosmological constant, energy density and gravitational constant in different perfect fluids such as dark fluid, Stiff matter, dust fluid and radiation fluid.

在当前的工作中,我们研究了Bochner平面洛伦兹Ka¨hler时空流形中的η-Ricci Yamabe孤子。我们已经讨论了Ricci Yamabe孤子在不同完美流体(如暗流体、刚性物质、尘埃流体和辐射流体)中的各向同性压力、宇宙学常数、能量密度和引力常数方面稳定、收缩或膨胀的各种情况。
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引用次数: 0
An Accurate Analytical Solution to Troesch’s Problem Through Lower and Upper Envelope Techniques Troesch问题的上下包络精确解析解
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2023.100096
Mihai Halic, Roshan Tajarod, Helmi Temimi

We consider a novel approach to providing highly accurate analytic solutions to non-classical, non-linear problems. This approach is then implemented to the highly sensitive Troesch-problem, which possesses a boundary layer at the right-end: we determine an upper and lower envelope solution, and compare the average to existing numerical results. Computer simulations show that the proposed analytic solution is highly accurate when compared to the existing benchmark. This confirms that the proposed approach to deal with such non-linear problems can be used to treat similar non-classical boundary-value problems.

我们考虑一种新的方法来为非经典非线性问题提供高精度的分析解。然后,将这种方法应用于高灵敏度的Troesch问题,该问题在右端具有边界层:我们确定上包络和下包络解,并将平均值与现有的数值结果进行比较。计算机模拟表明,与现有的基准相比,所提出的分析解决方案是高度准确的。这证实了所提出的处理此类非线性问题的方法可以用于处理类似的非经典边值问题。
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引用次数: 1
Cost-effectiveness of a mathematical modeling with optimal control approach of spread of COVID-19 pandemic: A case study in Peru 2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行传播最优控制方法数学建模的成本效益:秘鲁案例研究
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2022.100090
Abdelfatah Kouidere , Omar Balatif , Mostafa Rachik

COVID-19 pandemic affects 213 countries and regions around the world. Which the number of people infected with the virus exceeded 26 millions infected and more than 870 thousand deaths until september 04, 2020, in the world, and Peru among the countries most affected by this pandemic. So we proposed a mathematical model describes the dynamics of spread of the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru. The optimal control strategy based on the model is proposed, and several reasonable and suitable control strategies are suggested to the prevention and reduce the spread COVID-19 virus, by conducting awareness campaigns and quarantine with treatment. coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19). Pontryagin’s maximum principle is used to characterize the optimal controls and the optimality system is solved by an iterative method. Finally, some numerical simulations are performed to verify the theoretical analysis using Matlab.

新冠肺炎疫情波及全球213个国家和地区。截至2020年9月4日,全球感染该病毒的人数超过2600万,死亡人数超过87万,秘鲁是受此大流行影响最严重的国家之一。因此,我们提出了一个数学模型来描述COVID-19大流行在秘鲁的传播动态。提出了基于该模型的最优控制策略,并提出了几种合理、合适的控制策略,通过开展宣传运动和隔离治疗来预防和减少COVID-19病毒的传播。2019冠状病毒(COVID-19)。采用庞特里亚金极大值原理描述最优控制,并采用迭代法求解最优性系统。最后,利用Matlab进行了数值仿真,验证了理论分析的正确性。
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引用次数: 3
Stochastic integrodifferential models of fractional orders and Leffler nonsingular kernels: well-posedness theoretical results and Legendre Gauss spectral collocation approximations 分数阶随机积分微分模型和Leffler非奇异核:适定性理论结果和勒让德-高斯谱配置近似
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2023.100091
Haneen Badawi , Omar Abu Arqub , Nabil Shawagfeh

Stochastic fractional integrodifferential models are widely employed to model several natural phenomena these days. This current work focuses on the well-posedness results and numerical solutions of a specific form of these models considering the Leffler nonsingular kernels operator wherein the stochastic term is driven by the standard Brownian motion. Accordingly, a combination of sufficient conditions, topological theorems, and Banach space theory are utilized to construct the well-posedness proof. For treating the numerical issue, a familiar spectral collocation technique relying upon shifted Legendre series expansion theory is proposed. The basic properties of Brownian motion and a linear spline interpolation method are used to simulate the standard Brownian motion at a fixed time value. In addition, the idea of the Gauss-Legendre numerical integration rule is implemented to approximate the finite integral. We also devote our attention to the concept of convergence of the proposed method and demonstrate its analysis. Ultimately, the obtained theoretical results and the presented method are examined with five numerous applications. The obtained results indicate the high accuracy and efficiency of applying this method in solving stochastic models of the above-mentioned form.

随机分数积分微分模型近年来被广泛用于对一些自然现象进行建模。目前的工作集中在考虑Leffler非奇异核算子的这些模型的特定形式的适定性结果和数值解上,其中随机项由标准布朗运动驱动。因此,充分条件、拓扑定理和Banach空间理论的组合被用来构造适定性证明。为了处理数值问题,提出了一种常见的基于移位勒让德级数展开理论的谱配置技术。利用布朗运动的基本性质和线性样条插值方法模拟了固定时间值下的标准布朗运动。此外,还实现了高斯-勒让德数值积分规则的思想来逼近有限积分。我们还关注所提出方法的收敛性概念,并对其进行了分析。最后,对所获得的理论结果和所提出的方法进行了五次大量应用的检验。所获得的结果表明,将该方法应用于求解上述形式的随机模型具有较高的精度和效率。
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引用次数: 4
How big of an impact do asymptomatic people have on the dynamics of an epidemic? 无症状的人对流行病的动态有多大影响?
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2023.100093
Md Biplob Hossain , Masud M.A. , Arun Kumar Sikder , Md Hamidul Islam

Asymptomatic carriers serve as a potential source of transmission of epidemic diseases. Exposed people who develop symptoms only get tested and remain isolated in their homes or sometimes in hospitals when needed. In contrast, the asymptomatic individuals go untested and spread the disease silently as they roam freely throughout their entire infectious lifetime. The work intends to explore the role of asymptomatic carriers in the transmission of epidemic diseases and investigate suitable optimal control strategies. We propose a SEIAQR compartmental model subdividing the total population into six different compartments. To illustrate the model’s implication, we estimate the number of asymptomatic individuals using COVID-19 data during June 9–July 18, 2021 from Bangladesh. We then analyze the model to explore whether the epidemic subsides if the asymptomatic individuals are tested randomly and isolated. Finally, to gain a better understanding of the potential of this unidentified transmission route, we propose an optimal control model considering two different control strategies: personal protective measures and isolation of asymptomatic carriers through random testing. Our results show that simultaneous implementation of both control strategies can reduce the epidemic early. Most importantly, sustained effort in identifying and isolation of asymptotic individuals allows relaxation in personal protective measures.

无症状携带者是传染病的潜在传播源。出现症状的接触者只接受检测,并在需要时在家中或有时在医院隔离。相比之下,无症状个体未经测试,在其整个感染生涯中自由漫步,默默地传播疾病。这项工作旨在探索无症状携带者在流行病传播中的作用,并研究合适的最佳控制策略。我们提出了一个SEIAQR分区模型,将总人口细分为六个不同的分区。为了说明该模型的含义,我们使用2021年6月9日至7月18日期间孟加拉国的新冠肺炎数据估计了无症状个体的数量。然后,我们分析该模型,以探索如果对无症状个体进行随机检测和隔离,疫情是否会消退。最后,为了更好地了解这种未知传播途径的潜力,我们提出了一个最优控制模型,考虑了两种不同的控制策略:个人防护措施和通过随机检测隔离无症状携带者。我们的研究结果表明,同时实施这两种控制策略可以尽早减少疫情。最重要的是,持续努力识别和隔离渐进个体可以放松个人保护措施。
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引用次数: 0
A particle swarm optimization algorithm with empirical balance strategy 一种具有经验平衡策略的粒子群优化算法
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2022.100089
Yonghong Zhang, Xiangyu Kong

As an important research direction of swarm intelligence algorithm, particle swarm optimization (PSO) has become a popular evolutionary method and received extensive attention in the past decades. Despite many PSO variants have been proposed, how to maintain a good balance between the exploration and exploitation abilities, and how to jump out of the local optimal position are still challenges. In this article, based on empirical balance strategy, a new particle swarm optimization (EBPSO) algorithm is presented. Firstly, based on an adaptive adjustment mechanism, the algorithm can choose a better strategy from two search equations, which can maintain the balance between the exploration and exploitation abilities. Secondly, to utilize the information of individual historical optimal solution and the optimal solution of the current population, a weight for adjusting their influence is introduced into the search equation. Thirdly, by introducing the diversity of population, a moving equation for dynamically adjusting the search ability of the algorithm is proposed. Finally, to avoid falling into local optimum and to search the potential location, a dynamic random search mechanism is proposed, which is designed by using the information of the current optimal solution. Compared with some state-of-the-art algorithms, the experimental results show that EBPSO has excellent solution quality and convergence characteristic on almost all test problems.

粒子群优化算法作为群体智能算法的一个重要研究方向,在过去的几十年里已经成为一种流行的进化方法并受到广泛关注。尽管已经提出了许多PSO变体,但如何在勘探和开发能力之间保持良好的平衡,以及如何跳出局部最优位置仍然是挑战。本文基于经验平衡策略,提出了一种新的粒子群优化算法。首先,基于自适应调整机制,该算法可以从两个搜索方程中选择更好的策略,从而保持探索和开发能力之间的平衡。其次,为了利用个体历史最优解和当前种群最优解的信息,在搜索方程中引入了调整其影响的权重。再次,通过引入种群的多样性,提出了一个动态调整算法搜索能力的运动方程。最后,为了避免陷入局部最优并搜索潜在位置,提出了一种动态随机搜索机制,该机制是利用当前最优解的信息设计的。与一些最先进的算法相比,实验结果表明,EBPSO在几乎所有的测试问题上都具有良好的求解质量和收敛性。
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引用次数: 8
Hilbert approximate solutions and fractional geometric behaviors of a dynamical fractional model of social media addiction affirmed by the fractional Caputo differential operator 由分数阶Caputo微分算子确定的社交媒体成瘾动态分数阶模型的Hilbert近似解和分数阶几何行为
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2023.100092
Banan Maayah , Omar Abu Arqub

In this investigation, the dynamical model of social media addiction is considered in the spirit of the Caputo differential operator. The main utilization is to elucidate the importance of nonclassical derivatives order in the implementation of social media addiction complex phenomena. Herein, we first developed the model using the Caputo scheme and discussed some fundamental mathematical computations. Secondly, we adapt the Hilbert reproducing scheme to generate numerical appropriate solutions via Mathematica 12 software. The utilized fractional social media problem was formulated and configured to solve it by fitting two subspaces from the space of Hilbert. The convergence-error behavior results are established using functional analysis techniques. After utilizing several computational algorithms, the considered model results are tabularly and graphically demonstrated with different choices of arbitrary order parameter values. The outcomes show that when applying the fractional Caputo differential operator, such complicated events become more realistic and convincing. The summary of the presented work and various scientific recommendations in addition to the future work that complements this analysis has been utilized in the last part.

在这项研究中,社交媒体成瘾的动力学模型是在Caputo微分算子的精神下考虑的。主要用途是阐明非经典衍生秩序在社交媒体成瘾复杂现象实施中的重要性。在此,我们首先使用Caputo格式开发了该模型,并讨论了一些基本的数学计算。其次,我们通过Mathematica 12软件对希尔伯特再现方案进行了调整,以生成适当的数值解。所利用的分数阶社交媒体问题被公式化并配置为通过从希尔伯特空间拟合两个子空间来解决它。使用函数分析技术建立收敛误差行为结果。在使用几种计算算法后,通过不同的任意阶参数值选择,以表格和图形的方式展示了所考虑的模型结果。结果表明,当应用分数阶Caputo微分算子时,这种复杂的事件变得更加真实和令人信服。在最后一部分中,除了对本分析进行补充的未来工作外,还使用了对现有工作的总结和各种科学建议。
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引用次数: 2
Lagrangian evolution of field gradient tensor invariants in magneto-hydrodynamic theory 磁流体力学理论中场梯度张量不变量的拉格朗日演化
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2022.100080
Virgilio Quattrociocchi , Giuseppe Consolini , Massimo Materassi , Tommaso Alberti , Ermanno Pietropaolo

In 1982 in a series of works Vielliefosse [1, 2] discussed a nonlinear homogeneous evolution equation for the velocity gradient tensor in fluid dynamics. Later Cantwell [3] extended this formalism to the non-homogeneous case including the effects of viscous diffusion and cross derivatives of pressure field. Here, we derive the evolution equations of the geometrical invariants of the magnetic and velocity field gradient tensors in the case of magneto-hydrodynamics for both non-homogeneous and homogeneous cases, i.e., considering or neglecting viscous effects and source terms. The inclusion of dissipation effects and higher-order gradient terms introduces a non trivial evolution of invariants, which can be treated as a stochastic evolution equation. Conversely, in the homogeneous case, the magnetic field invariants do not evolve, i.e., the magnetic field line topology is conserved, while the corresponding velocity invariants are affected by magnetic forces. By writing the equations of the velocity field invariants as a dynamical system we can identify the role of the different terms in the evolution equations. In detail, in the homogenous case we show that the term associated with the current density drives transitions between hyperbolic and elliptical structures. Evolution equations are also discussed in the perspective of an application to the analysis of magneto-hydrodynamic turbulence.

1982年,Vielliefosse[1,2]在一系列著作中讨论了流体动力学中速度梯度张量的非线性齐次演化方程。后来Cantwell[3]将这种形式扩展到非均匀情况,包括粘性扩散和压力场交叉导数的影响。本文推导了非齐次和齐次磁流体力学情况下磁场和速度场梯度张量几何不变量的演化方程,即考虑或忽略粘性效应和源项。由于耗散效应和高阶梯度项的加入,引入了不变量的非平凡演化,可以看作是随机演化方程。相反,在均匀情况下,磁场不变量不进化,即磁场线拓扑是守恒的,而相应的速度不变量受到磁力的影响。通过将速度场不变量方程写成一个动力系统,我们可以确定演化方程中不同项的作用。详细地说,在齐次情况下,我们证明了与电流密度相关的项驱动双曲线和椭圆结构之间的转换。从应用于磁流体动力湍流分析的角度讨论了演化方程。
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引用次数: 1
Measuring fractal dynamics of FECG signals to determine the complexity of fetal heart rate 通过测量feg信号的分形动力学来确定胎儿心率的复杂性
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.csfx.2022.100083
Tahmineh Azizi

In this research, we study the fetal heart rate from abdominal signals using multi-fractal spectra and fractal analysis. We use the Abdominal and Direct Fetal Electrocardiogram Database contains multichannel fetal electrocardiogram (FECG) recordings obtained from 5 different women in labor, between 38 and 41 weeks of gestation. We apply autocorrelation or power spectral densities (PSD) analysis on these five FECG recordings to estimate the exponent from realizations of these processes and to find out if the signal of interest exhibits a power-law PSD. We perform multi-fractal analysis to discover whether some type of power-law scaling exists for various statistical moments at different scales of these FECG signals. We plot the multi-fractal spectra of this database to compare the width of the scaling exponent for each spectrum. A quantitative analysis commonly known as the Fractal Dimension (FD) using the Higuchi algorithm has been carried out to illustrate the fractal complexity of input signals. Our finding shows that the fractal geometry can be used as a mathematical model and computational framework to further analysis and classification of clinical database. Moreover, it can be considered as a framework to compare the complexity of FECG signals and a useful tool to differentiate between their patterns.

在本研究中,我们利用多重分形光谱和分形分析来研究胎儿腹部信号的心率。我们使用了腹部和直接胎儿心电图数据库,该数据库包含了5位妊娠38至41周的不同产妇的多通道胎儿心电图(FECG)记录。我们对这五个FECG记录应用自相关或功率谱密度(PSD)分析来估计这些过程实现的指数,并找出感兴趣的信号是否表现出幂律PSD。我们进行多重分形分析,以发现这些FECG信号在不同尺度上的各种统计矩是否存在某种幂律标度。我们绘制了该数据库的多重分形光谱,比较了每个光谱的标度指数宽度。使用Higuchi算法进行了通常称为分形维数(FD)的定量分析,以说明输入信号的分形复杂性。我们的发现表明,分形几何可以作为进一步分析和分类临床数据库的数学模型和计算框架。此外,它可以被视为比较FECG信号复杂性的框架和区分其模式的有用工具。
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引用次数: 3
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